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Key Coffee Inc. (JP:2594)
:2594
Japanese Market
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Key Coffee Inc. (2594) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2594

Key Coffee Inc.

(2594)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,042.00
▲(2.36% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash flow (negative operating cash flow and consistently negative free cash flow in recent years) alongside sharply higher leverage, despite strong recent revenue growth. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive momentum. Valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E and only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Accelerating revenue growth
The sharp acceleration in revenue indicates stronger demand, pricing, distribution, or product activity. Sustained top-line expansion can improve operating leverage and support investment, provided growth converts into healthier margins and cash flow.
Negative Factors
Persistent weak cash generation
Repeated negative operating and free cash flow shows that reported earnings are not reliably converting into liquidity. Continued funding of investment or working capital through the balance sheet could constrain flexibility and increase financing dependence.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Accelerating revenue growth
The sharp acceleration in revenue indicates stronger demand, pricing, distribution, or product activity. Sustained top-line expansion can improve operating leverage and support investment, provided growth converts into healthier margins and cash flow.
Read all positive factors

Key Coffee Inc. (2594) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Key Coffee Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1920, Key Coffee Inc. cultivates coffee on plantations throughout Japan. The company is also responsible for manufacturing and distributing various coffee and related items....
How the Company Makes Money
Key Coffee’s primary monetization model is selling coffee-related products and services. The company generates revenue mainly from (1) product sales of coffee and related beverage/food offerings through relevant distribution channels (e.g., wholes...

Key Coffee Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows strong, accelerating revenue growth (+17.2% in 2026 vs. +5.4% in 2025), but profitability is very thin (2025 net margin ~0.44%, EBIT margin <1%) and gross margin has compressed versus 2022. Balance sheet risk increased as debt rose sharply by 2026 (¥17.9B vs. ¥8.7B in 2025), while cash flow is the largest concern: operating cash flow is negative in multiple recent years and free cash flow is consistently negative (2023–2026), indicating weak cash conversion and higher funding pressure.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue96.52B93.07B77.78B73.80B63.30B55.68B
Gross Profit17.32B16.22B14.31B14.93B13.93B13.96B
EBITDA2.29B2.25B1.66B1.75B1.22B1.38B
Net Income1.29B989.00M343.00M181.00M173.00M743.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.38B78.52B58.36B54.83B51.77B43.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.47B5.28B5.08B4.67B4.12B5.44B
Total Debt19.37B17.90B8.73B5.52B3.44B399.00M
Total Liabilities46.67B46.26B27.27B23.86B21.23B12.94B
Stockholders Equity32.19B31.77B30.77B30.67B30.25B30.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-5.04B-2.19B-489.00M-3.87B401.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-3.38B-1.34B481.00M-3.10B861.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-5.26B-1.08B-1.69B-973.00M-727.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.008.83B2.83B1.74B2.76B-466.00M

Key Coffee Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1995.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1985.34
Positive
100DMA
1971.31
Positive
200DMA
1977.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.14
Negative
RSI
63.53
Neutral
STOCH
81.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2594, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1995 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1999.85, above the 50-day MA of 1985.34, and above the 200-day MA of 1977.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2594.

Key Coffee Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥74.48B11.831.55%5.66%24.88%
66
Neutral
¥212.49B12.6413.39%2.40%3.34%-0.81%
66
Neutral
¥31.63B12.701.23%4.60%12.15%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
¥59.02B19.451.51%3.45%-33.84%
52
Neutral
¥43.40B33.550.60%21.59%1672.91%
49
Neutral
¥64.54B57.581.14%7.75%-32.47%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2594
Key Coffee Inc.
2,027.00
27.84
1.39%
JP:2201
Morinaga & Co
2,584.50
-43.69
-1.66%
JP:2207
Meito Sangyo Co., Ltd.
3,625.00
1,512.51
71.60%
JP:2208
Bourbon Corporation
3,100.00
601.75
24.09%
JP:2209
Imuraya Group Co., Ltd.
2,417.00
-87.54
-3.50%
JP:2211
Fujiya Co., Ltd.
2,504.00
4.53
0.18%

Key Coffee Inc. Corporate Events

Key Coffee Issues Technical Corrections to FY2026 Consolidated Results
Jun 25, 2026
Key Coffee Inc. has announced a partial correction to its previously released consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, prepared under Japanese GAAP. The revisions relate to the aggregation method used in the Consoli...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026