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Vistagen Therapeutics Inc. (VTGN)
:VTGN
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VistaGen Therapeutics (VTGN) AI Stock Analysis

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VistaGen Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:VTGN)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-1.57%Downside)
VistaGen's stock score reflects a challenging financial landscape with persistent losses and negative cash flow, offset by strategic advancements and a solid equity base. The technical analysis suggests cautious optimism, while recent corporate events and earnings call updates provide a positive outlook albeit with significant risks.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
Vistagen's PALISADE-3 and PALISADE-4 studies for fasedienol in social anxiety disorder are progressing as expected, potentially confirming positive results from previous trials.
Regulatory Progress
Vistagen is making strides on the regulatory front with an IND opened for itruvone for major depressive disorder.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
VistaGen reported a net loss of $14.1 million in their F3Q25 results.
Project Delays
The timeline for Vistagen's PALISADE-4 study has been delayed, although not due to patient demand.

VistaGen Therapeutics (VTGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VistaGen Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVistaGen Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing and commercializing various medicines with the potential to care for anxiety, depression, and other disorders of the central nervous system (CNS). The company's CNS pipeline includes PH94B, a rapid-onset neuroactive nasal spray, which is in Phase III development for the acute treatment of anxiety in adults with social anxiety disorder. Its PH94B product candidature also has potential to treat a range of anxiety disorders, including adjustment disorder with anxiety, postpartum anxiety, post-traumatic stress disorder, preprocedural anxiety, and panic disorders. The company's CNS pipeline also comprises PH10, a rapid-onset neuroactive nasal spray, which is in preparation for Phase 2B clinical development as a stand-alone treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD); and AV-101, an oral N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist, which is in development in combination with oral probenecid as a potential treatment of levodopa-induced dyskinesia, MDD, neuropathic pain, and suicidal ideation. It has contract research and development agreement with Cato Research Ltd.; license agreement with Pherin Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; and license and collaboration agreement with EverInsight Therapeutics Inc. VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyVistaGen Therapeutics primarily generates revenue through the development and commercial licensing of its CNS disorder therapies. The company earns money by advancing its product candidates through clinical trials and securing partnerships or licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships may include milestone payments and royalties based on sales of successfully commercialized products. VistaGen may also receive research and development funding from collaborations aimed at co-developing or enhancing its therapeutic offerings. Additionally, strategic collaborations and partnerships play a crucial role in enhancing the company's research capabilities and expanding its reach in the pharmaceutical market.

VistaGen Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 17, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant advancements in clinical development and a strong financial position, offset by increased expenses and challenges in trial execution timing. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, given the potential positive outcomes from ongoing trials and strategic focus on innovation.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Progress in Neuroscience Pipeline
Vistagen has made significant progress in its neuroscience pipeline with five clinical-stage pherine product candidates, each showing potential therapeutic benefits and favorable safety profiles.
Phase III Development for Fasedienol
Fasedienol is in Phase III development for the acute treatment of social anxiety disorder (SAD), a condition affecting over 31 million U.S. adults, with PALISADE-3 and PALISADE-4 trials ongoing and top-line results expected soon.
Advancements in Women's Health
PH80, a pherine product candidate for women's health indications, is advancing as a potential hormone-free treatment for menopausal hot flashes and has shown positive signals in other women's health conditions.
Strong Financial Position
As of March 31, 2025, Vistagen had $80.5 million in cash, cash equivalents, and moderate securities, providing a solid financial base for ongoing and future developments.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses and Net Loss
Research and development expenses rose to $39.4 million from $20 million the previous year, and the net loss attributable to common shareholders increased to $51.4 million from $29.4 million.
Operational Delays in PALISADE-4
The timing for the PALISADE-4 trial has been modestly delayed due to stringent subject eligibility requirements and enhanced screening processes.
Company Guidance
During the Vistagen Therapeutics Fiscal Year-End 2025 Corporate Update Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on its progress and future plans. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, research and development expenses increased to $39.4 million from $20 million in the previous year, driven by increased clinical and manufacturing activities. General and administrative expenses rose to $17.1 million from $14.1 million, primarily due to higher headcount and consulting fees. The net loss attributable to common shareholders was $51.4 million, compared to $29.4 million the previous year. Vistagen reported $80.5 million in cash and equivalents. The company's lead product, fasedienol, is in Phase III development, with top-line data from the PALISADE-3 trial expected in the fourth quarter of 2025 and results from PALISADE-4 anticipated in the first half of 2026. The company also highlighted progress in its other programs, including itruvone for major depressive disorder and PH80 for women's health, as well as participation in a CEO forum with FDA leadership aimed at fostering a collaborative regulatory environment.

