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Poste Italiane SPA
(PST)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
€31.00
▲(37.96% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and a supportive technical uptrend (price above major moving averages, positive MACD). Financial performance is solid on profitability and cash generation, but revenue volatility and leverage inconsistency reduce confidence and cap the upside.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Consistent recent free cash flow (~€2.26B; covers ~75% of net income) and operating cash flow (~€3.0B) underpin durable internal funding for capex, dividends, buybacks or debt reduction, improving financial flexibility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Top-line volatility and recent decline
A falling and volatile top line reduces visibility for future earnings and makes cash flow forecasting harder. Structural shifts in parcel volumes or pricing pressure could mute growth prospects and limit sustainable expansion of higher-margin financial or insurance revenues.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Consistent recent free cash flow (~€2.26B; covers ~75% of net income) and operating cash flow (~€3.0B) underpin durable internal funding for capex, dividends, buybacks or debt reduction, improving financial flexibility over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Poste Italiane SPA (PST) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)
Market Cap
€36.05B
Dividend Yield5.34%
Average Volume (3M)1.48M
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.8
Beta (1Y)0.71
Revenue Growth4.18%
EPS Growth16.48%
CountryIT
Employees119,400
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryConglomerates
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.88
Shares Outstanding1,306,110,000
10 Day Avg. Volume1,643,812
30 Day Avg. Volume1,481,502
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.14
Price to Book (P/B)2.01
Price to Sales (P/S)1.32
P/FCF Ratio13.65
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€29.60Price Target Upside31.73% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)1.93
Revenue Forecast (FY)€13.66B
Poste Italiane SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Poste Italiane S.p.A., a prominent Italian corporation established in 1862 and headquartered in Rome, Italy, delivers an extensive array of services across postal delivery, logistics, financial offerings, and insurance products nationwide. The com...
How the Company Makes Money
Poste Italiane makes money through multiple operating segments that monetize its nationwide physical network, logistics infrastructure, and financial-services distribution capabilities. (1) Mail, parcels, and logistics: Revenue is generated from d...
Poste Italiane SPA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 19.14B | 21.05B | 13.48B | 20.14B | 31.81B | 31.64B |
| Gross Profit | 4.39B | 3.58B | 4.14B | 5.66B | 8.90B | 8.31B |
| EBITDA | 4.39B | 4.13B | 3.65B | 3.65B | 3.58B | 3.14B |
| Net Income | 2.43B | 2.21B | 1.99B | 1.92B | 1.58B | 1.58B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 287.88B | 290.32B | 277.10B | 270.83B | 261.63B | 284.73B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 41.40B | 25.90B | 39.09B | 40.31B | 44.78B | 37.80B |
| Total Debt | 98.89B | 10.53B | 94.08B | 11.51B | 13.41B | 16.75B |
| Total Liabilities | 274.21B | 276.33B | 265.39B | 260.39B | 252.69B | 272.62B |
| Stockholders Equity | 13.50B | 13.84B | 11.58B | 10.32B | 8.89B | 12.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.26B | 2.04B | 2.40B | 568.00M | -630.00M | 3.43B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.98B | 2.70B | 2.90B | 1.41B | 180.00M | 4.18B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.72B | -1.81B | -986.00M | -994.00M | -1.61B | -422.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.49B | -1.12B | -1.45B | -1.19B | -1.55B | -321.00M |
Poste Italiane SPA Technical Analysis
Neutral
22.47
Price Trends
26.44
Positive
23.77
Positive
22.17
Positive
Market Momentum
0.53
Positive
47.88
Neutral
14.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:PST, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.52, below the 50-day MA of 26.44, and above the 200-day MA of 22.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IT:PST.
Poste Italiane SPA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | €926.01M | 10.13 | 12.15% | 7.43% | -28.39% | -39.75% | |
75 Outperform | €36.05B | 14.81 | 17.08% | 5.34% | 4.18% | 16.48% | |
72 Outperform | €28.53B | 23.94 | 12.10% | 1.05% | 9.80% | 13.78% | |
70 Outperform | €4.81B | 2.63 | ― | 1.76% | -8.23% | 285.81% | |
61 Neutral | €200.49M | 2.60 | 16.88% | 3.86% | 5.89% | 30.28% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
51 Neutral | €409.59M | 24.89 | ― | 5.24% | 6.80% | -84.47% |
* General Sector Average
IT:PST
Poste Italiane SPA
27.84
10.80
63.37%
IT:FNM
FNM S.p.A.
0.46
0.07
17.90%
IT:LDO
Leonardo Spa
50.75
2.22
4.57%
IT:DIS
d'Amico International Shipping S.A.
7.26
3.90
115.81%
IT:GPI
GPI SpA
13.94
-0.02
-0.14%
IT:IVG
Iveco Group NV
13.95
2.25
19.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.