Takamiya Co., Ltd. (2445) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥19.42B
• Dividend Yield: 3.36%
• Average Volume (3M): 156.40K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.76
• Revenue Growth: -1.56%
• EPS Growth: -3.60%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,327
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Rental & Leasing Services
• EPS (TTM): 12.52
• Shares Outstanding: 46,585,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 88,380
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 156,403
• PEG Ratio: -0.42
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.79
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.40
• P/FCF Ratio: -4.74
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥508.00 ▲(21.82% Upside)

The overall stock score of 70 reflects strong technical momentum and reasonable valuation, offset by financial performance challenges. The stock's bullish trend is a significant positive, though caution is advised due to overbought signals and financial inefficiencies.

Positive Factors

Sustainable Packaging Demand

The increasing demand for sustainable packaging solutions positions Takamiya to capitalize on long-term industry trends, potentially boosting revenue as more companies seek eco-friendly options.

Innovative Product Offering

Takamiya's commitment to innovation in packaging solutions enhances its competitive edge, allowing it to meet evolving client needs and maintain market relevance.

Stable Gross Profitability

Consistent gross profit margins indicate stable core operations, suggesting that Takamiya can maintain profitability despite revenue fluctuations.

Negative Factors

Declining Net Income

A decline in net income and negative cash flows can hinder Takamiya's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities, potentially impacting long-term financial health.

Negative Cash Flow

Negative cash flow from operations suggests inefficiencies in cash management, which may limit Takamiya's capacity to fund operations and invest in new projects.

Moderate Leverage

Moderate leverage indicates a reliance on debt, which could pose risks if interest rates rise or if cash flow issues persist, affecting financial flexibility.

Takamiya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Takamiya Co., Ltd. (2445) is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of packaging materials and solutions. The company operates in various sectors including food, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods, offering products such as flexible packaging, sealants, and specialty films. Takamiya is focused on providing innovative and sustainable packaging solutions that cater to the evolving needs of its clients in both domestic and international markets.

How the Company Makes Money

Takamiya Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the sale of its packaging products and solutions to a diverse range of industries, including food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods. The company’s revenue model is based on direct sales to manufacturers and businesses requiring packaging materials. Key revenue streams include the sale of flexible packaging films, pouches, and sealing products, which are in high demand due to their essential role in preserving product quality and extending shelf life. Additionally, Takamiya may benefit from partnerships with major corporations in its target sectors, enhancing its distribution capabilities and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions and the company’s ability to innovate and adapt to market trends.

Takamiya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Takamiya Co., Ltd. shows stable gross profitability and a reasonable balance sheet structure. However, recent declines in net income and negative cash flows highlight areas for improvement in operational efficiency and cash management. The company should focus on enhancing cost controls and optimizing its capital structure.

Income Statement

The income statement shows moderate performance with consistent revenue figures, though there is a slight decline in total revenue for the latest period. Gross profit margins hover around 32% to 33%, indicating stable profitability from core operations. However, net profit margins have decreased, reflecting pressure on overall profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest decent operational efficiency, though recent declines in EBIT raise concerns about cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.77, indicating moderate leverage. Stockholders' equity has shown steady growth, enhancing financial stability. However, the equity ratio stands at around 30%, suggesting a balanced approach to financing with potential for improvement in equity levels. Overall, the company maintains reasonable financial health, but cautious debt management is advisable.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in generating positive operating cash flow, with recent periods showing negative figures. Free cash flow is also negative, pointing to difficulties in managing capital expenditures and funding operations internally. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in cash conversion. Despite these concerns, financing activities have supported liquidity, albeit through increased leverage.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	43.99B	43.83B	44.13B	41.89B	39.80B	38.81B
Gross Profit	14.32B	14.12B	14.43B	12.59B	11.18B	11.00B
EBITDA	7.95B	7.90B	8.84B	7.39B	6.47B	6.46B
Net Income	1.04B	1.23B	1.89B	1.46B	965.00M	857.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	73.10B	75.08B	68.94B	62.75B	59.08B	56.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.98B	8.84B	7.79B	8.30B	8.84B	8.03B
Total Debt	39.70B	40.02B	32.54B	28.65B	27.26B	27.15B
Total Liabilities	51.10B	52.49B	46.79B	42.23B	39.75B	37.69B
Stockholders Equity	21.82B	22.40B	21.95B	20.33B	19.16B	18.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-3.74B	-3.70B	-1.06B	1.27B	3.64B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	-585.00M	-180.00M	-14.00M	4.29B	5.04B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-4.54B	-3.19B	-1.21B	-2.98B	-1.38B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	6.15B	2.80B	398.00M	-588.00M	-2.87B

Takamiya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 417.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2445, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 417 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 422.55, above the 50-day MA of 403.80, and above the 200-day MA of 365.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2445.

Takamiya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9763	81 Outperform	¥12.88B	8.36	―	3.57%	6.66%	13.62%
9908	75 Outperform	¥26.46B	8.67	―	4.08%	13.63%	17.47%
7081	72 Outperform	¥15.22B	7.12	―	2.91%	5.72%	60.38%
2445	70 Outperform	¥19.42B	14.75	―	3.36%	-1.56%	-3.60%
7065	68 Neutral	¥6.01B	17.97	―	3.18%	-0.70%	-43.72%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
9223	48 Neutral	¥6.52B	-41.44	―	0.38%	11.65%	-210.62%

Takamiya Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Takamiya Co., Ltd. Revises Earnings Forecasts Amid Market Challenges

Takamiya Co., Ltd. has revised its consolidated earnings forecasts for the second quarter and full fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, due to recent business trends. Despite a shortfall in net sales, the company expects higher income levels, driven by increased recurring revenue and improved profit margins in its rental business segment. The market environment, characterized by labor shortages and rising construction costs, has led to a preference for rental services over purchases. The company’s platform business is performing steadily, and the effects of price revisions are expected to continue supporting its rental segment, while sales are anticipated to increase toward the fiscal year’s end.