Independence Realty (IRT)
NYSE:IRT
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Independence Realty (IRT) AI Stock Analysis

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IRT

Independence Realty

(NYSE:IRT)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-6.40% Downside)
Independence Realty's overall score is driven by strong revenue growth and stable occupancy rates, but is tempered by high valuation concerns and weak technical indicators. The earnings call provides some optimism with successful renovations and market recovery signs, but challenges in specific markets and high P/E ratio weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust expansion and effective market penetration, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Stable Occupancy Rates
Stable occupancy rates reflect effective property management and tenant retention, ensuring consistent rental income and financial stability.
Successful Renovations
Renovations leading to higher rents and ROI demonstrate effective asset management, boosting long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Profit Margins
Decreasing net profit margins suggest challenges in cost management and profitability, potentially affecting long-term financial health.
Weakened Cash Flow
Negative cash flow growth indicates potential risks in sustaining operations and funding future investments, impacting financial flexibility.
Market Challenges
Supply pressures in key markets can limit rental growth and occupancy, challenging revenue stability and market competitiveness.

Independence Realty (IRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Independence Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndependence Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: IRT) is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates multifamily apartment properties across non-gateway U.S. markets, including Atlanta, Louisville, Memphis, and Raleigh. IRT's investment strategy is focused on gaining scale within key amenity rich submarkets that offer good school districts, high-quality retail and major employment centers. IRT aims to provide stockholders attractive risk-adjusted returns through diligent portfolio management, strong operational performance, and a consistent return on capital through distributions and capital appreciation.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndependence Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its multifamily residential properties. As a REIT, it is required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends, which incentivizes the company to maintain high occupancy rates and optimize property management. Additionally, IRT may earn revenue from property management fees, leasing commissions, and ancillary services offered to tenants. Significant partnerships with local developers and property management firms also contribute to its earnings, allowing IRT to expand its portfolio and enhance operational efficiencies.

Independence Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a generally stable performance with improvement in occupancy and revenue growth supported by successful renovations and market recovery in some areas. However, challenges in certain markets with high supply and a notable impairment in Denver highlighted ongoing pressures. The balance of highlights and lowlights suggests cautious optimism moving forward.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Occupancy and Revenue Growth
The average occupancy for the third quarter of 2025 remained stable at 95.6%, a 20 basis point improvement from the previous quarter. Same-store revenue increased, driven by higher average rents per unit and improved bad debt performance.
Successful Value-Add Renovations
Completed 788 unit renovations in the quarter, achieving an average monthly rent increase of approximately $250 over unrenovated market comps, resulting in a weighted average return on investment of 15%.
Positive Market Dynamics
Signs of market recovery in several markets, notably Atlanta, with occupancy increasing by 60 basis points since January 1, and asking rents up 5% this year.
Improved Bad Debt Management
Bad debt was reduced to 93 basis points of same-store revenue, a 76 basis point improvement over the previous year, with overall charge-offs down 40 basis points compared to Q3 2024.
New Acquisitions in Orlando
Acquired 2 communities in Orlando for $155 million, doubling the number of apartment units in the area and improving market presence.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Specific Markets
Markets such as Raleigh, Dallas, Denver, and Huntsville faced supply pressures, with Denver experiencing a 200 basis point occupancy decline and significant supply challenges.
Impairment in Denver Market
Recorded a $12.8 million impairment on an asset held for sale in the Denver market due to recent pressures in the Aurora submarket.
Lower New Lease Trade-Outs
New lease trade-outs were lower than anticipated at negative 3.5%, indicating challenges in maintaining rental rate growth.
Concessions in Competitive Markets
Increased use of concessions in markets with high supply, particularly in Denver and Dallas, to maintain occupancy levels.
Company Guidance
The call provided detailed guidance on the financial and operational aspects for Independence Realty Trust's third quarter of 2025. The company reported a stable average occupancy rate of 95.6%, a slight improvement of 20 basis points from the previous quarter, supported by a resident retention rate of 60.4%. Same-store revenue increased, driven by higher average rents and an improvement in bad debt, which was reduced to less than 1% of same-store revenues. Value-add renovations contributed to revenue growth, with 788 units renovated, achieving an average monthly rent increase of approximately $250, equating to a 15% return on investment. Same-store operating expenses decreased, primarily due to lower property insurance and turnover costs. The company acquired two communities in Orlando for $155 million, doubling its number of apartment units in the area. Despite competitive market dynamics, signs of recovery are emerging in several markets, with occupancy and asking rents increasing in key areas like Atlanta. The company's full-year 2025 guidance remains largely unchanged, with a narrowed core FFO per share guidance range maintaining a midpoint of $1.175.

