Innventure (INV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $265.30M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 145.80K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.06
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: -1534.66%
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 73
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): -3.10
• Shares Outstanding: 53,487,293
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 65,107
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 145,803
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -43.34
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.62
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 125.65
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -2.18K
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -1.06
• 1Y Price Target: $14.50
• Price Target Upside: 192.34% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Innventure's overall stock score is low, primarily due to financial instability and weak technical indicators. The company's inability to generate positive earnings and cash flow is a significant concern. While the recent corporate developments offer a positive outlook, the current financial and market conditions outweigh this optimism.

Positive Factors

Investment Opportunities

A discounted sum-of-parts approach shows favorable opportunities for aggressive investors due to high risk and high reward potential.

Technology Commercialization

Accelsius is viewed as the key driver of success due to its rapid commercialization of proprietary liquid cooling technology for AI datacenters.

Negative Factors

Risk Factors

The high risk associated with the discount sum-of-parts approach may deter conservative investors despite potential rewards.

Innventure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Innventure (INV) is a company that specializes in identifying and launching high-potential disruptive technologies and innovations. It operates across multiple sectors, including healthcare, energy, and advanced materials, by collaborating with industry leaders to commercialize groundbreaking technologies. The company's core services include technology incubation, strategic partnerships, and providing operational expertise to scale innovations effectively.

How the Company Makes Money

Innventure makes money primarily through equity positions in the companies it helps to launch and scale. By partnering with multinational corporations and utilizing its proprietary process to identify and nurture disruptive technologies, Innventure earns revenue from successful commercialization and market entry of these innovations. Additional income streams may include licensing agreements, management fees, and potential exits or acquisitions of portfolio companies, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with industry giants also play a critical role in its financial success, providing capital, resources, and market access to accelerate growth.

Innventure Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Innventure exhibits financial instability with persistent losses and cash flow challenges. While the balance sheet has improved with positive equity, the income statement and cash flows highlight underlying operational and profitability issues that need addressing.

Income Statement

Innventure shows negative profitability metrics with a declining trend in both gross and net profit margins. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with significant negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicating operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio thanks to substantial stockholders' equity. However, the company has faced past instances of negative equity, posing potential risks. The equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow statements reveal negative free cash flow and operating cash flow over the years, with no significant improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash flow inefficiencies.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	764.00K	1.22M	1.12M	942.00K	1.85M
Gross Profit	-197.00K	-3.31M	1.12M	942.00K	1.85M
EBITDA	-279.18M	-93.11M	-29.75M	-31.89M	8.03M
Net Income	-154.88M	-78.19M	-30.84M	-32.76M	6.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	660.42M	905.29M	21.56M	27.98M	47.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.38M	11.12M	2.58M	7.54M	4.34M
Total Debt	12.35M	28.28M	7.41M	5.90M	8.77M
Total Liabilities	105.95M	139.54M	40.05M	39.17M	51.81M
Stockholders Equity	261.50M	502.87M	0.00	0.00	0.00
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-26.24M	-49.09M	-20.12M	-9.95M	-3.90M
Operating Cash Flow	-26.15M	-48.06M	-19.48M	-9.95M	-3.90M
Investing Cash Flow	-6.03M	865.00K	-4.67M	1.48M	564.00K
Financing Cash Flow	36.49M	71.91M	19.17M	11.67M	6.08M

Innventure Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 4.96
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.06, below the 50-day MA of 5.06, and below the 200-day MA of 8.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INV.

Innventure Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SWKH	74 Outperform	$185.88M	10.23	6.38%	―	18.18%	54.41%
SAMG	73 Outperform	$216.70M	17.17	10.98%	4.95%	5.48%	0.28%
MRCC	69 Neutral	$138.66M	19.69	3.63%	15.63%	127.09%	2519.30%
WHF	67 Neutral	$206.86M	22.62	3.07%	17.30%	-27.52%	-46.85%
Sector *	61 Neutral	C$14.65B	6.39	22.27%	5.48%	30.07%	-22.51%
OXSQ	51 Neutral	$177.14M	597.44	-0.32%	18.02%	-338.17%	-97.99%
INV	45 Neutral	$265.30M	―	-115.39%	―	―	-1534.66%

Innventure Corporate Events

Innventure’s Accelsius Secures Major Agreement and Launches New System

On March 11, 2025, Innventure announced significant developments for its subsidiary, Accelsius, including a 3-year master purchasing agreement with a global thermal management company and the launch of a 250Kw multi-rack cooling system. Accelsius has doubled its workforce and expanded its product line, demonstrating its technology’s capability to cool 4500Ws per socket. These advancements position Accelsius as a leader in the liquid cooling market, with strategic engagements and global adoption accelerating beyond initial plans, enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder value.