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Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. (JP:2221)
:2221
Japanese Market

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. (2221) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2221

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd.

(2221)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,589.00
▲(18.06% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/25/25
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. has a strong financial foundation with consistent revenue growth and profitability, contributing significantly to the overall score. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which negatively impacts the score. The valuation is reasonable, suggesting potential undervaluation. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
Very high equity ratio and negligible leverage give the company durable financial flexibility. Low debt reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, supports capital allocation for working capital, product investment, or M&A, and improves resilience to demand shocks over the medium term.
Robust cash generation
A large jump in free cash flow and an operating cash flow-to-net-income ratio above 1 indicate strong convertibility of profits into cash. This sustains dividends, funds capex and new product launches, and lowers dependence on external financing for strategic initiatives.
Consistent revenue and net margin
Sustained top-line growth combined with healthy net margins reflects effective cost control and stable product demand. For a branded snack maker, this signals pricing power and repeat consumer purchases that support predictable earnings and reinvestment capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Low return on equity
Despite strong equity and low leverage, a low ROE suggests the company is not generating high returns on shareholder capital. This indicates inefficiencies in capital deployment or a low-return business mix that could constrain long-term shareholder value and limit the impact of retained earnings.
Declining EPS growth
Negative EPS growth points to pressure on per-share earnings even as revenue rises. This may reflect margin mix shifts, one-offs, or share dilution and indicates potential volatility in bottom-line performance that could persist until operating efficiency or product mix improves.
Modest operating (EBIT) margin
A modest EBIT margin limits the company’s buffer against commodity cost increases (rice, packaging) and competitive pricing. Structural margin constraints mean profitability is more sensitive to input inflation and could require sustained efficiency initiatives to protect long-term earnings power.

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. (2221) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells rice crackers in Japan. It offers black soybean rice crackers; vegetable rice crackers with carrot, cabbage, and spinach; fish rice crackers with domestic sardine powder and carrot; quick-dissolving crackers; and rice crackers with soy sauce, roasted salt, and sugar coating. The company was formerly known as Iwatsuka Nosan Kakojo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. in 1960. Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Nagaoka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIwatsuka Confectionery generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its confectionery products to retail and wholesale distributors both in Japan and overseas. The company benefits from strong brand loyalty and a well-established distribution network that includes supermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms. Key revenue streams include the sale of seasonal and specialty items, which tend to see higher demand during festivals and holidays. Additionally, Iwatsuka Confectionery may engage in partnerships with other food companies or brands to co-develop products or packaging solutions, further diversifying its revenue sources. Factors contributing to its earnings include effective marketing strategies, product innovation, and the ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences.

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability. The company maintains robust margins and effective cost management. The balance sheet shows financial stability with low leverage, and cash flow analysis indicates strong cash generation capabilities. However, there is room for improvement in operating efficiency and return on equity.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, marking a 13.4% growth from 2024 to 2025. The company has maintained solid gross and EBIT margins, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. The net profit margin also improved significantly, reaching 11.7% in 2025, which is a strong indicator of net profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains relatively modest, highlighting some potential inefficiencies in converting revenue into operating profit.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
The balance sheet of Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. is strong, with a high equity ratio of 74.6% in 2025, indicating financial stability and low leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is minimal at 0.01, showcasing prudent financial management and low reliance on debt. Return on Equity (ROE) stands at a healthy 4.3%, although there is potential room for improvement in terms of generating higher returns on shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals robust financial health, with a substantial increase in free cash flow by 131.4% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.35, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, indicating a solid capacity to generate cash surplus after covering capital expenditures. These metrics emphasize strong cash flow management and the company's ability to fund operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.11B24.95B22.00B20.39B18.04B22.17B
Gross Profit7.12B6.96B5.76B4.66B4.26B8.54B
EBITDA5.65B5.52B4.26B6.93B2.49B3.71B
Net Income2.86B2.91B1.96B3.97B828.07M2.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets94.77B91.10B85.75B83.56B96.28B76.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.31B4.06B2.84B4.54B1.78B1.27B
Total Debt796.16M405.20M806.00M1.21B2.01B2.02B
Total Liabilities24.40B23.15B21.95B21.49B26.59B20.32B
Stockholders Equity70.37B67.95B63.81B62.06B69.69B56.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.95B842.78M3.74B662.41M-2.43B
Operating Cash Flow0.003.94B2.76B5.34B2.38B3.57B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.07B-1.84B-1.56B-1.76B-5.83B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-653.71M-2.61B-1.02B-108.53M1.77B

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3040.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3123.30
Positive
100DMA
3058.82
Positive
200DMA
3039.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
50.39
Positive
RSI
57.03
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2221, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3040 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3249.75, below the 50-day MA of 3123.30, and above the 200-day MA of 3039.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 50.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2221.

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥223.18B12.3513.33%3.47%4.21%23.86%
75
Outperform
¥32.20B10.021.23%6.74%29.20%
72
Outperform
¥77.72B6.881.55%5.78%14.23%
69
Neutral
¥54.23B20.674.63%7.74%0.96%
66
Neutral
¥37.52B14.060.84%15.03%-26.43%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
49
Neutral
¥63.35B32.061.14%8.17%10.65%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2221
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd.
3,235.00
467.00
16.87%
JP:2201
Morinaga & Co
2,714.50
291.56
12.03%
JP:2208
Bourbon Corporation
3,235.00
748.09
30.08%
JP:2209
Imuraya Group Co., Ltd.
2,461.00
38.98
1.61%
JP:2211
Fujiya Co., Ltd.
2,458.00
160.23
6.97%
JP:2216
KANRO Co., Ltd.
1,196.00
130.41
12.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025