Hobonichi Co., Ltd. (3560) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥7.07B
• Dividend Yield: 1.48%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.74K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.4
• Beta (1Y): -0.02
• Revenue Growth: 11.32%
• EPS Growth: -26.71%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 142
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: Specialty Retail
• EPS (TTM): 165.63
• Shares Outstanding: 2,321,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,510
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,740
• PEG Ratio: 0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -224.59
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥3,284.00 ▲(7.85%Upside)

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, contributing significantly to the score. The technical analysis indicates a neutral to slightly bearish trend, highlighting the need for caution. Valuation metrics suggest a fair but unremarkable investment opportunity, balancing out the overall assessment.

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the publishing and retail sectors, known for its flagship product, the Hobonichi Techo, a popular planner and journal. The company offers a range of lifestyle products including stationery, books, and accessories, catering to a broad audience interested in organization, creativity, and personal development. Hobonichi has built a reputation for high-quality, thoughtfully designed products that emphasize functionality and aesthetic appeal.

How the Company Makes Money

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Hobonichi Techo planners, which are available in various formats and editions to cater to different customer preferences. The company also earns income from its diverse range of lifestyle products and accessories that complement its planners. Additionally, Hobonichi engages in collaborations and partnerships with artists and designers to create exclusive editions and products, which help to attract new customers and retain existing ones. The company's strong brand presence and loyal customer base contribute significantly to its revenue streams.

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects low leverage and high equity, ensuring financial stability. Cash flow improvements add to the positive outlook, though further enhancement in operational cash efficiency would strengthen the financial position.

Income Statement

The company shows strong revenue growth over the years with a notable increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is approximately 10.51%. Gross profit margin for 2024 stands at 56.68%, and net profit margin is 5.30%, reflecting solid profitability despite a slight decrease in EBIT and EBITDA margins.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0006 and high equity ratio of 69.66%, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is 8.82%, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has significantly improved from a deficit in 2023 to a positive 372 million yen in 2024, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.01 shows room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Breakdown
TTM	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Sep 2021	Sep 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
7.95B	7.53B	6.82B	5.91B	5.64B	5.31B
	Gross Profit
4.59B	4.27B	3.88B	3.28B	3.09B	2.69B
	EBIT
666.14M	547.57M	589.67M	275.29M	155.80M	83.64M
	EBITDA
855.64M	747.05M	755.77M	443.81M	456.35M	277.50M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
506.77M	399.20M	411.91M	205.71M	196.98M	151.91M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.94B	1.19B	1.37B	1.62B	1.77B	1.70B
	Total Assets
6.47B	6.49B	5.85B	5.32B	5.12B	5.20B
	Total Debt
0.00	2.87M	5.22M	7.89M	9.03M	3.59M
	Net Debt
-1.94B	-1.19B	-1.37B	-1.61B	-1.76B	-1.70B
	Total Liabilities
1.44B	1.97B	1.65B	1.45B	1.33B	1.48B
	Stockholders Equity
5.03B	4.52B	4.20B	3.86B	3.79B	3.72B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
0.00	372.36M	-37.70M	50.19M	-82.78M	-211.12M
	Operating Cash Flow
0.00	401.59M	162.66M	201.61M	466.59M	-98.18M
	Investing Cash Flow
0.00	-467.33M	-292.33M	-255.08M	-291.42M	-134.40M
	Financing Cash Flow
0.00	-106.45M	-106.93M	-106.84M	-106.35M	-104.25M

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3045.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3560, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3045 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3061.00, below the 50-day MA of 3068.20, and below the 200-day MA of 3135.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3560.

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2652	67 Neutral	¥10.49B	8.58		0.34%	8.04%	-19.57%
3396	67 Neutral	¥5.51B	43.57		1.80%	-0.53%	―
3560	64 Neutral	¥7.07B	18.38		1.48%	11.32%	-26.71%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.76B	11.07	2.80%	6.34%	2.68%	-24.87%
3556	51 Neutral	¥9.27B	―		―	-8.69%	41.07%
3059	47 Neutral	¥4.14B	262.06		2.35%	-2.66%	-4452.83%
2769	42 Neutral	¥8.24B	―		―	2.96%	-119.07%