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GEO Holdings Corporation (JP:2681)
:2681
Japanese Market
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GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2681

GEO Holdings Corporation

(2681)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,560.00
▲(36.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven primarily by improving 2026 financial performance, but tempered by rising leverage and uneven cash-flow quality. Technicals add support given the strong uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is a positive contributor due to the low P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Reacceleration
The return to double-digit revenue growth indicates renewed demand across GEO Holdings’ retail and consumer-service activities. If sustained, this broader top-line expansion can improve operating leverage and support earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin Profit Margins
Persistently low net margins leave limited protection against wage, occupancy, inventory, or competitive pressures. Even modest cost increases or weaker sales can materially reduce profit, making durable earnings growth harder to maintain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Reacceleration
The return to double-digit revenue growth indicates renewed demand across GEO Holdings’ retail and consumer-service activities. If sustained, this broader top-line expansion can improve operating leverage and support earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

GEO Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Geo Holdings Corporation, founded in 1989 and headquartered in Nagoya, Japan, is a prominent player in the country's amusement and retail reuse sectors. The company's diverse portfolio includes GEO shops, which provide a wide selection of home ent...
How the Company Makes Money
GEO Holdings generates revenue primarily through (1) retail sales and related in-store transactions and (2) service-based income linked to its consumer-facing operations. Key revenue streams have historically included: (a) sales of packaged media ...

GEO Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials improved in 2026 with revenue up 11.4% and net income rising to ¥8.7B, but the business remains structurally low-margin (about 1–3% net) and historically volatile. Balance sheet risk increased as leverage rose (debt-to-equity ~1.48 in 2026). Cash flow rebounded (FCF +¥6.3B), yet multi-year inconsistency and weak cash conversion versus earnings remain concerns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue501.79B481.25B427.67B433.85B377.30B334.79B
Gross Profit197.02B189.45B170.67B159.82B142.48B130.80B
EBITDA24.98B23.98B18.80B26.28B19.14B17.16B
Net Income9.49B8.74B4.54B10.90B5.68B5.99B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets302.65B295.21B252.81B231.13B201.80B174.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.63B86.66B64.81B60.07B47.50B47.85B
Total Debt149.55B145.26B119.94B100.05B81.07B59.19B
Total Liabilities201.82B197.02B162.34B143.77B124.59B97.18B
Stockholders Equity100.72B98.07B90.40B87.31B77.21B77.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.006.34B-3.11B2.15B-2.20B-10.73B
Operating Cash Flow0.0019.48B8.01B9.30B4.28B-5.73B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-15.34B-12.49B-10.40B-9.59B-6.69B
Financing Cash Flow0.0022.49B10.78B12.40B3.94B5.59B

GEO Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1877.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2081.14
Positive
100DMA
1981.26
Positive
200DMA
1860.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
65.34
Negative
RSI
68.12
Neutral
STOCH
75.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2681, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1877 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2137.15, below the 50-day MA of 2081.14, and above the 200-day MA of 1860.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 65.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2681.

GEO Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥17.07B10.850.23%11.20%51.35%
74
Outperform
¥50.61B14.572.19%15.56%21.99%
72
Outperform
¥194.94B26.290.64%53.35%107.20%
71
Outperform
¥38.63B11.283.77%23.51%56.52%
68
Neutral
¥93.45B9.851.81%16.16%176.37%
68
Neutral
¥51.34B18.591.32%9.16%47.03%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2681
GEO Holdings Corporation
2,349.00
688.43
41.46%
JP:2652
Mandarake Inc.
480.00
173.98
56.85%
JP:2674
Hard Off Corporation Co., Ltd.
2,783.00
1,088.84
64.27%
JP:3093
Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.
2,112.00
358.48
20.44%
JP:7685
BuySell Technologies Co., Ltd.
3,165.00
1,461.33
85.78%
JP:9278
BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
2,926.00
1,445.28
97.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026