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JELD-WEN Inc (JELD)
NYSE:JELD

JELD-WEN (JELD) AI Stock Analysis

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JELD

JELD-WEN

(NYSE:JELD)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-19.35% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—sharp profitability deterioration, negative free cash flow, and severe balance-sheet stress from equity erosion with high debt. Technicals reinforce the risk with a strong downtrend (despite oversold signals), while valuation remains constrained by ongoing losses. The earnings call adds some credit for operational progress and liquidity actions, but guidance points to continued revenue pressure, expected cash use, and elevated leverage.
Positive Factors
Operational/service improvements
Sustained improvements in on-time-in-full and right-first-time at Kissimmee reflect durable operational capability gains. Higher fulfillment reliability reduces past-due orders, warranty/service costs and customer churn, supporting stable revenue retention and improving realized margins over quarters.
Structural cost & productivity actions
Material, recurring rightsizing and productivity savings create a structural margin floor that helps offset cyclical volume weakness. Persistent cost reductions improve operating leverage and free cash flow potential, increasing resilience during down cycles and aiding gradual deleveraging.
Improved liquidity headroom and tenor
A meaningful revolver capacity and absence of near-term maturities provide a multi-quarter funding runway to execute turnaround plans. This reduces immediate refinancing pressure, allowing management to prioritize structural fixes and rightsizing rather than urgent liquidity actions.
Negative Factors
Severely weakened balance sheet
Equity erosion and extremely high leverage materially limit financial flexibility. With a thin equity cushion, the company is exposed to even modest earnings or asset-value shocks, increasing covenant and refinancing risks and constraining strategic investment or M&A optionality for many quarters.
Negative and volatile cash generation
Sustained negative free cash flow hinders debt reduction and re-investment capacity. Volatile operating cash makes it harder to fund capex, transformation or working capital needs without drawing revolver capacity, perpetuating leverage and increasing reliance on non-operating liquidity fixes.
Prolonged volume loss and margin pressure
Multi-year revenue declines and compressed margins reflect structural demand weakness and price/cost headwinds. Continued share loss and lower volumes reduce fixed-cost absorption and make margin recovery dependent on sustained market improvement or further structural cost cuts, delaying deleveraging.

JELD-WEN (JELD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JELD-WEN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJELD-WEN Holding, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells doors and windows primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia. The company offers a line of residential interior and exterior door products, including patio doors, and folding or sliding wall systems; non-residential doors; and wood, vinyl, aluminum, and wood composite windows. It also provides other ancillary products and services, such as shower enclosures and wardrobes, moldings, trim boards, lumber, cutstocks, glasses, staircases, hardware and locks, cabinets, and screens, as well as molded door skins, and miscellaneous installation and other services. The company markets its products under the JELD-WEN, Swedoor, DANA, Corinthian, Stegbar, LaCantina, VPI, and Breezway brands. It serves wholesale distributors and retailers, as well as individual contractors and consumers. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyJELD-WEN primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling doors and windows and related building-product systems to customers involved in new construction and repair-and-remodel activity. Revenue is generated when the company fulfills product orders, with pricing generally based on product type (e.g., interior doors vs. exterior/entry systems vs. windows), specifications (dimensions, materials, finishes, glass/performance options, hardware), and service/fulfillment requirements (made-to-order vs. standard SKUs, delivery logistics). Key revenue streams include (1) door sales—covering interior doors, exterior/entry door systems, and patio doors—sold through professional distribution and other sales channels, and (2) window sales—sold to similar end markets and channels. The company’s earnings are influenced by demand cycles in housing and renovation, the mix of higher- vs. lower-value products and configurations, the ability to pass through raw-material and freight cost changes via pricing, and operational execution across manufacturing and distribution. Specific material partnerships, customer concentration details, or explicit contractual arrangements are not available in the provided context and are therefore null.

JELD-WEN Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Reveals how much sales come from each region, showing where JELD‑WEN is strongest and where demand or pricing power is growing or shrinking. Highlights exposure to local housing cycles and concentration risk, which affects revenue stability and opportunities for geographic expansion.
Chart InsightsNorth America — long the revenue engine — has tumbled in 2025 and is the proximate cause of JELD‑WEN’s sharply lowered guidance; Europe has been a slow, persistent downtrend and is now under active strategic review, signaling potential disposals or restructuring. Australasian revenue drops to zero in reporting, increasing geographic concentration in already‑weak markets and amplifying downside. Management’s headcount cuts and cost savings provide some cushion, but higher leverage and housing‑market weakness make a meaningful near‑term recovery unlikely.
Data provided by:The Fly

