tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
State Bank of India (IN:SBIN)
:SBIN
India Market

State Bank of India (SBIN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
60 Followers

Top Page

IN:SBIN

State Bank of India

(SBIN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
₹1,237.00
▲(2.91% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/09/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth and profitability with improving leverage and cash generation) and constructive technicals (price above major moving averages with positive momentum). The latest earnings call adds upside via raised growth guidance, strong asset-quality trends, and solid capital/returns, partially offset by noted risks around one-off income support, treasury volatility, and funding-cost/gold-loan/PSL monitoring items. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Scale & Deposit Franchise
SBI’s massive deposit base and high CASA ratio provide a durable, low‑cost funding advantage that supports steady lending capacity and NIM resilience. The breadth of retail and corporate deposits underpins long‑term cross‑sell, liquidity depth and funding stability across cycles.
Capitalization & Asset Quality
Strong capital buffers and materially improved asset quality provide lasting loss‑absorption capacity. Low GNPA/NNPA levels and elevated PCR reduce downside from future stress, enabling sustained lending growth without immediate capital strain.
Profitability & Cash Generation
High cash conversion and robust return metrics reflect durable operating profitability and effective capital deployment. Strong revenue growth plus FCF conversion supports reinvestment, provisioning flexibility and consistent dividend/strategic investment capacity over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Reliance on One‑off Income
Material non‑recurring items meaningfully boosted reported non‑interest income in the quarter. If such items do not recur, structural earnings growth and fee income trends could be weaker than headline profits suggest, affecting sustainable ROA and payout planning.
Treasury & Funding Volatility
Market‑driven treasury swings and incomplete transmission of policy cuts to deposit rates expose margins to cycle risk. Persistent COF stickiness or adverse MTM movements can compress NII and make earnings more sensitive to interest‑rate cycles over the medium term.
Concentration & Provisioning Risks from Rapid Gold Loan Growth
Very rapid expansion in gold lending raises concentration and portfolio‑mix risks; if underwriting or LTVs shift, it could increase loss volatility. Management’s elevated proactive and non‑NPA provisions indicate this category and PSL/compliance demands can weigh on sustainable earnings.

State Bank of India (SBIN) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

State Bank of India Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionState Bank of India provides banking products and services to individuals, commercial enterprises, corporates, public bodies, and institutional customers in India and internationally. The company operates through Treasury, Corporate/Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, Insurance Business, and Other Banking Business segments. It offers personal banking products and services, including current accounts, savings accounts, salary accounts, fixed and recurring deposits, and flexi and annual deposits; home, personal, auto, education, and gold loans, as well as loans against property and securities; overdrafts; mutual funds, insurance, equity trading, portfolio investment schemes, remittance services; and mobile and digital banking services. The company also provides corporate banking products and services comprising corporate accounts, working capital and project finance, deferred payment guarantees, corporate term loans, structured finance, dealer and channel financing, equipment leasing, loan syndication, construction equipment loans, financing Indian firms' overseas subsidiaries or JVs, cash management, and asset-backed loans, as well as trade and service products. In addition, it offers NRI services, including accounts and deposits, remittances, investments, and loans; agricultural banking and micro-credit to agriculturists and farmers; supply chain finance, and deposits and transaction banking services for SME customers; and international banking services. Further, the company provides treasury, broking, bill payment, and MICR services; and merchant banking, advisory, securities broking, business & management consultancy, trustee business, factoring, payment, asset management, investment management, credit cards, and custody and fund accounting services. It also offers support and business correspondent services. As of March 31, 2022, the company operated 22,266 branches and 65,030 ATMs. State Bank of India was founded in 1806 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
How the Company Makes MoneyState Bank of India generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and advances made to customers, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank charges interest on various types of loans, including personal loans, home loans, and business loans, which are typically higher than the interest it pays on deposits. Additionally, SBIN earns fees and commissions from various services such as account maintenance, transaction processing, and financial advisory. The bank also profits from trading in government securities, foreign exchange, and derivatives. Significant partnerships with financial technology firms have allowed SBIN to enhance its digital services, further expanding its customer base and revenue potential. Furthermore, the bank's extensive network of branches and ATMs across India facilitates a strong retail banking presence, bolstering its deposit base and, consequently, its lending capacity.

