Intrum AB (ITJTY)
OTHER OTC:ITJTY
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Intrum AB
(OTC:ITJTY)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-30.97% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/28/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (net losses, declining revenue) and elevated leverage/weakening equity, alongside bearish technical trend signals. The earnings call adds partial support due to a credible deleveraging and cost-out roadmap with early operational traction, but valuation is constrained by loss-making results (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data provided.
Positive Factors
Consistent Free Cash Flow
Sustained positive free cash flow (~SEK 4.3bn in 2025) underpins operational resilience, funds deleveraging and selective portfolio purchases, and reduces reliance on external financing. Over a 2–6 month horizon this cash generation supports execution of debt paydown and disciplined reinvestment plans.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
A high debt burden (debt-to-equity ~4.1x) and ~SEK 45bn nominal debt materially constrain financial flexibility, heighten refinancing risk, and amplify earnings volatility. Successful deleveraging is necessary to lower funding costs and enable sustainable portfolio growth; failure raises capital‑structure risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Free Cash Flow
Sustained positive free cash flow (~SEK 4.3bn in 2025) underpins operational resilience, funds deleveraging and selective portfolio purchases, and reduces reliance on external financing. Over a 2–6 month horizon this cash generation supports execution of debt paydown and disciplined reinvestment plans.
Read all positive factors
Intrum AB (ITJTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$568.95M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)0.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.04
Revenue Growth-2.97%
EPS Growth98.46%
CountryUS
Employees9,664
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Credit Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.77
Shares Outstanding136,245,470
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume0
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.05
Price to Book (P/B)0.44
Price to Sales (P/S)0.30
P/FCF Ratio1.11
Enterprise Value/Market Cap82.11
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.95
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.18
Enterprise Value/Ebitda13.06
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Intrum AB Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Intrum AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides credit management and financial services in Europe and internationally. The company offers credit optimization services, including credit monitoring, credit decision, factoring, and credit...
How the Company Makes Money
Intrum makes money primarily through (1) fee-based credit management services and (2) returns from investing in and collecting on debt portfolios it owns. In its service-based business, Intrum earns revenue by providing outsourced credit managemen...
Intrum AB Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a balanced mix of tangible progress and credible strategic direction alongside near-term headwinds. Positive operational traction includes improved leverage versus a year ago, substantial cost reduction (SEK ~1.6bn annualized), elevated servicing margins (31% Q4), strong investing IRRs (18–20% on recent deals), and concrete 2030 targets (3x servicing leverage, 30–35% servicing EBIT margin, SEK 10–11bn cost base). Countering this are notable one-time impairments (goodwill ~SEK 2.9bn), FX-driven revenue declines (income down ~7% YoY; investing income down 11% YoY; Q4 investing -17% YoY), a smaller investment book and near-term constrained investing, and remaining refinancing/maturity and execution risks. Overall, the company is executing a credible plan to de-risk and transform the business, with clear milestones and evidence of operational improvements, though success hinges on execution, FX/funding-cost trends, and managing near-term impairments and maturities.Positive Updates
Leverage Improvement and Deleveraging Actions
Leverage ratio improved year-on-year from 5.3x to 4.8x; company pursuing deleveraging and balance-sheet strengthening including announced January '26 sale of remaining Brocc JV stake (expected positive impact on leverage) and plan to reduce net debt by SEK 10–15 billion toward 2030 (with ~SEK 4 billion from 2027 maturities anticipated).
Negative Updates
Goodwill and Tax Asset Write-Downs
Goodwill impairment recorded at SEK 2.9 billion (preannounced SEK 3.1 billion); additional tax asset write-downs were taken as part of the year-end review, creating one-time P&L/headline impacts.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Leverage Improvement and Deleveraging Actions
Leverage ratio improved year-on-year from 5.3x to 4.8x; company pursuing deleveraging and balance-sheet strengthening including announced January '26 sale of remaining Brocc JV stake (expected positive impact on leverage) and plan to reduce net debt by SEK 10–15 billion toward 2030 (with ~SEK 4 billion from 2027 maturities anticipated).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The guidance emphasized a clear near‑term focus on deleveraging and derisking with three financial targets: reach ~3x net leverage (measured as net debt after excluding 80% LTV of the investing book), cut underlying costs (SEK 12.3bn in 2025) by ~5% in 2026 and to SEK 10–11bn by 2030, and lift servicing EBIT margin to 30–35% by 2030. Management expects to reduce nominal debt (~SEK 45bn today) by SEK 10–15bn to 2030 (about SEK 4bn of that from 2027 maturities), use cash to repay the EUR 370m second‑lien in 2027, and keep portfolio investment volumes limited in 2026 (replacement investments ~SEK 2.5–3bn). Near‑term operating guidance assumes servicing income largely flat in 2026 (FX headwind: SEK krona ≈ +5% vs EUR), while continuing to extract value from investing (collection index >100%, now ~109% vs forecast); Q4 highlights included a 31% servicing margin (quarter), SEK 436m of Q4 investments at 18% IRR (SEK 1.2bn for 2025 at 20% IRR), ERC SEK 46bn, a SEK 2.9bn goodwill write‑down, pipeline SEK 2bn entering 2026, FTEs ~8,500 (≈6,000 in operations), automation <10%, and the expectation that initial margin gains will come mainly from cost‑outs (SEK ~1.6bn annual cost reduction observed) with scalable revenue upside from cross‑selling and new segments (management cites ~SEK 0.5bn–2.0bn+ upside by 2030 by penetrating white‑space and adjacent services).Intrum AB Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
29
Negative
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 15.84B | 18.03B | 19.85B | 19.13B | 17.79B |
| Gross Profit | 11.18B | 7.82B | 10.19B | 10.12B | 8.23B |
| EBITDA | 9.08B | 9.46B | 6.04B | 2.48B | 7.93B |
| Net Income | -1.43B | -3.70B | -188.00M | -4.47B | 3.13B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 65.47B | 77.54B | 90.21B | 88.71B | 88.91B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.57B | 2.39B | 3.62B | 3.43B | 4.55B |
| Total Debt | 44.42B | 51.41B | 60.48B | 57.23B | 53.31B |
| Total Liabilities | 52.69B | 62.07B | 71.28B | 67.51B | 64.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 10.85B | 13.39B | 16.75B | 18.54B | 21.70B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.27B | 3.83B | 4.96B | 4.63B | 9.71B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 4.30B | 4.42B | 5.31B | 4.99B | 10.04B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.47B | 9.20B | -2.56B | -1.63B | -8.01B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.31B | -15.29B | -2.26B | -4.88B | 401.00M |
Intrum AB Technical Analysis
Neutral
5.07
Price Trends
4.55
Negative
4.41
Negative
4.98
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.14
Negative
53.00
Neutral
65.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITJTY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.03, above the 50-day MA of 4.55, and above the 200-day MA of 4.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ITJTY.
Intrum AB Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $148.62M | 28.48 | 0.54% | 10.37% | 10.48% | -30.67% | |
72 Outperform | $183.83M | 0.19 | 18.93% | 8.74% | 46.93% | 52.53% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
53 Neutral | $724.08M | -2.27 | -27.34% | ― | 13.89% | -899.50% | |
44 Neutral | $568.95M | -3.32 | -0.01% | ― | -2.97% | 98.46% | |
| ― | $1.96B | ― | -67.59% | ― | 510.69% | -145.92% |
* Financial Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.