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Investcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc. Registered (ICMB)
NASDAQ:ICMB
US Market

Investcorp Credit Management BDC (ICMB) AI Stock Analysis

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ICMB

Investcorp Credit Management BDC

(NASDAQ:ICMB)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(8.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is held back primarily by negative TTM operating/free cash flow and a slightly declining top line, despite positive net income and only moderate recent leverage. Technicals show weak momentum (RSI < 50 and slightly negative MACD). A very high dividend yield provides support, while the negative P/E and limited impact from the governance event temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Focused private-credit business model
A concentrated middle-market private credit model generates recurring interest and fee income from senior secured loans, creating a durable income engine tied to underwriting, fee capture and loan structures rather than transactional market trading. This supports stable cash yields over months if credit holds.
Interest-driven revenue mix
Revenue tied primarily to interest, OID and fees aligns cash receipts with loan contracts and floating-rate structures, offering resilience as a long-lived income source. Strong origination/structuring capabilities can sustain yield generation and fee capture over multiple quarters.
Moderate recent leverage
Current moderate leverage reduces near-term refinancing strain and provides capacity to absorb portfolio volatility. A debt-to-equity below prior peaks improves funding flexibility and buffers credit losses, making the balance sheet more serviceable across the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Negative operating and free cash flow mean reported earnings are not converting to cash, pressuring liquidity for new originations, debt service or distributions without external capital. Persistent negative cash flow raises structural funding and sustainability concerns over months.
Softening top line
A declining TTM revenue trend signals waning interest and fee income or deployment, reducing future earning power. If the top-line contraction continues, it will limit reinvestment capacity and margin recovery, increasing reliance on balance sheet adjustments or capital actions.
Historical leverage and earnings volatility
Past swings in leverage and returns indicate the firm’s earnings and solvency profile can change materially across cycles. That historical volatility undermines predictability of distributable income and heightens risk of capital or leverage fixes during stress over the medium term.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC (ICMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInvestcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc. is a business development company specializing in loan, mezzanine, middle market, growth capital, acquisitions, market/product expansion, organic growth, refinancings and recapitalization investments. It also selectively invests in mezzanine loans/structured equity and in the equity of portfolio companies through warrants and other instruments, in most cases taking such upside participation interests as part of a broader investment relationship. The fund typically invests in United States and Europe. Within United States, the fund seeks to invest in Midatlantic, Midwest, Northeast, Southeast, and West Coast regions. The fund primarily invests in cable and satellites; consumer services; healthcare equipment and services; industrials; information technology; telecommunication services; and utilities sectors. The fund seeks to invest between $5 million to $25 million in companies that have annual revenues of at least $50 million with EBITDA at least $15 million.
How the Company Makes MoneyInvestcorp Credit Management BDC makes money primarily through interest income and capital gains. The company extends loans to middle-market businesses, earning interest on these financial products. Additionally, ICMB may invest in equity, which can lead to capital gains if the value of these investments appreciates. The company also benefits from management fees associated with overseeing and managing its investment portfolio. Partnerships with other financial institutions and strategic investors can further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 16, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed picture: meaningful positives include a parent backstop commitment improving near-term liquidity, solid portfolio diversification, improved coverage metrics, modestly higher portfolio yield, and strong realized IRRs. Offsetting these positives are sequential declines in net investment income and NAV per share, an increase in nonaccruals, reduced portfolio fair value, distributions paid in excess of earnings, and weak deal flow with compressed spreads that limit attractive new investments. Management emphasizes caution, credit quality and parent support while remaining selective on deployments.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Parent Backstop Commitment Strengthens Liquidity
Investcorp Capital (affiliate) committed up to $65 million to backstop refinancing of the 4.78% notes due April 1, 2026, providing near-term liquidity and balance sheet flexibility; new coupon parameters disclosed as SOFR + 550 bps if used.
Portfolio Yield and Debt Characteristics
Weighted average yield on debt investments improved to 10.9% from 10.6% in the prior quarter (+0.3 percentage points), and 98.5% of the debt portfolio is floating rate, supporting sensitivity to higher short-term rates.
Coverage and Credit Metrics Improved Year-over-Year
Weighted average interest coverage ratio increased to 2.3x from 2.0x a year ago, and weighted average LTV remained approximately 41%; weighted average leverage declined to 4.6x from 4.8x sequentially (≈4.2% reduction).
Realizations with Strong IRRs
Realized two portfolio investments during the quarter generating total proceeds of $6.5 million with a combined IRR of ~12.7%; PureStar and One Call realized IRRs were ~11.5% and ~13.7%, respectively.
