Hobonichi Co., Ltd. (3560) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥7.60B
• Dividend Yield: 2.79%
• Average Volume (3M): 5.44K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.04
• Revenue Growth: 15.17%
• EPS Growth: 12.29%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 142
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Specialty Retail
• EPS (TTM): -31.10
• Shares Outstanding: 2,321,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,740
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,440
• PEG Ratio: -6.17
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.69
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.02
• P/FCF Ratio: 20.56
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥3,498.00 ▲(9.31% Upside)

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability metrics, contributing significantly to the overall score. The technical analysis indicates a positive short-term trend, though bearish momentum is a concern. The valuation is fair, with a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. engages in the operation and content creation of Hobonichi Itoi Shimbun website and the Hobonichi web store in Japan. The company plans, develops, and sells of Hobonichi Techo, Hobonichi Earthball, and other products. It also operates Hobonichi School; and Dokonoko, a photo posting app that connects dogs, cats, and humans. In addition, the company offers other books, stationery, miscellaneous goods, clothing, food, and products. Further, it is involved in the planning and operation of stores and events under the TOBICHI, Hobo Sunday, The Fun of Life Exhibition, and other brands. Hobonichi Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its popular Hobonichi Techo planners and related stationery products. These products are marketed both domestically in Japan and internationally, capitalizing on the global appeal of Japanese stationery. The company's revenue model is largely based on direct sales through its online store and partnerships with retailers. Additionally, Hobonichi engages in collaborations with artists and designers to create limited edition products, which further drives sales and brand loyalty. The company's strategic focus on high-quality materials and unique design elements allows it to maintain premium pricing, contributing to its profitability.

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects low leverage and high equity, ensuring financial stability. Cash flow improvements add to the positive outlook, though further enhancement in operational cash efficiency would strengthen the financial position.

Income Statement

The company shows strong revenue growth over the years with a notable increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is approximately 10.51%. Gross profit margin for 2024 stands at 56.68%, and net profit margin is 5.30%, reflecting solid profitability despite a slight decrease in EBIT and EBITDA margins.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0006 and high equity ratio of 69.66%, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is 8.82%, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has significantly improved from a deficit in 2023 to a positive 372 million yen in 2024, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.01 shows room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.40B	7.53B	6.82B	5.91B	5.64B	5.31B
Gross Profit	4.86B	4.27B	3.88B	3.28B	3.09B	2.69B
EBITDA	824.00M	747.05M	760.68M	428.35M	325.55M	277.50M
Net Income	444.95M	399.20M	411.91M	205.71M	196.98M	151.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.94B	6.49B	5.85B	5.32B	5.12B	5.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.05B	1.19B	1.37B	1.62B	1.77B	1.70B
Total Debt	43.89M	2.87M	5.22M	7.89M	9.03M	3.59M
Total Liabilities	995.80M	1.97B	1.65B	1.45B	1.33B	1.48B
Stockholders Equity	4.94B	4.52B	4.20B	3.86B	3.79B	3.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	372.36M	-37.70M	50.19M	-82.78M	-211.12M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	401.59M	162.66M	201.61M	466.59M	-98.18M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-467.33M	-292.33M	-255.08M	-291.42M	-134.40M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-106.45M	-106.93M	-106.84M	-106.35M	-104.25M

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3200.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3560, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3200 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3290.50, below the 50-day MA of 3206.80, and above the 200-day MA of 3087.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3560.

Hobonichi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2652	76 Outperform	¥13.02B	11.55	―	0.27%	5.33%	-26.18%
3560	70 Outperform	¥7.60B	16.96	―	2.79%	15.17%	12.29%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
3396	60 Neutral	¥5.64B	16.18	―	1.76%	2.24%	―
3059	50 Neutral	¥4.07B	-4.79	―	2.39%	-3.69%	-11429.88%
2769	45 Neutral	¥8.08B	-2.03	―	―	-4.54%	-261.55%
3556	44 Neutral	¥14.81B	647.18	―	―	-12.88%	―