JELD-WEN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational progress and disciplined financial actions against ongoing market softness and profitability pressures. Positives include delivering at the high end of guidance, meaningful service and productivity improvements (notably at Kissimmee), structural cost reductions, improved cash management and added liquidity from a sale-leaseback. Negatives include continued volume-driven revenue declines (Q4 revenue down 10%), a sharp drop in adjusted EBITDA and margins, rising leverage (8.6x net debt leverage), ongoing input cost pressure, and an expected free cash flow use in 2026. Management’s tone is cautious and focused on controllable actions rather than expecting a near-term market recovery.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Delivered at the High End of Guidance
Fourth quarter results came in at the high end of the sales and adjusted EBITDA ranges. Full year 2025 sales were $3.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $120 million, in line with upper-end guidance provided after Q3.
Operational and Service Improvements
Implemented a new A3 operating system across manufacturing. Example: Kissimmee plant improved on-time-in-full/right-first-time from ~55% in 2024 to consistently above 95% by year-end 2025; past-due orders reduced from >$5 million to ~ $200,000; inventory accuracy and material flow improved.
Cost Actions and Productivity Benefits
Structural labor and cost actions executed, including ~14% reduction in full-time positions (~2,300 people). Productivity contributed ~$12 million benefit in Q4 and SG&A was ~$12 million lower year-over-year. Guidance includes ~$75 million benefits from rightsizing and ~$35 million carryover from transformation.
Strong Liquidity Actions and Cash Management
Free cash flow in the quarter was approximately $20 million ahead of expectations (despite higher capex due to carryover projects). Completed a sale-leaseback of Coral Springs facility generating ~ $38 million net proceeds. Year-end liquidity: ~$136 million cash and ~ $350 million revolver availability; no debt maturities until December 2027.
Conservative, Disciplined Guidance
Provided cautious 2026 guidance reflecting disciplined pricing and cost management: net revenue $2.95 billion–$3.1 billion, core revenue decline 5%–10%, adjusted EBITDA $100 million–$150 million, operating cash flow ~$40 million and capex ~$100 million (free cash flow use ~ $60 million).
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline and Volume Pressure
Q4 net revenue was $802 million, down 10% year-over-year from $896 million. Core revenue declined 8%, with volume being the primary driver. North America Q4 revenue declined from $640 million to $522 million.
Significant Decline in Adjusted EBITDA and Margins
Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $15 million (1.8% of sales) versus $40 million (4.5%) in the prior-year quarter. North America adjusted EBITDA fell to $14 million (2.6% margin) from $42 million (6.6%). Europe adjusted EBITDA declined to $12 million (4.1% margin) from $17 million (6.5%).
Price/Cost Headwinds and Input Inflation
Q4 saw ~ $21 million of adjusted EBITDA pressure from price/cost dynamics and an additional ~ $21 million headwind from lower volumes. Company expects continued cost inflation (tariffs, glass, metals) to modestly outpace pricing, and cites a $10 million price/cost headwind in 2026 planning.
Higher Leverage and Expected Cash Use
Net debt leverage increased to 8.6x at year-end, driven by earnings weakness rather than new borrowing. Company expects a free cash flow use of ~ $60 million in 2026 and plans to use the revolver in Q1 for seasonal working capital needs.
Share Loss and Prolonged Market Weakness
Guidance assumes a ~$60 million headwind from share loss in 2026 due to deliberate pricing discipline and lingering effects of prior service challenges. Management does not assume a near-term market recovery; North American market expected down low- to mid-single digits and Canada expected to decline high single digits.
Divestiture and One-Time Disruptions
Court-ordered divestiture of Towanda reduced reported Q4 revenue by ~$41 million and adjusted EBITDA by ~$7 million. Management also noted earlier-year service disruptions and operational transitions that contributed to underperformance versus initial expectations.
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 net revenue of $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion with core revenue down 5%–10% and adjusted EBITDA of $100 million to $150 million (midpoint $125 million), noting FY‑2025 sales were $3.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $120 million; Q4 revenue was $802 million (down 10% YoY) with Q4 adjusted EBITDA $15 million (1.8% of sales) including roughly $7 million of timing items. They expect operating cash flow of ~ $40 million, capital expenditures of ~ $100 million and a free cash flow use of ~ $60 million (weighted to Q1), plan to use the revolver seasonally in Q1 and pay most down by year‑end, and finished the year with ~$136 million cash and ~$350 million revolver availability (net proceeds of ~ $38 million from a Coral Springs sale‑leaseback). The 2026 EBITDA bridge assumes roughly a $25 million market volume/mix headwind, a $60 million share‑loss headwind, a $10 million price/cost headwind, offset by ~$75 million from rightsizing and ~$35 million of carryover transformation benefits (with ~ $10 million of compensation/timing headwinds), and reported net debt leverage of 8.6x with no debt maturities until December 2027 and a minimum liquidity covenant of ~ $40 million.

