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Sumitomo Forestry Co Ltd (JP:1911)
:1911

Sumitomo Forestry Co (1911) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1911

Sumitomo Forestry Co

(1911)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,517.00
▼(-3.93% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily driven by solid but uneven financial performance: profitability remains positive and revenue has grown, but higher leverage, margin compression, and volatile cash flow reduce confidence. Valuation is a key positive (low P/E and a ~3.2% dividend yield). Technicals are mixed, with near-term weakness versus the 20-day average but longer-term support above the 200-day average.
Positive Factors
Integrated vertical business model
Sumitomo Forestry's vertically integrated model—from forestry and timber processing to building materials and home construction—permits capture of margin across multiple value-chain stages. This structural integration supports resilience to supply shocks and provides recurring project and product revenue streams over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
A material step-up in debt elevates interest costs and reduces financial flexibility. If housing demand softens or margins remain compressed, higher leverage constrains the company's ability to absorb shocks, limits capital allocation choices and increases refinancing and covenant risks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated vertical business model
Sumitomo Forestry's vertically integrated model—from forestry and timber processing to building materials and home construction—permits capture of margin across multiple value-chain stages. This structural integration supports resilience to supply shocks and provides recurring project and product revenue streams over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Sumitomo Forestry Co (1911) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sumitomo Forestry Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. engages in the timber and building materials, housing and construction, overseas housing and real estate, environment and resources, and other businesses in Japan, the United States, and internationally. The company's T...
How the Company Makes Money
Sumitomo Forestry makes money through a mix of product sales and project-based revenues across the wood supply chain and housing operations. Key revenue streams include: (1) Residential housing and construction: revenue from designing, constructin...

Sumitomo Forestry Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is solid but not robust: revenue scaled over 2020–2025 and profitability remains positive, but 2025 showed margin compression and lower net income despite higher revenue. Balance sheet risk increased with a sharp rise in debt and higher leverage, and cash flow has been volatile with an FCF dip negative in 2024 and inconsistent cash conversion.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.15T2.27T2.05T1.73T1.67T1.39T
Gross Profit516.35B524.65B502.95B408.83B392.97B321.99B
EBITDA222.43B204.53B230.96B172.44B178.91B132.25B
Net Income108.60B106.67B116.53B102.17B108.67B87.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.25T2.57T2.26T1.82T1.54T1.31T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments177.18B185.41B211.10B182.23B156.93B178.26B
Total Debt671.20B769.47B613.41B423.87B348.32B302.76B
Total Liabilities1.27T1.44T1.24T998.26B855.04B774.14B
Stockholders Equity878.28B1.00T920.42B754.15B627.61B495.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0023.46B-36.77B96.91B23.28B70.96B
Operating Cash Flow0.0094.67B27.08B125.30B55.28B91.58B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-131.42B-122.92B-109.09B-50.70B-40.13B
Financing Cash Flow0.0037.41B121.04B6.83B-34.68B-7.15B

Sumitomo Forestry Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1579.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1640.29
Negative
100DMA
1610.61
Negative
200DMA
1599.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-67.34
Positive
RSI
33.35
Neutral
STOCH
22.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1911, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1579 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1518.70, below the 50-day MA of 1640.29, and below the 200-day MA of 1599.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -67.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1911.

Sumitomo Forestry Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥671.41B9.635.64%4.02%0.20%44.96%
73
Outperform
¥788.56B14.737.50%2.92%7.42%-16.64%
69
Neutral
¥2.30T9.6011.84%4.17%9.27%-11.27%
66
Neutral
¥108.25B12.824.20%27.02%45.62%
64
Neutral
¥880.17B9.2111.28%3.21%10.17%-19.40%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
¥116.92B13.825.49%-16.48%-77.63%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1911
Sumitomo Forestry Co
1,426.00
-83.37
-5.52%
JP:3291
Iida Group Holdings Co
2,447.50
162.68
7.12%
JP:1808
Haseko
2,979.50
1,040.83
53.69%
JP:1928
Sekisui House
3,520.00
244.48
7.46%
JP:1419
Tama Home Co., Ltd.
3,990.00
545.82
15.85%
JP:8892
ES-CON JAPAN Ltd.
1,137.00
111.64
10.89%

Sumitomo Forestry Co Corporate Events

Sumitomo Forestry to Issue Non-Dilutive Bond-Type Class Shares to Bolster Equity
Feb 13, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry plans to issue bond-type class shares that will be treated as equity under Japan’s Companies Act, allowing the entire issue amount to be booked as equity for accounting purposes and half treated as equity for rating purpose...
Sumitomo Forestry to Add Bond-Type Class Shares to Fund Overseas Growth Drive
Feb 13, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry plans to amend its Articles of Incorporation to introduce up to 10 classes of so-called Bond-Type Class Shares, enabling equity financing that avoids dilution of voting rights for existing common shareholders. The move aligns wit...
Sumitomo Forestry to Acquire Tri Pointe Homes in Push to Become Top U.S. Builder
Feb 13, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry has agreed to acquire 100% of U.S. homebuilder Tri Pointe Homes through its subsidiary Sumitomo Forestry America, making Tri Pointe a consolidated and specified subsidiary once regulatory and shareholder approvals are secured. Th...
Sumitomo Forestry Raises Year-End Dividend, Reinforces Shareholder Return Policy
Feb 13, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry has approved an increase in its year-end dividend for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, raising the planned payout from ¥25 to ¥28 per share, with a total dividend of ¥17.295 billion to be paid from retained...
Sumitomo Forestry Grows Revenue but Sees Profit Decline, Cuts 2026 Dividend Outlook
Feb 13, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry reported consolidated net sales of ¥2.27 trillion for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, up 10.4% year on year, but operating income fell 13.3% to ¥168.7 billion and net income attributable to shareholders decline...
Sumitomo Forestry and Kumagai Gumi Trim Cross-Shareholdings While Deepening Strategic Alliance
Jan 8, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. and Kumagai Gumi Co., Ltd. announced a mutual reduction of their cross-shareholdings within their long-standing capital and business alliance, aiming to improve capital efficiency and enhance shareholder value while mai...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026