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Nextage Co., Ltd. (JP:3186)
:3186
Japanese Market

Nextage Co., Ltd. (3186) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3186

Nextage Co., Ltd.

(3186)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,182.00
▲(15.08% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held back primarily by uneven financial quality—compressed margins, elevated leverage, and weak/volatile cash conversion—despite rapid revenue growth and decent ROE. Technicals also lean negative in the near term with the stock below key short/mid-term moving averages and subdued momentum. Valuation is reasonable (mid-teens P/E) with a modest dividend yield, offering partial support but not enough to offset the financial and technical risks.
Positive Factors
Rapid Revenue Scale-up
Nextage has demonstrated a step-change in top-line scale, with 2025 revenue growth cited near ~383%. That kind of volume expansion supports fixed-cost absorption, broader geographic/store leverage and strengthens long-term distribution economics if sustainable over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Gross and net margins have trended lower, with gross margin around 17.2% and net margin near 2.0%. Persistently thin net margins reduce the cushion for cyclical shocks and mean growth is more volume-dependent, increasing earnings sensitivity to cost or pricing pressure over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Rapid Revenue Scale-up
Nextage has demonstrated a step-change in top-line scale, with 2025 revenue growth cited near ~383%. That kind of volume expansion supports fixed-cost absorption, broader geographic/store leverage and strengthens long-term distribution economics if sustainable over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Nextage Co., Ltd. (3186) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nextage Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NEXTAGE Co., Ltd. engages in the retail sale of new and used cars in Japan. It is also involved in the provision of vehicle maintenance and repair, as well as vehicle safety inspection services; operation of an insurance agency; purchase of used c...
How the Company Makes Money
Nextage generates revenue primarily through commissions from the sale and leasing of properties. The company earns a significant portion of its income by acting as a broker in real estate transactions, where it charges fees based on the value of t...

Nextage Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue expansion (2025 growth ~383%) and solid ROE (~16%) are offset by margin compression (gross margin down to ~17.2%, net margin ~2.0%), meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.22), and weak/volatile cash conversion (OCF coverage of net income ~0.12; FCF only ~34% of net income).
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue652.07B552.78B463.46B418.12B291.26B
Gross Profit112.17B98.67B86.83B74.03B56.73B
EBITDA26.21B18.98B20.35B22.40B17.57B
Net Income12.81B8.01B11.56B13.89B9.66B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets226.78B222.27B177.50B161.26B111.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.69B35.71B29.63B19.84B22.75B
Total Debt96.35B109.92B77.42B76.52B51.49B
Total Liabilities147.58B149.54B110.99B104.95B69.41B
Stockholders Equity79.19B72.73B66.50B56.30B41.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.09B-11.00B13.29B-30.41B-4.13B
Operating Cash Flow9.19B3.02B33.69B-17.85B3.21B
Investing Cash Flow-7.33B-18.45B-23.68B-13.83B-8.26B
Financing Cash Flow-19.88B21.37B-227.00M28.81B317.00M

Nextage Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2765.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3407.70
Negative
100DMA
3047.96
Negative
200DMA
2553.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-139.24
Positive
RSI
32.45
Neutral
STOCH
11.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3186, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2765 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3307.00, below the 50-day MA of 3407.70, and above the 200-day MA of 2553.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -139.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3186.

Nextage Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
¥758.41B19.0119.13%2.64%7.58%15.12%
73
Outperform
¥18.38B11.982.64%2.79%-4.61%
66
Neutral
¥126.01B8.082.82%11.66%-7.47%
63
Neutral
¥60.46B10.404.49%8.56%-13.47%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
¥217.34B16.361.24%21.79%9.89%
48
Neutral
¥4.30B-10.591.08%-2.36%-1738.42%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3186
Nextage Co., Ltd.
2,983.00
1,352.42
82.94%
JP:4732
USS Co
1,671.50
263.68
18.73%
JP:5589
AUTOSERVER CO.,LTD
2,550.00
378.73
17.44%
JP:7593
VT Holdings Co., Ltd.
510.00
15.20
3.07%
JP:7599
IDOM Inc.
1,255.00
61.46
5.15%
JP:7602
Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd.
213.00
67.00
45.89%

Nextage Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nextage Completes Restricted Stock Compensation Share Issuance
Mar 19, 2026
Nextage Co., Ltd. has completed the payment procedures for issuing 27,200 new ordinary shares as restricted stock compensation, following a board resolution passed on February 20, 2026. The shares, priced at ¥3,655 each for a total value of &...
Nextage Expands Restricted Stock Compensation to Key Personnel
Feb 20, 2026
Nextage Co., Ltd. has approved the issuance of 27,200 new ordinary shares as restricted stock compensation, valued at about ¥99.4 million, to directors, executive officers, employees, and subsidiary directors. The move extends its existing re...
Nextage Revamps Board and Executive Lineup to Strengthen Governance
Feb 20, 2026
Nextage Co., Ltd. has overhauled its leadership structure following resolutions passed at its 27th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders and subsequent board meeting held on February 20, 2026. The company confirmed Seiji Hirota as Representative ...
Nextage Moves to Strengthen Governance with Expanded Audit Board and Higher Auditor Pay
Jan 16, 2026
Nextage Co., Ltd. will seek shareholder approval at its February 20, 2026 annual general meeting to amend its Articles of Incorporation to increase the maximum number of Audit and Supervisory Board Members from three to five, aiming to strengthen ...
NEXTAGE Delivers Strong FY2025 Profit Growth and Hikes Dividend, Forecasts Further Gains in FY2026
Jan 5, 2026
NEXTAGE Co., Ltd. reported strong earnings for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2025, with net sales rising 18.0% year on year to ¥652.0 billion and operating profit surging 51.4% to ¥19.6 billion. Ordinary profit climbed 52.2% to &#16...
Nextage Raises Year-End Dividend, Signaling Stronger Shareholder Returns
Jan 5, 2026
NEXTAGE Co., Ltd. has announced that its Board of Directors resolved to increase the year-end dividend for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2025, to 45 yen per share, up from both the previous forecast of 34 yen and the prior year’s 33 yen...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026