Key Coffee Inc. (JP:2594)
:2594
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Key Coffee Inc.
(2594)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,929.00
▼(-3.31% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
The score is held back mainly by weak cash generation (multi-year negative operating cash flow and consistently negative free cash flow) and higher leverage, despite strong recent revenue growth. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock trading below major moving averages and a negative MACD, while valuation is roughly neutral with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Accelerating top-line growth (2026 +17.2% vs 2025 +5.4%) indicates stronger demand or pricing power. Durable revenue expansion increases absolute gross profit, supports scale economics, and gives management room to invest in channels and products over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow indicates reported earnings are not converting into cash, forcing reliance on external funding. This structural cash shortfall weakens the company's ability to self-fund growth, increases refinancing frequency, and heightens liquidity risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Accelerating top-line growth (2026 +17.2% vs 2025 +5.4%) indicates stronger demand or pricing power. Durable revenue expansion increases absolute gross profit, supports scale economics, and gives management room to invest in channels and products over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Key Coffee Inc. (2594) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥42.12B
Dividend Yield0.6%
Average Volume (3M)107.03K
Price to Earnings (P/E)42.6
Beta (1Y)0.14
Revenue Growth19.65%
EPS Growth361.50%
CountryJP
Employees940
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryFood Confectioners
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)9.39
Shares Outstanding22,689,000
10 Day Avg. Volume103,000
30 Day Avg. Volume107,026
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.23
Price to Book (P/B)1.33
Price to Sales (P/S)0.46
P/FCF Ratio-8.39
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Key Coffee Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1920, Key Coffee Inc. cultivates coffee on plantations throughout Japan. The company is also responsible for manufacturing and distributing various coffee and related items....
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Key Coffee Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 79.38B | 93.07B | 77.78B | 73.80B | 63.30B | 55.68B |
| Gross Profit | 14.15B | 16.22B | 14.31B | 14.93B | 13.93B | 13.96B |
| EBITDA | 1.40B | 2.25B | 1.66B | 1.75B | 1.22B | 1.38B |
| Net Income | 201.00M | 989.00M | 343.00M | 181.00M | 173.00M | 743.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 63.45B | 78.52B | 58.36B | 54.83B | 51.77B | 43.43B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 7.13B | 5.28B | 5.08B | 4.67B | 4.12B | 5.44B |
| Total Debt | 10.85B | 17.90B | 8.73B | 5.52B | 3.44B | 399.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 32.30B | 46.26B | 27.27B | 23.86B | 21.23B | 12.94B |
| Stockholders Equity | 30.86B | 31.77B | 30.77B | 30.67B | 30.25B | 30.20B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.04B | -2.19B | -489.00M | -3.87B | 401.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.38B | -1.34B | 481.00M | -3.10B | 861.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.26B | -1.08B | -1.69B | -973.00M | -727.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 8.83B | 2.83B | 1.74B | 2.76B | -466.00M |
Key Coffee Inc. Technical Analysis
Positive
1995.00
Price Trends
1955.86
Positive
1972.97
Negative
1976.54
Negative
Market Momentum
4.01
Negative
55.94
Neutral
70.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2594, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1995 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1944.70, above the 50-day MA of 1955.86, and above the 200-day MA of 1976.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2594.
Key Coffee Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | ¥70.58B | 12.01 | ― | 1.55% | 6.02% | 5.87% | |
65 Neutral | ¥206.74B | 11.86 | 13.33% | 3.47% | 3.37% | 5.12% | |
65 Neutral | ¥30.34B | 12.43 | ― | 1.23% | 5.09% | 10.97% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
56 Neutral | ¥48.37B | 14.00 | ― | 1.51% | 3.69% | -34.32% | |
50 Neutral | ¥42.12B | 42.59 | ― | 0.60% | 19.65% | 361.50% | |
49 Neutral | ¥60.52B | 47.36 | ― | 1.14% | 9.13% | -21.27% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
JP:2594
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Key Coffee Inc. Corporate Events
Key Coffee Updates Capital-Efficient, Stock Price-Conscious Management Plan
May 15, 2026
Key Coffee Inc., a Japanese coffee producer listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, operates across the value chain from roasting to sales of coffee and related products. The company targets both retail consumers and commercial clients, l...
Key Coffee Smashes Profit Forecasts on Strong Pricing and Cost Controls
May 15, 2026
Key Coffee Inc. reported that its consolidated results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 significantly outperformed its earlier forecasts, driven by stronger-than-expected sales and profitability. Despite assumptions of continued cost press...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.