JELD-WEN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is highly stressed: multi-year revenue declines, margins swung to deeply negative in 2024–2025, and cash generation deteriorated to negative free cash flow. The biggest red flag is the 2025 balance sheet—equity collapsed while debt stayed elevated, leaving very high leverage and limited flexibility.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Profitability has deteriorated sharply. Revenue has been shrinking for multiple years (down ~2.8% in 2025 vs. 2024 and down again in 2024 vs. 2023), while margins swung from modestly profitable in 2021–2023 to deeply negative in 2024–2025. In 2025, gross margin fell to ~16% (vs. ~18% in 2024 and ~19% in 2023) and the company reported a large net loss (~-19% net margin), signaling significant cost/price pressure and/or sizable charges. The main positive is that the business previously showed it can produce positive earnings (2020–2023), but the current earnings trajectory is decisively unfavorable.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
Leverage and equity erosion are the key concerns. Total debt stayed elevated (~$1.33B in 2025, roughly flat vs. 2024), but stockholders’ equity collapsed to ~$94M in 2025 from ~$620M in 2024, pushing debt-to-equity to ~14.1x (vs. ~2.1x in 2024). Total assets also declined materially from 2024 to 2025, consistent with a weakened balance sheet. Returns to shareholders turned strongly negative in 2025, reflecting the loss and reduced equity base. While leverage was more manageable in 2020–2024, the 2025 balance sheet profile is highly stressed and leaves limited financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation weakened meaningfully. Operating cash flow fell from +$106M in 2024 and +$345M in 2023 to roughly breakeven/negative in 2025 (-$5M), and free cash flow was negative in both 2024 and 2025 (about -$56M and -$125M, respectively), with further deterioration in 2025. The company did generate strong free cash flow in 2020–2021 and 2023, but cash flow has been volatile and is currently not supporting debt reduction or reinvestment needs. The 2025 combination of net losses and negative free cash flow heightens liquidity and refinancing risk over time.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.21B3.78B4.30B4.54B4.18B
Gross Profit514.20M688.97M832.62M785.92M822.92M
EBITDA-292.60M22.20M301.02M244.52M364.99M
Net Income-619.10M-189.02M62.45M45.73M168.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.10B2.62B2.98B3.50B3.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.10M150.34M288.31M164.47M395.60M
Total Debt1.49B1.32B1.38B1.88B1.92B
Total Liabilities2.01B2.00B2.13B2.78B2.90B
Stockholders Equity94.30M620.06M850.64M723.55M842.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-124.70M-55.69M246.86M-52.88M92.06M
Operating Cash Flow-4.90M106.21M345.19M30.34M175.67M
Investing Cash Flow16.30M-153.34M279.17M-67.03M-92.36M
Financing Cash Flow-33.00M-80.63M-563.16M-120.01M-401.21M

JELD-WEN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.24
Price Trends
50DMA
2.30
Negative
100DMA
2.51
Negative
200DMA
3.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
23.70
Positive
STOCH
6.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JELD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.70, below the 50-day MA of 2.30, and below the 200-day MA of 3.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.70 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JELD.

JELD-WEN Risk Analysis

JELD-WEN disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JELD-WEN reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JELD-WEN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$729.01M17.169.76%-10.84%-53.49%
54
Neutral
$1.15B15.149.87%-9.21%-97.43%
52
Neutral
$749.64M-52.26-30.23%2.12%43.81%-584.11%
45
Neutral
$356.68M2,188.092.20%-0.19%-50.51%
41
Neutral
$106.77M-0.34-155.46%-15.28%-350.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JELD
JELD-WEN
1.24
-4.99
-80.10%
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
45.34
-38.88
-46.16%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
38.86
-24.50
-38.67%
NX
Quanex
16.32
-3.65
-18.27%
JBI
Janus International Group
5.25
-2.73
-34.21%

JELD-WEN Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JELD-WEN Posts Lower Q4 Revenue and Wider 2025 Loss
Negative
Feb 17, 2026

JELD-WEN reported that for the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, 2025, net revenue fell 10.5% to $802 million as weaker demand drove an 8% decline in core volume and the impact of a court-ordered Towanda divestiture, while a favorable currency shift partly offset the drop. The company narrowed its quarterly net loss from continuing operations to $40.1 million from $68.4 million a year earlier, but adjusted EBITDA fell to $14.8 million and margins compressed on negative price/cost dynamics despite cost cuts and productivity gains.

For full-year 2025, net revenue declined 14.9% to $3.21 billion and the net loss from continuing operations deepened to $620.1 million, heavily affected by $334.6 million in non-cash goodwill impairments and a $129.2 million tax-attribute valuation charge. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations dropped to $120.1 million and margins slid 360 basis points to 3.7%, reflecting persistent volume pressure and pricing headwinds as management realigned its workforce and pursued targeted cost actions to navigate a challenging housing and construction market and set a base for 2026 guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JELD) stock is a Sell with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JELD-WEN stock, see the JELD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
JELD-WEN Appoints Jeffrey Embt as Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. announced that it had appointed Jeffrey Embt as chief accounting officer, effective immediately, adding a seasoned finance executive with more than two decades of experience in accounting, financial management, external reporting and strategic planning. Embt, formerly CFO of Proterra LLC with prior leadership roles at BWX Technologies and Deloitte & Touche, is expected to strengthen JELD-WEN’s financial reporting, compliance and operational efficiency as the company works to improve its financial position and enhance value for stakeholders, underscoring a continued focus on bolstering its leadership team and financial discipline.

The most recent analyst rating on (JELD) stock is a Hold with a $2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JELD-WEN stock, see the JELD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 11, 2026