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Independence Realty Trust (IRT)
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Independence Realty (IRT) AI Stock Analysis

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IRT

Independence Realty

(NYSE:IRT)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(4.42%Upside)
Independence Realty Trust's overall stock score is influenced primarily by its solid financial performance and effective operational management, which are slightly offset by challenges in increasing net profitability and generating higher returns on equity. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and high valuation metrics warrant caution. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic acquisitions and cost management initiatives provide a positive outlook for future improvements.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FY25 SSNOI guidance was raised to +2.1%, surpassing Street expectations, due to a significant reduction in operating expenses.
Liquidity and Capital Management
IRT is in a strong liquidity position with approximately $742.9 million at the end of the quarter, providing financial flexibility.
Strategic Growth
Strong execution on capital allocation & delevering is noted as a positive factor, enhancing the company's financial stability.
Negative Factors
Lease and Occupancy
2Q25 new lease rate and occupancy came in below management's expectations, indicating potential challenges in maintaining rental growth.
Leverage Concerns
Leverage increased to 6.3x net-debt-to-adjusted EBITDA, which remains higher than industry peers, posing a potential risk.
Revenue Performance
'25 SS Revenue was lowered to +1.7%, reflecting a year-over-year decline and falling below Street and BMO expectations.

Independence Realty (IRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Independence Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndependence Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: IRT) is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates multifamily apartment properties across non-gateway U.S. markets, including Atlanta, Louisville, Memphis, and Raleigh. IRT's investment strategy is focused on gaining scale within key amenity rich submarkets that offer good school districts, high-quality retail and major employment centers. IRT aims to provide stockholders attractive risk-adjusted returns through diligent portfolio management, strong operational performance, and a consistent return on capital through distributions and capital appreciation.
How the Company Makes MoneyIRT primarily generates revenue through rental income from its multifamily apartment properties. This income is derived from the lease agreements with tenants, which typically include monthly rent payments. Additionally, the company may earn ancillary income from services such as parking fees, pet fees, and utility reimbursements. IRT's earnings are also influenced by its ability to maintain high occupancy rates and strategically raise rents in line with market conditions. As a REIT, IRT benefits from tax advantages by distributing at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends, which are a significant aspect of its financial strategy. The company's growth and revenue are further supported by strategic acquisitions and development of new properties, as well as partnerships with local developers and property managers to optimize its operations and expand its market presence.

Independence Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted effective cost management and strategic acquisitions as major positives, but was tempered by revenue growth challenges and market-specific pressures. The company is poised for future improvements with a robust acquisition pipeline and a favorable supply outlook. However, current market conditions have resulted in downward revisions to revenue expectations.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating Expense Management
Same-store operating expenses decreased by 60 basis points from the prior year quarter due to lower repair and maintenance costs, lower real estate taxes, and a reduction in insurance premiums, fully offsetting softer revenue growth.
Value-Add Renovations and ROI
Completed 454 value-add renovations during the quarter, achieving a weighted average return on investment of 16.2%.
Successful Capital Recycling Strategy
Identified three assets for sale and under contract to acquire two new communities in Orlando for $155 million, with expectations of meaningful operating synergies.
Positive Acquisition Pipeline
Updated guidance implies an additional $315 million of acquisitions before year-end, supported by strong liquidity and leverage-neutral funding.
Improved Supply Outlook
Expecting a 43% reduction in supply growth by 2026 compared to 2024, setting up a stronger leasing environment.
Negative Updates
Underperformance in Revenue Growth
Same-store revenue growth was only 1% over the prior year, lagging expectations due to softer market conditions and lingering supply pressures.
New Lease Trade-Outs Decline
New lease trade-outs were down 3.1% in the second quarter, with negative impacts from supply-heavy markets like Atlanta, Dallas, Denver, Raleigh, and Charlotte.
Revised Downward Revenue Guidance
Updated 2025 guidance reflects a 90 basis point reduction in same-store revenue growth at the midpoint, driven by lower new lease growth.
Challenges in Major Markets
Specific challenges faced in markets such as McKinney, Tampa, and Denver, where increased supply and softening demand pressured pricing power.
Company Guidance
During the Independence Realty Trust Q2 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance updates were discussed. Same-store NOI grew by 2% in the quarter, driven by a 1% increase in same-store revenue and a 60 basis point decrease in operating expenses compared to the prior year. Average occupancy increased by 10 basis points, while average effective monthly rents saw a 90 basis point rise, and bad debt improved by 20 basis points. The company completed 454 value-add renovations in the quarter, achieving a 16.2% return on investment. For the full year 2025, same-store revenue growth is expected to be between 1.5% to 1.9%, with a revised core FFO per share midpoint remaining at $1.175. The updated outlook includes a 90 basis point reduction in revenue growth but is offset by a 245 basis point improvement in total operating expenses. Acquisitions are anticipated to total $315 million before year-end, supported by ample liquidity and capital recycling initiatives. The acquisition pipeline includes two communities in Orlando, expected to close in the third quarter for a combined $155 million, with a blended economic cap rate of 5.9%.

