Innventure (INV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $290.49M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.30M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: -1555.32%
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): -0.51
• Shares Outstanding: 62,471,970
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,548,230
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,302,837
• PEG Ratio: -0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.23
• Price to Sales (P/S): 506.29
• P/FCF Ratio: -12.58
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.03
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 349.76
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -39.69
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -1.23
• 1Y Price Target: $14.50
• Price Target Upside: 158.47% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.00 ▲(6.95% Upside)

Innventure's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial struggles, which are a significant concern. However, positive technical indicators and recent corporate events provide some optimism. The valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings, but the company's strategic moves could improve its future prospects.

Positive Factors

Strategic Partnerships

The partnership with Johnson Controls enhances Innventure's strategic capabilities and market influence, providing access to significant management and preemptive rights, which can drive long-term growth and innovation.

Index Inclusion

Inclusion in major indexes like the Russell 2000 and 3000 increases Innventure's visibility and credibility in the investment community, potentially attracting new investors and enhancing shareholder value over time.

Revenue Growth

Sustained revenue growth indicates a strong market position and the successful commercialization of technology solutions, which can lead to improved financial performance and competitive advantage.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Persistent negative margins highlight operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges, which can hinder long-term financial stability and growth prospects if not addressed.

Cash Flow Issues

Negative cash flow reflects difficulties in sustaining operations and funding growth initiatives, potentially limiting Innventure's ability to invest in new opportunities and manage financial obligations.

Negative Return on Equity

A negative ROE indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments, which can undermine investor confidence and affect long-term capital raising capabilities.

Innventure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Innventure, Inc. operates companies with a focus on transformative, sustainable technology solutions acquired or licensed from multinational corporations. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Orlando, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

Innventure generates revenue through multiple streams, including consulting fees for strategic advisory services provided to startups and established businesses. Additionally, the company invests in early-stage ventures, earning returns on its investments as these companies grow or are acquired. Revenue is also derived from licensing proprietary technology solutions to other firms, creating recurring income. Significant partnerships with industry leaders and access to venture capital funds further bolster Innventure's financial performance, allowing it to leverage its expertise and network for increased profitability.

Innventure Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Innventure is facing significant financial difficulties across all verticals. Despite some revenue growth, the company is struggling with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet shows low leverage, but the negative return on equity and cash flow challenges highlight the need for strategic improvements to stabilize and enhance financial performance.

Income Statement

Innventure's income statement reveals significant challenges. The TTM data shows negative margins across the board, with a gross profit margin of -5.48% and a net profit margin of -189.00%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, indicating operational inefficiencies. Although there is a revenue growth rate of 14.73% in the TTM, the company is struggling to convert this into profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -113.56%, highlighting significant losses relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 34.27%, indicating a moderate level of equity financing, but the negative ROE is a major concern.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates a challenging situation with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 25.15% in the TTM, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that free cash flow is covering net losses, but overall cash flow health is weak.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.69M	1.22M	1.12M	942.00K	1.85M
Gross Profit	-14.89M	-3.31M	1.12M	942.00K	1.85M
EBITDA	-479.29M	-93.11M	-29.75M	-31.89M	8.03M
Net Income	-317.31M	-78.19M	-30.84M	-32.76M	6.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	556.51M	905.29M	21.56M	27.98M	233.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	14.06M	11.12M	2.58M	7.54M	237.36K
Total Debt	66.00M	28.28M	7.41M	5.90M	0.00
Total Liabilities	149.94M	139.00M	40.05M	39.17M	19.79M
Stockholders Equity	190.77M	425.52M	-20.05M	-11.85M	214.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-87.21M	-49.06M	-20.12M	-9.95M	-3.90M
Operating Cash Flow	-85.54M	-48.06M	-19.48M	-9.95M	-3.90M
Investing Cash Flow	2.74M	865.00K	-4.67M	1.48M	564.00K
Financing Cash Flow	96.81M	71.91M	19.17M	11.67M	6.08M

Innventure Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.61
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.87, above the 50-day MA of 4.07, and above the 200-day MA of 5.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INV.

