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ZOZO Inc (JP:3092)
:3092

ZOZO (3092) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

ZOZO

(OTC:3092)

73Outperform
ZOZO's strong financial performance, particularly in terms of profitability and cost management, is a key strength. Technical indicators suggest caution with bearish trends but neutral momentum. Valuation metrics point to a relatively high price, offset slightly by dividend yield. The latest earnings call presents growth amid operational challenges, influencing a slightly above-average overall stock score.

ZOZO (3092) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

ZOZO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZOZO, Inc. (3092) is a leading Japanese e-commerce company that operates the popular fashion retail website ZOZOTOWN. The company specializes in the online retail of fashion and apparel products, offering a wide variety of clothing, footwear, and accessories from both domestic and international brands. ZOZO leverages its unique platform to provide a seamless shopping experience for consumers, utilizing advanced technology to enhance customer engagement and satisfaction.
How the Company Makes MoneyZOZO, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of fashion and apparel products on its e-commerce platform, ZOZOTOWN. The company earns money by taking a percentage of sales made through its platform from third-party brands and retailers. Additionally, ZOZO offers a subscription service known as 'ZOZOARIGATO', which provides members with discounts and benefits, contributing to a recurring revenue stream. The company also benefits from its proprietary measurement technology, ZOZOSUIT, which helps customers find better-fitting clothing, thereby improving customer satisfaction and increasing sales. Strategic partnerships with a range of fashion brands and technology advancements further bolster ZOZO's revenue-generating capabilities.

ZOZO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
197.02B183.42B166.20B147.37B125.50B
Gross Profit
183.15B171.34B156.17B140.03B113.72B
EBIT
60.08B56.42B49.66B44.14B27.89B
EBITDA
64.34B59.10B52.01B46.54B30.18B
Net Income Common Stockholders
44.34B39.53B34.49B30.93B18.80B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
69.75B74.13B65.52B61.65B33.60B
Total Assets
161.86B155.74B127.28B125.66B94.19B
Total Debt
20.00B20.40B20.20B20.00B22.00B
Net Debt
-44.75B-48.73B-45.32B-41.65B-11.60B
Total Liabilities
77.12B79.05B72.18B70.15B59.65B
Stockholders Equity
84.74B76.57B54.95B55.44B34.53B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
33.23B27.40B38.56B41.44B19.62B
Operating Cash Flow
42.59B36.67B39.90B44.79B24.79B
Investing Cash Flow
-9.88B-10.59B-1.28B-4.65B-5.99B
Financing Cash Flow
-37.14B-17.74B-34.82B-12.12B-6.77B

ZOZO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1637.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1476.02
Positive
100DMA
1544.04
Positive
200DMA
1552.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
23.55
Negative
RSI
71.59
Negative
STOCH
99.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3092, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1637 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1454.70, above the 50-day MA of 1476.02, and above the 200-day MA of 1552.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 23.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3092.

ZOZO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.95T22.199.42%0.80%
73
Outperform
$1.34T29.3148.74%2.23%8.18%36.67%
72
Outperform
€130.72B13.8312.59%3.19%6.35%-29.69%
71
Outperform
$534.15B20.4810.41%4.53%11.63%27.70%
68
Neutral
$335.76B8.738.38%2.11%6.94%26.04%
64
Neutral
$675.19B9.7711.80%2.45%5.77%64.67%
61
Neutral
$6.66B11.773.06%3.96%2.60%-21.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3092
ZOZO
1,637.00
543.68
49.73%
JP:2685
Adastria Co.,Ltd.
2,914.00
-502.87
-14.72%
JP:9843
Nitori Holdings Co
17,580.00
-3,220.71
-15.48%
JP:3099
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings
1,913.50
-361.20
-15.88%
JP:8252
Marui Group Co
2,888.50
599.81
26.21%
JP:8233
Takashimaya Company
1,113.50
-10.93
-0.97%

