tiprankstipranks
Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. (JP:3948)
:3948
Japanese Market

Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. (3948) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
0 Followers

Top Page

JP:3948

Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd.

(3948)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,278.00
▼(-0.85% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened profitability, declining revenue, and weaker free cash flow, despite a strong low-debt balance sheet that provides downside resilience. Technicals are mixed with subdued momentum, and valuation is stretched on earnings (high P/E) even with a supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Very low leverage and a sizeable equity base provide durable financial flexibility and downside protection. This conservatism supports capital allocation choices, preserves investment capacity through cyclical weakness, and reduces refinancing risk over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue decline
Multi-year top-line contraction erodes scale and pricing power in a business that relies on volume for fixed-cost absorption. Continued revenue loss pressures long-term growth prospects and makes margin recovery harder without structural changes to products or distribution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
Very low leverage and a sizeable equity base provide durable financial flexibility and downside protection. This conservatism supports capital allocation choices, preserves investment capacity through cyclical weakness, and reduces refinancing risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. (3948) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. (3948) is a leading company in the manufacturing of business forms and printing solutions, primarily serving the Japanese market. The company specializes in producing a wide range of printed materials, including invo...
How the Company Makes Money
Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its printed business forms and related products. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to businesses, including both large corporations and small to medi...

Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a clear positive (very low leverage and solid capitalization), but this is outweighed by weakened operating results and cash generation: revenue has declined for three consecutive years, net margin has compressed to ~2% in 2025, and free cash flow has fallen sharply in 2025 versus 2024.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.74B7.92B9.88B11.99B9.57B
Gross Profit1.64B1.61B2.71B3.43B2.51B
EBITDA396.89M541.29M1.51B2.26B1.51B
Net Income151.74M161.25M748.02M1.27B819.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.56B11.22B11.46B11.98B10.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.31B3.81B4.01B4.13B3.18B
Total Debt319.27M186.84M198.14M334.98M529.15M
Total Liabilities2.18B1.88B2.03B3.07B2.98B
Stockholders Equity9.37B9.34B9.43B8.92B7.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow58.47M124.57M386.88M1.51B1.07B
Operating Cash Flow257.64M224.51M471.31M1.59B1.10B
Investing Cash Flow-239.84M32.73M2.04M-252.46M250.46M
Financing Cash Flow-520.30M-430.77M-574.55M-403.67M-371.08M

Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1289.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1246.76
Negative
100DMA
1257.22
Negative
200DMA
1231.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-22.31
Positive
RSI
34.91
Neutral
STOCH
37.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3948, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1289 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1206.75, above the 50-day MA of 1246.76, and above the 200-day MA of 1231.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -22.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3948.

Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥3.49B4.671.93%-1.00%105.56%
68
Neutral
¥41.37B7.423.71%-0.04%93.95%
66
Neutral
¥3.54B6.843.69%0.62%-24.08%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥5.47B-22.352.72%-1.30%
53
Neutral
¥6.67B45.762.94%-2.81%57.37%
53
Neutral
¥3.19B5.783.30%-3.41%-24.95%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3948
Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd.
1,170.00
408.98
53.74%
JP:3958
Sasatoku Printing Co.,Ltd.
550.00
33.58
6.50%
JP:7805
PRINTNET INC.
706.00
72.05
11.37%
JP:7914
Kyodo Printing Co., Ltd.
1,610.00
568.72
54.62%
JP:7916
Mitsumura Printing Co., Ltd.
1,798.00
464.29
34.81%
JP:7919
Nozaki Insatsu Shigyo Co., Ltd.
208.00
41.15
24.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026