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Yakult Honsha Co Ltd (JP:2267)
:2267

Yakult Honsha Co (2267) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2267

Yakult Honsha Co

(2267)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,917.00
▲(21.44% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/03/25
Yakult Honsha Co's strong financial performance is the most significant factor, supported by solid profitability and balance sheet metrics. However, technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, which could impact short-term performance. The valuation is fair, providing a balanced outlook for investors.
Positive Factors
Profitability Margins
Consistently high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and operational efficiency in Yakult's core probiotic beverage business. Margin strength supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and resilience to cost shocks, sustaining cash returns over a multi-quarter horizon.
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage and a strong equity base give Yakult financial flexibility to fund capex, R&D or M&A without straining liquidity. A healthy balance sheet reduces refinancing risk and supports strategic initiatives or cyclical volatility over the next several quarters.
Cash Generation
Reliable operating cash flow and solid free cash flow enable sustained investment in manufacturing and pharmaceuticals, support dividend payouts and allow debt reduction. Even with a recent FCF decline, strong cash conversion underpins financial durability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A multi-percent revenue contraction signals weakening top-line momentum that can limit scale benefits and future margin expansion. Without renewed product growth or market expansion, persistent revenue declines could constrain reinvestment and long-term earnings growth.
EPS Weakness
Material EPS contraction outpaces revenue decline, implying margin pressure or one-off impacts affecting profitability. Sustained EPS weakness reduces retained earnings available for capex or dividends and could signal structural cost or pricing challenges over coming quarters.
Concentrated Distribution Model
Heavy reliance on domestic retail and the Yakult Lady home-delivery network concentrates exposure to Japan's demand and labor/cost dynamics. This distribution concentration can limit scalability and leave growth dependent on slower domestic trends unless international expansion accelerates.

Yakult Honsha Co (2267) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Yakult Honsha Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYakult Honsha Co., Ltd. is a Japanese company that specializes in the production and sale of probiotic products, primarily known for its flagship product, Yakult, a fermented milk drink containing the probiotic strain Lactobacillus casei Shirota. Founded in 1935, the company operates in the health and wellness sector, focusing on functional foods and beverages that promote digestive health and overall well-being. Yakult's product range includes various probiotic drinks, dairy products, and supplements, catering to both domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyYakult Honsha generates revenue primarily through the sale of its probiotic beverages and dairy products. The company's main revenue streams come from direct sales to consumers through its extensive distribution network, which includes supermarkets, convenience stores, and direct home delivery services. Additionally, Yakult has established partnerships with various retailers and health organizations to enhance its market reach. The company also benefits from international sales, expanding its footprint in various countries, which contributes significantly to its revenue. Furthermore, Yakult invests in research and development to innovate and introduce new products, thereby attracting more customers and increasing sales. The strong brand recognition and consumer trust in its health benefits further solidify its earnings.

Yakult Honsha Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yakult Honsha Co presents a strong financial profile with high profitability margins and solid balance sheet metrics. The company exhibits prudent financial management with efficient operational cash flows. However, recent revenue decline could pose challenges for future growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Yakult Honsha Co demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin. However, there is a slight decrease in revenue observed in the most recent year compared to the previous year, indicating challenges in top-line growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showing efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust financial position with a low Debt-to-Equity ratio, indicating moderate leverage. The company maintains a strong Equity Ratio, suggesting financial stability and a solid asset base. Return on Equity is impressive, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Yakult Honsha Co shows steady operating cash flow with a healthy Free Cash Flow, although there is a decline from the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicates efficient cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio remains strong, supporting future investments and debt repayment.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue493.63B499.68B503.08B483.07B415.12B385.71B
Gross Profit290.45B295.52B299.91B288.48B248.42B226.82B
EBITDA86.96B111.19B108.87B104.53B93.93B82.21B
Net Income43.04B45.53B51.01B50.64B44.92B39.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets832.52B864.32B833.29B749.42B672.86B635.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments237.60B269.06B255.26B241.19B202.94B176.25B
Total Debt97.93B108.10B96.53B77.14B82.94B99.25B
Total Liabilities233.14B234.80B227.34B203.93B187.92B195.34B
Stockholders Equity545.61B574.13B549.28B498.66B446.07B404.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0031.00B24.47B56.23B46.66B32.16B
Operating Cash Flow0.0084.69B70.70B86.51B73.39B55.82B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-61.02B-43.91B-19.02B-11.88B-19.62B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-31.47B-39.54B-44.53B-45.16B-31.25B

Yakult Honsha Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2402.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2541.08
Positive
100DMA
2486.13
Positive
200DMA
2538.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.70
Positive
RSI
54.87
Neutral
STOCH
23.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2267, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2402 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2607.88, below the 50-day MA of 2541.08, and below the 200-day MA of 2538.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2267.