ZOZO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong GMV and profit growth but facing challenges from weather impacts and increased costs. Successful promotions and growth in active members are positive, but the decline in operating margins and logistics challenges present concerns.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) Growth
GMV rose by 5.1% year-on-year to JPY 427.1 billion, with GMV excluding other GMV increasing by 7.4% year-on-year to JPY 399.4 billion.
Record High Operating Profit
Operating profit increased by 2.4% to JPY 45.6 billion, achieving record highs for the third quarter with an achievement rate of 76.2% against the company plan.
Promotional Success
Promotions, including Black Friday, were successful and contributed to higher than expected GMV, though their direct impact on GMV was limited.
Increase in Active Members
The number of active members increased by 220,000 to JPY 10.73 million.
Growth in Yahoo! Shopping
Yahoo! Shopping performed well, with active promotions contributing to higher than planned GMV.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Margin Decline
Operating profit margin decreased by 0.6 points year-on-year to 11.4%.
Warm Winter Impact
Unseasonably warm winter affected sales of outerwear and other winter apparel, leading to lower than planned GMV for ZOZOTOWN.
Inventory and Logistics Challenges
Increased inventory supply and warm winter led to deteriorated stock turnover, increased logistics-related expenses, and lower operating efficiency.
Advertising and Promotional Expenses
Increased promotional expenses impacted operating profit negatively, with a 3.8% year-over-year decrease due to new logistics space expenses.
Average Retail Price Decline
Average retail price decreased by 1.7% year-over-year due to the warm winter and increased markdown ratios.
Yamato Transport Price Hike
Anticipated shipping fee increases from Yamato Transport will affect costs, though the extent of the increase is undisclosed.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter earnings call for ZOZO, detailed financial guidance highlighted several key metrics. The company's gross merchandise value (GMV) increased by 5.1% year-on-year to JPY 427.1 billion, while GMV excluding other GMV rose by 7.4% to JPY 399.4 billion. Operating profit saw a modest rise of 2.4%, reaching JPY 45.6 billion, with an operating profit margin (OPM) of 11.4%, which represented a decrease of 0.6 points from the previous year. The achievement rates against company plans were 74.6% for GMV, excluding other GMV, and 76.2% for operating profits. Despite challenges from abnormal weather, including a warm winter, and rising costs such as logistics space expenses, the company managed effective promotions to maintain GMV growth. The company acknowledged a 0.6-point increase in the SG&A to GMV ratio, driven by factors such as inventory supply challenges and increased expenses related to logistics and cloud services. The average retail price decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, while the average order value increased by 1.8%, illustrating a complex interplay of market dynamics and strategic adjustments.

ZOZO Corporate Events

ZOZO Announces Share Repurchase Plan to Enhance Shareholder Returns
Apr 30, 2025

ZOZO, Inc. has announced a share repurchase plan as part of its strategy to return profits to shareholders, aiming to maintain a total return ratio of over 80% over a five-year average. The company plans to repurchase up to 10 million shares, representing 1.12% of its outstanding shares, for a total of up to 10 billion yen, between May 1 and September 1, 2025, through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

ZOZO, Inc. Reports Stable Growth in FY2025 Financial Results
Apr 30, 2025

ZOZO, Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, showing an increase in net sales by 8.2% to 213,131 million yen and a slight rise in profit attributable to owners of parents by 2.3% to 45,346 million yen. The company also completed a three-for-one stock split on April 1, 2025, which is expected to impact earnings per share calculations. The financial results indicate a stable growth trajectory, with improvements in cash flow from operating activities and a forecasted continued growth in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with net sales expected to rise by 5.1%.

ZOZO Acquires LYST LTD to Boost Global Expansion
Apr 9, 2025

ZOZO, Inc. has announced its acquisition of LYST LTD, a leading global fashion shopping platform, to make it a wholly owned subsidiary. This strategic move is aimed at accelerating ZOZO’s growth in the global market by leveraging Lyst’s AI-driven fashion discovery platform, which features over 27,000 brands. The acquisition aligns with ZOZO’s mission to inspire and provide better fashion choices worldwide, enhancing its industry positioning and potentially transforming the fashion shopping experience.

ZOZO Announces Stock Split and Amendments to Articles of Incorporation
Mar 14, 2025

ZOZO, Inc. has announced a three-for-one stock split to enhance stock liquidity and attract a broader investor base. The stock split will increase the total number of shares from 300,474,181 to 901,422,543, with an effective date of April 1, 2025. Additionally, the company’s Articles of Incorporation will be amended to reflect the increased total number of authorized shares to 3,605,690,172. This strategic move is expected to make the company’s shares more accessible to investors and potentially improve market positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.