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Sumitomo Forestry Co Ltd (JP:1911)
:1911
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Sumitomo Forestry Co (1911) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1911

Sumitomo Forestry Co

(1911)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,459.00
▼(-7.60% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is primarily held back by financial quality concerns—higher leverage, margin/earnings pressure, and volatile cash flow—despite solid multi-year revenue growth. Technicals are notably weak with a sustained downtrend, partially offset by a comparatively attractive valuation supported by a moderate P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
Consistent multi-year revenue scaling through 2025 indicates expanding market reach and sustained demand in core housing and materials segments. Durable top-line growth supports reinvestment, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a revenue base for medium-term capacity and product investments even amid margin pressure.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Material debt growth and a higher debt-to-equity ratio increase financial leverage and reduce flexibility. In a cyclically sensitive residential construction business, elevated leverage raises refinancing and interest-rate risks, amplifying earnings volatility and constraining capital allocation during weaker housing conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
Consistent multi-year revenue scaling through 2025 indicates expanding market reach and sustained demand in core housing and materials segments. Durable top-line growth supports reinvestment, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a revenue base for medium-term capacity and product investments even amid margin pressure.
Read all positive factors

Sumitomo Forestry Co (1911) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sumitomo Forestry Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. is a long-established Japanese corporation with a significant global footprint, conducting diverse operations across Japan, the United States, and various international markets. Its business model is structured around s...
How the Company Makes Money
Sumitomo Forestry makes money primarily by selling residential homes and related services, and secondarily through the sale and distribution of wood-based materials and real-estate-related activities. 1) Housing / Homebuilding and renovation: A m...

Sumitomo Forestry Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth has been meaningful and profitability remains positive, but 2025 shows margin compression and a year-over-year net income decline. Balance sheet risk has risen with a sharp increase in debt, and cash flow has been volatile with uneven cash conversion (including a negative free cash flow year in 2024).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.29T2.27T2.05T1.73T1.67T1.39T
Gross Profit519.75B524.65B502.95B408.83B392.97B321.99B
EBITDA224.51B229.22B236.12B191.38B212.16B154.75B
Net Income103.24B106.67B116.53B102.17B108.67B87.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.61T2.57T2.26T1.82T1.54T1.31T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments156.56B185.41B211.10B182.23B156.93B178.26B
Total Debt775.30B769.47B613.41B423.87B348.32B302.76B
Total Liabilities1.43T1.44T1.24T998.26B855.04B774.14B
Stockholders Equity1.04T1.00T920.42B754.15B627.61B495.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0023.46B-36.77B96.91B23.28B70.96B
Operating Cash Flow0.0094.67B27.08B125.30B55.28B91.58B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-131.42B-122.92B-109.09B-50.70B-40.13B
Financing Cash Flow0.0037.41B121.04B6.83B-34.68B-7.15B

Sumitomo Forestry Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1579.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1330.49
Positive
100DMA
1342.55
Negative
200DMA
1468.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.78
Positive
RSI
48.79
Neutral
STOCH
47.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1911, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1579 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1348.72, above the 50-day MA of 1330.49, and above the 200-day MA of 1468.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1911.

Sumitomo Forestry Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥2.20T8.6312.68%3.96%0.89%28.16%
63
Neutral
¥732.84B11.6610.23%2.92%10.26%82.37%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
¥830.18B9.6310.76%3.21%14.40%-22.06%
59
Neutral
¥627.11B9.056.36%4.47%7.21%46.19%
54
Neutral
¥103.96B10.024.20%15.51%1.53%
53
Neutral
¥85.80B70.104.17%-1.53%-17.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1911
Sumitomo Forestry Co
1,337.00
-359.09
-21.17%
JP:3291
Iida Group Holdings Co
2,307.50
127.91
5.87%
JP:1808
Haseko
2,783.00
441.57
18.86%
JP:1928
Sekisui House
3,426.00
143.03
4.36%
JP:1419
Tama Home Co., Ltd.
2,933.00
-640.29
-17.92%
JP:8892
ES-CON JAPAN Ltd.
1,106.00
154.89
16.28%

Sumitomo Forestry Co Corporate Events

Sumitomo Forestry Completes $4 Billion Tri Pointe Homes Deal, Ascending in U.S. Housing Market
May 14, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry has completed the acquisition of 100% of U.S. homebuilder Tri Pointe Homes for approximately US$4.0 billion, funded initially by a large yen-denominated loan that it plans to refinance through long-term financing. Tri Pointe Home...
Sumitomo Forestry Q1 Sales Edge Higher but Profits Slide as Margins Tighten
May 14, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry reported consolidated net sales of ¥532.1 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, a 4.0% year-on-year increase, while operating income dropped 38.5% to ¥23.9 billion and net income attributable to shareholders fel...
Sumitomo Forestry Secures ¥835.1 Billion Loan to Fund Tri Pointe Homes Acquisition
May 7, 2026
Sumitomo Forestry has approved a new loan agreement with Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, securing up to ¥835.1 billion via a one-year, floating-rate facility to finance the planned 100% acquisition of U.S. homebuilder Tri Pointe Homes an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026