Tama Home Co., Ltd. (1419) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥116.78B
• Dividend Yield: 5.49%
• Average Volume (3M): 112.78K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 47.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.57
• Revenue Growth: -16.48%
• EPS Growth: -77.63%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 3,420
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): 65.59
• Shares Outstanding: 29,455,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 126,440
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 112,780
• PEG Ratio: -0.84
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.52
• P/FCF Ratio: 196.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥3,300.00
• Price Target Upside: -7.82% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): 59.8
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥202.80B

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥4,120.00 ▲(15.08% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/22/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/22/25

Tama Home Co., Ltd. faces significant challenges with declining revenue growth and cash flow issues, impacting its financial performance. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns despite a strong dividend yield. These factors collectively result in a cautious outlook.

Positive Factors

Prefabricated, sustainable business model

Tama Home's prefabrication and sustainability focus create durable structural advantages: standardized production lowers unit costs and shortens build cycles, while energy-efficient offerings match regulatory and consumer shifts. These traits support stable demand and margin resilience over months.

Diversified revenue streams and partnerships

Multiple revenue channels and institutional partnerships reduce concentration risk and provide repeatable project pipelines. Ancillary financing and property management create fee-based income and customer lock-in, smoothing cash flows and supporting resilience across cycles.

Operational efficiency (positive EBIT/EBITDA)

Sustained positive operating margins indicate controlled costs and scalable operations. Even with top-line pressure, EBITDA strength helps preserve cash generation, funds necessary reinvestment, and provides a buffer to absorb short-term volatility without immediate structural impairments.

Negative Factors

Declining revenue growth

Meaningful top-line contraction reduces operating leverage and undermines scale economics. Persistent revenue declines can compress margins, reduce free cash flow, limit reinvestment capacity for product and market expansion, and weaken long-term competitive positioning if not reversed.

Material free cash flow deterioration

A severe drop in free cash flow constrains liquidity and strategic flexibility, increasing reliance on external financing. That weakens the firm's ability to fund capex, repay debt, sustain dividends, or invest in growth initiatives, posing a durable risk to financial health.

Falling profitability and ROE

Declining ROE and compressed profit margins signal worsening returns on invested capital. Over time this reduces shareholder value creation and limits funds available for strategic investments, potentially forcing trade-offs between growth, dividends, and balance-sheet repair.

Tama Home Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tama Home Co., Ltd. engages in the construction, architectural design, real estate, and insurance agency businesses in Japan. The company operates through Housing, Real Estate, Financial, and Energy segments. The Housing segment constructs custom-built homes; and offers home renovation, landscaping, and other works, as well as provides support of drawing with CAD. The Real Estate segment sells residential lots and detached homes; plans, develops, and sells condominiums; subleases office buildings; and sells comparted ownership of office floors. The Financial segment offers insurance agency services for fire and earthquake, as well as additional policies and agency services; and bridge loans. The Energy segment administers and manages solar generation facilities. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Tama Home Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of prefabricated homes and residential buildings. The company earns income from direct home sales, custom home design services, and various construction contracts. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from partnerships with local governments and private developers for residential and commercial projects. Additionally, Tama Home may benefit from ancillary services such as financing options for homebuyers and property management services, enhancing its overall revenue streams. The company's commitment to sustainable construction practices may also attract environmentally conscious consumers, potentially leading to increased sales and market share.

Tama Home Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tama Home Co., Ltd. faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation, impacting its overall financial health. Operational efficiency is a strength, but declining profitability and cash flow management need improvement.

Income Statement

Tama Home Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -8.35% in the most recent year. Gross profit margin and net profit margin have decreased, indicating pressure on profitability. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased, reflecting reduced profitability from equity. The equity ratio remains stable, showing a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow growth has been negative, with a significant decline of -130.913% in the latest period, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the free cash flow to net income ratio has weakened, indicating potential liquidity challenges.

Breakdown	May 2024	May 2023	May 2022	May 2021	May 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	200.82B	247.73B	256.06B	240.76B	218.09B
Gross Profit	51.11B	58.85B	61.64B	55.26B	52.22B
EBITDA	5.71B	15.21B	15.34B	13.93B	12.26B
Net Income	1.48B	8.75B	8.71B	8.28B	7.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	92.30B	89.59B	111.51B	105.08B	100.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	31.00B	26.11B	34.32B	33.47B	32.68B
Total Debt	19.05B	9.14B	18.45B	16.73B	15.08B
Total Liabilities	58.02B	51.26B	76.59B	74.16B	74.00B
Stockholders Equity	34.25B	38.30B	34.88B	30.87B	26.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	528.00M	6.29B	3.61B	2.54B	15.98B
Operating Cash Flow	2.25B	8.28B	6.38B	4.58B	17.64B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.74B	-2.01B	-2.63B	-1.99B	-1.52B
Financing Cash Flow	4.39B	-14.55B	-2.99B	-1.82B	-14.44B

Tama Home Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3580.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1419, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3580 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3885.25, below the 50-day MA of 3730.80, and below the 200-day MA of 3622.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 66.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1419.

Tama Home Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1928	74 Outperform	¥2.49T	12.40	11.12%	4.17%	9.27%	-11.27%
1808	73 Outperform	¥888.99B	17.14	7.50%	2.92%	7.42%	-16.64%
8892	66 Neutral	¥109.20B	12.37	―	4.20%	27.02%	45.62%
1911	64 Neutral	¥1.03T	9.73	11.28%	3.21%	10.17%	-19.40%
1420	64 Neutral	¥8.47B	15.87	―	3.58%	10.75%	117.39%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
1419	56 Neutral	¥116.78B	47.87	―	5.49%	-16.48%	-77.63%

Tama Home Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tama Home’s Cumulative Orders Decline Despite Solid Renovation Demand

Tama Home reported monthly orders for January 2026 showing mixed year-on-year performance across its core housing segments. On a single-month basis, orders were 93% of the prior year for custom-built homes, 100% for detached homes, and 107% for home renovations, underscoring resilience in renovation demand despite softer custom-building.

Cumulatively from June 2025 to January 2026, total orders stood at 85% of the previous year on a gross profit basis, indicating overall contraction in demand despite some strong individual months and categories. The provisional data suggest that while certain segments such as detached homes and renovations occasionally outperformed, the company continues to face a challenging environment in its mainstay custom-built housing business.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1419) stock is a Hold with a Yen3408.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tama Home Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1419 Stock Forecast page.

Tama Home Narrows Interim Losses but Lowers Equity Ratio as It Targets Full-Year Profit Recovery

Tama Home reported consolidated net sales of ¥88.4 billion for the six months ended 30 November 2025, down 5.7% year on year, and remained in the red with an operating loss of ¥1.1 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥0.9 billion, although the loss narrowed compared with the same period a year earlier. The balance sheet weakened over the half year, with equity falling from ¥34.2 billion to ¥27.5 billion and the equity ratio dropping from 37.1% to 29.7%, yet the company maintained a shareholder-return stance by keeping its interim dividend at zero and planning a full-year dividend of ¥196 per share, in line with the previous year. Despite the interim loss, Tama Home raised its full-year forecast, now projecting ¥209 billion in net sales (up 4.1%), ¥4.7 billion in operating profit and ¥1.35 billion in net profit, signaling management’s expectation of a recovery in profitability in the second half and an effort to reassure investors about its earnings trajectory and capital policy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1419) stock is a Hold with a Yen3408.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tama Home Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1419 Stock Forecast page.