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Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC)
NASDAQ:JCTC
US Market

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) AI Stock Analysis

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JCTC

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company

(NASDAQ:JCTC)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-15.97% Downside)
The score is held down mainly by weak financial performance (losses, very thin margins, and renewed cash burn). Technicals also remain bearish with price below key moving averages, despite oversold signals. Offsetting factors are limited and include moderate balance-sheet leverage and a mixed earnings-call outlook centered on cost cuts and a strategic refocus, while valuation remains uncertain due to negative earnings and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Stable core metal-fence business
A stable metal-fence franchise provides a durable revenue base and operational focus. Maintaining sales despite headwinds validates product-market fit, supports inventory turnover, and offers a platform to scale higher‑margin branded products and distribution efficiencies over the next several quarters.
Moderate leverage on balance sheet
Relatively low leverage gives the company financing flexibility to fund working capital or restructure operations without excessive interest burden. This cushion supports operational continuity while management executes cost and portfolio actions to restore profitability over the medium term.
Concrete cost-reduction plan
Sustained expense reductions directly improve operating leverage and margin sustainability. A credible $1M–$3M annual savings target can materially narrow losses, improve cash flow trajectory, and buy time to realign sourcing and inventory, supporting structural recovery over several quarters.
Negative Factors
Material cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow erodes liquidity and limits the company’s ability to fund operations or invest. Continued cash burn forces reliance on credit, asset sales, or equity, raising execution risk for strategic initiatives and constraining long‑term resilience if losses persist.
Very thin gross margins
Low gross margins reduce the company’s margin of safety against cost inflation or pricing pressure. With operating losses and negative returns on equity, the business has limited capacity to self‑fund growth or absorb shocks, making profitable scale and sustainable returns more challenging.
Tariffs and segment weaknesses
Tariff-driven cost increases represent a structural sourcing and margin headwind, not a short blip. Combined with persistent weakness in lumber and pet segments, this undermines revenue stability, forces inventory write‑downs, and constrains the company’s ability to restore normalized profitability over multiple quarters.

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing and distribution of specialty metal products and wholesale distribution of wood products to home centers, eCommerce providers, on-line direct consumers, and other retailers. The company operates through three segments: Industrial Wood Products; Pet, Fencing and Other; and Seed Processing and Sales. The Industrial Wood Products segment processes and distributes industrial wood products. It offers treated plywood to the transportation industry. The Pet, Fencing and Other segment is involved in the wholesale of pet products, including various enclosures/kennels, beds, bowls, and compostable dog waste bags; fencing and containment products, such as post systems, wood and other fencing infill products, and kitted security fencing solutions; and other products comprising garden, landscaping, and miscellaneous products for the home. The Seed Processing and Sales segment processes and distributes agricultural seeds to distributors, as well as cleaning seeds. The company markets its products under the Lucky Dog, Adjust-A-Gate, Fit-Right, Perimeter Patrol, Lifetime Post, Early Start, Spring Gardner, Greenline, and Weatherguard brands. It also distributes sustainable bag products. It operates in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, the Caribbean, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in North Plains, Oregon.
How the Company Makes MoneyJewett-Cameron Trading Company generates revenue through the sale of its diverse product lines, which are distributed across multiple channels, including direct sales and through retail partners. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from its core segments: industrial tools, where it provides high-quality equipment; lawn, garden, and pet supplies, which cater to homeowners and agricultural businesses; and wood products, which serve construction and industrial applications. JCTC benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors, enabling it to expand its market reach and maintain a steady flow of income. The company's ability to innovate and adapt to market demands plays a crucial role in sustaining its profitability.

