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Invivyd (IVVD)
NASDAQ:IVVD
US Market

Invivyd (IVVD) AI Stock Analysis

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IVVD

Invivyd

(NASDAQ:IVVD)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-0.40% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by large ongoing losses and heavy free-cash-flow burn despite strong gross margins and revenue growth. Offsetting that, the balance sheet leverage is low and recent funding/cash updates plus regulatory momentum (Fast Track; pivotal trial initiation) improve execution runway, while technical signals are only moderately supportive and valuation remains constrained by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
High gross margins & strong revenue growth
Sustained ~93% gross margins and rapid top-line growth imply attractive unit economics for antibody products. Durable product-level profitability supports margin scalability as volumes grow and underpins funding of development and commercialization over the next several quarters.
Ample near-term liquidity from financing
A strengthened cash position following multiple financings materially extends operational runway to fund pivotal trials and commercial buildouts. This reduces immediate refinancing risk and allows focused execution on registrational studies and launch preparedness over the coming 2–6 months.
Regulatory and clinical advancement
Fast Track designation plus initiation of a randomized pivotal Phase 3 materially de-risks the regulatory pathway and can accelerate review if results are positive. This structural progress increases the probability of a commercial pathway and long-term product optionality.
Negative Factors
Severe cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow requires ongoing external funding to sustain R&D and commercialization. Over a multi-quarter horizon this increases dilution and constrains strategic flexibility if commercial ramp or trial readouts underperform expectations.
Large ongoing operating losses
Deep, recurring operating losses indicate the business has not yet reached scale to cover fixed costs. Without sustained revenue expansion or margin improvement, profitability remains distant, keeping shareholder value exposed to further dilution or capital raises.
Revenue exposure to public-health dynamics
Demand for prophylactic antibodies is structurally tied to variant circulation, government buying, and regulatory labeling. That dependence can produce durable revenue volatility and makes long-term sales visibility contingent on epidemiology and public procurement decisions.

Invivyd (IVVD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Invivyd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdagio Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody-based solutions for infectious diseases in the United States. The company's lead product candidate is the ADG20 (adintrevimab), a neutralizing antibody that is in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment and prevention of coronavirus disease. Adagio Therapeutics, Inc. has a collaboration agreement with Adimab, LLC for the discovery and optimization of proprietary antibodies; and the Scripps Research Institute to perform research activities to identify vaccine candidates for the prevention, diagnosis or treatment of influenza or beta coronaviruses. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyInvivyd generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its therapeutic products. The company invests in research and development to create proprietary monoclonal antibodies that can be licensed or sold to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, or directly to the market. Revenue streams may include product sales, licensing agreements, and potential partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships can involve co-development or co-marketing arrangements, which can significantly contribute to the company's earnings by leveraging shared resources and expertise.

Invivyd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant positive developments such as FDA feedback for VYD2311, a successful capital raise, and robust revenue growth. However, challenges related to the lack of modern data on COVID vaccines and logistical coordination with FDA centers were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FDA Feedback and Capital Raise
Invivyd received feedback from the U.S. FDA to develop the vaccine alternative antibody, VYD2311, and successfully raised approximately $87 million in capital to fund intended studies and expand the commercial organization.
Revenue Growth
Invivyd reported a revenue increase of 11% quarter-on-quarter and 41% year-over-year, reflecting efforts in driving market awareness.
Expansion in GPO Sites
The company has over 15,000 contracted GPO sites and more than 1,200 sites offering infusion, with 76% of accounts reordering.
Broad Commercial Opportunity
The company plans to provide a widely available option to prevent COVID for most Americans, with a near-term commercial opportunity, as last year's U.S. COVID vaccine sales totaled $3.8 billion.
Negative Updates
Lack of Modern Data on COVID Vaccines
There is very little controlled data on the efficacy of COVID vaccines beyond the original studies, affecting the company's context and positioning of VYD2311.
Coordination Challenges with FDA Centers
The coordination between CBER and CDER for the LIBERTY study involves logistical challenges as this type of study is relatively uncommon.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Invivyd provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company highlighted its successful capital raise of approximately $87 million in the third quarter to support its pivotal clinical programs and commercial expansion. Invivyd plans to initiate its pivotal program for the antibody VYD2311 by year-end, with top-line data expected by mid-2026. The company aims to address COVID-19 prevention through the LIBERTY study, comparing VYD2311 to mRNA vaccines, focusing on safety and tolerability. Invivyd also reported increased revenues, up 11% quarter-on-quarter and 41% year-over-year, reflecting their strategic market efforts. The company emphasized its robust financial position, which supports anticipated pivotal data of VYD2311 and continued operational discipline. The call concluded with Invivyd expressing confidence in its innovative approach to COVID-19 prevention, potentially offering a superior option to existing vaccines.

