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Yamada Denki Co (JP:9831)
:9831

Yamada Denki Co (9831) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9831

Yamada Denki Co

(9831)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥618.00
▲(15.99% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/30/25
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by stable financial performance and reasonable valuation metrics. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which weighs down the score. The absence of significant earnings call insights or corporate events leaves the financial and technical analysis as the main drivers of the score.
Positive Factors
Service & after-sales revenue mix
The company's meaningful service and attachment revenue (warranties, repairs, delivery, installation, accessories) generates higher margins and recurring fees. Over 2–6 months this mix improves revenue stability versus pure hardware cycles, boosts customer retention and supports incremental margin expansion.
Healthy balance sheet & moderate leverage
Moderate leverage and a solid equity base reduce refinancing and liquidity risk, allowing management to fund capex and operations without excessive borrowing. This financial foundation supports sustained store operations and strategic investments across retail cycles for months ahead.
Strong operating cash generation
Robust operating cash flow and efficient cash conversion provide internal funding for store upkeep, inventory and service investments. Over the intermediate term this limits reliance on external finance, preserving strategic flexibility and capacity to sustain service-led growth.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow growth
A downward trend in free cash flow growth constrains capital allocation: less room for store refurbishments, digital investments, or share returns without raising debt. Persisting FCF declines increase vulnerability to shocks and may force trade-offs between growth and cash preservation.
Net profit margin variability
Fluctuating net margins indicate earnings sensitivity to cost, promotions or product mix shifts. This volatility makes multi-quarter planning harder, can limit consistent returns to shareholders, and suggests operating leverage or pricing pressure that may hinder sustained margin expansion.
Modest revenue growth
Low single-digit revenue growth points to limited top-line momentum and potential market saturation. Without faster revenue expansion, profitability gains must come from margin improvements or services growth, requiring strategic initiatives to drive durable scale or channel diversification.

Yamada Denki Co (9831) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Yamada Denki Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYamada Holdings Co., Ltd. operates in the consumer electronics retailing activities. The company's Consumer Electronics segment operates a network of consumer electronics stores that sell home appliances, furniture, interior products, etc., as well as engages in the specialty retailing of private label apparel products. Its Housing segment provides smart homes, as well as engages in the new build sale and homes rebuild, and renovation activities. The company's Environmental Resources Development segment is involved in the product reuse and recycling, waste reduction, and recycled materials usage activities. Its Finance segment develops a range of financial products, including mortgages, non-life insurance products, life planning, and payment services. The company's Services segment engages in the trading of house building materials and housing equipment, as well as in construction, wholesale, restaurants, and travel service industries. The company was formerly known as Yamada Denki Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Yamada Holdings Co., Ltd. in October 2020. Yamada Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Takasaki, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyYamada Denki's revenue model primarily revolves around the retail sales of consumer electronics and home appliances. The company generates income through direct sales in its physical stores as well as its online platform. Key revenue streams include sales of products such as TVs, smartphones, and white goods, as well as service offerings including installation and repairs. Additionally, Yamada Denki benefits from strong partnerships with major electronics manufacturers, which can provide exclusive deals and promotional pricing, enhancing their competitive advantage. Seasonal promotions, loyalty programs, and financing options for customers also contribute to driving sales, while the company's extensive store network helps capture a broad customer base, thus sustaining its revenue growth.

Yamada Denki Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yamada Denki Co is operating with stable revenue and profitability metrics, maintaining a healthy balance sheet with moderate leverage. While the operational cash flow remains strong, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern. The company is positioned well within the specialty retail sector, but it must focus on improving cash flow generation and optimizing net income to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Yamada Denki Co has shown a stable revenue stream with slight growth over recent years. The gross profit margin has remained strong, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen some fluctuations due to varying levels of net income. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating good operational profitability, but there is room for improvement to reach peak historical levels.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is satisfactory, though it hasn't fully recovered to past peaks. The equity ratio indicates a stable asset base with a solid foundation of stockholders' equity. Overall, the balance sheet shows a stable financial position with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow from operations is robust and supports the company's capital expenditures. However, there has been a decline in free cash flow in recent years, which may impact future flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient cash conversion, but the drop in free cash flow growth highlights a potential risk area.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.63T1.63T1.59T1.60T1.62T1.75T
Gross Profit456.60B457.36B454.22B448.77B464.96B521.04B
EBITDA69.71B72.17B67.10B70.18B95.38B100.73B
Net Income26.15B26.91B24.05B31.82B50.55B51.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40T1.32T1.29T1.27T1.27T1.25T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.90B68.38B55.24B47.24B57.18B74.44B
Total Debt324.44B325.55B315.83B319.54B238.14B235.25B
Total Liabilities758.09B679.71B664.82B659.41B595.39B580.06B
Stockholders Equity633.31B639.32B618.64B606.58B658.43B650.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0010.32B28.22B22.20B-8.47B98.99B
Operating Cash Flow0.0051.57B54.56B43.74B21.08B122.28B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-35.14B-21.91B-25.21B-22.27B-14.78B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-4.06B-25.59B-29.45B-16.65B-82.84B

