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GEO Holdings Corporation
(2681)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,502.00
▲(33.30% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/12/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial results but capped by rising leverage, structurally thin margins, and uneven cash-flow conversion. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, and valuation looks favorable due to a low P/E, which collectively lift the score despite underlying financial risk factors.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Earnings Rebound
A clear re-acceleration in top-line growth and a doubling of net income indicate improving demand and execution across GEO's retail formats. Durable revenue and earnings recovery provides room to reinvest in stores, services and inventory, strengthening operating scalability over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Meaningfully higher leverage increases fixed interest obligations and reduces financial flexibility. Elevated debt levels limit the company's ability to absorb demand shocks, constrain strategic investments or accelerated deleveraging, and raise refinancing and liquidity risks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Earnings Rebound
A clear re-acceleration in top-line growth and a doubling of net income indicate improving demand and execution across GEO's retail formats. Durable revenue and earnings recovery provides room to reinvest in stores, services and inventory, strengthening operating scalability over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥89.91B
Dividend Yield1.49%
Average Volume (3M)142.13K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.6
Beta (1Y)0.38
Revenue Growth16.16%
EPS Growth176.37%
CountryJP
Employees7,249
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)219.71
Shares Outstanding39,783,550
10 Day Avg. Volume146,540
30 Day Avg. Volume142,133
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.08
Price to Book (P/B)0.69
Price to Sales (P/S)0.14
P/FCF Ratio10.62
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)187.2
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥500.58B
GEO Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Geo Holdings Corporation, founded in 1989 and headquartered in Nagoya, Japan, is a prominent player in the country's amusement and retail reuse sectors. The company's diverse portfolio includes GEO shops, which provide a wide selection of home ent...
How the Company Makes Money
GEO Holdings generates revenue primarily through (1) retail sales and related in-store transactions and (2) service-based income linked to its consumer-facing operations. Key revenue streams have historically included: (a) sales of packaged media ...
GEO Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 481.25B | 427.67B | 433.85B | 377.30B | 334.79B |
| Gross Profit | 189.45B | 170.67B | 159.82B | 142.48B | 130.80B |
| EBITDA | 23.98B | 18.80B | 26.28B | 19.14B | 17.16B |
| Net Income | 8.74B | 4.54B | 10.90B | 5.68B | 5.99B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 295.21B | 252.81B | 231.13B | 201.80B | 174.38B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 86.66B | 64.81B | 60.07B | 47.50B | 47.85B |
| Total Debt | 145.26B | 119.94B | 100.05B | 81.07B | 59.19B |
| Total Liabilities | 197.02B | 162.34B | 143.77B | 124.59B | 97.18B |
| Stockholders Equity | 98.07B | 90.40B | 87.31B | 77.21B | 77.19B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.34B | -3.11B | 2.15B | -2.20B | -10.73B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 19.48B | 8.01B | 9.30B | 4.28B | -5.73B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -15.34B | -12.49B | -10.40B | -9.59B | -6.69B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 22.49B | 10.78B | 12.40B | 3.94B | 5.59B |
GEO Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis
Positive
1877.00
Price Trends
2074.68
Positive
1974.95
Positive
1856.68
Positive
Market Momentum
55.86
Negative
64.78
Neutral
72.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2681, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1877 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2117.10, below the 50-day MA of 2074.68, and above the 200-day MA of 1856.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 55.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2681.
GEO Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | ¥39.41B | 11.29 | ― | 3.77% | 23.51% | 56.52% | |
76 Outperform | ¥17.07B | 10.98 | ― | 0.23% | 6.65% | 28.68% | |
74 Outperform | ¥50.42B | 14.68 | ― | 2.19% | 15.56% | 21.99% | |
72 Outperform | ¥204.17B | 27.16 | ― | 0.64% | 53.35% | 107.20% | |
68 Neutral | ¥50.41B | 17.79 | ― | 1.32% | 9.16% | 47.03% | |
67 Neutral | ¥89.91B | 9.60 | ― | 1.81% | 16.16% | 176.37% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:2681
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.