Independence Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Independence Realty exhibits a moderately strong financial position with steady revenue growth and solid cash flow performance. While profitability margins indicate effective operational management, there is potential to enhance net profitability. The balance sheet is stable with a reasonable debt level, though returns on equity could be improved to enhance shareholder value.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Independence Realty has shown a stable revenue base with a slight increase in total revenue over the TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is healthy at 50.17%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.69%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT margin of 30.12% shows strong operational efficiency, while the EBITDA margin is robust at 52.14%, reflecting good earnings before depreciation and amortization.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65 indicates a moderate level of leverage, which is typical for the REIT industry. The return on equity (ROE) is low at 0.87%, indicating challenges in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is solid at 57.74%, showing a strong equity base relative to assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The free cash flow has grown by 54.67% in the TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 9.18, signaling efficient conversion of net income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 4.36 suggests good free cash flow relative to net income, providing flexibility for investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue640.74M640.03M660.98M628.52M250.25M211.91M
Gross Profit321.49M374.52M167.37M372.22M147.46M120.43M
EBITDA334.07M350.28M291.08M345.35M220.88M105.21M
Net Income30.07M39.29M-17.23M33.70M8.19M-21.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.98B6.06B6.28B6.53B6.51B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.05M21.23M22.85M16.08M35.97M8.75M
Total Debt2.26B2.33B2.43B4.60B2.71B945.69M
Total Liabilities2.40B2.48B2.71B2.79B2.86B1.02B
Stockholders Equity3.46B3.44B3.43B3.60B3.48B708.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow130.99M84.69M115.54M165.56M9.28M37.56M
Operating Cash Flow276.06M259.75M262.17M249.54M52.26M74.96M
Investing Cash Flow-265.57M-20.61M-1.71M-135.77M-216.12M-124.54M
Financing Cash Flow-4.06M-246.43M-253.74M-135.43M215.92M48.76M

Independence Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.76
Price Trends
50DMA
17.69
Negative
100DMA
18.61
Negative
200DMA
19.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
34.40
Neutral
STOCH
18.13
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.33, below the 50-day MA of 17.69, and below the 200-day MA of 19.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.13 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IRT.

Independence Realty Risk Analysis

Independence Realty disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Independence Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Independence Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.36B145.823.45%5.36%8.01%
66
Neutral
$959.72M-1.55%5.61%-1.81%-33.33%
63
Neutral
$6.73B14.24-1.44%7.30%4.75%-35.88%
62
Neutral
$4.02B138.860.81%3.88%-1.54%
59
Neutral
$274.47M-4.28%6.89%2.39%-407.57%
57
Neutral
$783.88M866.19-11.85%6.47%-6.02%-156.44%
45
Neutral
$1.19B-48.27%7.15%9.28%34.42%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRT
Independence Realty
16.76
-1.65
-8.96%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
8.39
0.26
3.20%
UMH
Umh
16.23
-1.05
-6.08%
CSR
Centerspace
54.20
-10.82
-16.64%
BRT
BRT Apartments
14.52
-1.98
-12.00%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
30.78
-9.92
-24.37%

Independence Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Independence Realty Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Independence Realty Trust announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting an EPS of $0.03 and CFFO per share of $0.28, both aligning with expectations. The company achieved a 2.0% increase in same-store portfolio NOI, supported by stable occupancy and rental rate growth, while operating expenses declined by 0.6% due to operational efficiencies and favorable insurance renewals. IRT completed 454 renovations in its value-add program, achieving an average ROI of 16.2%. The company is evaluating future acquisitions, with two communities in Orlando under contract for Q3 2025, and has identified three properties for disposition in the second half of the year. Despite a slight decrease in net income compared to the previous year, IRT maintains a strong balance sheet with conservative leverage and ample liquidity to support growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Other
Independence Realty Releases New Investor Presentation
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. announced that a slide presentation, which may be used in investor presentations, will be available starting June 2, 2025. The information provided is not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and will not be incorporated into any registration statement under the Securities Act of 1933.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Independence Realty Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Independence Realty Trust, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the election of ten directors, the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and an advisory vote on executive compensation. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, with implications for its management structure and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Independence Realty Releases Investor Presentation May 2025
Neutral
May 5, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. announced that a slide presentation, which may be used in investor presentations, will be available starting May 5, 2025. The presentation is part of a current report and is not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor will it be incorporated into any registration statement under the Securities Act of 1933.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025