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Toyobo Co Ltd (JP:3101)
:3101

Toyobo Co (3101) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3101

Toyobo Co

(3101)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,569.00
▲(23.06% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is primarily held back by financial performance: very low net profitability, weak ROE, and negative free cash flow despite steady revenue growth and a healthy gross margin. Technicals are mixed with near-term softness but a still-positive longer-term trend. Valuation is a relative support due to a reasonable P/E and moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Solid gross margin
A near-23% gross margin indicates durable production economics and pricing power in specialty materials. This margin provides a structural buffer against raw-material swings, supports reinvestment in process/R&D, and sustains higher-margin product focus over the medium term.
Stable revenue trend
Consistent year-over-year revenue growth reflects steady end-market demand and successful retention/qualification in industrial customers. This stability supports predictable cash flows and planning, important for multi-month investment cycles and maintaining manufacturing utilization.
Diverse, high-value end markets
Exposure to packaging, industrial, and life-science/biotech markets diversifies revenue and taps structural demand in consumables and regulated workflows. High-spec materials and qualification cycles raise switching costs and enable recurring sales, supporting long-term customer relationships.
Negative Factors
Very low net profitability
A net margin under 1% signals persistent pressure on the bottom line and little earnings buffer. Over months, this limits internal funding for growth, reduces capacity to absorb input-cost shocks, and constrains returns to shareholders absent operational improvement.
Negative free cash flow
Sustained negative free cash flow from elevated capex undermines financial flexibility. Over a multi-month horizon, this forces prioritization of projects, increases reliance on external financing, and can restrict dividends or strategic investments if operating cash generation doesn't improve.
Weak return on equity
ROE around 1% indicates the business is generating minimal returns on invested equity. Structurally low ROE suggests either low profitability or inefficient capital deployment, making it harder to grow shareholder value over the medium term without material operational gains.

Toyobo Co (3101) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyobo Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToyobo Co., Ltd. provides films and functional polymers, industrial materials, and healthcare and textile products worldwide. It offers industrial films, including PET films for liquid crystal display, optical, and other industrial use; and synthetic papers. The company also provides packaging films, such as PET, polyolefin, and nylon for food packaging, as well as heat-shrink PET films; functional polymers comprising engineering plastics, industrial adhesives, coatings, photo-sensitive printing plates, acrylate polymers, and electronic materials; rubber and coat processing; and pharmaceuticals intermediates. In addition, it offers functional fibers consisting of airbag fabrics; polyethylene and PBO fibers; functional filters for automobiles, indoor, and anti-pollution solvent adsorption materials and units; and fiber materials for automobile parts. Further, the company provides bio products, including enzymes for diagnostics, diagnostic systems, and reagents for research; artificial kidney hollow fibers; anti-clotting materials; seawater desalination modules; functional textiles for sports clothing, underwear, and uniforms; synthetic filaments; apparel under the Munsingwear brand; acrylic fibers under the Exlan brand; and acrylate fibers under the eks brand, as well as trades in textile products. Additionally, it operates as a contract manufacturer of injections. The company was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyToyobo makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling materials and intermediate products to industrial customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Functional materials and polymers: sales of specialty polymers/resins, related chemical materials, and value-added compounds supplied to manufacturers that incorporate these inputs into downstream products; revenue is generated through volume-based product sales, often with pricing tied to specifications, performance characteristics, and (where applicable) raw-material cost pass-through mechanisms. (2) Films, fibers, and industrial materials: sales of functional films and fiber/engineering-material products used in packaging and industrial applications; earnings are driven by supplying differentiated materials (e.g., durability, barrier/functional performance) that command higher margins than commodity materials, supported by long-term customer relationships and qualification cycles. (3) Life science–related products and solutions: revenue from supplying products used in life science and biotech workflows; this typically includes recurring sales to laboratories and industrial users where consumables and repeat orders contribute to ongoing revenue. Across segments, the company’s profitability is influenced by product mix (specialty vs. commodity), customer qualification/approval processes that can increase switching costs, manufacturing utilization rates, and input-cost and energy-price dynamics. Specific details on major partnerships or customer concentrations: null.

Toyobo Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable revenue growth (+1.87%) and a solid gross margin (22.99%) are positives, but profitability is very thin (net margin 0.47%) and shareholder returns are weak (ROE 1.03%). Cash flow is a key drag due to negative free cash flow driven by high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Toyobo Co has shown a stable revenue growth trend with a 1.87% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin is robust at 22.99%, indicating effective production cost management. However, net profit margin is low at 0.47%, suggesting pressures on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.34, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio is 31.61%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity is low at 1.03%, highlighting challenges in generating returns from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The company has a negative free cash flow, impacting its financial flexibility. Operating cash flow covers net income well, with a ratio of 14.29, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting high capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue419.77B422.03B414.26B399.92B375.72B337.41B
Gross Profit99.15B97.06B88.00B85.11B96.21B90.46B
EBITDA42.09B39.35B28.80B29.11B48.51B45.75B
Net Income2.79B2.00B2.46B-655.00M12.87B4.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets611.51B617.80B606.99B588.91B517.77B491.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.79B28.58B33.80B60.70B27.18B34.70B
Total Debt265.12B267.87B249.25B229.41B191.25B186.96B
Total Liabilities382.86B385.75B376.90B367.48B320.63B302.55B
Stockholders Equity193.44B195.31B197.03B189.59B194.88B185.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-16.60B-35.74B-32.18B-12.57B6.90B
Operating Cash Flow0.0028.62B20.89B6.98B16.54B34.40B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-47.01B-59.41B-6.52B-25.28B-32.30B
Financing Cash Flow0.0012.61B9.59B32.62B-504.00M6.59B

