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Hobonichi Co., Ltd.
(3560)
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Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,793.00
▲(39.53% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:01/04/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (especially the very clean balance sheet and solid profitability), partially tempered by inconsistent cash generation and negative free cash flow in 2025. Technicals add support due to a clear uptrend, while valuation is fair with a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / minimal leverage
An exceptionally conservative balance sheet with minimal debt materially reduces financial risk and preserves optionality. Over 2–6 months this supports resilience to demand shocks, gives flexibility for selective investment or shocks, and underpins steady capital allocation even if growth fades.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation; negative FCF in 2025
Meaningfully negative free cash flow in 2025 despite positive earnings signals working-capital swings or higher investments that undermine cash convertibility. Persistent FCF volatility limits reinvestment ability, dividend sustainability, and confidence in earnings quality over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / minimal leverage
An exceptionally conservative balance sheet with minimal debt materially reduces financial risk and preserves optionality. Over 2–6 months this supports resilience to demand shocks, gives flexibility for selective investment or shocks, and underpins steady capital allocation even if growth fades.
Read all positive factors
Hobonichi Co., Ltd. (3560) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥9.75B
Dividend Yield2.66%
Average Volume (3M)5.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.7
Beta (1Y)0.09
Revenue Growth21.22%
EPS Growth141.13%
CountryJP
Employees142
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)192.83
Shares Outstanding2,321,800
10 Day Avg. Volume4,740
30 Day Avg. Volume5,440
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.32
Price to Book (P/B)1.47
Price to Sales (P/S)0.83
P/FCF Ratio-32.88
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Hobonichi Co., Ltd. operates and creates content for the Hobonichi Itoi Shimbun website, alongside managing its Hobonichi web store in Japan. The company specializes in the conceptualization, development, and sale of products such as the Hobonichi...
How the Company Makes Money
Hobonichi primarily earns revenue by designing, producing, and selling branded consumer goods, with its planner/stationery franchise (e.g., Hobonichi Techo books, covers, and related accessories) as a core driver. Sales are generated through retai...
Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | Aug 2025 | Aug 2024 | Aug 2023 | Aug 2022 | Aug 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 8.68B | 7.53B | 6.82B | 5.91B | 5.64B |
| Gross Profit | 4.95B | 4.27B | 3.88B | 3.28B | 3.09B |
| EBITDA | 912.56M | 747.05M | 760.68M | 428.35M | 325.55M |
| Net Income | 448.35M | 399.20M | 411.91M | 205.71M | 196.98M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 6.99B | 6.55B | 5.90B | 5.35B | 5.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 755.18M | 1.19B | 1.37B | 1.62B | 1.77B |
| Total Debt | 8.96M | 2.87M | 5.22M | 7.89M | 9.03M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.10B | 2.03B | 1.70B | 1.49B | 1.38B |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.89B | 4.52B | 4.20B | 3.86B | 3.79B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -218.86M | 372.36M | -37.70M | 50.19M | -82.78M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 158.47M | 401.59M | 162.66M | 201.61M | 466.59M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -485.58M | -467.33M | -292.33M | -255.08M | -291.42M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -105.05M | -106.45M | -106.93M | -106.84M | -106.35M |
Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
3435.00
Price Trends
4196.70
Positive
3881.05
Positive
3577.93
Positive
Market Momentum
22.52
Positive
52.40
Neutral
29.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3560, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3435 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4156.00, below the 50-day MA of 4196.70, and below the 200-day MA of 3577.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3560.
Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | ¥9.75B | 10.67 | ― | 2.66% | 21.22% | 141.13% | |
67 Neutral | ¥32.48B | 9.37 | ― | 0.90% | 12.02% | -12.87% | |
65 Neutral | ¥5.73B | 17.11 | ― | 1.76% | -0.92% | 163.25% | |
63 Neutral | ¥3.64B | 59.40 | ― | 1.63% | 4.12% | -36.23% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | ¥4.04B | 7.83 | ― | 2.05% | -3.59% | -57.78% | |
45 Neutral | ¥6.65B | -2.60 | ― | ― | -5.79% | -46.74% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:3560
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.