Portfolio Diversification and Concentration
Fair value portfolio of $196.1 million across 41 companies and 18 industries; average exposure to any single company is <3% of portfolio fair value, average company position ~$4.7 million (~2.5% of total).
Prudent Capital Structure and Liquidity Capacity
Gross leverage 1.75x (down from 1.77x) and net leverage 1.59x (vs 1.54 prior); cash of ~$11.6 million (including ~$7.8 million restricted) and $36.5 million of capacity available under the revolving credit facility.
Board-Declared Dividend
Board declared a quarterly distribution of $0.12 and a supplemental $0.02 per share (total $0.14), signaling intent to maintain distributions to shareholders.
High-Rated Asset Composition
Approximately 82% of assets at fair value are rated in the top two risk rating categories, indicating a portfolio skewed to higher-rated credits.
Negative Updates
Net Investment Income Decline
Net investment income before taxes was $0.6 million or $0.04 per share, down $0.02 per share sequentially (a 33% decline from the prior quarter's $0.06 per share), reducing near-term earnings power.
NAV and Net Assets Declined
Net assets were $72.7 million, a decrease of $3.3 million from the prior quarter; net asset value per share decreased to $5.04 from $5.27, a decline of approximately 4.4% quarter-over-quarter.
Increase in Nonaccruals Sequentially
Nonaccruals rose to 4.4% of portfolio fair value from 1.6% last quarter (an increase of 2.8 percentage points), driven by the addition of Fusion's preferred equity position placed on nonaccrual.
Portfolio Fair Value Contraction
Fair value of the portfolio declined to $196.1 million from $204.1 million (a decrease of ~$8.0 million or ~3.9%), reflecting repayments, realizations and some fair value adjustments.
Dividend Paid in Excess of Earnings
The declared distribution ($0.14 per share) exceeds reported NII ($0.04 per share), and management noted distributions included amounts in excess of current earnings, which contributed to NAV decline.
Light Investment Activity and Sluggish Deal Flow
Quarter was light on new investments (approximately $25,000 in preferred equity of an existing portfolio company); deal flow and sponsor-led M&A remain slow, with fewer than 10% of opportunities progressing to deeper diligence and ~57% of sponsor-backed deals priced with spreads below 500 bps.
Compressed Spreads and Selectivity Limiting Deployment
Compressed spreads and limited attractive opportunities constrained new originations; management is deliberately avoiding lower-yielding deals, limiting short-term growth.
Some Investments Marked at Zero Fair Value
Certain legacy positions (e.g., subordinated notes/warrants) remain on the books at a cost basis and fair value of $0 and on nonaccrual, reducing recoverable carrying value and reflecting legacy credit issues.
Company Guidance
Management's guidance centered on liquidity and disciplined deployment: the Board approved an Investcorp Capital backstop to refinance the maturing $65.0M notes due April 1, 2026 (new coupon SOFR + 550 bps, floating), Investcorp holds ~3.6M shares, and management expects NII to benefit from new fundings while remaining selective (not rotating into lower‑yielding deals) to keep the dividend fully supported; they also reiterated focus on credit quality and structural protections. Key metrics cited include portfolio fair value $196.1M, net assets $72.7M, NAV $5.04/sh (from $5.27), NII $0.6M ($0.04/sh), debt yield 10.9%, weighted spread 4.6%, nonaccruals 4.4%, ~82% of assets in top‑2 risk ratings, interest coverage 2.3x, weighted LTV ~41%, average company exposure ~$4.7M, gross/net leverage 1.75x/1.59x, cash $11.6M ($7.8M restricted) and $36.5M revolver capacity.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue is down (TTM -2.7%) and cash generation is weak with negative TTM operating/free cash flow (~-$6.6M), despite positive TTM net income (~$1.8M). Balance sheet leverage is moderate recently (debt-to-equity ~0.86) but historical volatility in leverage/returns and earnings reduces confidence.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-2.7%), signaling a softening top line versus the prior annual periods. Profitability is currently positive with TTM net income of ~$1.8M and strong reported gross/EBIT margins, but earnings have been volatile across years (including a loss in 2021 and large swings in reported margins), which reduces confidence in consistency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Leverage looks moderate for the recent period, with TTM debt-to-equity at ~0.86 and equity of ~$72.7M supporting ~$210.6M of assets. However, prior periods show higher leverage (debt-to-equity often ~1.4–1.7) and returns on equity have fluctuated (including negative in some periods), pointing to a balance sheet that is serviceable but not particularly conservative or consistently productive.
Cash Flow
32
Negative
Cash generation is the key weakness: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative (about -$6.6M), implying earnings are not translating into cash in the most recent period. This contrasts with several earlier years that showed strong positive operating/free cash flow, highlighting meaningful volatility and raising near-term funding and sustainability questions if negative cash flow persists.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.35M23.25M23.25M26.68M24.43M26.69M
Gross Profit13.46M23.25M23.25M26.68M24.43M26.69M
EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income1.85M12.08M12.08M3.23M2.59M-2.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets210.64M206.85M206.85M231.81M246.39M267.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.63M771.48K771.48K1.09M2.55M5.85M
Total Debt127.56M122.04M122.04M135.48M146.82M165.43M
Total Liabilities137.93M129.25M129.25M144.11M152.88M171.33M
Stockholders Equity72.70M77.60M77.60M87.70M93.51M96.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.63M-13.52M7.28M20.71M21.21M20.21M
Operating Cash Flow-6.63M-13.52M7.28M20.71M21.21M20.21M
Investing Cash Flow-5.58M0.0029.78M10.66M9.13M19.09M
Financing Cash Flow17.85M27.52M-41.10M-20.71M-24.66M-27.90M

