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SeaStar Medical Holding (ICU)
NASDAQ:ICU
US Market

SeaStar Medical Holding (ICU) AI Stock Analysis

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ICU

SeaStar Medical Holding

(NASDAQ:ICU)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(8.70% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial fundamentals—large ongoing losses and significant cash burn despite early revenue traction—alongside a bearish technical setup with the stock below major moving averages. Offsetting factors include strong gross margins, a debt-free TTM balance sheet, positive earnings-call progress on revenue outlook and financing, and reduced delisting risk after regaining Nasdaq bid compliance.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margin
Sustained ~92% gross margin demonstrates strong unit economics for the therapy/disposable model. Durable high margins can support profitability as volumes scale, fund clinical/commercial investment per treatment, and create a structural competitive advantage vs lower-margin alternatives.
Debt-Free TTM Balance Sheet
A TTM balance sheet with no debt and ~ $11.5M equity materially reduces near-term insolvency risk and preserves strategic optionality. This structural liquidity buffer supports continued clinical enrollment and commercialization efforts without immediate refinancing pressure.
Clinical Efficacy & Early Traction
Compelling early clinical survival data plus early commercial revenue and a >$12M capital raise strengthen the long-term adoption case. Durable clinical efficacy supports payer/hospital uptake and, combined with fresh financing, improves likelihood of advancing pivotal programs and scaling sales.
Negative Factors
High Cash Burn
Persistent ~-$14M annual cash outflow implies ongoing financing needs until revenue scales substantially. Structurally high cash burn pressures the balance sheet, increases dilution risk from future funding, and constrains investment pace in commercialization and trials over the next several quarters.
Very Small, Variable Revenue Base
TTM revenue remains sub-million and quarter-to-quarter sales are inconsistent, indicating limited commercial penetration. Structurally weak and volatile top-line means fixed costs and R&D absorb most cash, delaying path to self-funding and increasing reliance on external capital for durable growth.
Increased Pivotal Trial Size
Raising the pivotal enrollment from 200 to 339 increases trial duration, complexity, and cost, adding regulatory and execution risk. This structural change delays potential label expansion and commercial scale, raising capital needs and extending time-to-revenue for broader indications.

SeaStar Medical Holding (ICU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SeaStar Medical Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeaStar Medical Holding Corporation, a medical device company, focuses on providing novel solutions and services to treat hyperinflammation and cytokine storm in critically ill patients. The company is developing and commercializing extracorporeal therapies that target the effector cells that drive systemic inflammation, causing direct tissue damage and secreting a range of pro-inflammatory cytokines that initiate and propagate imbalanced immune responses. It is developing products in various therapeutic areas, including pediatric and adult acute kidney injury on CRRT; cardiorenal syndrome in congestive heart failure with and without LVAD; myocardial stunning in end stage renal disease; and hepatorenal syndrome. The company is based in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneySeaStar Medical Holding makes money through the sale and licensing of its Selective Cytopheretic Device (SCD) to hospitals, healthcare providers, and potentially through partnerships with other medical technology companies. Revenue is primarily generated from the commercialization of its patented therapies targeting acute kidney injury and other inflammatory conditions. The company may also derive income from ongoing research and development collaborations and potential future expansions into additional therapeutic areas.

SeaStar Medical Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased several positive developments, including impressive survival results from Quellimmune therapy, significant revenue growth, and a high gross profit margin. The expansion of clinical sites and a strengthened financial position further underline the company's potential. However, the variability in sales and the increased enrollment requirement for the pivotal trial pose challenges. Despite these, the overall sentiment is positive with a strategic focus on overcoming hurdles and continuing growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Impressive Survival Results for Quellimmune
Reported very impressive survival results for the use of Quellimmune therapy in 21 pediatric patients, with 76% surviving through 60 days and 71% through 90 days.
Revenue Growth and Projections
Net revenue for Quellimmune in the third quarter was $183,000, a 45% increase compared to the first six months of the year. Full-year revenue for 2025 is projected to exceed $1 million.
High Gross Profit Margin
Achieved a gross profit margin of 92%, similar to a branded pharmaceutical product.
Expansion of Clinical Sites
Onboarded three additional clinical sites for the neutralized AKI trial, bringing the total to 17 active sites, with plans to activate eight more.
Financial Strengthening
Raised over $12 million to strengthen the balance sheet and extend the financial runway.
Negative Updates
Variable Quellimmune Sales
Sales continue to be variable quarter to quarter, with the requirement for a registry hampering the ability to add sites quickly.
Increased Enrollment Requirement
The neutralized AKI pivotal trial's enrollment target increased to 339 patients from 200 due to the interim analysis showing an effect size that was not significant enough.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of approximately $3.5 million for the third quarter of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the SeaStar Medical Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call for 2025, the company reported several key metrics indicating progress and future expectations. Net revenue for the third quarter was $183,000, reflecting a significant increase compared to $68,000 in the same period in 2024. The company anticipates full-year revenue for 2025 to exceed $1 million. SeaStar Medical achieved a gross profit margin of 92% for the quarter, comparable to branded pharmaceutical products. Enrollment in the neutralized AKI trial reached 146 out of a revised target of 339 patients, with plans to activate additional clinical sites to meet this goal by December 2026. Additionally, SeaStar Medical raised over $12 million to bolster its financial position. The company continues to focus on expanding its Quellimmune therapy to more pediatric hospital systems and is optimistic about capturing a significant portion of the estimated $100 million U.S. market.