Invivyd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Invivyd faces substantial financial challenges with significant losses and negative cash flows, despite recent revenue generation. While the balance sheet shows low leverage and strong cash reserves, consistent operational losses and cash flow inefficiencies pose considerable risks. Strategic improvements are critical for future stability.
Income Statement
Invivyd's financial performance shows a challenging trajectory. The company recorded its first revenue of $25.38 million in 2024 after having no revenue in previous years, indicating a significant growth. However, the company still faces substantial net losses, with a negative net profit margin due to high operational costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
Invivyd maintains a relatively strong equity position with a moderate debt load, as evidenced by a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, there has been a significant decrease in stockholders' equity over the years, and the equity ratio has declined, indicating potential risks if losses continue. The company's high cash reserves provide some financial stability.
Cash Flow
The company's cash flow situation is strained, with consistently negative free cash flow due to high operational cash outflows. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable, indicating that the company is not generating cash from its operations. However, there is a positive trend in financing activities which have supported cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.04M25.38M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit46.71M23.77M0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-58.49M-173.76M-205.75M-225.80M-219.41M0.00
Net Income-59.86M-169.93M-198.64M-241.32M-226.79M-111.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets139.16M129.51M229.18M383.17M620.09M117.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.97M69.35M200.64M371.99M591.42M114.99M
Total Debt2.68M1.30M2.17M3.72M0.000.00
Total Liabilities46.09M61.98M51.71M27.20M62.07M182.63M
Stockholders Equity93.07M67.54M177.47M355.97M558.02M-65.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.44M-170.63M-173.78M-221.69M-184.82M-14.57M
Operating Cash Flow-80.29M-170.49M-173.16M-219.99M-184.74M-14.57M
Investing Cash Flow-150.00K-140.00K280.68M-230.67M-50.71M0.00
Financing Cash Flow58.53M39.33M1.04M506.00K662.68M129.56M

Invivyd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.51
Price Trends
50DMA
2.25
Positive
100DMA
1.77
Positive
200DMA
1.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
53.17
Neutral
STOCH
12.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IVVD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.48, above the 50-day MA of 2.25, and above the 200-day MA of 1.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IVVD.

Invivyd Risk Analysis

Invivyd disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Invivyd reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Invivyd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$695.58M-67.94%332.71%75.73%
55
Neutral
$522.93M-7.73-29.83%-40.26%
52
Neutral
$419.90M-1.73-74.88%18.39%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$287.58M-1.74-78.24%-67.41%
47
Neutral
$417.09M-1.85-45.38%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IVVD
Invivyd
2.51
2.11
527.50%
LRMR
Larimar Therapeutics
3.36
-0.12
-3.45%
RCKT
Rocket Pharmaceuticals
3.88
-6.85
-63.84%
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics
7.30
2.54
53.36%
DSGN
Design Therapeutics
9.18
5.08
123.90%