Toyobo Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1275.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1469.86
Negative
100DMA
1339.35
Positive
200DMA
1184.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-23.33
Positive
RSI
39.55
Neutral
STOCH
12.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3101, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1275 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1569.65, below the 50-day MA of 1469.86, and above the 200-day MA of 1184.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -23.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3101.

Toyobo Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$359.37B5.469.34%4.27%-0.48%-35.29%
74
Outperform
¥163.59B14.732.84%6.06%19.76%
74
Outperform
¥301.27B9.055.47%3.41%2.60%9.50%
68
Neutral
$2.06T17.0111.98%1.54%1.84%-6.57%
62
Neutral
¥123.03B13.273.21%-1.68%1262.84%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
¥85.91B0.294.22%-21.68%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3101
Toyobo Co
1,384.00
427.68
44.72%
JP:4202
Daicel
1,352.50
52.05
4.00%
JP:4118
Kaneka
4,764.00
1,035.29
27.77%
JP:6988
Nitto Denko
3,187.00
330.88
11.58%
JP:3103
Unitika Ltd.
1,490.00
1,321.00
781.66%
JP:7970
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co., Ltd.
2,021.00
484.91
31.57%

Toyobo Co Corporate Events

Toyobo Raises Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Strong Film Sales and FX Gains
Feb 9, 2026

Toyobo has revised upward its consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, citing steady sales of mold releasing film for MLCCs and COSMOSHINE SRF polarizer protective films for LCDs. The company now projects net sales of ¥430 billion, operating profit of ¥24 billion, ordinary profit of ¥19.5 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥8.5 billion, all above its prior guidance and significantly higher than fiscal 2025 results, supported in part by foreign exchange gains.

The revised outlook implies year-on-year growth from FY 2025, with net sales expected to rise from about ¥422 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent to more than four times last year’s level. This upgrade signals improved operating momentum in Toyobo’s high-value film businesses and suggests stronger earnings power for shareholders, as reflected in the sharp projected increase in net profit per share compared with the previous fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3101) stock is a Hold with a Yen1537.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyobo Co stock, see the JP:3101 Stock Forecast page.

Toyobo Lifts Full-Year Profit Outlook on Strong Industrial Film Demand
Feb 9, 2026

Toyobo reported robust third-quarter results for the period ended December 31, 2025, with operating profit rising to ¥18.3 billion and net profit reaching ¥7.8 billion, supported by strong industrial film demand and improved profitability in packaging film. Building on this momentum, the company raised its full-year forecast, now targeting operating profit of ¥24.0 billion and net profit of ¥8.5 billion, reflecting broader earnings improvements across packaging film, pharmaceuticals and nonwoven materials and signaling stronger near-term performance for stakeholders.

These upgraded projections suggest Toyobo is consolidating its position in high-margin industrial and packaging film markets, with diversified contributions from related materials businesses. The improved outlook underscores the company’s operational leverage to demand in key material segments and may enhance its standing among investors focused on earnings growth and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3101) stock is a Hold with a Yen1537.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyobo Co stock, see the JP:3101 Stock Forecast page.

Toyobo Lifts Profit Outlook as Earnings Surge Despite Slight Sales Dip
Feb 9, 2026

Toyobo reported consolidated net sales of ¥307.5 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, down 2.1% year on year, but operating profit surged 79.6% to ¥18.3 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumped nearly tenfold to ¥7.8 billion, lifting net profit per share to ¥88.72. The stronger earnings, alongside an improved equity ratio of 33.0% and higher net assets, support the company’s plan to maintain a full-year dividend of ¥40 per share and an upgraded earnings forecast for fiscal 2026, targeting modest sales growth but sharply higher profits as management pushes margin improvement and financial discipline.

For the full year to March 31, 2026, Toyobo now projects net sales of ¥430 billion, up 1.9% from the previous year, with operating profit expected to rise 44.1% to ¥24 billion and ordinary profit by 84.1% to ¥19.5 billion. Profit attributable to owners of parent is forecast at ¥8.5 billion, a 324.3% increase, signaling a strong earnings recovery that, if achieved, would reinforce the company’s balance sheet and enhance returns to shareholders in the face of a still-challenging demand environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3101) stock is a Hold with a Yen1537.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyobo Co stock, see the JP:3101 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026