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 01, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, particularly the impact of tariffs and struggles in the lumber and pet product segments. However, the company is strategically refocusing on its core metal fence business, which has shown stability and growth potential. Cost reduction initiatives and the Greenwood segment's growth are positive signs, but overall, the negative impacts outweigh the positives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Metal Fence Business Stability
Despite challenges, the metal fence segment maintained its sales levels compared to the previous year, highlighting its resilience and potential for growth.
Strategic Shift to Core Operations
The company has refocused on its core metal fence operations, which have been showing promising growth and are seen as a key area for future expansion.
Operational Cost Reductions
Operating expenses were reduced from $10.7 million to $10 million, with plans to further cut costs by an additional $1 million to $3 million annually.
Greenwood Industrial Wood Growth
The Greenwood segment saw a 2% sales increase over the previous year, showcasing its potential for further growth in both transit and new industrial markets.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs on Revenue and Margins
The introduction of tariffs significantly affected the second half of fiscal 2025, causing a $5.8 million decrease in total revenue and a decline in gross profit margins from 18.8% to 15.1%.
Lumber Consignment Program Challenges
The lumber consignment program faced profitability issues due to inflexible pricing and increased inventory burdens, leading to the customer's decision to transition away from the arrangement.
Pet Product Sales Decline
Pet product sales fell from $7.6 million to $4.3 million, reflecting ongoing weakness in the market and resulting in excess inventory.
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the year was $41.3 million, down from $47.1 million in the previous year, with a notable fourth-quarter decline from $13.2 million to $10.4 million.
Company Guidance
During the call, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported total revenue of $41.3 million for the year, a decline from $47.1 million in the previous year, largely due to the impact of tariffs. The metal fence business remained stable, with sales matching those of the prior year despite tariff challenges, underscoring its strategic focus on this segment. The company aims to reduce operating expenses by $1 million to $3 million annually to align with gross profit levels and achieve long-term profitability. Inventory levels stood at $15.9 million, including a $1.2 million reserve for obsolete inventory. Jewett-Cameron plans to sell excess inventory and non-core assets to improve liquidity. The company also discussed increasing its credit line usage to $4.3 million and is seeking to secure additional financial flexibility. As part of its strategic focus, Jewett-Cameron is emphasizing its innovative metal fence products and is exploring opportunities to expand its market presence.

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are the primary drags: results have deteriorated into sizable losses with very weak margins and materially negative operating/free cash flow. The balance sheet provides some cushion with moderate leverage, but sustained losses and cash burn raise risk of further erosion.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Results have deteriorated sharply into losses. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is down materially (about -149% growth rate shown) and profitability is deeply negative, with very thin gross margin (~4.5%) and large operating and net losses (net margin ~-18%). The prior annual period (2025) was also loss-making, reversing the modest profitability seen in 2024 and stronger performance in 2021–2022. Key strength is historical ability to generate healthy margins in earlier years, but the current earnings profile is weak and volatile.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage remains moderate, with debt-to-equity around ~0.25 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which is not excessive for the business. However, losses are pressuring the equity base and returns on equity are significantly negative in TTM (about -35%), following a negative return in 2025 after a positive 2024. Strength is manageable debt levels; weakness is rapidly weakening profitability that could erode balance-sheet strength if it persists.
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
Cash generation is currently poor. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both materially negative (around -$6.2M), and free cash flow growth is also sharply negative, indicating worsening cash burn. While cash flow roughly tracks net losses recently (free cash flow to net income near 1x in TTM), the key issue is the business is consuming cash rather than producing it; 2024 was a bright spot with positive operating and free cash flow, but the trend since has reversed.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.30M47.15M54.29M62.90M57.50M
Gross Profit6.25M8.88M12.25M13.79M14.15M
EBITDA-3.43M-1.42M828.61K2.06M4.67M
Net Income-4.13M721.75K-20.63K1.16M3.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.48M27.49M29.80M34.52M29.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments226.21K4.85M83.70K484.46K1.18M
Total Debt2.10M0.001.26M7.00M3.00M
Total Liabilities4.70M2.73M5.79M10.42M6.26M
Stockholders Equity20.78M24.85M24.10M24.09M22.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.73T5.92M5.27M-4.70M-5.62M
Operating Cash Flow-6.61T6.03M5.60M-3.44M-4.42M
Investing Cash Flow-114.21B149.00-256.17K-1.26M-1.19M
Financing Cash Flow2.10T-1.26M-5.74M4.00M3.00M

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.38
Price Trends
50DMA
2.37
Negative
100DMA
2.91
Negative
200DMA
3.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
28.62
Positive
STOCH
7.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JCTC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.29, above the 50-day MA of 2.37, and below the 200-day MA of 3.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.62 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JCTC.

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Risk Analysis

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jewett-Cameron Trading Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$716.87M-1.57-68.33%3.26%0.39%-505.56%
49
Neutral
$183.53M-1.08-39.37%10.77%-5.85%9.13%
48
Neutral
$3.87M-0.23-7.27%-0.28%-4.98%
47
Neutral
$19.34M-2.31
46
Neutral
$329.43M-2.02-10.47%-21.76%-1214.73%
44
Neutral
$7.46M-0.86-18.10%-12.40%-668.91%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JCTC
Jewett-Cameron Trading Company
1.81
-2.80
-60.74%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
20.09
-10.89
-35.15%
MERC
Mercer International
2.79
-3.51
-55.71%
ITP
IT Tech Packaging
0.23
-0.23
-50.00%
MATV
Mativ Holdings
12.62
3.54
38.96%
NWGL
Nature Wood Group Limited Sponsored ADR
1.18
-0.12
-9.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026