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Key Coffee Inc. (JP:2594)
:2594
Japanese Market
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Key Coffee Inc. (2594) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2594

Key Coffee Inc.

(2594)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,068.00
▲(3.30% Upside)
Key Coffee Inc. has a solid financial foundation with strong revenue growth, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. Technical indicators show mixed signals, and the stock appears overvalued with a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield.

Key Coffee Inc. (2594) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Key Coffee Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKey Coffee Inc. is a leading Japanese company specializing in the production, marketing, and distribution of coffee products. Established in 1920, the company operates in the food and beverage sector and is known for its high-quality coffee beans, ground coffee, and instant coffee products. Key Coffee Inc. serves both retail consumers and commercial clients, including cafes and restaurants, offering a diverse range of coffee flavors and blends to suit various preferences.
How the Company Makes MoneyKey Coffee Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its coffee products to both retail and commercial customers. The company sells packaged coffee, including beans, ground coffee, and instant coffee, through supermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms. Additionally, Key Coffee maintains a strong presence in the commercial sector by supplying coffee to cafes, restaurants, and hospitality businesses. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with other businesses or brands to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. While precise details of all revenue streams are not publicly disclosed, these activities form the core of Key Coffee's revenue model.

Key Coffee Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Key Coffee Inc. shows strong revenue growth and stable gross margins, but profitability is a concern due to low net margins and negative free cash flow. The balance sheet is solid, but cash flow management needs improvement.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Key Coffee Inc. has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 6% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 18%, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margin is relatively low at 0.44%, reflecting potential inefficiencies or high operational costs. EBITDA margin is healthy at 2.29%, suggesting strong earnings before non-cash charges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, indicating a conservative approach to leverage. With an equity ratio of 52.7%, Key Coffee Inc. maintains a solid equity foundation. The return on equity stands at just 1.11%, suggesting limited return on shareholder investments, which could be improved.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with free cash flow consistently negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting an inability to convert earnings into cash. However, the company has managed financing activities effectively, as seen in the positive financing cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.88B77.88B73.80B63.30B55.68B52.60B
Gross Profit14.31B14.31B15.22B14.22B14.29B12.90B
EBITDA1.78B1.78B1.52B1.30B2.02B-2.54B
Net Income342.00M343.00M180.00M173.00M742.00M-4.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.36B58.36B54.83B51.77B43.43B43.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.08B5.08B4.67B4.12B5.44B5.76B
Total Debt8.22B8.22B5.34B3.19B82.00M187.00M
Total Liabilities27.27B27.27B23.86B21.24B12.95B13.87B
Stockholders Equity30.77B30.77B30.67B30.25B30.20B29.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.19B-684.00M-4.14B-68.00M-1.66B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-1.34B481.00M-3.10B861.00M-1.19B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.08B-1.69B-973.00M-727.00M-396.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.002.83B1.74B2.76B-466.00M-908.00M

Key Coffee Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2002.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1982.32
Positive
100DMA
2007.46
Negative
200DMA
2022.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
4.54
Positive
RSI
51.61
Neutral
STOCH
26.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2594, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2002 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1999.70, above the 50-day MA of 1982.32, and below the 200-day MA of 2022.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:2594.

Key Coffee Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥90.82B25.07
3.58%8.76%11.82%
73
Outperform
¥33.33B15.01
1.22%6.19%7.92%
65
Neutral
¥65.18B39.27
1.18%5.37%-2.18%
64
Neutral
¥32.62B26.48
1.32%0.62%-32.02%
63
Neutral
¥60.57B12.02
1.07%8.26%24.25%
63
Neutral
$20.54B14.34-2.77%3.14%2.08%-6.12%
57
Neutral
¥42.87B199.72
0.60%5.40%18.89%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2594
Key Coffee Inc.
2,002.00
-92.80
-4.43%
JP:2208
Bourbon Corporation
2,529.00
171.76
7.29%
JP:2209
Imuraya Group Co., Ltd.
2,522.00
63.50
2.58%
JP:2211
Fujiya Co., Ltd.
2,540.00
-71.81
-2.75%
JP:2216
KANRO Co., Ltd.
2,117.00
1,192.63
129.02%
JP:2217
Morozoff Limited
1,525.00
36.95
2.48%

Key Coffee Inc. Corporate Events

Key Coffee Inc. Delays Q1 Financial Results Due to System Issues
Aug 8, 2025

Key Coffee Inc. has announced a delay in the disclosure of its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, due to issues arising from the introduction of a new core system. The company is working with an external vendor to resolve these issues and expects to release the financial results by September 5. The impact on the full-year financial results is expected to be minimal, and the company is committed to providing timely updates to stakeholders.

Key Coffee Inc. Acquires Inoda Coffee to Boost Industry Presence
Jul 1, 2025

Key Coffee Inc. has announced its decision to acquire shares in Inoda Coffee Company Limited, converting it into a consolidated subsidiary. This strategic move aims to leverage synergies between the two companies, enhancing Key Coffee’s profitability and presence in the coffee industry. The acquisition is part of Key Coffee’s business restructuring efforts to strengthen its earning capacity and corporate value.

Key Coffee Inc. Reports Financial Results and Future Outlook
Jun 16, 2025

Key Coffee Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, showing a 5.4% increase in net sales to ¥77,783 million. Despite the rise in sales, the company experienced a decline in operating and ordinary profits by 20.6% and 12.7%, respectively. Profit attributable to owners of the parent increased significantly by 89.9% to ¥342 million. The company forecasts further growth in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with expected net sales of ¥85,000 million and a 75.1% increase in profit attributable to owners. This announcement highlights Key Coffee’s strategic focus on improving profitability and expanding its market presence, despite current challenges in operational profits.

Key Coffee Inc. Continues Takeover Defense Plan
May 30, 2025

Key Coffee Inc. has announced the continuation of its takeover defense measures, initially introduced in 2008, to safeguard its corporate value and the interests of its shareholders. The decision, which requires shareholder approval, involves revising the terms in response to changes in the business environment and social conditions, while maintaining the plan’s core objective of ensuring shareholders have sufficient information and time to consider large-scale purchase proposals.

Key Coffee Inc. Announces Director Nomination and Personnel Changes
May 30, 2025

Key Coffee Inc. announced the nomination of Satoshi Watabe as a new Director and Audit & Supervisory Committee Member, leveraging his extensive experience in quality assurance and audit operations. This change is part of the company’s strategic personnel adjustments, with the retirement of current Director Nobuyuki Shimizu and internal personnel shifts, aiming to strengthen its management oversight.

Key Coffee Inc. Reports Mixed Financial Results for FY 2025
May 15, 2025

Key Coffee Inc. reported discrepancies between its forecasted and actual financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. While net sales, operating profit, and ordinary profit exceeded expectations, the profit attributable to owners of the parent was significantly lower due to impairment losses on non-current assets. This indicates a mixed financial performance, with implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s asset management and profitability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2025