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.76
Price Trends
50DMA
2.85
Positive
100DMA
2.79
Positive
200DMA
2.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
50.32
Neutral
STOCH
16.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.96, below the 50-day MA of 2.85, and above the 200-day MA of 2.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ICMB.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Risk Analysis

Investcorp Credit Management BDC disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Investcorp Credit Management BDC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$359.65M5.7117.44%6.55%6.38%25.69%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$325.17M12.705.38%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
55
Neutral
$127.61M-31.95-2.25%14.03%-34.92%-132.22%
54
Neutral
$53.86M16.672.25%25.87%-14.76%
52
Neutral
$343.75M25.142.72%14.10%-2.38%-75.49%
50
Neutral
-29.302.88%19.05%29.71%-1786.79%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICMB
Investcorp Credit Management BDC
2.93
0.21
7.87%
NEWT
Newtek Business
12.71
0.54
4.45%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
5.10
-1.03
-16.79%
OFS
OFS Capital
4.41
-2.85
-39.26%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
6.11
-1.57
-20.44%
PSBD
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.
10.65
-2.94
-21.63%

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Investcorp Credit Management BDC Reelects Director at Annual Meeting
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Investcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, at which one proposal was submitted to shareholders for a vote. Out of 14,419,762 eligible common shares as of the October 15, 2025 record date, 8,091,818 shares were represented in person or by proxy, and stockholders elected Michael C. Mauer to the board of directors for a three-year term expiring in 2028, with 7,322,124 votes cast in favor and 769,694 votes withheld, reinforcing continuity in the company’s board leadership and corporate governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025