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Immunitybio Inc (IBRX)
NASDAQ:IBRX

ImmunityBio (IBRX) AI Stock Analysis

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IBRX

ImmunityBio

(NASDAQ:IBRX)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(17.19% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (large losses, heavy cash burn, and negative equity). Offsetting this, the stock shows strong technical momentum and the latest earnings call highlighted significant commercial/regulatory progress, while valuation remains constrained by ongoing unprofitability.
Positive Factors
Rapid Commercial Revenue Growth
Sustained, large percentage revenue and unit volume growth demonstrates durable commercial adoption and physician repeat prescribing. This scale creates a foundation for recurring revenue, supports distribution investments, and increases the chance of improving unit economics as fixed costs are absorbed over time.
Broad Regulatory Footprint
Multiple jurisdiction approvals materially expand addressable market and diversify commercial exposure beyond the U.S. Conditional EU authorization enables launches while confirmatory data are gathered, helping build reimbursement pathways and long-term international revenue channels.
Scaling Manufacturing & AI Platforms
Building automated in‑house manufacturing and analytics platforms targets durable reductions in production bottlenecks and cost per dose. Verticalizing cell therapy scale and integrating AI across R&D/ops can improve supply reliability, shorten time‑to‑market for pipeline programs, and support margin sustainability.
Negative Factors
Negative Stockholders' Equity
Persistently negative equity signals a fragile capital structure that constrains financial flexibility. It raises refinancing and covenant risk, increases likelihood of dilution when raising capital, and can limit the company's ability to fund operations, pursue strategic deals, or absorb adverse commercial shocks.
Sustained High Cash Burn
Multi‑hundred‑million annual cash burn with year‑end cash below annual operating deficits creates recurring financing needs. Dependence on external funding increases execution risk, potential dilution, and constraints on scaling commercialization or R&D if capital markets tighten or financing terms deteriorate.
Concentrated Early Revenue & Market‑Access Risk
Heavy U.S. revenue concentration leaves growth reliant on successful international reimbursement and market access. Even with approvals, country‑level pricing and payor negotiations can materially delay revenue realization and make near‑term diversification uneven across EU and MENA launches.

ImmunityBio (IBRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ImmunityBio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImmunityBio, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapies and vaccines to treat cancers and infectious diseases. It offers immunotherapy and cell therapy platforms, including antibody cytokine fusion proteins, synthetic immunomodulators, vaccine technologies, natural killer cells, and adaptive (T cell) immune systems. The company also develops therapeutic agents, which are in Phase II or III clinical trial for the treatment of liquid and solid tumors, including bladder, pancreatic, and lung cancers, as well as pathogens as SARS-CoV-2 and HIV. It has collaboration agreements with National Cancer Institute, National Institute of Deafness and Communication Disorders, and Amyris, Inc.; and license agreements with CytRx Corporation, EnGeneIC Pty Limited, GlobeImmune, Inc., and Infectious Disease Research Institute, Sanford Health, Shenzhen Beike Biotechnology Co. Ltd., Sorrento Therapeutics, Inc., and Viracta Therapeutics, Inc. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyImmunityBio generates revenue through a combination of product sales, collaborations, and partnerships. The company is actively engaged in clinical trials to develop its immunotherapy products, which, upon successful commercialization, can lead to significant revenue from sales. Additionally, ImmunityBio enters into strategic collaborations and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies, which may provide upfront payments, milestone payments based on clinical development progress, and royalties on future product sales. The company may also secure funding through grants and government contracts aimed at supporting innovative therapies, further contributing to its revenue streams.

ImmunityBio Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Geography
Revenue By Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

