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Allarity Therapeutics, Inc. (ALLR)
NASDAQ:ALLR
US Market

Allarity Therapeutics (ALLR) AI Stock Analysis

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ALLR

Allarity Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ALLR)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-12.28% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and persistent negative free cash flow), partially offset by a currently modestly levered balance sheet with positive equity. Technicals also weigh on the score given the stock trading below major moving averages and a negative MACD, while valuation is limited by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
FDA Fast Track Designation
The FDA Fast Track designation for stenoparib enhances the drug's development and review process, potentially accelerating its market entry and improving Allarity's competitive position in oncology therapeutics.
Clinical Trial Progress
Positive clinical trial results, such as increased median overall survival, strengthen Allarity's drug portfolio and support future commercialization efforts, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
New CFO Appointment
Appointing a full-time CFO demonstrates Allarity's commitment to strengthening financial oversight and strategic planning, which is crucial for managing growth and securing future funding.
Negative Factors
Zero Revenue
Lack of revenue generation limits Allarity's ability to self-fund operations, increasing reliance on external financing and heightening financial risk until product commercialization.
Ongoing Cash Burn
Persistent cash burn reflects operational inefficiencies and necessitates continuous funding, which may dilute shareholder value and constrain long-term financial stability.
Negative Equity Volatility
Historical equity volatility and negative returns highlight financial instability, posing risks to investor confidence and future capital raising efforts.

Allarity Therapeutics (ALLR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allarity Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllarity Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing oncology therapeutics using drug-specific companion diagnostics generated by its drug response predictor technology. Its drug candidates include Stenoparib, a poly-ADP-ribose polymerase inhibitor that is in Phase 2 clinical trials for ovarian cancer; Dovitinib, a pan- tyrosine kinase inhibitor for the treatment of renal cell carcinoma; IXEMPRA, a microtubule inhibitor for the treatment of metastatic breast cancer; LiPlaCis, a liposomal formulation of cisplatin, which is in Phase 2 clinical trials for metastatic breast cancer; and 2X-111, a liposomal formulation of doxorubicin that is in Phase 2 clinical trials for metastatic breast cancer and glioblastoma multiforme. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllarity Therapeutics, Inc. generates revenue primarily through strategic partnerships and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies. These collaborations often involve upfront fees, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales of licensed products. The company's revenue model is heavily dependent on advancing its clinical pipeline and securing partnerships for drug development and commercialization. Additionally, Allarity may receive funding through grants and research collaborations aimed at supporting its innovative DRP technology and associated drug development efforts.

Allarity Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are very weak with zero revenue, recurring operating losses, and sustained cash burn (TTM net income -$15.3M; operating cash flow -$14.8M; free cash flow -$15.1M). The balance sheet is a relative bright spot with low debt (~$1.39M) and positive equity (~$12.0M), but historical equity volatility and very negative ROE (~-112%) keep financial risk elevated.
Income Statement
The company reports zero revenue across all periods provided, while continuing to generate sizable operating losses. Profitability is consistently weak: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net income is -$15.3M and EBIT is -$17.0M, following a larger annual loss in 2024 (net income -$24.5M). A positive note is that losses narrowed from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), suggesting some cost containment, but the absence of revenue keeps the earnings profile high-risk and heavily dependent on future commercialization or funding.
Balance Sheet
Leverage appears modest in absolute terms (TTM total debt ~$1.39M), and equity is positive in the most recent periods (TTM equity ~$12.0M; 2024 equity ~$11.8M), which supports near-term balance sheet stability. However, the track record shows meaningful volatility—equity was negative in 2023 (-$2.8M), highlighting dilution/financing and accumulated-loss risk typical of early-stage biotech. Returns to shareholders are clearly unfavorable (TTM return on equity around -112%), reflecting ongoing losses despite the currently positive equity base.
Cash Flow
Cash generation remains a key weakness, with persistent cash burn: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is -$14.8M and free cash flow is -$15.1M, after even heavier cash outflows in 2024 (operating cash flow -$17.4M; free cash flow -$17.7M). While cash burn improved versus 2024, TTM free cash flow growth is still negative (-11.9%), and cash flows remain firmly negative overall. Free cash flow is roughly in line with reported losses (TTM free cash flow to net income ~1.02), indicating the losses are translating into real cash usage rather than being primarily non-cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-15.09M-24.23M-11.28M-17.30M-25.77M-6.01M
Net Income-15.31M-24.52M-11.90M-16.06M-26.65M-6.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.80M22.65M11.86M14.54M49.63M33.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.89M19.53M166.00K2.03M19.91M298.00K
Total Debt1.39M1.35M1.30M3.73M1.09M2.67M
Total Liabilities8.79M10.84M14.61M12.65M30.85M8.96M
Stockholders Equity12.01M11.81M-2.75M1.89M18.78M24.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.08M-17.65M-12.74M-16.84M-15.05M-7.25M
Operating Cash Flow-14.78M-17.35M-12.74M-16.82M-15.05M-7.25M
Investing Cash Flow-298.00K-298.00K0.00791.00K1.00M-3.00K
Financing Cash Flow15.12M36.79M10.99M-1.31M33.82M6.03M

Allarity Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.14
Price Trends
50DMA
1.15
Positive
100DMA
1.35
Negative
200DMA
1.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
57.80
Neutral
STOCH
80.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALLR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.09, below the 50-day MA of 1.15, and below the 200-day MA of 1.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALLR.

Allarity Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Allarity Therapeutics disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allarity Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allarity Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$18.35M-1.00-71.45%15.32%
45
Neutral
$11.83M-0.2413.56%52.92%
42
Neutral
$18.31M-0.75-122.61%99.82%
40
Underperform
$12.20M-0.41-119.92%-22.41%78.88%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALLR
Allarity Therapeutics
1.21
0.22
22.22%
LSTA
Lisata Therapeutics
2.13
-1.59
-42.74%
CRIS
Curis
0.90
-2.32
-72.17%
LGVN
Longeveron
0.55
-1.20
-68.69%

Allarity Therapeutics Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Allarity Therapeutics Completes Additional Private Equity Financing
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Allarity Therapeutics entered into a securities purchase agreement with an accredited investor for a private placement of 1,562,500 shares of common stock and/or pre-funded warrants, raising approximately $2.5 million in gross proceeds, and on December 23, 2025, the company completed an additional closing under that agreement. At this additional closing, Allarity sold a further 255,103 common shares at $0.98 per share, the minimum price permitted under Nasdaq rules, generating about $250,000 in gross proceeds that it plans to use for general corporate purposes and working capital, with the unregistered securities issued under a private placement exemption and subject to restrictive legends, highlighting the company’s continued reliance on exempt equity financings to support its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALLR) stock is a Buy with a $9.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allarity Therapeutics stock, see the ALLR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Allarity Therapeutics Appoints Jeffrey Ervin as Full-Time CFO
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Allarity Therapeutics, Inc. transitioned Jeffrey S. Ervin from a part-time to a full-time Chief Financial Officer role under a new employment agreement. This agreement includes an annual base salary of $367,700, restricted stock units, and a performance bonus, reflecting the company’s commitment to strengthening its financial leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALLR) stock is a Buy with a $9.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allarity Therapeutics stock, see the ALLR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025