MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. (3664) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥4.23B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 5.48M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.85
• Revenue Growth: -9.66%
• EPS Growth: -55.87%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 101
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
• EPS (TTM): -1.63
• Shares Outstanding: 84,638,405
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,869,760
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,475,583
• PEG Ratio: 0.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.50
• P/FCF Ratio: -6.76
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 39 Underperform
• Price Target: ¥35.00 ▼(-5.41% Downside)

The overall stock score is heavily influenced by the company's poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, net losses, and negative cash flows. The technical analysis also indicates a bearish trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing signs of being oversold. The negative P/E ratio and absence of a dividend yield further contribute to the low valuation score.

Positive Factors

Business Model Diversification

The diversified revenue streams from in-app purchases, subscriptions, and advertising provide resilience against market fluctuations and enhance revenue stability.

Gross Profit Margin

A strong gross profit margin indicates effective cost control at the production level, which can support profitability as revenue stabilizes.

Technology-Driven Innovation

Focus on technology-driven innovation in mobile and digital media sectors positions the company to capitalize on growing digital consumption trends.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

Consistent revenue decline indicates challenges in market competitiveness and product demand, impacting long-term growth prospects.

Negative Cash Flow

Negative cash flow from operations suggests liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt.

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to weather economic downturns.

MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. (3664) is a technology-driven company focused on digital content distribution, primarily in the fields of mobile entertainment and media. The company operates in sectors such as mobile applications, gaming, and digital media solutions, providing users with access to a diverse range of content through innovative platforms. Its core products include mobile games, entertainment apps, and content delivery systems that leverage advanced technology to enhance user experience and engagement.

How the Company Makes Money

MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. generates revenue through multiple channels, including in-app purchases, subscription services, and advertising partnerships. The company monetizes its mobile games and applications by offering users the option to purchase virtual goods and enhancements, which significantly contribute to its earnings. Additionally, MOBCAST engages in subscription-based models for premium content access, providing users with exclusive features and experiences. Advertising revenue is also a key component, as the company collaborates with various brands and advertisers to display ads within its platforms, driving income through ad impressions and clicks. Strategic partnerships with content creators and distribution networks further enhance its revenue potential, allowing the company to expand its user base and improve monetization strategies.

MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. is struggling financially with declining revenues, consistent net losses, and negative cash flows. The high leverage and ongoing operational losses raise concerns about the company's financial health and long-term sustainability. Improvements in revenue growth and profitability are crucial for better financial stability.

Income Statement

The company has shown a consistent decline in revenue over the past few years, with a revenue growth rate of -8.94% in the most recent year. Gross profit margin stands at 62.34% for the latest year, which indicates strong cost control at the gross level. However, the net profit margin is negative, at -5.50%, reflecting ongoing losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, reflecting a leveraged position with potential risks of financial instability. The equity ratio is relatively low at 14.02%, indicating limited equity backing the company's assets. Return on equity is negative due to sustained net losses, pointing to inefficiency in generating returns for shareholders.

Cash Flow

The company faces challenges with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating poor cash generation from operational activities. Free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.27, reflecting negative cash flow relative to net income. There has been no significant improvement in free cash flow growth, indicating liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.82B	3.07B	3.37B	3.59B	4.54B	6.66B
Gross Profit	1.66B	1.91B	1.88B	1.94B	2.18B	2.74B
EBITDA	-296.91M	-76.47M	-305.60M	-365.53M	-953.51M	-368.54M
Net Income	-425.56M	-169.03M	-380.80M	-448.69M	-1.09B	-721.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.31B	2.25B	2.50B	3.17B	2.79B	3.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	567.68M	457.47M	601.54M	856.29M	337.89M	509.08M
Total Debt	1.25B	1.34B	1.33B	1.44B	1.45B	1.45B
Total Liabilities	1.76B	1.87B	2.10B	2.42B	2.62B	2.76B
Stockholders Equity	468.98M	316.01M	355.33M	735.59M	174.23M	865.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-228.04M	-239.63M	-493.63M	-693.53M	-1.03B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	-192.55M	-204.83M	-449.67M	-584.67M	-928.78M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-49.56M	-53.71M	-23.95M	99.11M	223.11M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	102.39M	-123.56M	992.03M	398.35M	204.42M

MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 37.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3664, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.60, below the 50-day MA of 49.50, and below the 200-day MA of 44.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3664.

MOBCAST HOLDINGS, INC. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3928	65 Neutral	¥1.96B	14.96	―	―	-10.80%	-64.63%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
3907	58 Neutral	¥2.44B	7.78	―	1.31%	2.33%	―
3639	47 Neutral	¥1.78B	132.94	―	―	-17.76%	-15.23%
3672	41 Neutral	¥3.98B	-3.75	―	―	-17.60%	37.30%
3664	39 Underperform	¥4.23B	-5.85	―	―	-9.66%	-55.87%
3667	37 Underperform	¥3.31B	-3.14	―	―	-22.21%	32.20%