GEO Holdings Corporation (2681) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥73.64B
• Dividend Yield: 1.81%
• Average Volume (3M): 142.13K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.49
• Revenue Growth: 6.48%
• EPS Growth: -38.41%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 5,912
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Specialty Retail
• EPS (TTM): 108.13
• Shares Outstanding: 39,783,550
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 146,540
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 142,133
• PEG Ratio: -0.27
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.80
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.17
• P/FCF Ratio: -23.17
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 187.2
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥500.58B

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥1,944.00 ▲(3.57% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/07/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/07/26

The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance—stable balance sheet strength but notable cash flow weakness (including negative free cash flow). Technical indicators add downside risk due to a bearish trend (below key moving averages and negative MACD), while a reasonable P/E and modest dividend yield provide partial support.

Positive Factors

Balanced leverage

A balanced debt-to-equity profile supports financial flexibility and lowers solvency risk over time. This durable capital structure allows GEO to fund inventory cycles, refurbishing operations and selective investments without over-relying on volatile short-term financing, aiding resilience across retail cycles.

Negative Factors

Negative free cash flow

Sustained or recurring negative free cash flow impairs the company’s ability to internally fund working capital, inventory buybacks and capex. Over months this forces reliance on external financing or equity, constraining strategic flexibility and increasing vulnerability to funding cost or supplier disruptions.

GEO Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Geo Holdings Corporation engages in the amusement businesses in Japan. The company operates GEO shops, which offer a range of in-home amusement software products, including DVDs, CDs, game titles, and books through rental, resale of previously own...

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Geo Holdings Corporation engages in the amusement businesses in Japan. The company operates GEO shops, which offer a range of in-home amusement software products, including DVDs, CDs, game titles, and books through rental, resale of previously own...

How the Company Makes Money

GEO Holdings makes money primarily through (1) retail sales and (2) service fees generated across its store network and online channels. Key revenue streams include: (a) sale of used goods—particularly used smartphones and other consumer electroni...

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GEO Holdings makes money primarily through (1) retail sales and (2) service fees generated across its store network and online channels. Key revenue streams include: (a) sale of used goods—particularly used smartphones and other consumer electroni...

GEO Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	431.98B	427.67B	433.85B	377.30B	334.79B	328.36B
Gross Profit	173.79B	170.67B	159.82B	142.48B	130.80B	125.22B
EBITDA	20.58B	20.59B	25.50B	18.85B	17.02B	14.37B
Net Income	3.43B	4.54B	10.90B	5.68B	5.99B	-752.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	268.66B	252.81B	231.13B	201.80B	174.38B	169.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	69.26B	64.81B	60.07B	47.50B	47.85B	54.58B
Total Debt	135.78B	119.94B	100.05B	81.07B	59.19B	52.25B
Total Liabilities	176.52B	162.34B	143.77B	124.59B	97.18B	96.75B
Stockholders Equity	92.07B	90.40B	87.31B	77.21B	77.19B	72.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-3.11B	2.15B	-2.20B	-10.73B	6.64B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	8.01B	9.30B	4.28B	-5.73B	12.43B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-12.49B	-10.40B	-9.59B	-6.69B	-8.22B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	10.78B	12.40B	3.94B	5.59B	14.68B

GEO Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1877.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2681, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1877 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1707.17, above the 50-day MA of 1732.60, and above the 200-day MA of 1678.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2681.

GEO Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2674	74 Outperform	¥28.55B	8.12	―	3.77%	7.88%	-5.92%
2652	66 Neutral	¥11.70B	7.84	―	0.30%	5.03%	-17.66%
3093	65 Neutral	¥44.42B	9.40	―	2.19%	17.90%	14.14%
7685	65 Neutral	¥202.83B	40.03	―	0.64%	57.01%	91.03%
9278	64 Neutral	¥33.69B	11.19	―	1.73%	―	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
2681	60 Neutral	¥73.64B	4.34	―	1.81%	6.48%	-38.41%