Yamada Denki Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price532.80
Price Trends
50DMA
540.27
Positive
100DMA
505.08
Positive
200DMA
481.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.08
Negative
RSI
70.97
Negative
STOCH
83.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9831, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 532.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 559.37, below the 50-day MA of 540.27, and above the 200-day MA of 481.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9831.

Yamada Denki Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥28.70B12.363.77%7.88%-5.92%
74
Outperform
¥359.43B8.801.35%15.92%52.76%
66
Neutral
¥306.59B16.1411.17%2.61%5.63%25.64%
65
Neutral
¥234.04B16.572.23%3.24%12.49%
64
Neutral
¥482.65B16.614.18%2.57%1.26%14.65%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
¥266.72B24.712.72%2.23%57.10%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9831
Yamada Denki Co
577.20
156.05
37.05%
JP:3048
BIC Cameras
1,791.00
212.64
13.47%
JP:2674
Hard Off Corporation Co., Ltd.
2,068.00
254.78
14.05%
JP:2730
EDION Corp
2,245.00
467.16
26.28%
JP:7419
Nojima Co Ltd
1,174.00
348.47
42.21%
JP:8282
K'S Holdings Corporation
1,712.00
343.96
25.14%

Yamada Denki Co Corporate Events

Yamada Holdings Updates Progress on Large-Scale Share Buyback Program
Mar 2, 2026

Yamada Holdings has reported the status of its ongoing share repurchase program, authorized by its board in May 2025 under provisions of the Companies Act. During the most recent period from February 1 to February 28, 2026, the company did not acquire any of its own shares through market purchases under its discretionary trading contract.

Under the broader buyback authorization allowing up to 40 million shares or ¥20 billion through March 31, 2026, Yamada Holdings has cumulatively repurchased 33,637,100 shares for approximately ¥15.49 billion as of February 28, 2026. The scale of the program indicates a significant capital allocation toward shareholder returns, while the pause in February suggests tactical timing in executing the remaining capacity before the authorization expires.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen621.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Yamada Holdings Posts Profit Decline but Sticks to Full-Year Outlook and Higher Dividend
Feb 24, 2026

Net sales for the nine months to December 31, 2025 edged up 1.2% year on year to ¥1,208.0 billion, but operating profit fell 10.9% to ¥35.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 12.6% to ¥22.2 billion, pressured by weaker profitability despite modest revenue growth. Basic earnings per share decreased to ¥32.79 from ¥36.72 as margins softened and treasury stock increased, even as the balance sheet grew to ¥1,419.2 billion in total assets.

The equity-to-asset ratio slipped to 44.9% from 48.1% as equity remained largely flat, highlighting a more leveraged financial profile while the group continues to expand. Despite the profit decline year on year, Yamada kept its full-year forecasts unchanged, targeting higher sales and a 14.2% rise in operating profit and lifting the planned annual dividend to ¥17 per share, underscoring management’s confidence in earnings recovery and ongoing shareholder returns.

Treasury shares climbed to roughly 305.6 million by the end of December 2025, reinforcing capital efficiency and supporting per-share metrics over time, although it dampened the equity ratio in the near term. The termination of the trust-type employee stock ownership incentive plan in September 2025 slightly reshapes the company’s equity structure but is unlikely to significantly affect its overall financial strategy or investor positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen593.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Yamada Holdings Books One-Off Loss for Inventory Cleanup, Sells Assets but Keeps Higher Dividend
Feb 16, 2026

Yamada Holdings will undertake a large-scale disposal of inventory accumulated from past store closures to accelerate sales of key private-brand and SPA products and strengthen its balance sheet amid rising interest rates. The move, framed as part of its mid-term plan to lift its price-to-book ratio above 1x by March 2030, is expected to generate losses of about ¥24 billion at the gross, operating and ordinary profit levels, and roughly ¥16 billion in profit attributable to owners for the year ending March 2026.

