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Asahi Co Ltd (JP:3333)
:3333

Asahi Co (3333) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3333

Asahi Co

(3333)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,383.00
▲(4.30% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:01/04/26
The score is primarily supported by a very strong, debt-free balance sheet and reasonable valuation with a solid dividend. Offsetting this are weakening operating trends (notably the 2025 revenue drop) and inconsistent cash flow conversion, while technical indicators point to a prevailing downtrend and weak momentum.

Asahi Co (3333) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asahi Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsahi Co., Ltd. sells bicycles, parts, accessories, and other related products. It also offers ancillary services, such as maintenance and repair. The company owns approximately 450 stores as a large chain specialty store 'Cycle Base Asahi' in Japan. It also operates three online stores at its Networking Store, Cycle Mall Yahoo, and Cycle Mall Rakuten Ichiba. The company was formerly known as Asahi Gangu and changed its name to Asahi Co., Ltd. in May 1992. Asahi Co., Ltd. was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes Money

Asahi Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong, low-risk balance sheet (debt-free; steady equity/ROE) supports resilience, but operating performance weakened with a sharp 2025 revenue decline (-17.5% YoY) and thinner net margins (~4–5%). Cash flow is the main drag due to volatile free cash flow and weaker 2025 cash conversion (~42% of net income).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability remains solid for a specialty retailer, with gross margin steady in the high-40% range and operating profitability generally healthy despite some compression versus earlier years (operating margin ~6–7% in 2024–2025 vs ~10% in 2021). However, growth momentum weakened materially: revenue fell sharply in 2025 (-17.5% YoY) after modest growth in 2022–2024, and net margin is still relatively thin (~4–5%), leaving earnings more sensitive to sales swings.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: the company is essentially debt-free (0 debt in 2021–2025; very low debt in 2020), which reduces financial risk and interest burden. Equity has grown over time and returns on equity are consistently positive (~8–10% recently, higher in 2021–2022), indicating decent profitability without leverage. The main limitation is that returns have moderated from peak levels, suggesting efficiency and/or profitability has cooled versus earlier years.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation is the weakest area due to volatility. Operating cash flow and free cash flow have swung significantly (including negative free cash flow in 2022 and near-breakeven free cash flow in 2023), and 2025 shows notably low cash conversion versus earnings (free cash flow around 42% of net income). While free cash flow rebounded strongly in 2024 and remained positive in 2025, the inconsistent conversion and large year-to-year swings reduce confidence in the durability of cash returns.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue81.07B81.59B78.08B74.71B71.40B69.46B
Gross Profit38.52B38.74B37.31B36.20B35.24B35.02B
EBITDA6.26B7.09B6.50B6.67B6.78B8.38B
Net Income2.92B3.56B3.11B3.37B3.54B4.72B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.36B54.45B52.55B50.41B46.47B45.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.53B9.46B9.52B5.31B5.96B7.59B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities15.24B15.34B15.59B15.42B11.13B12.79B
Stockholders Equity41.12B39.12B36.96B34.99B35.35B32.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.78B5.71B35.53M-540.55M5.74B
Operating Cash Flow0.004.29B8.58B2.53B1.59B7.30B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.00B-3.05B-2.64B-2.41B-1.87B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.36B-1.32B-734.96M-733.82M-660.20M

Asahi Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥29.12B12.453.77%7.88%-5.92%
65
Neutral
¥43.06B14.042.19%17.90%14.14%
65
Neutral
¥187.15B35.350.64%57.01%91.03%
62
Neutral
¥34.34B12.397.08%3.84%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥23.90B11.920.95%4.14%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3333
Asahi Co
1,315.00
-63.09
-4.58%
JP:2674
Hard Off Corporation Co., Ltd.
2,098.00
323.16
18.21%
JP:3093
Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.
1,797.00
340.23
23.36%
JP:7685
BuySell Technologies Co., Ltd.
6,120.00
3,638.86
146.66%
JP:9270
Valuence Holdings, Inc.
1,741.00
879.82
102.16%
JP:9278
BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
1,957.00
640.82
48.69%

Asahi Co Corporate Events

Asahi Co. Posts Higher December Sales and Expands Store Network
Jan 8, 2026

Asahi Co. reported its preliminary business results for December 2025, showing a 1.5% year-on-year increase in net sales across all stores and a 1.0% rise at existing stores, driven by higher sales per customer despite slightly lower customer traffic. Cumulatively for the fiscal year through December 20, 2025, net sales were broadly flat with the prior year (99.6% at all stores and 97.8% at existing stores), reflecting modest pressure on customer numbers but consistently higher spending per visit. The company continued to expand its network, opening new stores in Tokyo’s Setagaya Tsurumaki area and Higashisayamagaoka in Saitama while recording no closures, bringing the total store count to 554, a development that underscores its steady footprint expansion in a challenging consumer environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3333) stock is a Hold with a Yen1383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asahi Co stock, see the JP:3333 Stock Forecast page.

Asahi Co. Releases Explanatory Materials on Nine-Month Results and FY2025 Plan
Dec 22, 2025

Asahi Co., Ltd. has released explanatory materials outlining its financial results for the nine months ended November 20, 2025, and its initiatives for the second half of the fiscal year ending February 20, 2026. The document also includes supplementary details of the company’s full-year plan, indicating management’s ongoing efforts to communicate operational performance and strategic progress to investors and other stakeholders.

Asahi Cuts Full-Year Forecast as Weak Bicycle Demand Hits Earnings
Dec 22, 2025

Asahi Co., Ltd. has sharply revised downward its full-year forecast for the fiscal year ending February 20, 2026, citing a pronounced deterioration in consumer sentiment and weaker-than-expected demand for durable goods, especially bicycle-related products. The company now expects net sales of ¥81.0 billion and profit of ¥2.64 billion, reductions of 5.6% and 27.7% respectively from its previous forecast, with operating and ordinary profits also significantly trimmed; despite efforts to offset falling store traffic through new services and an expanded proposal menu, management anticipates the tough operating environment will persist into the fourth quarter, signaling pressure on earnings and margins for shareholders and other stakeholders.

Asahi Co. Posts Profit Decline but Maintains Dividend as It Lowers Full-Year Outlook
Dec 22, 2025

Asahi Co., Ltd. reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥64.1 billion for the nine months ended November 20, 2025, down 0.7% year on year, with operating profit falling 22.6% to ¥4.32 billion and profit declining 22.4% to ¥2.93 billion, leading to a drop in basic earnings per share to ¥112.43. Despite the profit squeeze, the company’s financial position remained solid, with total assets of ¥55.7 billion, net assets of ¥40.9 billion and an equity ratio of 73.4%, and it maintained its dividend stance by paying an interim ¥25 per share and forecasting a full-year total dividend of ¥50, even as it revised down its full-year 2025/26 earnings outlook to anticipate slight sales contraction and a steeper decline in profits.

Asahi Co. Reports October 2025 Business Results Amid Store Closure
Nov 4, 2025

Asahi Co., Ltd. reported its preliminary monthly business results for October 2025, showing a slight decrease in net sales and customer numbers compared to the previous year, although sales per customer increased. The company closed one store in Tokyo during this period, maintaining a total of 549 stores. This report indicates a stable yet slightly challenging market environment for Asahi Co., Ltd., with implications for its operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026