Innventure Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NEWT	72 Outperform	$344.34M	5.37	17.74%	6.57%	6.38%	25.69%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
SCM	64 Neutral	$365.02M	11.58	8.20%	12.38%	90.34%	-44.25%
TPVG	59 Neutral	$267.85M	7.87	9.43%	17.04%	206.13%	298.86%
INV	57 Neutral	$290.49M	―	-353.77%	―	―	-1555.32%
PSBD	54 Neutral	$380.58M	27.83	2.72%	14.14%	-2.38%	-75.49%
SSSS	45 Neutral	$234.34M	5.05	35.45%	5.30%	―	―

Innventure Corporate Events

Innventure Joins Russell Indexes, Boosting Visibility

Innventure, Inc. announced its inclusion in the Russell 2000®, Russell 3000®, and Russell Microcap® Indexes, effective December 22, 2025, marking a significant milestone in its strategy execution. This inclusion is expected to enhance Innventure’s visibility within the investment community and broaden its shareholder base, reflecting its progress in transforming breakthrough technologies into scalable businesses.

Innventure Approves Stock Issuance to Comply with Nasdaq

On December 2, 2025, Innventure, Inc. held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where stockholders voted on proposals related to the issuance of additional common stock. The meeting resulted in the approval of two proposals to comply with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(d), allowing the issuance of 20% or more of the company’s common stock in connection with convertible debentures issued to Yorkville. The approval of these proposals indicates a strategic move to facilitate financial agreements with Yorkville, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market positioning.

Innventure Appoints Bruce Brown as Lead Director

Innventure, Inc. announced the appointment of Bruce Brown as its first Lead Independent Director, effective November 12, 2025. This new role aims to enhance board operations and stakeholder communications, with Mr. Brown playing a pivotal role in agenda setting and acting as a liaison between the board and stakeholders. Additionally, on November 14, 2025, the company amended its Non-Management Director Compensation Plan to include an annual retainer of $30,000 for the Lead Independent Director, payable quarterly, with an option to receive compensation in company stock.

Innventure Issues Fourth Convertible Debenture to Yorkville

Innventure, Inc., a Delaware corporation, announced the issuance of its Fourth Convertible Debenture to Yorkville, with a principal amount of $5,000,000 on November 12, 2025. This financial move resulted in gross proceeds of approximately $4,500,000 for the company, with the debenture bearing an annual interest rate of 5.0% and maturing on September 15, 2026. The issuance is structured to allow conversion into common stock, subject to certain conditions and limitations, potentially impacting the company’s stock market activities and shareholder dynamics.

Innventure Completes $9.75M Private Placement Agreement

On October 3, 2025, Innventure, Inc. completed a private placement agreement with investors, selling 1,625,235 shares of common stock and Series A warrants, raising approximately $9.75 million. The Series A Warrants, exercisable from April 6, 2026, are redeemable under certain conditions and the company is required to file a registration statement for resale with the SEC. Additionally, on October 2, 2025, Accelsius Holdings LLC, a subsidiary of Innventure, sold Series B-1 Units to Johnson Controls, Inc. for $25 million. This agreement grants JCI significant management and preemptive rights, including the ability to designate a director and rights of first refusal, enhancing JCI’s influence over Accelsius’s strategic decisions.

Innventure Secures $15 Million Convertible Debenture Deal

On September 15, 2025, Innventure, Inc. entered into a securities purchase agreement with YA II PN, Ltd. for the issuance and sale of convertible debentures totaling up to $15 million. The agreement includes an initial issuance of $10 million in convertible debentures, with an additional $5 million to be issued upon SEC approval of a registration statement. The debentures, which mature on September 15, 2026, bear a 5% annual interest rate and are convertible into common stock at a variable price, subject to certain conditions. This agreement aims to provide Innventure with significant funding while allowing Yorkville to convert debentures into common stock, potentially impacting the company’s stock market dynamics and shareholder structure.