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InterDigital (IDCC)
NASDAQ:IDCC

InterDigital (IDCC) AI Stock Analysis

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IDCC

InterDigital

(NASDAQ:IDCC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$386.00
▲(1.84% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high profitability, robust cash generation, and improving leverage). Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages and positive MACD. Offsetting these positives are a mid-level valuation (P/E ~26.6 with a low dividend yield) and earnings-call risks tied to 2026 guidance stepping down from 2025, renewal timing, and higher litigation costs.
Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue / ARR Growth
A growing ARR base (24% YoY to $582M) increases predictable, contract-based licensing revenue and reduces reliance on one-off settlements. Durable ARR supports multi-year cash flow visibility, underpins reinvestment in R&D and enforcement, and provides a clear path toward the $1B ARR target by 2030.
Cash Generation & Margin Conversion
Very strong 2025 operating and free cash flow with high FCF-to-net-income conversion demonstrates robust cash generation. This durable cash profile funds R&D, M&A and enforcement without heavy external financing, improving strategic optionality and resilience through licensing cycles.
Large IP Portfolio & R&D / Standards Leadership
A deep, expanding SEP portfolio and continued R&D/standards leadership create sustainable licensing leverage. Growth in patents, AI capability via DeepRender, and standards roles strengthen differentiation, lengthen monetization runway across smartphones, CE, video and future 6G technologies.
Negative Factors
Litigation & Enforcement Uncertainty
Ongoing, multi-jurisdictional enforcement campaigns are lengthy and unpredictable; higher litigation costs and uncertain rulings can delay or reduce licensing revenue, divert management focus, and raise structural expense levels, weakening operating leverage over a multi-year horizon.
ARR Expirations and Renewal Timing Risk
Material expirations (~$92M) and partial renewals create durable timing risk for recurring revenue. Renewal delays or less favorable terms can compress ARR growth and introduce persistent quarter-to-quarter volatility in recognized revenue and cash flows until renewals are fully secured.
Revenue Volatility / Guidance Step-Down
Management's 2026 guidance below 2025 reflects structural sensitivity to contract timing, renewals and arbitration outcomes. This underlying revenue volatility constrains planning, may force conservative investment or payout policies, and signals that top-line stability depends on securing new long-term agreements.

InterDigital (IDCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

InterDigital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInterDigital, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops technologies that enable and enhance wireless communications in the United States, China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and Europe. It provides technology solutions for use in digital cellular and wireless products and networks, including 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G, and IEEE 802-related products and networks. The company develops cellular technologies, such as technologies related to CDMA, TDMA, OFDM/OFDMA, and MIMO for use in 2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G wireless networks, as well as mobile terminal devices; and 3GPP technology portfolio in 5G NR, beyond 5G (B5G), extended reality over wireless, and cellular Internet of Things (IoT) areas, as well as technologies for automobiles, wearables, smart homes, drones, and other connected consumer electronic products. It also provides video coding and transmission technologies; and engages in the research and development of artificial intelligence. The company's patented technologies are used in various products that include cellular phones, tablets, notebook computers, and wireless personal digital assistants; wireless infrastructure equipment, which comprise base stations; components, dongles, and modules for wireless devices; and IoT devices and software platforms. As of December 31, 2021, it had a portfolio of approximately 27,500 patents and patent applications related to wireless communications, video coding, display technology, and other areas. InterDigital, Inc. was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
How the Company Makes MoneyInterDigital generates revenue primarily through the licensing of its extensive portfolio of patents and intellectual property related to wireless communication technologies. This includes licensing agreements with major mobile device manufacturers, network operators, and technology firms who utilize InterDigital's innovations in their products and services. The company also earns revenue from research and development contracts, collaborations with industry partners, and the sale of technology solutions that support the deployment and optimization of wireless networks. Strategic partnerships with key players in the telecommunications industry further enhance InterDigital's earning potential by facilitating the adoption of its technologies across diverse applications.

