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Tama Home Co., Ltd.
(1419)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,162.00
▲(5.44% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/15/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating fundamentals—declining revenue, sharply compressed margins, and weak/negative free cash flow—despite a balance sheet that is still broadly manageable. Technicals provide some support with improving near-term momentum, and valuation is offsetting (high dividend yield vs. a high P/E given current earnings/cash-flow pressure).
Positive Factors
Manageable Leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity (~0.51) and recent improvement provide structural financial flexibility for a cyclical homebuilder. This level of leverage helps absorb demand swings, supports access to credit for land and construction needs, and reduces insolvency risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
Sustained revenue declines over multiple years reduce scale and make fixed-cost absorption harder in a fixed‑cost heavy homebuilding model. Lower sales volumes can prolong margin pressure, weaken bargaining power with suppliers, and limit the firm's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable Leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity (~0.51) and recent improvement provide structural financial flexibility for a cyclical homebuilder. This level of leverage helps absorb demand swings, supports access to credit for land and construction needs, and reduces insolvency risk over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Tama Home Co., Ltd. (1419) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥85.80B
Dividend Yield4.26%
Average Volume (3M)112.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)70.1
Beta (1Y)0.45
Revenue Growth-1.53%
EPS Growth-17.93%
CountryJP
Employees3,272
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryResidential Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)41.84
Shares Outstanding29,455,800
10 Day Avg. Volume126,440
30 Day Avg. Volume112,780
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.88
Price to Book (P/B)2.85
Price to Sales (P/S)0.43
P/FCF Ratio-1.11K
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥2,600.00Price Target Upside-13.30% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)165.3
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥222.90B
Tama Home Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Founded in 1998 and based in Tokyo, Japan, Tama Home Co., Ltd. operates across several key sectors, including construction, property development, architectural solutions, and insurance brokerage. Its activities are organized into four principal di...
How the Company Makes Money
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Tama Home Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
| Breakdown | May 2025 | May 2024 | May 2023 | May 2022 | May 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 197.74B | 200.82B | 247.73B | 256.06B | 240.76B |
| Gross Profit | 47.91B | 48.98B | 56.92B | 60.00B | 53.94B |
| EBITDA | 6.21B | 6.60B | 14.88B | 15.26B | 13.51B |
| Net Income | 1.21B | 1.48B | 8.75B | 8.71B | 8.28B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 86.47B | 92.30B | 89.59B | 111.67B | 105.25B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 21.18B | 31.00B | 26.11B | 34.32B | 33.47B |
| Total Debt | 15.10B | 19.07B | 9.15B | 18.46B | 16.76B |
| Total Liabilities | 56.77B | 58.02B | 51.26B | 76.75B | 74.33B |
| Stockholders Equity | 29.67B | 34.25B | 38.30B | 34.88B | 30.87B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -76.00M | 528.00M | 6.34B | 3.67B | 2.73B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 926.00M | 2.25B | 8.28B | 6.38B | 4.58B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.16B | -1.74B | -2.01B | -2.63B | -1.99B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -9.63B | 4.39B | -14.55B | -2.99B | -1.82B |
Tama Home Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
2999.00
Price Trends
2930.36
Positive
3253.84
Negative
3416.31
Negative
Market Momentum
-16.52
Positive
45.56
Neutral
14.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1419, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2999 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2975.05, above the 50-day MA of 2930.36, and below the 200-day MA of 3416.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -16.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1419.
Tama Home Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | ¥2.20T | 8.63 | 12.68% | 3.96% | 0.89% | 28.16% | |
63 Neutral | ¥732.84B | 11.66 | 10.23% | 2.92% | 10.26% | 82.37% | |
61 Neutral | ¥830.18B | 9.63 | 10.76% | 3.21% | 14.40% | -22.06% | |
61 Neutral | ¥7.68B | 9.59 | ― | 3.58% | -5.27% | -42.46% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | ¥103.96B | 10.02 | ― | 4.20% | 15.51% | 1.53% | |
53 Neutral | ¥85.80B | 70.10 | ― | 4.17% | -1.53% | -17.93% |
* General Sector Average
JP:1419
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Tama Home Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Tama Home strengthens board with internal promotions while keeping top leadership in place
Jul 28, 2026
Tama Home Co., Ltd. has proposed a largely unchanged slate of directors, including the reappointment of President and Representative Director Shinya Tamaki and Chairman Yasuhiro Tamaki, with board elections to be finalized at the August 26, 2026 a...
Tama Home Q&A Highlights Profit Drivers and Growth Strategy in Real Estate
Jul 17, 2026
Tama Home Co., Ltd. reported that operating profit growth in its real estate segment for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2026 was driven by strong performance in detached housing development and the sale of an entire office building. Favorable land ...
Tama Home Books Asset Impairments Despite Relocation Compensation Boost
Jul 14, 2026
Tama Home Co., Ltd. reported that for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2026, it booked 171 million yen in extraordinary income as compensation related to the relocation of its Moriyama Branch tied to a local public works project. In parallel, the com...
Tama Home Shifts Order Reporting Basis, Shows Mixed June 2026 Demand Trends
Jul 14, 2026
Tama Home Co., Ltd. has revised its reporting methodology for monthly order intake ratios, shifting from a gross profit basis to an order value basis effective with the June 2026 report. The June 2026 data show year-on-year order value changes of ...
Tama Home Launches Five-Year “Tama Step 2031” Plan to Boost Profitability and ROE
Jul 14, 2026
Tama Home Co., Ltd., a Japanese homebuilder known for its focus on affordable, quality housing, is repositioning its group operations amid a structurally shrinking housing market. The company plans to harness its existing base in custom-built home...
Tama Home Cuts Dividend as Fiscal 2026 Profit Slides, Eyes Strong Rebound in 2027
Jul 14, 2026
Tama Home reported consolidated net sales of ¥197.7 billion for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2026, down 1.5% year on year, with operating profit falling 6.6% to ¥3.8 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent declining 17.9...
Tama Home Orders Rebound in May but Trail Year-Ago Levels on Cumulative Basis
Jun 11, 2026
Tama Home Co., Ltd. reported monthly orders data for May 2026, showing overall orders at 103% year on year on a gross profit basis, with strong growth in detached homes at 141% and home renovation at 114%, offset by weaker custom-build homes at 77...
Tama Home Sees April Order Rebound but Cumulative Sales Trail Prior Year
May 12, 2026
Tama Home Co., Ltd. reported April 2026 monthly orders at 108% year-on-year for custom-built homes, 116% for detached homes and 109% for home renovation, driving total single-month orders to 109% versus the prior year. Despite this strong April pe...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.