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JBS (JBS)
NYSE:JBS

JBS (JBS) AI Stock Analysis

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JB

JBS

(NYSE:JBS)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(12.53%Upside)
JBS's overall score reflects strong earnings growth and strategic expansion, balanced by financial risks and cash flow challenges. The high dividend yield enhances attractiveness, but technical indicators signal caution.
Positive Factors
Growth Strategy
JBS's focus on continuous growth, margin expansion, and reducing earnings volatility underlines its strong long-term strategy.
Valuation
The price target for JBS is set at US$21 per share, indicating a potential 50% upside and supporting a bullish stance on the stock.
Negative Factors
Market Dynamics
Recent trading flow dynamics have created a perceived weakness, which is seen as an opportunity for investors to engage with the stock.
Stock Performance
Recent underperformance is attributed to technical factors such as BDR sell-off, index/passive outflows, and BNDES newsflow as a potential seller.

JBS (JBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JBS Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJBS is a global leader in the food industry, primarily engaged in the processing of beef, pork, lamb, and chicken. The company operates across multiple sectors including fresh and processed food products, leather production, and biodiesel operations. With a significant presence in countries like Brazil, the United States, and Australia, JBS provides a wide array of food solutions to consumers, retailers, and the foodservice industry worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyJBS makes money through its diversified portfolio of food and related products. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the processing and sale of fresh and processed meats, including beef, pork, lamb, and poultry, which are distributed to retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice operators worldwide. Additionally, JBS generates revenue through its value-added products such as ready-to-eat meals and convenience foods. The company also capitalizes on by-products such as leather, which is utilized in the automotive and fashion industries, and biodiesel production, which is derived from animal fats. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions further bolster JBS's revenue by expanding its market reach and product offerings.

JBS Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
JBS delivered a strong first quarter performance with record results and significant achievements in poultry and pork segments. However, challenges in the U.S. beef market and negative cash flow due to external factors and trade disruptions present concerns. The company's strategic steps for international expansion and debt management provide a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Results
JBS reported one of the strongest first quarter results in its history with net sales rising 8.5% in U.S. dollars and net profit jumping 50.5%.
Strong Performance in Poultry and Pork Segments
Seara and Pilgrim's delivered a record first quarter EBITDA margin of 19.8% and 14.8%, respectively, driven by solid demand and strategic management.
Successful Debt Management
Net debt was reduced by $1.1 billion compared to the previous year, with an average debt maturity of approximately 12 years and an average cost of 5.4%.
Continued International Expansion
JBS advanced its dual listing of shares in both Brazil and the United States, enhancing international visibility and attracting new investors.
Negative Updates
Negative Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reported a negative result of $285 million, while free cash flow was negative by $970 million, impacted by higher tax payments and increased working capital.
Challenges in U.S. Beef Market
The U.S. beef segment faced ongoing margin pressure due to challenging cattle cycles and export headwinds, impacting profitability.
Impact of Tariffs and Trade on U.S. Exports
Tariff-related disruptions particularly affected the beef and pork exports to China, with an estimated margin impact of 1 to 1.5 percentage points for the beef segment.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, JBS experienced significant financial growth, with net sales increasing by 8.5% in U.S. dollars and net profit soaring by 50.5%. The company reported an EBITDA margin of 7.8%, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $1.5 billion. Notably, Seara and Pilgrim's achieved record first-quarter EBITDA margins of 19.8% and 14.8%, respectively. The U.S. Pork segment also demonstrated strong performance with an EBITDA margin of 12.4%. Despite typical cash consumption during this quarter, JBS maintained a leverage ratio of 1.99x EBITDA, a considerable improvement from 3.66x in the previous year. The company continues to focus on operational excellence and market expansion, with plans for a dual listing of its shares in Brazil and the United States to enhance international visibility and investor attraction.

JBS Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.18B363.82B374.85B350.70B270.20B
Gross Profit11.59B39.65B59.48B66.18B45.22B
EBITDA6.55B3.62B35.01B41.39B20.82B
Net Income1.77B-1.06B15.85B21.24B4.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.69B206.64B208.11B207.25B163.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.61B22.12B13.18B23.24B19.68B
Total Debt19.95B104.87B102.62B100.92B68.30B
Total Liabilities32.55B159.52B158.30B159.45B120.26B
Stockholders Equity7.09B43.35B46.34B44.12B40.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.74B4.21B2.06B11.80B17.75B
Operating Cash Flow4.23B11.54B13.33B21.48B23.78B
Investing Cash Flow-1.42B-7.09B-13.12B-18.86B-7.83B
Financing Cash Flow-1.41B5.01B-8.76B-844.50M-9.02B

JBS Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.33
Price Trends
50DMA
14.24
Negative
100DMA
13.29
Positive
200DMA
12.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
41.02
Neutral
STOCH
11.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.99, below the 50-day MA of 14.24, and above the 200-day MA of 12.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JBS.

JBS Risk Analysis

JBS disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JBS reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JBS Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.61B9.5023.47%2.20%3.82%
PPPPC
75
Outperform
$10.85B8.9236.53%2.35%145.82%
68
Neutral
¥196.23B21.848.29%2.32%4.97%2.34%
HRHRL
68
Neutral
$17.10B22.879.39%3.71%-1.01%-2.93%
JBJBS
67
Neutral
$14.97B15.3322.54%29.29%476.80%
CACAG
67
Neutral
$9.73B8.1113.27%6.87%-3.15%-65.38%
GIGIS
63
Neutral
$28.12B12.6524.57%4.76%-1.87%-5.16%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBS
JBS
13.33
3.27
32.50%
BRFS
BRF SA
4.03
0.05
1.26%
CAG
Conagra Brands
19.49
-7.46
-27.68%
GIS
General Mills
51.36
-9.30
-15.33%
HRL
Hormel Foods
31.54
1.81
6.09%
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride
44.89
11.29
33.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025