InterDigital Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

InterDigital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum highlighted by record 2025 financials, substantial ARR growth (+24% YoY), expanded licensing across smartphones and CE, a growing high-quality patent portfolio (+14% YoY), and strategic AI capabilities (DeepRender acquisition). However, the company faces near-term headwinds from expirations that temporarily reduced ARR, elevated litigation costs and ongoing multi-jurisdictional enforcement risks, and a 2026 guidance range that is below 2025 results absent additional new deals or arbitration outcomes. On balance, the positives around record performance, recurring revenue growth, robust cash generation, and a deep pipeline and IP position outweigh the short-term risks tied to timing of renewals, litigation costs, and conservative near-term guidance.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Financials
Full-year 2025 revenue of $834 million (second-highest in company history); adjusted EBITDA of $589 million (record high); non-GAAP EPS of $15.31 (record high). Over four years (2021–2025) revenue roughly doubled, adjusted EBITDA nearly tripled, and non-GAAP EPS increased more than fourfold.
Strong Q4 Outperformance vs Outlook
Q4 2025 revenue of $158 million exceeded the high end of outlook ($144–$148M) and included $13 million of catch-up revenue. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $88 million (vs outlook $68–$76M) with a 56% adjusted EBITDA margin. Q4 GAAP EPS $1.20 and non-GAAP EPS $2.12 both exceeded guidance ranges.
Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth
ARR increased to $582 million, up 24% year over year, demonstrating growth in recurring licensing streams and momentum entering 2026.
Smartphone Licensing Momentum
Smartphone revenue reached an all-time high just below $680 million, up 14% year over year. Company licensed 8 of the top 10 smartphone manufacturers covering ~85% of the market and completed a long-term Samsung license extended to 2030; Xiaomi was renewed at the start of 2026.
Expanding CE/IoT and Video Licensing Footprint
Signed new CE/PC licenses including HP and LG, a CE device license with a significant social media company, and continued progress on video service licensing targeting major streaming platforms. Since 2021, over 50 license agreements signed with total contract value exceeding $4.6 billion.
IP Portfolio and R&D Strength
Patent portfolio grew ~14% year over year, surpassing 38,000 granted patents and applications. Acquisition of AI startup DeepRender (Q4) and leadership roles in standards (including 3GPP working group chair reelection) bolster AI, video, and 6G research capability.
Solid Cash Generation
Q4 cash from operations of $63 million and free cash flow of $48 million, supporting investment in R&D, M&A, and enforcement actions.
Recognition and Industry Awards
Multiple third-party recognitions in 2025 and early 2026 (Newsweek, Fortune, Time) and named Forbes' top most successful mid-cap company in America for 2026, highlighting long-term performance and market credibility.
Negative Updates
Guidance Below 2025 Levels
2026 full-year guidance of $675 million to $775 million revenue implies a decline from 2025's $834 million; guided non-GAAP EPS of $8.74 to $11.84 is below 2025's $15.31, indicating expected step-down absent new agreements/arbitration outcomes.
ARR Step-Down From Expirations
ARR experienced a step-down due to year-end expirations (~$92 million expired at end of 2025). Management has renewed about two-thirds of that amount so far but ARR has not fully recovered yet, creating short-term renewal risk.
Elevated and Increasing Litigation Costs
Litigation expense was elevated in the quarter (approximately $19 million noted) and management expects litigation costs to be higher in Q1 and broadly for 2026, which pressures operating expenses and margins absent offsetting revenue.
Ongoing Multi-Jurisdictional Enforcement Risks
Active enforcement campaigns against major streaming services (Disney, Hulu, ESPN+, Amazon) are multi-jurisdictional and lengthy. While early wins (preliminary injunctions in Brazil and Germany against Disney) are positive, major trials in larger jurisdictions (U.S., UPC) are pending and outcomes are uncertain.
Reliance on Catch-Up and Timing Uncertainty
Q1 2026 revenue guidance includes $55–$60 million of catch-up sales and management excluded potential new agreements/arbitration results from the quarterly guide due to timing uncertainty, reflecting reliance on timing-sensitive license/arbitration outcomes.
Streaming Licensing is Early-Stage and Time-Consuming
Management noted that licensing streaming platforms is a newer and slower cycle compared to longstanding smartphone relationships, meaning monetization of video/service IP may take longer and requires sustained enforcement/negotiation effort.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 total revenue of $675–$775 million, adjusted EBITDA of $381–$477 million, and non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $8.74–$11.84; for Q1 2026 they expect $194–$200 million of revenue from existing contracts (including $55–$60 million of catch‑up), a 52%–55% adjusted EBITDA margin on those contracts, and non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $2.39–$2.68. Management noted Q1 guidance excludes impacts from any new agreements or arbitration results (while the full‑year guide does include potential contributions from such outcomes), said roughly two‑thirds of the ~$92 million of ARR expirations at year‑end 2025 have been renewed, flagged higher litigation and R&D investment costs factored into the 2026 outlook, and reiterated the ARR growth trajectory toward $1 billion by 2030 from the current ARR of $582 million.

