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GEO Holdings Corporation (JP:2681)
:2681
Japanese Market
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GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2681

GEO Holdings Corporation

(2681)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,200.00
▲(17.21% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/12/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial results but capped by rising leverage, structurally thin margins, and uneven cash-flow conversion. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, and valuation looks favorable due to a low P/E, which collectively lift the score despite underlying financial risk factors.
Positive Factors
Revenue re-acceleration
Revenues re-accelerated meaningfully in 2026 with net income recovery, indicating demand stabilization and improved operating leverage. Sustained top-line growth supports reinvestment in stores and reuse channels and underpins durable earnings improvement over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Leverage has increased materially versus prior years, raising financial risk and interest-service pressure. Higher debt constrains capital allocation, reduces flexibility for strategic investments or buybacks, and amplifies vulnerability to revenue or margin shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue re-acceleration
Revenues re-accelerated meaningfully in 2026 with net income recovery, indicating demand stabilization and improved operating leverage. Sustained top-line growth supports reinvestment in stores and reuse channels and underpins durable earnings improvement over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

GEO Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Geo Holdings Corporation engages in the amusement businesses in Japan. The company operates GEO shops, which offer a range of in-home amusement software products, including DVDs, CDs, game titles, and books through rental, resale of previously own...
How the Company Makes Money
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GEO Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings improved in 2026 with revenue up 11.4% and net income rising to ¥8.7B, but the business remains structurally low-margin (about 1–3%) with a history of profit volatility. Balance sheet risk has increased as leverage rose (debt-to-equity ~1.48 in 2026). Cash flow rebounded (FCF positive at ¥6.3B), yet multi-year inconsistency and weak cash conversion versus net income temper confidence in earnings quality.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue431.98B481.25B427.67B433.85B377.30B334.79B
Gross Profit173.79B189.45B170.67B159.82B142.48B130.80B
EBITDA20.58B24.78B20.59B25.50B18.85B17.02B
Net Income3.43B8.74B4.54B10.90B5.68B5.99B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.66B295.21B252.81B231.13B201.80B174.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.26B86.66B64.81B60.07B47.50B47.85B
Total Debt135.78B145.26B119.94B100.05B81.07B59.19B
Total Liabilities176.52B197.02B162.34B143.77B124.59B97.18B
Stockholders Equity92.07B98.07B90.40B87.31B77.21B77.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.006.34B-3.11B2.15B-2.20B-10.73B
Operating Cash Flow0.0019.48B8.01B9.30B4.28B-5.73B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-15.34B-12.49B-10.40B-9.59B-6.69B
Financing Cash Flow0.0022.49B10.78B12.40B3.94B5.59B

GEO Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1877.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1824.28
Positive
100DMA
1809.16
Positive
200DMA
1731.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
54.30
Negative
RSI
61.38
Neutral
STOCH
77.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2681, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1877 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1916.95, above the 50-day MA of 1824.28, and above the 200-day MA of 1731.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 54.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2681.

GEO Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥42.84B12.042.19%15.14%17.01%
79
Outperform
¥33.26B10.783.77%17.14%8.81%
74
Outperform
¥35.95B5.261.73%7.61%57.19%
67
Neutral
¥80.32B7.711.81%12.53%92.28%
66
Neutral
¥12.52B5.050.30%6.65%28.68%
65
Neutral
¥225.72B14.060.64%53.35%107.20%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2681
GEO Holdings Corporation
2,009.00
475.86
31.04%
JP:2652
Mandarake Inc.
351.00
64.92
22.69%
JP:2674
Hard Off Corporation Co., Ltd.
2,492.00
809.38
48.10%
JP:3093
Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.
1,867.00
-126.12
-6.33%
JP:7685
BuySell Technologies Co., Ltd.
3,790.00
2,280.32
151.05%
JP:9278
BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
2,086.00
648.92
45.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 12, 2026