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GEO Holdings Corporation (JP:2681)
:2681
Japanese Market

GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2681

GEO Holdings Corporation

(2681)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,784.00
▼(-4.95% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance—stable balance sheet strength but notable cash flow weakness (including negative free cash flow). Technical indicators add downside risk due to a bearish trend (below key moving averages and negative MACD), while a reasonable P/E and modest dividend yield provide partial support.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet stability
Balanced debt-to-equity and a healthy equity ratio provide durable financial stability. This structure helps GEO absorb retail cyclicality, maintain store operations and invest in inventory/refurbishment without immediate refinancing pressure, supporting multi-month operational resilience.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow weakens GEO's ability to self-finance capex, inventory purchases and working capital for its retail network. Over a 2-6 month horizon this raises reliance on external financing or asset sales, constraining strategic flexibility and execution capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet stability
Balanced debt-to-equity and a healthy equity ratio provide durable financial stability. This structure helps GEO absorb retail cyclicality, maintain store operations and invest in inventory/refurbishment without immediate refinancing pressure, supporting multi-month operational resilience.
Read all positive factors

GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

GEO Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Geo Holdings Corporation engages in the amusement businesses in Japan. The company operates GEO shops, which offer a range of in-home amusement software products, including DVDs, CDs, game titles, and books through rental, resale of previously own...
How the Company Makes Money
GEO Holdings Corporation generates revenue primarily through rental income from its real estate investments, which include residential complexes, commercial office spaces, and industrial facilities. The company also earns income from property mana...

GEO Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are mixed: a relatively solid balance sheet (reasonable leverage and stable equity ratio) is offset by weaker cash flow, with free cash flow turning negative and challenges converting profits into cash. Profitability is modest with some recent margin pressure and inconsistent revenue growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue431.98B427.67B433.85B377.30B334.79B328.36B
Gross Profit173.79B170.67B159.82B142.48B130.80B125.22B
EBITDA20.58B20.59B25.50B18.85B17.02B14.37B
Net Income3.43B4.54B10.90B5.68B5.99B-752.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.66B252.81B231.13B201.80B174.38B169.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.26B64.81B60.07B47.50B47.85B54.58B
Total Debt135.78B119.94B100.05B81.07B59.19B52.25B
Total Liabilities176.52B162.34B143.77B124.59B97.18B96.75B
Stockholders Equity92.07B90.40B87.31B77.21B77.19B72.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-3.11B2.15B-2.20B-10.73B6.64B
Operating Cash Flow0.008.01B9.30B4.28B-5.73B12.43B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-12.49B-10.40B-9.59B-6.69B-8.22B
Financing Cash Flow0.0010.78B12.40B3.94B5.59B14.68B

GEO Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1877.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1723.79
Positive
100DMA
1752.81
Positive
200DMA
1682.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.51
Negative
RSI
58.28
Neutral
STOCH
82.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2681, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1877 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1695.37, above the 50-day MA of 1723.79, and above the 200-day MA of 1682.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -2.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2681.

GEO Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥28.07B8.123.77%7.88%-5.92%
66
Neutral
¥11.52B7.840.30%5.03%-17.66%
65
Neutral
¥42.82B9.402.19%17.90%14.14%
65
Neutral
¥194.53B27.650.64%57.01%91.03%
64
Neutral
¥32.76B11.191.73%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
¥69.78B4.341.81%6.48%-38.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2681
GEO Holdings Corporation
1,754.00
37.55
2.19%
JP:2652
Mandarake Inc.
324.00
49.88
18.20%
JP:2674
Hard Off Corporation Co., Ltd.
2,022.00
480.71
31.19%
JP:3093
Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.
1,787.00
136.17
8.25%
JP:7685
BuySell Technologies Co., Ltd.
3,165.00
2,012.47
174.61%
JP:9278
BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
1,867.00
555.73
42.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026