InterDigital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation underpin the score (net margin expanded materially over 2021–2025; free cash flow closely tracks earnings with very strong 2025 OCF/FCF). Balance sheet leverage has improved meaningfully (debt-to-equity down to ~0.43 in 2025) with strong ROE, but revenue volatility (notably the 2025 decline) and year-to-year FCF variability temper the rating.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability is a clear strength: annual net margin expanded from ~13% (2021) to ~49% (2025), with very strong operating profitability in recent years (EBITDA margin consistently ~55–65% since 2023). Revenue growth has been uneven—strong growth in 2022–2024, followed by a notable decline in 2025 (about -10%), which is the main near-term weakness. Also, 2025 gross profit/margin appears missing/zero in the provided data, limiting margin-quality read-through for that year.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks manageable and improving: debt-to-equity moved down meaningfully from ~1.07 (2023) to ~0.43 (2025), alongside a sizable increase in equity. Returns on equity have been strong (roughly ~37–42% in 2023–2025), signaling effective profitability on the capital base. The main watch item is absolute debt remaining meaningful (~$475M in 2025) and prior periods showing higher leverage, indicating the balance sheet has improved but still benefits from continued discipline if earnings soften.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout: free cash flow closely tracks earnings (free cash flow roughly ~79–98% of net income across the years shown), and 2025 produced very strong operating and free cash flow (~$544M and ~$529M). However, free cash flow growth turned negative in 2023 and again in 2025 (about -16%), highlighting volatility year-to-year. Cash flow coverage is mixed (strong in 2022, lower in 2023–2024, improving again in 2025), suggesting timing variability rather than consistently smooth conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue834.01M868.52M549.59M457.79M425.41M
Gross Profit669.67M699.28M470.19M386.38M360.78M
EBITDA586.19M544.75M357.22M225.63M160.97M
Net Income406.64M358.61M214.07M93.69M55.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06B1.84B1.77B1.90B1.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.24B958.21M1.01B1.20B941.63M
Total Debt505.84M490.94M625.16M626.99M444.37M
Total Liabilities963.17M978.31M1.19B1.17B875.24M
Stockholders Equity1.10B857.22M581.55M724.89M745.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow528.56M265.68M169.11M243.29M90.84M
Operating Cash Flow544.45M271.53M213.73M286.04M129.12M
Investing Cash Flow-140.28M109.45M-85.17M-314.71M-36.91M
Financing Cash Flow-201.45M-272.39M-388.76M18.60M-74.47M

InterDigital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price379.02
Price Trends
50DMA
335.49
Positive
100DMA
346.82
Positive
200DMA
300.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.27
Negative
RSI
61.23
Neutral
STOCH
58.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IDCC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 379.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 351.22, above the 50-day MA of 335.49, and above the 200-day MA of 300.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IDCC.

InterDigital Risk Analysis

InterDigital disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. InterDigital reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

InterDigital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$7.11B11.3916.53%9.46%34.09%
74
Outperform
$9.32B30.7741.53%0.66%28.75%85.06%
71
Outperform
$7.32B20.2957.32%0.16%17.00%120.21%
67
Neutral
$5.52B50.259.79%18.99%66.43%
65
Neutral
$5.94B-56.14-12.84%16.98%-265.85%
64
Neutral
$3.89B44.8634.48%22.02%-55.25%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IDCC
InterDigital
375.29
167.49
80.60%
CVLT
CommVault Systems
88.58
-80.05
-47.47%
NICE
NICE
115.90
-27.09
-18.95%
PEGA
Pegasystems
45.31
7.20
18.90%
ESTC
Elastic
61.58
-39.70
-39.20%
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
17.79
-3.34
-15.81%

InterDigital Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
InterDigital Renews Major Chinese Vendor Licensing Agreement
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

InterDigital has renewed a worldwide, non-exclusive, royalty-bearing license agreement with a major Chinese vendor for a five-year term, covering the vendor’s smartphones and other cellular-enabled devices under InterDigital’s standard essential cellular, WiFi, and HEVC patent portfolio. The agreement underscores the continued commercial relevance of InterDigital’s intellectual property and supports ongoing licensing revenue from a key market, reinforcing the company’s position as a significant patent licensor to global device manufacturers.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDCC) stock is a Buy with a $383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterDigital stock, see the IDCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026