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Care Service Co., Ltd. (JP:2425)
:2425
Japanese Market
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Care Service Co., Ltd. (2425) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2425

Care Service Co., Ltd.

(2425)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥737.00
▼(-6.83% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/16/26
The score is held back primarily by the 2026 operating and cash flow deterioration (revenue decline, sharp margin compression, and negative free cash flow). Technicals also show a bearish trend with weak momentum. Offsetting factors include a very conservative balance sheet and a ~3% dividend yield, but valuation remains less attractive given the recent profitability reset.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and materially improving debt metrics give the company durable financial flexibility. A conservative balance sheet reduces refinancing and solvency risk, supports capital allocation through downturns, and underpins long-term investment or dividend stability.
Negative Factors
2026 revenue and margin deterioration
A material revenue decline coupled with a sharp EBIT margin drop signals a structural earnings reset rather than a minor fluctuation. Lower scale and compressed operating profitability reduce reinvestment capacity, jeopardize sustained service quality and margin recovery absent clear remediation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and materially improving debt metrics give the company durable financial flexibility. A conservative balance sheet reduces refinancing and solvency risk, supports capital allocation through downturns, and underpins long-term investment or dividend stability.
Read all positive factors

Care Service Co., Ltd. (2425) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Care Service Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Care Service Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides in-home care support and day services in Japan and internationally. It provides visiting bath, home visit care, home visit nursing care, elderly facility, clean, and angel care servic...
How the Company Makes Money
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Care Service Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a major positive (very low leverage and improved debt metrics), but fundamentals weakened in 2026: revenue fell 5.2%, margins compressed sharply (EBIT margin ~1.4% vs ~5.3% in 2025), and free cash flow turned slightly negative after several strong years.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.72B9.22B9.86B9.64B9.24B8.97B
Gross Profit1.22B917.05M1.32B1.27B1.25B1.17B
EBITDA578.98M299.80M675.34M675.65M587.26M455.17M
Net Income321.70M115.09M374.02M377.66M323.78M192.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.09B3.87B4.12B3.86B3.51B3.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.87B1.67B1.84B1.52B1.20B930.35M
Total Debt31.34M36.94M67.31M98.59M149.99M227.26M
Total Liabilities1.24B912.07M1.20B1.21B1.19B1.22B
Stockholders Equity2.85B2.95B2.92B2.64B2.32B2.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.73M458.49M457.03M404.56M174.65M
Operating Cash Flow0.00122.42M553.89M546.10M443.20M338.12M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-176.79M-143.38M-102.13M-36.08M-184.42M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-106.11M-91.93M-119.97M-151.87M-191.60M

Care Service Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price791.00
Price Trends
50DMA
764.35
Negative
100DMA
769.64
Negative
200DMA
776.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.78
Negative
RSI
42.61
Neutral
STOCH
56.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2425, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 791 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 753.32, above the 50-day MA of 764.35, and above the 200-day MA of 776.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2425.

Care Service Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥40.86B11.512.63%3.49%-14.24%
72
Outperform
¥3.01B4.692.82%5.16%19.94%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
¥2.78B24.822.56%-6.54%-69.23%
51
Neutral
¥5.56B23.204.07%4.75%20.56%
49
Neutral
¥1.26B43.329.08%30.71%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2425
Care Service Co., Ltd.
733.00
-38.83
-5.03%
JP:2373
Care Twentyone Corporation
413.00
28.02
7.28%
JP:6062
Charm Care Corporation
1,253.00
80.56
6.87%
JP:7362
Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc.
822.00
42.00
5.38%
JP:9220
FB CARE SERVICE CO.,LTD.
1,236.00
278.87
29.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026