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Ironwood Pharma (IRWD)
NASDAQ:IRWD
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Ironwood Pharma (IRWD) AI Stock Analysis

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IRWD

Ironwood Pharma

(NASDAQ:IRWD)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(1.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/10/26
IRWD scores highest on valuation (very low P/E) and a supportive earnings outlook (reiterated 2026 growth/EBITDA targets and deleveraging plans). The main constraint is financial quality, driven by negative equity and earnings volatility, while technicals are moderately supportive but not strongly bullish.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation & margins
Consistent positive operating cash flow and roughly $112M TTM free cash flow provide durable internal funding for operations, R&D and debt reduction. This cash generation supports management’s deleveraging plan and reduces reliance on external financing, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Negative stockholders' equity / weak balance sheet
Negative equity signals a thin capital cushion and elevates financial vulnerability to shocks or revenue shortfalls. Even with falling debt, unfavorable leverage metrics constrain strategic optionality, increase refinancing or covenant risk, and can raise borrowing costs versus better-capitalized peers.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation & margins
Consistent positive operating cash flow and roughly $112M TTM free cash flow provide durable internal funding for operations, R&D and debt reduction. This cash generation supports management’s deleveraging plan and reduces reliance on external financing, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Ironwood Pharma (IRWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ironwood Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a healthcare company, focuses on the development and commercialization of gastrointestinal (GI) products. It markets linaclotide, a guanylate cyclase type-C agonist for the treatment of adults suffering from irritab...
How the Company Makes Money
Ironwood primarily makes money from LINZESS (linaclotide) through a collaboration with AbbVie in the United States. Under this arrangement, LINZESS is commercialized in the U.S. and Ironwood earns revenue largely from its share of net profits (i.e...

Ironwood Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced meaningful commercial and clinical progress with clear financial targets and a path to deleveraging. Highlights include strong demand growth for LINZESS (11% prescription growth, 8% new-to-brand growth), a new pediatric indication, reiterated 2026 guidance with >30% LINZESS net sales growth expected, and advancing aproglutide into an FDA-aligned confirmatory Phase III (STARS II) with encouraging prior efficacy and extension data. Key negatives are net price erosion (full-year LINZESS net sales down 6% YoY), Q4 rebate/timing-driven volatility, the FDA requirement for a confirmatory trial (adding time and cost), potential competitive pressure (including a possible GATTEX generic), and a projected >30% increase in Medicaid mix for 2026. Overall, positives (strong guidance, clinical progress, improved adjusted EBITDA outlook and disciplined cost management) outweigh the lowlights, though risks remain around pricing, payer mix, and the need to successfully execute STARS II.
Positive Updates
LINZESS Full-Year Net Sales and Demand Growth
LINZESS U.S. net sales for full-year 2025 were $865 million, supported by 11% prescription demand growth and 8% new-to-brand volume growth year over year. The brand surpassed ~5.7 million unique patients treated since launch and finished 2025 with roughly 45% market share.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Net Sales Decline Due to Net Price Erosion
Full-year LINZESS U.S. net sales decreased 6% year over year, primarily driven by net price erosion associated with the Medicare Part D redesign and other price headwinds.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
LINZESS Full-Year Net Sales and Demand Growth
LINZESS U.S. net sales for full-year 2025 were $865 million, supported by 11% prescription demand growth and 8% new-to-brand volume growth year over year. The brand surpassed ~5.7 million unique patients treated since launch and finished 2025 with roughly 45% market share.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated 2026 guidance calling for U.S. LINZESS net sales of $1.125–$1.175 billion (a >30% increase year‑over‑year driven by improved net price and low single‑digit prescription demand growth), Ironwood revenue of $450–$475 million, and greater than $300 million of adjusted EBITDA; they plan to begin STARS II site activation in Q2, repay 2026 convertible notes at maturity in June, use cash flow to reduce total debt to approximately $300 million by year‑end (targeting <1.0x 2026 adjusted EBITDA), and drive growth while managing expenses—building on 2025 comparatives of $865 million LINZESS U.S. net sales, 11% prescription demand growth, 8% new‑to‑brand volume growth, and $138 million adjusted EBITDA.

Ironwood Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM profitability and cash generation (high margins; positive operating cash flow and ~$112M TTM free cash flow) are offset by a major balance-sheet weakness (negative equity) and historically volatile earnings, which increases financial risk despite improving debt levels.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue361.51M296.15M351.41M442.74M410.60M413.75M
Gross Profit360.61M294.27M343.86M436.59M409.18M343.35M
EBITDA205.35M104.65M97.73M197.41M261.44M233.74M
Net Income150.97M24.02M880.00K-1.00B175.06M528.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets434.57M396.90M350.91M471.07M1.10B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments220.47M215.46M88.56M92.15M656.20M620.13M
Total Debt212.36M597.80M599.48M715.54M415.92M475.80M
Total Liabilities445.39M658.74M652.24M817.37M448.14M521.02M
Stockholders Equity-10.83M-261.83M-301.33M-346.30M652.38M605.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.21M127.01M103.41M183.15M273.63M261.63M
Operating Cash Flow112.21M127.04M103.55M183.43M273.76M261.89M
Investing Cash Flow-3.00K-34.00K-142.00K-1.03B-136.00K-265.00K
Financing Cash Flow210.00K216.00K-106.97M277.16M-237.55M-4.55M

Ironwood Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.43
Price Trends
50DMA
3.77
Positive
100DMA
3.89
Positive
200DMA
2.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
67.62
Neutral
STOCH
90.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRWD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.58, above the 50-day MA of 3.77, and above the 200-day MA of 2.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IRWD.

Ironwood Pharma Risk Analysis

Ironwood Pharma disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ironwood Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We may be unable to successfully integrate the business and personnel of VectivBio, and may not realize the expected benefits and anticipated synergies of such acquisition. Q4, 2023
2.
We cannot give any assurance that apraglutide will be successful in clinical trials, and if successful, will receive regulatory approval, which is necessary before it can be commercialized. Q4, 2023
3.
We may be unable to maintain the benefits associated with orphan drug designation, including market exclusivity, which may harm our business. Q4, 2023

Ironwood Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.86B13.6317.32%37.03%
71
Outperform
$1.23B18.3026.74%19.88%73.61%
69
Neutral
$910.60M78.400.73%4.57%
63
Neutral
$694.67M1.60-71.47%13.80%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$1.08B-1.55-24.55%2.13%-1.13%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRWD
Ironwood Pharma
4.22
3.49
475.72%
PCRX
Pacira Pharmaceuticals
23.15
-1.94
-7.73%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
81.86
19.56
31.40%
EVO
Evotec AG
3.07
-1.10
-26.38%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
37.80
8.24
27.88%

Ironwood Pharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ironwood Pharma Maintains Revolving Credit Facility to 2028
Positive
Mar 11, 2026
On March 10, 2026, Ironwood Pharmaceuticals notified the administrative agent under its existing revolving credit agreement that it had satisfied the liquidity conditions specified in the contract&#8217;s definition of the maturity date. As a resu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 10, 2026