VistaGen Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VistaGen Therapeutics faces significant challenges with consistent losses and negative cash flow. Despite a strong equity position and manageable debt levels, profitability and operational efficiency need improvement for long-term success.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company's revenue growth has been volatile, with a significant drop this year compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin remains stable due to the low cost structure, but the net profit margin is severely negative. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, indicating operational inefficiency. Despite these challenges, there is a slight increase in revenue compared to the previous year, showing potential for future growth.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
VistaGen Therapeutics has a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a conservative capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative, impacted by consistent net losses. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting financial stability and a solid foundation for future growth. Despite these strengths, the company needs to improve profitability to leverage its equity effectively.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The company's free cash flow is negative but shows improvement from the previous year, suggesting progress towards better cash management. Operating cash flow remains negative, but the ratio to net income indicates that cash losses are less severe than income losses. Continued focus on reducing cash burn is crucial for future financial health.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue486.00K1.06M-227.00K1.11M1.09M
Gross Profit486.00K1.06M-227.00K1.11M1.09M
EBITDA-55.34M-32.45M-58.74M-47.05M-17.44M
Net Income-51.42M-29.36M-59.25M-47.76M-17.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.34M123.65M21.09M74.64M108.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.48M119.17M16.64M68.14M103.11M
Total Debt1.51M2.12M2.72M3.04M3.72M
Total Liabilities13.95M9.37M9.01M9.93M16.30M
Stockholders Equity70.39M114.29M12.08M64.72M91.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.29M-25.87M-49.93M-45.46M-12.35M
Operating Cash Flow-42.10M-25.81M-49.72M-45.26M-12.07M
Investing Cash Flow-13.15M-61.00K-740.30K-200.40K-275.40K
Financing Cash Flow3.21M128.40M-1.04M10.48M114.10M

VistaGen Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.54
Price Trends
50DMA
2.30
Positive
100DMA
2.38
Positive
200DMA
2.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
61.35
Neutral
STOCH
67.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.19, above the 50-day MA of 2.30, and below the 200-day MA of 2.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTGN.

VistaGen Therapeutics Risk Analysis

VistaGen Therapeutics disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VistaGen Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VistaGen Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$7.47B-0.04-63.86%2.34%16.17%0.25%
50
Neutral
$72.02M-46.28%-33.00%54.91%
43
Neutral
$100.00M-70.59%81.00%
38
Underperform
$54.28M-130.16%65.54%
38
Underperform
$64.30M91.63%-55.47%24.92%
37
Underperform
$258.25M-141.69%-17.06%
35
Underperform
$49.72M-101.34%21.40%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTGN
VistaGen Therapeutics
2.54
-1.12
-30.60%
SAVA
Cassava Sciences
2.10
-7.98
-79.17%
VTVT
vTv Therapeutics
16.16
-4.24
-20.78%
CLSD
Clearside Biomedical
0.60
-0.57
-48.72%
JSPR
Jasper Therapeutics
3.37
-16.87
-83.35%
INZY
Inozyme Pharma
4.00
-1.33
-24.95%

VistaGen Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vistagen Appoints Elissa Cote as Chief Development Officer
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Vistagen Therapeutics announced the appointment of Elissa Cote as Chief Corporate Development Officer, effective June 23, 2025. Ms. Cote, with nearly 30 years of experience in biopharmaceuticals, will lead strategic opportunities to advance Vistagen’s pherine platform and cultivate partnerships. Her appointment is seen as pivotal for Vistagen’s growth, as she brings expertise in business development and strategic transactions, which are crucial for the company’s future commercial launches and partnerships.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTGN) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VistaGen Therapeutics stock, see the VTGN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
VistaGen Files Prospectus to Raise $175 Million
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Vistagen announced a prospectus supplement filed with the SEC to offer and sell shares of its common stock, aiming to raise up to $175 million. The company also reported its fiscal year 2025 financial results, highlighting significant progress in its clinical-stage pipeline, including the PALISADE program for fasedienol in social anxiety disorder. Vistagen’s ongoing trials and development efforts, such as the PALISADE-3 and PALISADE-4 trials, aim to address unmet needs in mental health and women’s health, with potential implications for future FDA submissions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTGN) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VistaGen Therapeutics stock, see the VTGN Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
VistaGen Announces Progress on PALISADE-3 Clinical Trial
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Vistagen Therapeutics announced that its PALISADE-3 Phase 3 clinical trial for fasedienol, aimed at treating social anxiety disorder, is on track for topline data release in the fourth quarter of 2025. The PALISADE-4 trial is expected to yield results in the first half of 2026. These trials are part of Vistagen’s efforts to establish fasedienol’s effectiveness for a potential New Drug Application submission to the U.S. FDA. The trials incorporate strategic enhancements to replicate the success of the PALISADE-2 trial, which reported positive results in 2023.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTGN) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VistaGen Therapeutics stock, see the VTGN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2025