SeaStar Medical Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing off a very small base (TTM ~$0.88M vs prior ~$0.14M) and gross margins are very high (~95%–100%), but the company remains deeply unprofitable (TTM EBIT ~-$13.9M) with substantial cash burn (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow both ~-$14.2M). The TTM balance sheet is a relative strength with no debt and positive equity (~$11.5M), though historical periods showed stress and ongoing losses imply continued funding needs.
Income Statement
22
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is still very small ($0.88M) but showed improvement versus the prior annual period ($0.14M) with positive growth. Gross margin is exceptionally high (about 95%–100%), which is a strength. However, the company remains deeply unprofitable with large operating losses (TTM EBIT of about -$13.9M) and a strongly negative net margin, indicating the cost structure is far ahead of the current revenue base.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
The balance sheet looks cleaner in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) snapshot, with no debt reported and positive equity (~$11.5M), which reduces near-term financial risk. That said, the business is still generating large losses, reflected in very weak returns on equity in the TTM period. Prior annual periods show negative equity and debt on the balance sheet, highlighting historical balance-sheet stress and the need for continued capitalization as losses persist.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash burn remains significant: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both about -$14.2M, and free cash flow declined versus the prior annual period. While cash outflow is slightly improved versus 2024 (less negative), the company is still far from self-funding operations, implying ongoing reliance on external financing until revenue scales materially.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue881.00K135.00K0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit840.00K135.00K0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-13.89M-24.58M-11.14M-11.56M-4.38M0.00
Net Income-13.66M-24.83M-26.23M-12.19M-4.60M-3.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.53M4.66M3.51M3.04M603.00K2.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.76M1.82M176.00K47.00K510.00K2.81M
Total Debt0.00574.00K9.08M8.83M2.62M83.00K
Total Liabilities4.07M6.84M17.38M23.80M3.42M74.49M
Stockholders Equity11.46M-2.18M-13.87M-20.76M-2.82M-71.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.20M-16.01M-10.29M-7.79M-5.11M-5.57M
Operating Cash Flow-14.20M-16.01M-10.29M-7.79M-5.11M-5.57M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow25.88M17.65M10.41M7.33M2.82M4.89M

SeaStar Medical Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.82
Negative
100DMA
4.75
Negative
200DMA
7.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
41.27
Neutral
STOCH
24.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.49, below the 50-day MA of 2.82, and below the 200-day MA of 7.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICU.

SeaStar Medical Holding Risk Analysis

SeaStar Medical Holding disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SeaStar Medical Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SeaStar Medical Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$40.40M-2.18-71.45%15.32%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$44.01M-1.08-284.50%93.84%
44
Neutral
$9.08M-0.16-290.37%1195.59%87.66%
43
Neutral
$7.82M>-0.01-256.30%99.02%
42
Neutral
$17.50M-0.65-122.61%99.82%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICU
SeaStar Medical Holding
2.34
-20.06
-89.58%
LSTA
Lisata Therapeutics
4.64
2.14
85.60%
APVO
Aptevo Therapeutics
7.39
-1,569.41
-99.53%
CING
Cingulate Inc
5.72
1.17
25.71%
ALLR
Allarity Therapeutics
1.05
-0.08
-6.70%

SeaStar Medical Holding Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
SeaStar Medical Regains Nasdaq Minimum Bid Compliance
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, SeaStar Medical Holding disclosed that it had received confirmation from Nasdaq’s Office of General Counsel that the company had regained compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2), which requires a minimum bid price of $1.00 per share. The restored compliance removes the immediate risk of delisting tied to the bid-price deficiency, stabilizing the company’s listing status on Nasdaq and providing greater assurance to shareholders and other market participants about the continued trading of its stock on the exchange.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICU) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SeaStar Medical Holding stock, see the ICU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder MeetingsStock Split
SeaStar Medical Shareholders Approve 1-for-10 Reverse Split
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation shareholders approved a 1-for-10 reverse stock split of the company’s common stock, with the measure previously authorized by the board and scheduled to take effect at 12:01 a.m. Eastern on January 2, 2026, when ICU shares will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis. The move will consolidate every 10 existing shares into one share without changing shareholder rights, eliminate fractional shares by rounding up, proportionally adjust outstanding options and warrants, and result in approximately 3.8 million shares outstanding, while a related proposal to reduce authorized common shares by 25 million to 425 million was also approved, signaling a capital structure tightening that may support the company’s Nasdaq listing compliance and capital markets positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICU) stock is a Buy with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SeaStar Medical Holding stock, see the ICU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026