HotLand Co., Ltd. (JP:3196)
:3196
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HotLand Co., Ltd.
(3196)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,530.00
▼(-26.65% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/11/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening 2025 fundamentals (margin compression, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals also remain weak with price below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is the least supportive due to a very high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified Revenue Model
The company's mix of company-owned sales, franchising fees/royalties and supply/logistics revenue provides durable, multi-channel cash flows. Franchising scales brand reach with lower capex, while supply and centralized production create recurring B2B revenue and margin leverage over time.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability Compression
A sharp drop in net margin cuts the company's earnings cushion and heightens sensitivity to cost shocks. With core gross margins intact, the deterioration points to persistent SG&A, labor, promotional, or overhead pressures that, if not contained, will impair cash generation and reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified Revenue Model
The company's mix of company-owned sales, franchising fees/royalties and supply/logistics revenue provides durable, multi-channel cash flows. Franchising scales brand reach with lower capex, while supply and centralized production create recurring B2B revenue and margin leverage over time.
Read all positive factors
HotLand Co., Ltd. (3196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥41.00B
Dividend Yield0.62%
Average Volume (3M)37.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)20.8
Beta (1Y)0.29
Revenue Growth9.67%
EPS Growth-52.65%
CountryJP
Employees895
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)27.38
Shares Outstanding25,798,400
10 Day Avg. Volume38,860
30 Day Avg. Volume37,400
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.34
Price to Book (P/B)3.75
Price to Sales (P/S)0.83
P/FCF Ratio-32.40
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)37.2
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥56.89B
HotLand Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
HOTLAND Co.,Ltd. operates restaurants in Japan and internationally. The company is also involved in the development of Takoyaki shops and specialty stores, and bars; and operation of coffee bean and tea leaf shops, and baristas. In addition, it ma...
How the Company Makes Money
HotLand generates revenue mainly from (1) direct restaurant sales at company-owned stores, where it earns income from in-store dining, takeout, and other point-of-sale food and beverage transactions, and (2) franchising-related income from franchi...
HotLand Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 48.72B | 51.04B | 46.13B | 38.71B | 32.16B | 29.68B |
| Gross Profit | 27.30B | 28.64B | 25.87B | 22.16B | 18.56B | 18.07B |
| EBITDA | 3.21B | 3.77B | 4.28B | 3.10B | 3.29B | 4.40B |
| Net Income | 582.14M | 405.40M | 1.85B | 1.02B | 1.36B | 2.08B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 29.36B | 33.46B | 29.03B | 24.27B | 22.06B | 21.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.16B | 4.81B | 3.73B | 2.86B | 3.34B | 3.16B |
| Total Debt | 9.09B | 11.78B | 7.61B | 6.16B | 4.87B | 5.39B |
| Total Liabilities | 17.37B | 21.27B | 16.49B | 13.51B | 11.38B | 12.19B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.25B | 11.34B | 11.84B | 10.28B | 10.20B | 8.68B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.31B | 1.08B | 709.68M | 1.23B | 3.63B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.60B | 3.95B | 2.94B | 2.90B | 5.15B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.01B | -3.76B | -2.68B | -1.84B | -2.40B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 3.50B | 645.82M | -740.75M | -909.35M | -1.82B |
HotLand Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Neutral
2086.00
Price Trends
1803.10
Negative
1884.62
Negative
1965.65
Negative
Market Momentum
-57.05
Negative
41.54
Neutral
51.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3196, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2086 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1595.10, above the 50-day MA of 1803.10, and above the 200-day MA of 1965.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -57.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3196.
HotLand Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | ¥43.74B | 42.71 | 17.09% | 1.37% | 6.13% | 4.17% | |
63 Neutral | ¥51.35B | 31.42 | ― | 1.30% | 2.40% | -26.93% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | ¥19.73B | 171.84 | ― | 0.75% | 42.50% | 98.92% | |
59 Neutral | ¥57.21B | 40.19 | ― | 0.17% | 17.94% | 0.67% | |
51 Neutral | ¥49.55B | 14.55 | ― | 2.41% | 9.25% | -29.60% | |
44 Neutral | ¥41.00B | 20.75 | ― | 0.62% | 9.67% | -52.65% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:3196
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HotLand Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Hotland Finalizes Third-Party Share Allotment to Fund Store Expansion
May 21, 2026
Hotland Holdings has finalized the number of new shares to be issued via third-party allotment, confirming the allocation of 526,400 shares out of 621,400 planned, at ¥1,567.56 per share for total proceeds of about ¥825 million. As a res...
Hotland Holdings Lifts Q1 Profit and Confirms Strong 2026 Outlook
May 15, 2026
Hotland Holdings posted first-quarter 2026 consolidated net sales of ¥13.8 billion, up 7.9% year on year, with operating profit edging up 1.6% to ¥753 million and profit attributable to owners of the parent surging 56.2% to ¥520 mil...
HotLand Sets Share Offering Terms to Fund Multi-Year Store Expansion
Apr 20, 2026
HotLand Holdings has set the terms for a new share issuance via public offering, a secondary offering through over-allotment and a third-party allotment, raising up to roughly ¥7.4 billion in total. The issue and selling prices were fixed at ...
Hotland to Raise Equity for Aggressive Store Expansion and Renovations
Apr 9, 2026
Hotland Holdings has approved the issuance of 4,142,800 new common shares through a public offering alongside a secondary offering, in a move designed to raise fresh equity capital. The pricing will be set between April 20 and April 23, 2026, base...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.