In parallel, the company plans to sell roughly ¥27 billion in idle real estate and inefficient store assets over the current and next fiscal years, using the proceeds to pay down interest-bearing debt and improve capital efficiency and total asset turnover. Despite the one-off hit from inventory disposal, Yamada will maintain a year-end dividend of ¥17 per share for the fiscal year ending March 2026, up from ¥13 the previous year, signaling continued shareholder returns while it restructures its asset base.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen576.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Yamada Holdings Posts Profit Decline but Maintains Full-Year Outlook and Higher Dividend Plan
Feb 5, 2026

Yamada Holdings reported a 1.2% year-on-year increase in net sales to ¥1,208.0 billion for the nine months to December 31, 2025, but saw operating profit and ordinary profit each decline 10.9%, with profit attributable to owners of parent falling 12.6% to ¥22.2 billion and basic EPS down to ¥32.79. Despite margin pressure and a lower equity-to-asset ratio of 44.9% amid an expanded balance sheet, the company kept its full-year forecast unchanged, projecting a 4.2% rise in net sales and a 14.2% increase in operating profit, and plans to raise its annual dividend to ¥17 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, signaling confidence to shareholders even as short-term profitability softens.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Yamada Holdings Nears Completion of ¥20 Billion Share Buyback Program
Feb 3, 2026

Yamada Holdings has continued its share buyback program authorized by its board in May 2025, acquiring 1,035,700 common shares on the market between January 1 and January 31, 2026, at a total cost of ¥549,066,017 through discretionary trading. Under the broader authorization to repurchase up to 40 million shares or ¥20 billion by March 31, 2026, the company has cumulatively bought back 33,637,100 shares for approximately ¥15.49 billion as of January 31, 2026, signaling an ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and potential capital efficiency improvements ahead of the program’s scheduled end.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen564.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Yamada Holdings to Make Residential Equipment Maker TOCLAS a Subsidiary to Bolster Housing Strategy
Jan 30, 2026

Yamada Holdings has resolved to acquire all 10,484,550 shares of residential equipment maker TOCLAS, Inc., turning it into a subsidiary as part of a strategy to strengthen its Housing Segment and advance its “Total-Living” strategy. By integrating TOCLAS—an established manufacturer of residential fixtures and appliances with a solid customer, supplier and subcontractor base—Yamada aims to generate broad synergies, including lower procurement costs through joint purchasing, streamlined production by sharing factories and outsourcing with group company Housetec, and expanded sales through complementary product lineups in core categories such as kitchens and baths. The group also plans to integrate logistics using Yamada Denki’s network, leverage in‑house retail and housing manufacturers to push TOCLAS products, and boost customer touchpoints via home renovation corners in Yamada Denki stores, which should enhance the profitability and competitiveness of its housing-related operations and deepen its presence in the residential equipment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen550.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Yamada Holdings Reports Progress on Ongoing Share Buyback Program
Jan 5, 2026

Yamada Holdings has continued its share buyback program authorized by its board on May 8, 2025, acquiring 2,981,200 common shares on the market between December 1 and December 31, 2025, at a total cost of ¥1,435,220,784 through discretionary trading. Under the broader authorization to repurchase up to 40 million shares or ¥20 billion by March 31, 2026, the company had cumulatively bought back 32,601,400 shares for ¥14,943,585,487 as of December 31, 2025, signaling an ongoing capital policy focused on shareholder returns and balance sheet optimization within the approved limits.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen493.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Yamada Holdings Buys into AI Start-up TechSuite to Power “Total-Living” DX Push
Dec 24, 2025

Yamada Holdings has entered into a capital and business alliance with AI-focused start-up TechSuite, Inc., subscribing ¥500 million in newly issued shares and formalizing a partnership to deepen the retailer’s use of generative AI and big data. Building on prior collaboration using TechSuite’s “Bakuyasu AI Article Service” and embedded on-site consulting, the tie-up aims to advance the group’s “Total-Living” and “YAMADA Economy” strategies by improving productivity, operational efficiency, digital sales promotion, and AI-driven member services, while also prioritizing human resource development and know-how sharing; the company expects minimal short-term earnings impact but sees significant potential to enhance its medium- to long-term corporate value and competitive positioning in AI and DX within Japan’s retail sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9831) stock is a Hold with a Yen493.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamada Denki Co stock, see the JP:9831 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025