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TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION (JP:3449)
:3449
Japanese Market

TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION (3449) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3449

TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION

(3449)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,565.00
▲(57.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and a healthy balance sheet, tempered by historically inconsistent free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation appears reasonable with a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Profitability Improvement
Recent acceleration in revenue and materially higher EBIT and net income in 2025 indicate the business is regaining operating leverage. Sustained top-line growth coupled with improved operating results supports durable profit improvement if demand holds, enabling reinvestment and stronger internal funding for growth.
Balance-Sheet Resilience
Moderate leverage and expanding equity provide structural financial flexibility; the decline in total debt into 2025 and continued asset growth improve shock absorption. A constructive balance-sheet profile supports capital spending, M&A optionality, and credibility with suppliers and lenders over the medium term.
Stronger Operating Cash Generation in 2025
A sharp surge in operating cash flow and positive free cash flow in 2025 materially improves liquidity and the company’s ability to fund capex, dividends, and debt reduction from internal sources. If sustained, this marks a structural improvement in earnings quality and financial self-sufficiency.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Free Cash Flow
Multi-year negative free cash flow prior to 2025 signals inconsistent cash conversion of earnings, likely from heavy investment or working-capital swings. Persisting inconsistency would limit debt reduction and shareholder returns, and raises vulnerability to earnings shocks if cash buffers are relied upon sporadically.
Margin Cyclicality
Historic margin swings imply the business is sensitive to cost and demand cycles typical in metal fabrication. Structural margin volatility makes long-term profit forecasts less reliable and could force margin compression in downturns, constraining free cash flow and strategic investment during weaker periods.
Step-up in Leverage (2024 Peak)
The increase in leverage peaked in 2024 and, while reduced in 2025, represents a structural risk: higher leverage limits flexibility, raises refinancing and interest exposure, and can exacerbate downside in cyclical slowdowns, reducing the company's ability to fund opportunistic investments or weather demand weakness.

TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION (3449) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTechnoflex Corporation provides flexible metal hoses, expansion joints, and multi-layer pipes. The company also offers flexible hoses, formed bellows, vacuum components, and fluoroplastic hoses. Its products are used for various applications, such as construction pipes, city water pipes, semiconductors, iron manufacturing, shipbuilding, city gas, LP gas, electricity, thermal power, nuclear power, and general plants. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Tokyo, japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTECHNOFLEX CORPORATION generates revenue primarily through the sale of its flexible packaging products to a diverse range of industries. The company operates on a business-to-business model, supplying its products to manufacturers and retailers who require packaging solutions for their products. Key revenue streams include direct sales of packaging materials, custom packaging solutions tailored to client specifications, and long-term contracts with major industry players. Additionally, TECHNOFLEX benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors, which enhance its market reach and operational efficiency. The company's emphasis on innovation allows it to command premium pricing for its advanced packaging solutions, contributing significantly to its profitability.

TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and balance sheet are solid (improving 2025 profitability; manageable leverage and growing equity), but cash-flow quality is a key drag due to several years of negative free cash flow (2021–2024) despite earnings, even with a strong rebound in 2025.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has accelerated recently, with 2025 revenue up ~7% after modest growth in 2024 and a dip in 2023. Profitability has improved meaningfully versus 2023–2024 (EBIT and net income are both sharply higher in 2025), indicating stronger operating leverage. Offsetting this, margins were notably stronger in 2021–2022 than in 2023–2024, suggesting the business can be cyclical and sensitive to cost or demand swings.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage looks manageable: debt-to-equity has remained moderate (roughly ~0.14–0.34 across 2020–2024), and equity has grown over time, supporting balance-sheet resilience. Total debt rose into 2024 and then declined in 2025, while assets and equity continued to expand—overall a constructive trend. The main watch item is the step-up in leverage versus 2020–2022 levels (peaking in 2024), which could pressure flexibility if profitability softens again.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Operating cash flow improved materially in 2024 and surged further in 2025, which is a clear positive for earnings quality and liquidity. However, free cash flow was negative for multiple years (2021–2024) despite positive earnings, implying heavier investment or working-capital drag and less cash available for debt reduction or shareholder returns. The sharp rebound to strong positive free cash flow in 2025 is encouraging, but consistency remains the key risk based on the multi-year pattern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.29B26.03B22.04B21.24B22.17B19.63B
Gross Profit7.69B8.90B6.65B5.78B7.23B6.96B
EBITDA4.05B5.12B3.01B2.52B3.76B3.56B
Net Income2.02B3.12B1.31B966.36M2.41B1.72B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.71B39.00B35.89B32.45B33.05B28.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.39B8.45B5.11B4.02B6.99B5.41B
Total Debt7.81B6.68B8.02B5.60B5.46B2.91B
Total Liabilities12.99B13.31B12.53B10.01B10.46B8.52B
Stockholders Equity23.72B25.69B23.36B22.44B22.27B20.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.004.21B-511.76M-995.82M-162.08M-42.62M
Operating Cash Flow0.005.22B2.85B1.92B1.80B1.06B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-193.75M-3.37B-2.90B-2.02B-1.08B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.33B1.44B-1.31B1.77B-499.02M

TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1624.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2255.59
Positive
100DMA
2015.00
Positive
200DMA
1696.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
73.12
Negative
RSI
61.20
Neutral
STOCH
79.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3449, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1624 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2293.05, below the 50-day MA of 2255.59, and below the 200-day MA of 1696.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 73.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3449.

TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥15.72B17.104.93%3.19%1.83%
73
Outperform
¥46.36B14.912.40%14.37%93.86%
72
Outperform
¥16.90B7.442.87%2.38%-5.80%
69
Neutral
¥7.74B4.621.06%6.41%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
¥23.85B10.254.33%5.12%
53
Neutral
¥11.37B-4.24-19.32%-171.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3449
TECHNOFLEX CORPORATION
2,541.00
1,477.20
138.86%
JP:1787
Nakabohtec Corrosion Protecting Co., Ltd.
6,380.00
1,730.68
37.22%
JP:2962
TECNISCO LTD.
1,237.00
902.00
269.25%
JP:5644
Metalart Corporation
5,590.00
2,410.45
75.81%
JP:5852
Ahresty Corporation
943.00
330.65
54.00%
JP:5994
Fine Sinter Co., Ltd.
1,758.00
981.52
126.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026