ImmunityBio Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong commercial traction for ANKTIVA with very large year-over-year revenue and unit growth, multiple regulatory milestones (including EU conditional authorization and Saudi first-in-world lung cancer approval), robust enrollment and promising clinical signals across randomized and single-arm QUILT programs, and strategic commercial partnerships and manufacturing initiatives. Offsetting these positives are substantial operating losses and cash burn, significant balance sheet liabilities, continued high R&D investment (including a one-time $14M equipment write-off), and some regulatory delays and market-access complexity in certain cohorts and geographies. Overall, the company is demonstrating clear commercial momentum and clinical progress but remains capital-intensive and faces execution and regulatory risks as it scales internationally.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Transformational Revenue Growth for ANKTIVA
Full-year net product revenue for ANKTIVA was $113.0M in FY2025 versus $14.1M in FY2024, a 700% year-over-year increase; unit sales volume increased ~750% year-over-year, and Q4 revenue of $38.3M represented a 20% sequential increase vs Q3, indicating accelerating commercial adoption.
Rapid Global Regulatory and Commercial Expansion
ANKTIVA authorized in 33 countries and 4 major jurisdictions (U.S., U.K., Saudi Arabia, European Union) within ~2 years of initial FDA approval; European Commission granted conditional marketing authorization in Feb 2026 (EU27 + Iceland, Norway, Liechtenstein).
Key Regional Approvals and Partnerships
Saudi FDA granted approvals for ANKTIVA in BCG-unresponsive NMIBC and conditional approval in combination with checkpoint inhibitors for metastatic NSCLC (first worldwide lung cancer authorization); commercial partnerships: Accord Healthcare for EU/U.K. distribution (deploying 100+ personnel), Biopharma and Cigalah for Middle East/North Africa, Irish and Saudi subsidiaries established.
Strong Clinical Program Readouts and Enrollment Milestones
QUILT-2.005 (BCG-naive NMIBC) fully enrolled 366 patients; interim results showed 6-month complete response (CR) 85% (ANKTIVA+BCG) vs 57% (BCG alone) and 9-month CR 84% vs 52% (statistically significant at interim). QUILT-3.032 Cohort A (BCG-unresponsive CIS ± papillary) reported 71% CR with duration extending beyond 53 months; Cohort B (papillary) met endpoints: 12‑month disease-free 58%, 24‑month 52%, 36‑month disease-specific survival 96% and ~82% bladder preservation.
Commercial Evidence of Physician Adoption
Company reported repeat prescribing behavior, uptake across community urology practices and academic centers, and generation of real-world evidence supporting routine use in BCG-unresponsive NMIBC; majority of FY2025 ANKTIVA revenue driven by U.S. commercial performance.
Progress on Manufacturing and Novel Platforms
Advancing NANT Leonardo AI-driven robotic cellular manufacturing (Dunkirk, NY) for scalable NK/CAR-NK and m-ceNK production; introduced askIB, an internal AI platform to integrate LLMs and analytics across R&D, manufacturing, and operations.
Expanded Access and Supply Response for BCG Shortage
FDA-authorized expanded access program for recombinant BCG to address longstanding global shortage: ~100 clinical sites active/activating, ~580 patients dosed as of Feb 2026 and several thousand doses delivered, supporting both monotherapy and combination use with ANKTIVA.
Narrowing Net Loss and Active Pipeline Investment
Full-year net loss attributable to common stockholders narrowed to $351.4M in 2025 from $413.6M in 2024 (improvement of ~$62.2M, ~15% reduction) while continuing aggressive R&D investment across multiple platforms (ANKTIVA combos, CAR-NK, DNA vaccine).
Negative Updates
Large Net Loss and Cash Burn
Net loss was $351.4M in FY2025; net cash used before operating activities was $304.9M for the year while consolidated cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities stood at $242.8M as of Dec 31, 2025, indicating significant near-term cash burn relative to on‑hand liquidity.
Significant Balance Sheet Liabilities
Major liabilities include $505M of related-party convertible notes and approximately $325M in revenue interest liability, representing material obligations on the balance sheet that could affect financial flexibility.
Regulatory Delay and Additional Data Requests
FDA initially refused to file (May 2025) on certain submission(s) related to papillary cohort (QUILT-3.032 Cohort B); company held a Type B meeting in Jan 2026 and was asked to submit additional data, resulting in regulatory delay and extra work to secure approval/filing.
Ongoing High R&D Spend and One-Time Write-Off
Full-year R&D expenses increased to $218.6M from $190.2M in 2024 (increase of $28.4M, ~15%); included a one-time fixed asset manufacturing equipment write-off of $14M, reflecting executional costs in scaling manufacturing.
No Forward Financial Guidance Provided
Management explicitly stated the company would not provide forward financial guidance on the call, leaving investors without near-term revenue/runway projections or formal guidance despite rapid commercial expansion.
Geopolitical and Operational Launch Risks
Management noted global and regional challenges (notably in the Middle East) that could affect import/logistics and timing of commercial launches despite Saudi approvals and product readiness; geopolitical instability could impact near-term revenue realization in key markets.
Concentration of Early Commercial Revenue
The majority of the $113M revenue was driven by the U.S. market; international rollouts (EU, Middle East) require country-by-country reimbursement and market access work, causing variability in timing of revenue recognition outside the U.S.
Company Guidance
The company did not provide forward financial guidance on the call but gave extensive 2025 metrics and near‑term milestones: ANKTIVA net product revenue was $113.0M in FY2025 (up 700% vs $14.1M in FY2024) with unit volumes +750% YoY and Q4 revenue $38.3M versus Q3 $31.1M (+20% sequential); ANKTIVA is authorized in 33 countries across four major jurisdictions (US, U.K., EU, KSA) with an EU conditional marketing authorization in Feb‑2026 and two Saudi approvals (bladder and conditional NSCLC combo) in Jan‑2026; cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $242.8M at 12/31/2025 and net cash used in operations was $304.9M for the year; FY R&D expense was $218.6M (vs $190.2M in 2024), SG&A was $150M (down from $168.8M), and FY net loss attributable to common stockholders was $351.4M (improved from $413.6M); key liabilities include $505M related‑party convertible notes and ~ $325M revenue‑interest liability. Clinical/regulatory metrics highlighted: QUILT‑2.005 fully enrolled 366 patients (interim 6‑month CR 85% vs 57%; 9‑month 84% vs 52%), QUILT‑3.032 Cohort A CR 71% (n≈100) with duration >53 months and Cohort B 12‑month DFS 58% / 24‑month DFS 52% with 36‑month disease‑specific survival 96% and ~82% bladder preservation; recombinant BCG expanded access spans ~100 sites and ~580 patients with several thousand doses delivered, BCG‑naive enrollment reported at 100% with a targeted BLA in Q4‑2026, QUILT‑3.055 treated ~147 patients, and the company introduced its askIB AI platform and NANT Leonardo automated cell‑manufacturing plans.