Independence Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Independence Realty shows strong revenue growth and stable gross margins, but declining net profit margins and return on equity suggest challenges in maintaining profitability. Improved leverage ratios are positive, but weakened cash flow generation poses risks to financial flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Independence Realty shows a strong revenue growth trajectory, particularly in the TTM period with a 59.1% increase, indicating robust expansion. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 4.31% in the TTM, down from 6.14% in the previous year, suggesting challenges in maintaining profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 58.8%, reflecting consistent cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased, indicating potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.66 in the TTM from 0.68 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 0.81% from 1.14%, reflecting lower profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Overall, the balance sheet shows moderate stability with room for improvement in profitability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -10.77% in the TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.79, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.42, indicating some challenges in translating earnings into free cash flow. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects adequate cash management but highlights potential risks in sustaining free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue651.53M640.03M660.98M628.52M250.25M211.91M
Gross Profit287.08M374.52M167.37M372.22M147.46M120.43M
EBITDA318.48M350.28M291.08M345.35M220.88M105.21M
Net Income15.40M39.29M-17.23M33.70M8.19M-21.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.09B6.06B6.28B6.53B6.51B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.29M21.23M22.85M16.08M35.97M8.75M
Total Debt0.002.33B2.43B4.60B2.71B945.69M
Total Liabilities2.48B2.48B2.71B2.79B2.86B1.02B
Stockholders Equity3.49B3.44B3.43B3.60B3.48B708.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow101.01M84.69M115.54M165.56M9.28M37.56M
Operating Cash Flow285.39M259.75M262.17M249.54M52.26M74.96M
Investing Cash Flow-344.52M-20.61M-1.71M-135.77M-216.12M-124.54M
Financing Cash Flow61.82M-246.43M-253.74M-135.43M215.92M48.76M

Independence Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.56
Price Trends
50DMA
16.48
Positive
100DMA
16.85
Negative
200DMA
18.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
55.96
Neutral
STOCH
90.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.12, above the 50-day MA of 16.48, and below the 200-day MA of 18.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IRT.

Independence Realty Risk Analysis

Independence Realty disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Independence Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Independence Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.18B50.404.30%4.59%36.82%
59
Neutral
$1.37B22.655.33%2.14%3.37%
55
Neutral
$4.06B173.580.65%3.99%0.84%
51
Neutral
$755.78M-10.93171.00%7.56%-4.63%42.39%
51
Neutral
$801.20M-12.63%6.68%-4.46%-206.19%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRT
Independence Realty
16.56
-3.56
-17.69%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
5.68
0.03
0.53%
VRE
Veris Residential
14.95
-2.96
-16.53%
CSR
Centerspace
66.72
-2.18
-3.16%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
31.46
-11.22
-26.29%
MRP
Millrose Properties Inc Class A
31.79
10.17
47.04%

Independence Realty Corporate Events

Independence Realty Trust Reports Steady Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 31, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (IRT) is a real estate investment trust that focuses on owning and operating multifamily communities across non-gateway U.S. markets, aiming to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to shareholders. In its third quarter of 2025 financial results, IRT reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.03 and core funds from operations (CFFO) per share of $0.29, both aligning with expectations. The company achieved a 2.7% growth in same-store net operating income (NOI) and maintained a strong balance sheet with conservative leverage and ample liquidity. Key highlights include the completion of 788 unit renovations with a 14.8% return on investment and the acquisition of two communities in Orlando for $155 million, enhancing their portfolio in the region. Looking ahead, IRT’s management remains focused on stable occupancy and leveraging technology to enhance operational efficiencies, positioning the company to capitalize on improving rental rates as market conditions evolve.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Independence Realty Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

In its third quarter 2025 financial results, Independence Realty Trust reported an EPS of $0.03 and a CFFO per share of $0.29, both aligning with expectations. The company achieved a 2.7% growth in same-store net operating income and completed 788 unit renovations with a 14.8% ROI. IRT also acquired two communities in Orlando for $155 million, reflecting its strategy to recycle capital into higher growth investments. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with conservative leverage and reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance midpoints.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Other
Independence Realty Releases New Investor Presentation
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. announced that a slide presentation, which may be used in investor presentations, will be available starting September 10, 2025. This information is provided for informational purposes and is not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRT) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independence Realty stock, see the IRT Stock Forecast page.

Independence Realty Trust’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Moves Amid Revenue Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Independence Realty Trust’s recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, balancing effective cost management and strategic acquisitions against challenges in revenue growth and market-specific pressures. The company remains optimistic about future improvements, supported by a robust acquisition pipeline and a favorable supply outlook, although current market conditions have led to downward revisions in revenue expectations.

Independence Realty Trust Reports Steady Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (IRT) is a real estate investment trust that focuses on owning and operating multifamily apartment communities across non-gateway U.S. markets, with a strategy centered on gaining scale near major employment centers. In its second quarter of 2025 financial results, IRT reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.03 and core funds from operations (CFFO) per share of $0.28, both aligning with expectations. The company experienced a 2.0% increase in same-store net operating income (NOI), supported by stable occupancy and rental rate growth, while operating expenses declined by 0.6% due to operating efficiencies and favorable insurance renewals. IRT completed 454 unit renovations under its value-add program, achieving a 16.2% return on investment. The company is evaluating a robust pipeline of future acquisitions, including two communities in Orlando, Florida, under contract for acquisition in the third quarter of 2025. IRT’s balance sheet remains strong with conservative leverage and ample liquidity to support growth. Looking forward, IRT’s management remains optimistic about capital deployment opportunities and is increasing the midpoint of its same-store NOI growth guidance for the full year 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025