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HDFC Bank Limited (IN:HDFCBANK)
:HDFCBANK
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HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:HDFCBANK

HDFC Bank Limited

(HDFCBANK)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
₹2,290.00
▲(15.69% Upside)
HDFC Bank's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for growth. The technical indicators support a positive market sentiment, though valuation concerns and cash flow volatility present challenges. The bank's strategic focus on deposit growth and customer base expansion, coupled with management's cautiously optimistic guidance, contributes to a favorable outlook.

HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

HDFC Bank Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) is one of India's leading private sector banks, headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra. It provides a wide range of banking and financial services, catering to retail and wholesale customers across various segments. The bank's core products and services include retail banking, wholesale banking, and treasury operations. HDFC Bank offers a variety of financial products such as savings and current accounts, loans, credit cards, and investment services, along with digital banking solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyHDFC Bank Limited generates revenue through several key channels. One of the primary sources of income is interest earned from loans provided to individuals and businesses, encompassing personal, home, auto, and business loans. Additionally, the bank earns from fees and commissions associated with banking transactions and services, such as credit card fees, transaction processing fees, and investment product sales. The bank also gains from treasury operations, which involve trading and investment activities in the financial markets. HDFC Bank's extensive branch network and digital banking platforms support its ability to offer a wide range of financial products and services, contributing significantly to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with various financial service providers and corporations further enhance its service offerings and revenue-generating capabilities.

HDFC Bank Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 19, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 22.19%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook with strong deposit growth and strategic initiatives like the HDB Financial Services listing and bonus share issue. However, challenges such as slower loan growth, margin pressures due to rate changes, and subdued fee income highlight the bank's balanced performance amid a challenging macroeconomic environment.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Healthy Deposit Growth
The bank has grown average deposits at a healthy pace of 16% year-on-year and continues to gain market share.
Improved Credit-Deposit Ratio
The credit-deposit (CD) ratio improved from 110% at the time of the merger to about 95% currently.
HDB Financial Services Listing
Successfully carried out the HDB Financial Services listing process, with the bank diluting some stake.
Interim Dividend and Bonus Share Issue
The Board announced an interim dividend of INR 5 per share and recommended the first-ever bonus share issue in a 1:1 ratio.
Strong Customer Base Penetration Opportunity
The bank has a significant opportunity to penetrate its existing customer base with more products, particularly in cards which have the highest penetration.
Negative Updates
Slower Loan Growth
Loan growth slowed to 7% last year, with a modest improvement to 8% in the recent quarter.
Narrowed Margins Due to Rate Changes
Margins were impacted by policy rate changes, with a headwind from asset side floating rates and fixed liability rates.
Challenges in CASA Growth
The bank has not gained CASA market share and has prioritized deposit growth over CASA, impacting low-cost deposit growth.
Subdued Third-Party Distribution Fees
Fee income was lower due to subdued third-party distribution fees, impacting overall income.
Contingent Provisions Increase
Increased contingent provisions by INR 1,700 crores, impacting available capital for growth.
Company Guidance
During the HDFC Bank Q1 FY '26 earnings call, the bank provided guidance indicating a continued focus on growth and strategic objectives. The bank has achieved a year-on-year deposit growth of 16% while moderating its advances growth to 7% to bring down the credit deposit (CD) ratio from 110% to 95%. The bank expects loan growth to align with the system growth rate in FY '26 and surpass it in FY '27. Asset quality remains strong, with retail gross non-performing assets (GNPA) excluding agriculture steady at 82 basis points. The bank has made contingent provisions of INR 1,700 crores, raising its contingent provision to 57 basis points of loans. The cost-to-income ratio is expected to improve over the year, although quarterly fluctuations may occur due to various factors. The bank also announced an interim dividend of INR 5 per share and a 1:1 bonus share issue. Overall, HDFC Bank is poised to leverage its strong foundation, customer centricity, and technology investments to drive sustainable growth.

HDFC Bank Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HDFC Bank has demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and improving profitability margins. The balance sheet shows stability with moderate leverage and good return on equity. However, cash flows have shown some volatility, which requires attention.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
HDFC Bank has shown consistent revenue growth with a significant increase from 2020 to 2025. Revenue grew from 794,470,700,000 in 2020 to 4,709,150,000,000 in 2025, demonstrating robust growth. The gross profit margin is strong at around 60.9% for 2025, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved to 15.0% in 2025, showing enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, reflecting strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet of HDFC Bank demonstrates stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22 in 2025, showing moderate leverage. The return on equity has been improving, reaching 13.6% in 2025, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 11.9%, suggesting a sound capital structure with a substantial asset base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow from operations has been volatile, with negative figures in 2025. Free cash flow shows a decline, which could be a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is improving, indicating better cash conversion from income. The bank needs to focus on stabilizing its free cash flow for stronger financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.71T4.71T3.52T1.13T911.86B1.53T
Gross Profit2.87T2.87T1.85T1.13T892.43B782.43B
EBITDA2.80T2.84T757.81B638.47B525.55B441.82B
Net Income707.92B707.92B640.62B495.45B386.00B325.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.92T43.92T40.30T25.76T21.11T18.00T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.50T2.50T2.29T7.24T4.34T5.32T
Total Debt6.35T6.35T7.31T3.24T2.19T1.92T
Total Liabilities38.54T38.54T35.60T22.84T18.60T15.89T
Stockholders Equity5.22T5.22T4.56T2.89T2.47T2.10T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.11T968.48B433.58B554.69B407.80B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-2.07T1.02T477.20B581.02B424.76B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-38.51B-3.67T-4.39T-3.30T-16.81B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.32T3.35T4.17T2.91T-73.21B

HDFC Bank Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1979.35
Price Trends
50DMA
1973.50
Positive
100DMA
1916.60
Positive
200DMA
1814.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.27
Positive
RSI
47.90
Neutral
STOCH
22.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:HDFCBANK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1979.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1995.84, above the 50-day MA of 1973.50, and above the 200-day MA of 1814.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:HDFCBANK.

HDFC Bank Limited Risk Analysis

HDFC Bank Limited disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HDFC Bank Limited reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HDFC Bank Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
₹1.26T6.46
3.46%7.78%2.18%
79
Outperform
₹15.12T21.33
1.11%4.96%2.79%
74
Outperform
₹1.22T7.28
2.72%15.52%37.23%
73
Outperform
₹10.15T19.02
0.77%20.17%15.72%
68
Neutral
$17.48B11.7210.44%3.82%10.01%1.29%
61
Neutral
₹3.32T11.88
0.09%10.17%3.87%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:HDFCBANK
HDFC Bank Limited
1,979.35
368.76
22.90%
IN:AXISBANK
Axis Bank Limited
1,066.30
-99.85
-8.56%
IN:BANKBARODA
Bank of Baroda
241.75
6.27
2.66%
IN:ICICIBANK
ICICI Bank Limited
1,421.15
242.79
20.60%
IN:PNB
Punjab National Bank
106.65
-3.21
-2.92%

HDFC Bank Limited Corporate Events

HDFC Bank Reports Strong Financial Growth in June 2025 Quarter
Jul 4, 2025

HDFC Bank Limited reported significant growth in its financial metrics for the quarter ending June 2025. The bank’s average advances under management grew by 8.3% year-on-year, while average deposits increased by 16.4% over the same period. This growth reflects the bank’s strategic initiatives, including the securitization and assignment of loans amounting to ₹33 billion. The bank’s robust performance in advances and deposits underscores its strong market positioning and operational efficiency, which are likely to have positive implications for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 22, 2025