State Bank of India Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 07, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong, broad-based operating performance (record net profit, double-digit credit growth, improved asset quality, robust capitalization and digital traction). Management reiterated conservative provisioning, controlled costs and clear guidance on NIM and ROA, while flagging market-driven treasury volatility, limited transmission to deposit costs, rapid gold-loan expansion and PSL pressures as items requiring monitoring. Overall, the positive operating momentum and balance-sheet strength materially outweigh the transitory and structural challenges discussed.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Profitability
Declared highest-ever quarterly net profit of INR 21,028 crore, up 24.49% year-on-year driven by higher operating profitability and contained credit costs.
Strong Operating Performance and NII Growth
Operating profit of INR 32,862 crore, up 39.54% YoY; net interest income INR 45,190 crore, up 9% YoY. Domestic NIM for the quarter at 3.12% and management guidance of ~3% exit/through-the-cycle NIM.
Robust Credit and Deposit Momentum
Credit growth of 15.14% YoY (as of Dec'25). Total deposits grew 9.02% YoY; CASA ratio at 39.3% with current account growth of 10.32% YoY. Domestic credit-deposit ratio improved to 72.98% (up ~404 bps YoY). Bank revised credit guidance to 13–15% for the current year.
Industry-Leading Asset Quality and Provision Coverage
Gross NPA at 1.57% (improved ~50 bps YoY), net NPA at 0.39% (improved ~14 bps YoY). Provision coverage ratio increased ~88 bps YoY to 75.54%, and reported credit costs were modest (~0.9%).
Strong Capitalization and Returns
Capital adequacy ratio improved ~101 bps YoY to 14.04% (comfortably above regulatory minima). Reported ROE of 20.68% and ROA consistently >1% for the quarter.
Digital & Subsidiary Traction
YONO ecosystem scale-up: ~9.65 crore registered customers and >3 crore registrations for the new YONO within ~1 month. Subsidiaries showing consistent performance; green portfolio reached ~INR 1 lakh crore. Management highlighted cross-sell (CVE) momentum and a CVE target of ~$1 billion.
Key One-off/Other Income Contributors Called Out
Q3 included notable other income items: special dividend from SBI Mutual Fund (~INR 2,200 crore) and interest on income tax refunds (~INR 769 crore), which materially supported non-interest income in the quarter.
Negative Updates
Reliance on One-off Income Items
A portion of the strong quarterly profit was supported by non-recurring items (notably SBI MF special dividend ~INR 2,200 crore and a large IT refund interest ~INR 769 crore), implying some earnings may be non-recurrent.
Treasury & Market-Driven Volatility
Yields have hardened, creating mark-to-market volatility on trading/investment books. Management cautioned that MTM impacts and treasury income may moderate and are subject to market cycles, despite trading/maturity levers to manage volatility.
Deposit Transmission / Cost of Funds Pressure
December policy rate cut has not fully transmitted to deposit repricing, limiting further COF decline. Management expects cost of funds to remain broadly stable near current levels in the near term, constraining margin upside from liability repricing.
Rapid Expansion in Gold Loan Portfolio
Gold loans saw very sharp growth (analysts noted ~95% YoY), raising concentration/monitoring risk despite management citing moderate LTVs (~51% personal; ~54.9% agri) and limited auctions (20–30). Management acknowledged some category shifts earlier but indicated LTVs remain conservative.
Sizeable Non-NPA / Proactive Provisions
Analyst discussion referenced sizeable non-NPA provisions (~INR 30,642 crore). Management retained COVID provisions (~INR 3,500 crore) plus account-specific proactive provisions — a conservative stance that supports resilience but represents an income/headline drag.
Potential PSL (Priority Sector) Headwinds with Faster Growth
Faster credit growth can increase PSL obligations. Management is managing PSL via organic origination, PSLC purchases (front-loaded earlier), and on-lending to PSL-qualifying NBFCs, but PSL compliance remains a monitoring point as growth accelerates.
Company Guidance
The management provided clear guidance to sustain profitable, risk‑adjusted growth: credit growth for the year was revised up to 13–15% (Q3 YTD credit growth 15.14%), exit and through‑the‑cycle domestic NIM targeted at ~3% (Q3 domestic NIM 3.12%), and ROA to be maintained >1% with ROE at 20.68% (Q3); they also reiterated an efficiency target of cost‑to‑income <50% and said capital remains strong (CAR 14.04%, up 101 bps YoY). Q3 metrics underpinning the guidance included record net profit INR 21,028 crore (+24.5% YoY), operating profit INR 32,862 crore (+39.5% YoY), NII INR 45,190 crore (+9% YoY), credit cost ~0.9%, advances ≈INR 47 tn, deposits ≈INR 57 tn, total business >INR 103 tn and balance sheet ≈INR 72 tn, with GNPA 1.57% (down 50 bps), NNPA 0.39% (down 14 bps) and PCR 75.54% (up 88 bps); management also flagged digital and liability ambitions (YONO ~9.65 crore registered users, 3 crore new registrations in one month; target to scale from 10 crore to 20 crore users in 2–3 years) while keeping capital, liquidity and asset‑quality buffers intact.