Yakult Honsha Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥1.52T17.126.97%2.42%1.26%-13.39%
68
Neutral
¥766.46B17.667.18%2.67%-3.87%-16.49%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
¥1.11T23.735.97%2.96%2.79%-6.46%
59
Neutral
¥440.06B31.872.42%2.33%-8.76%
57
Neutral
¥311.74B25.748.17%1.49%4.14%9.91%
51
Neutral
¥83.75B-27.461.01%6.00%-139.78%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2267
Yakult Honsha Co
2,614.50
-313.33
-10.70%
JP:2593
ITO EN
3,037.00
-316.44
-9.44%
JP:2269
Meiji Holdings Co
4,027.00
1,038.00
34.73%
JP:2587
Suntory Beverage & Food
4,917.00
257.44
5.52%
JP:2264
Morinaga Milk Industry Co., Ltd.
4,961.00
2,061.73
71.11%
JP:2590
DyDo Group Holdings, Inc.
2,600.00
-391.29
-13.08%

Yakult Honsha Co Corporate Events

Yakult Honsha Overhauls Director Stock Pay to Emphasize Long-Term Performance
Feb 10, 2026

Yakult Honsha has decided to overhaul its stock remuneration framework for internal directors by introducing a new system that combines non-performance-based and performance-based share awards. The move aims to better link executive pay with the company’s medium- to long-term corporate value and share price, thereby strengthening incentives for sustainable growth and closer alignment with shareholder interests.

Under the revised scheme, the ratio of fixed, short-term cash, and long-term stock incentives for eligible directors will shift from 70:15:15 to 60:15:25, increasing the weight of equity-based compensation. The company will use a Board Benefit Trust-Restricted Stock structure, with grants tied to factors such as responsibilities, contributions to performance, and indicators including ROE, relative TSR, and employee engagement, while imposing transfer restrictions on shares during directors’ tenure to reinforce long-term commitment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2267) stock is a Hold with a Yen2582.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yakult Honsha Co stock, see the JP:2267 Stock Forecast page.

Yakult Boosts Dividend With 90th Anniversary Payout and Unveils Share Buyback
Feb 10, 2026

Yakult Honsha has revised its dividend forecast to include a 90th anniversary commemorative payout, lifting the year-end dividend for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026 to 37 yen per share and the annual dividend to 70 yen, up from the previous 66 yen projection. The move underscores its policy of progressive and continuously increasing ordinary dividends, while using the anniversary payment to deepen shareholder support.

In parallel, the company announced a share repurchase program of up to 7.5 million shares, or about 2.56% of outstanding stock, with a maximum budget of 15 billion yen to be executed between February 12 and June 18, 2026. Together with a planned cancellation of treasury shares, these actions are designed to improve capital efficiency, reduce excess liquidity, and enhance shareholder returns under its 2025–2030 medium-term management plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2267) stock is a Hold with a Yen2582.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yakult Honsha Co stock, see the JP:2267 Stock Forecast page.

Yakult Honsha Issues Supplementary Materials for Q3 FY2025 Financial Results
Feb 10, 2026

Yakult Honsha released supplementary materials for its financial statements covering the third quarter of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, detailing consolidated balance sheets, income statements, segment information and overseas dairy product sales volumes. The document also provides non-consolidated breakdowns of income and sales, along with notes on how monetary units, quantities and year-on-year percentages are presented, supporting clearer analysis by investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2267) stock is a Hold with a Yen2582.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yakult Honsha Co stock, see the JP:2267 Stock Forecast page.

Yakult Honsha Posts Lower Q3 Profits but Raises Dividend Forecast for FY2025
Feb 10, 2026

Yakult Honsha reported consolidated net sales of ¥371.8 billion for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, down 3.8% year on year, with operating profit falling 19.3% to ¥40.9 billion and ordinary profit down 19.0% to ¥55.7 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent slipped 4.6% to ¥41.6 billion, while total assets rose to ¥881.3 billion and the equity ratio remained robust at 65.7%, indicating a solid financial base despite weaker earnings.

The company revised its dividend forecast for fiscal 2025, planning a higher year-end payout of ¥37 per share including a ¥4 commemorative dividend, bringing the annual dividend to ¥70 per share. It left its full-year earnings forecast unchanged, signaling management’s confidence in meeting current guidance even as sales and profits soften, a stance that may reassure shareholders but highlights ongoing margin pressures in its core business.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2267) stock is a Hold with a Yen2582.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yakult Honsha Co stock, see the JP:2267 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025