Invivyd Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Invivyd Reports Strong PEMGARDA Growth and Advances VYD2311
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Invivyd reported preliminary fourth-quarter 2025 net product revenue of $17.2 million from its COVID-19 prophylactic antibody PEMGARDA (pemivibart), reflecting 25% year-over-year and 31% sequential growth, and said year-end 2025 cash and cash equivalents stood at $226.7 million following more than $200 million in second-half financing, strengthening its capacity to fund late-stage development and commercialization efforts. The company highlighted the December 2025 initiation of DECLARATION, a Phase 3 pivotal trial of its vaccine-alternative antibody VYD2311 for COVID prevention, which already has U.S. FDA Fast Track designation, and detailed pipeline expansion with the nomination of potential best-in-class RSV antibody VBY329 for pediatric prophylaxis and ongoing discovery work on ultra-long half-life RSV and measles antibodies, underscoring Invivyd’s bid to establish monoclonal antibody prophylaxis as a new standard of care and broaden its footprint in large, fast-growing infectious disease markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVVD) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invivyd stock, see the IVVD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Invivyd’s COVID Antibody VYD2311 Receives FDA Fast Track
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Invivyd announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted Fast Track designation to VYD2311, its investigational vaccine-alternative monoclonal antibody designed to prevent COVID in individuals with underlying risk factors for severe disease. The designation could accelerate regulatory review for VYD2311, which is being evaluated in DECLARATION, a pivotal Phase 3 randomized, triple-blind, placebo-controlled trial enrolling about 1,770 adults and adolescents—with and without risk factors—to test single and monthly intramuscular dosing over three months, with top-line data expected in mid-2026; the program underscores Invivyd’s push to secure a stronger position in the COVID prevention market as an antibody-based alternative to vaccines, potentially broadening options for high-risk and general populations if efficacy and safety are confirmed.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVVD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invivyd stock, see the IVVD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Invivyd Unveils Promising RSV Antibody Candidate
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Invivyd, Inc. announced the selection of VBY329, a potential best-in-class monoclonal antibody candidate for the prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) in newborns, infants, and children. VBY329, developed using Invivyd’s proprietary technology, shows higher potency and improved resistance compared to existing RSV treatments. The company aims for IND readiness by the second half of 2026, targeting the growing pediatric RSV prophylaxis market, which is expected to reach $3-$4 billion globally by 2030. This development could significantly enhance Invivyd’s industry positioning by providing a novel solution in a rapidly expanding market.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVVD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invivyd stock, see the IVVD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Invivyd Raises $117.2 Million in Public Offering
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Invivyd, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. for a public offering of 44,000,000 shares of common stock and pre-funded warrants for 6,000,000 shares, raising approximately $117.2 million. The proceeds will support the commercial preparedness for VYD2311, ongoing research and development, and other corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s market position and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVVD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invivyd stock, see the IVVD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
Invivyd Reports Strong Q3 Growth and FDA Clearance
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Invivyd reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 41% year-over-year growth in PEMGARDA revenue and a strengthened cash position following a public offering. The company announced the FDA clearance for its VYD2311 clinical program, which includes pivotal trials expected to start by the end of 2025. Invivyd aims to secure its position as a leader in providing antibody protection against COVID-19 and is preparing for the potential commercial launch of VYD2311. Additionally, the company is exploring pipeline expansion beyond COVID-19, targeting other infectious diseases like RSV and measles.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVVD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invivyd stock, see the IVVD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Invivyd Highlights Antibody Development in New Presentation
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Invivyd, Inc. released an investor presentation highlighting their ongoing efforts in antibody development for viral threats, particularly COVID-19. The presentation underscored the challenges posed by COVID-19 variants and the company’s strategic focus on monoclonal antibodies to address these challenges. Invivyd’s initiatives aim to enhance the durability and effectiveness of antibody-based treatments, reflecting their commitment to overcoming the limitations of current vaccines and addressing stakeholder concerns about vaccine efficacy and safety.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVVD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invivyd stock, see the IVVD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026