State Bank of India Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and growth (revenue +17.53%, net margin 11.92%) support a high score. Balance sheet metrics are solid with improved leverage and strong ROE (15.93%), though the equity ratio (6.66%) indicates moderate reliance on debt. Cash flow is improving with strong free-cash-flow-to-net-income (88.37%), but operating cash flow conversion remains only moderate (OCF/NI 0.89%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
State Bank of India shows strong revenue growth with a 17.53% increase in the latest year, and a solid net profit margin of 11.92%. The gross profit margin remains robust at 53.73%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while healthy, suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The bank maintains a stable debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, showing a decrease from previous years, which indicates improved leverage management. Return on Equity is strong at 15.93%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio of 6.66% suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow has improved significantly, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains low at 0.89%. Free cash flow growth is positive, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 88.37%, indicating good cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.65T6.50T5.83T4.60T3.92T3.70T
Gross Profit3.58T3.50T3.24T2.70T2.36T2.14T
EBITDA1.09T1.10T950.89B790.94B534.30B365.07B
Net Income794.38B775.61B670.85B556.48B353.74B224.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.44T73.14T67.34T59.54T53.61T48.46T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.90T3.58T5.98T5.37T5.95T5.32T
Total Debt5.86T6.11T5.57T5.22T4.58T4.27T
Total Liabilities69.05T68.09T63.03T55.83T50.44T45.60T
Stockholders Equity5.20T4.87T4.15T3.59T3.06T2.76T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00428.49B174.57B-900.57B543.90B860.09B
Operating Cash Flow0.00484.86B216.32B-860.14B576.95B899.19B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-56.35B-42.52B-40.41B-36.19B-37.36B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-137.39B-98.96B63.86B-38.45B71.43B

State Bank of India Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1202.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1072.94
Positive
100DMA
1007.28
Positive
200DMA
911.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
43.86
Positive
RSI
65.98
Neutral
STOCH
35.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:SBIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1202 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1164.59, above the 50-day MA of 1072.94, and above the 200-day MA of 911.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 43.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:SBIN.

