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Poste Italiane SPA (IT:PST)
:PST

Poste Italiane SPA (PST) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:PST

Poste Italiane SPA

(PST)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
€22.50
▲(4.36% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/11/26
The score is held back primarily by elevated balance-sheet leverage (debt-to-equity ~7.3x TTM) and less consistent free cash flow (TTM FCF down ~20.7%). Offsetting this are solid operating performance (TTM revenue +13.6% with healthy margins), supportive cash generation, and a favorable valuation profile (P/E 12.567 with ~5.33% dividend yield). Technical indicators are mixed and do not strongly reinforce either direction.
Positive Factors
Operating performance
Poste's recent TTM rebound (revenue +13.6%) with sustained EBIT (~17.5%) and net (~11.5%) margins reflects resilient core operations across logistics, payments and financial services. Durable margin levels at scale support internal funding, reinvestment in networks, and earnings stability over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage at ~7.3x debt-to-equity (8.1x in 2024) is a structural weakness. High indebtedness reduces balance sheet flexibility, increases refinancing and interest-rate exposure, and constrains capacity for bolt-on investments or aggressive deleveraging if operating cash flows soften over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operating performance
Poste's recent TTM rebound (revenue +13.6%) with sustained EBIT (~17.5%) and net (~11.5%) margins reflects resilient core operations across logistics, payments and financial services. Durable margin levels at scale support internal funding, reinvestment in networks, and earnings stability over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Poste Italiane SPA (PST) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Poste Italiane SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Poste Italiane S.p.A. provides postal, logistics, and financial and insurance products and services in Italy. It operates in four segments: Mail, Parcels and Distribution; Payments and Mobile; Financial Services; and Insurance Services. The Mail, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Poste Italiane makes money by earning revenue across several core lines of business that are distributed through its post-office network and digital platforms. (1) Mail & parcel logistics: it generates revenue from shipping and delivery services, ...

Poste Italiane SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and growth are solid (TTM revenue +13.6%, net margin ~11.5%, EBIT margin ~17.5%) with supportive cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~€2.7B; free cash flow ~€2.0B). However, the balance sheet is a major risk with very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~7.3x TTM), and free cash flow fell meaningfully in TTM (-20.7%), reducing confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.05B13.48B20.14B31.81B31.64B
Gross Profit3.58B4.14B5.66B8.90B8.31B
EBITDA4.13B3.65B3.65B3.58B3.14B
Net Income2.21B1.99B1.92B1.58B1.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets290.32B277.10B270.83B261.63B284.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.14B39.09B40.31B44.78B37.80B
Total Debt100.43B94.08B11.51B13.41B16.75B
Total Liabilities276.33B265.39B260.39B252.69B272.62B
Stockholders Equity13.84B11.58B10.32B8.89B12.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.04B2.40B568.00M-630.00M3.43B
Operating Cash Flow2.70B2.90B1.41B180.00M4.18B
Investing Cash Flow-1.81B-986.00M-994.00M-1.61B-422.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.12B-1.45B-1.19B-1.55B-321.00M

Poste Italiane SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.56
Price Trends
50DMA
21.94
Negative
100DMA
21.59
Negative
200DMA
20.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
55.21
Neutral
STOCH
88.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:PST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.87, below the 50-day MA of 21.94, and above the 200-day MA of 20.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:PST.

Poste Italiane SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
€935.67M7.5312.15%7.43%-29.74%-57.59%
72
Outperform
€32.39B23.1712.10%1.05%14.13%5.99%
62
Neutral
€231.37M2.7816.88%3.86%4.31%-15.86%
61
Neutral
€28.05B12.5717.08%5.34%-8.61%9.02%
57
Neutral
€6.63B17.541.76%-7.26%14.20%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
51
Neutral
€476.99M28.485.24%11.25%-76.44%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:PST
Poste Italiane SPA
21.56
6.20
40.40%
IT:FNM
FNM S.p.A.
0.53
0.15
38.90%
IT:LDO
Leonardo Spa
56.31
12.58
28.76%
IT:DIS
d'Amico International Shipping S.A.
7.76
4.96
177.66%
IT:GPI
GPI SpA
16.56
8.42
103.44%
IT:IVG
Iveco Group NV
19.20
5.61
41.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 11, 2026