State Bank of India Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
₹11.10T13.111.64%8.90%11.93%
81
Outperform
₹1.66T8.552.86%4.40%-3.84%
76
Outperform
₹4.30T16.340.08%6.08%-7.26%
72
Outperform
₹9.87T18.540.81%14.32%11.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
₹747.13B-36.741.95%-7.44%-109.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:SBIN
State Bank of India
1,202.00
527.30
78.15%
IN:AXISBANK
Axis Bank Limited
1,383.85
368.87
36.34%
IN:BANKBARODA
Bank of Baroda
321.85
130.74
68.41%
IN:ICICIBANK
ICICI Bank Limited
1,379.00
185.11
15.50%
IN:INDUSINDBK
IndusInd Bank Ltd.
959.00
-29.95
-3.03%

State Bank of India Corporate Events

State Bank of India Publishes Audio of Post-Earnings Analyst Meet
Feb 7, 2026

State Bank of India has notified the stock exchanges that it has made available the audio recording of its post-earnings investor and analyst meeting, held on 7 February 2026 to discuss the financial results for the quarter and nine months ended 31 December 2025, on the bank’s investor relations website. The disclosure, made in line with SEBI’s listing and disclosure regulations, underscores SBI’s focus on transparency and timely communication with investors and analysts, supporting informed decision-making for stakeholders and reinforcing its governance and compliance standards in the Indian banking sector.

Ashwini Kumar Tewari Takes Charge as Managing Director of State Bank of India
Jan 28, 2026

State Bank of India has announced that Ashwini Kumar Tewari has formally assumed charge as Managing Director of the bank with effect from 28 January 2026. The move follows his re-appointment by the Government of India and is disclosed under stock market listing regulations, underscoring leadership continuity at the country’s largest lender and signaling ongoing stability in its governance framework for investors and other stakeholders.

State Bank of India Warns of Potential Impact from Nationwide Bank Strike on January 27, 2026
Jan 23, 2026

State Bank of India has disclosed that it has received a communication from the Indian Banks’ Association that the United Forum of Bank Unions, representing nine constituent unions and associations, has called a nationwide bank strike from midnight of January 26, 2026 to midnight of January 27, 2026. The bank stated it has made necessary arrangements to maintain normal operations across its branches and offices during the strike, but cautioned that its functioning may still be impacted, signaling potential short-term disruption for customers and routine banking services and complying with regulatory disclosure requirements under SEBI’s listing regulations.

State Bank of India Appoints New Managing Director
Dec 15, 2025

State Bank of India has announced the appointment of Shri Ravi Ranjan as its new Managing Director, effective from December 15, 2025. This strategic move, sanctioned by the Government of India, positions SBI to continue its leadership in the banking sector under Ranjan’s guidance until his retirement in 2028, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder relations positively.

State Bank of India Announces Key Management Changes
Nov 29, 2025

State Bank of India has announced changes in its senior management team, effective from November 30, 2025. The changes include the superannuation of key personnel such as Shri Vinay M Tonse, Managing Director of Retail Business and Operations, Smt Saloni Narayan, Deputy Managing Director of Finance, and Smt Ruma Dey, Deputy Managing Director of Special Projects – Compliance & Data Protection. These changes are part of the bank’s ongoing efforts to ensure effective leadership and governance, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder relationships.

State Bank of India Engages with Key Institutional Investors in Abu Dhabi
Nov 20, 2025

State Bank of India recently engaged in a series of investor interactions in Abu Dhabi, organized by HSBC. The meetings involved one-on-one discussions with major institutional investors such as the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Mubadala Investment Company, and Marshall Wace Asset Management. These interactions are part of SBI’s efforts to maintain transparency and strengthen relationships with key stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

State Bank of India Increases Stake in Raajmarg Infra Investment
Nov 13, 2025

State Bank of India has acquired an additional 5,10,000 equity shares in Raajmarg Infra Investment Managers Private Limited through a rights issue, increasing its total stake to 7.45% with 14,90,000 shares. This strategic acquisition is likely to strengthen SBI’s position in the infrastructure investment sector, potentially enhancing its market influence and offering new opportunities for growth and collaboration with stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 09, 2026