ImmunityBio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue scaling and very high reported gross margin, but the company remains deeply unprofitable (large EBIT and net losses), with heavy ongoing cash burn and negative equity despite a sharp reduction in debt.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Revenue is scaling rapidly (up 37.2% in 2025 vs. 2024), and reported gross profit is very strong (2025 gross margin ~99%). However, the core earnings profile remains weak: 2025 EBIT was -$256.0M and net income was -$351.4M, translating to a deeply negative net margin (~-310%). Losses have improved versus 2023–2024, but profitability is still far from breakeven.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Leverage risk is elevated because stockholders’ equity is negative across all periods (2025: -$499.6M), which limits financial flexibility and makes the capital structure more fragile. Debt has come down materially (total debt fell to ~$41.0M in 2025 from ~$504.2M in 2024), which is a clear positive, but negative equity remains a major overhang despite total assets of ~$501.9M.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash burn remains heavy and persistent: 2025 operating cash flow was -$304.9M and free cash flow was -$304.9M. Free cash flow improved versus 2024 (less negative), but the business is still funding sizable operating deficits, and cash generation is not yet supporting the income statement losses in a self-sustaining way.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue113.29M14.74M622.00K240.00K934.00K
Gross Profit112.53M14.74M622.00K240.00K934.00K
EBITDA-223.56M-264.43M-478.66M-351.88M-320.75M
Net Income-351.40M-413.56M-583.20M-416.57M-346.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets501.90M382.93M504.45M362.36M468.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments242.82M149.81M266.46M107.18M317.12M
Total Debt878.12M504.17M726.72M723.77M645.66M
Total Liabilities1.00B871.06M1.09B812.18M712.82M
Stockholders Equity-499.57M-489.10M-586.99M-447.33M-242.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-308.78M-398.12M-397.34M-415.67M-307.98M
Operating Cash Flow-304.94M-391.24M-366.76M-337.51M-274.42M
Investing Cash Flow-149.80M-12.25M-30.47M27.30M-84.89M
Financing Cash Flow400.24M281.63M558.34M233.61M505.44M

ImmunityBio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.96
Price Trends
50DMA
5.73
Positive
100DMA
3.99
Positive
200DMA
3.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.15
Positive
RSI
57.22
Neutral
STOCH
23.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.24, above the 50-day MA of 5.73, and above the 200-day MA of 3.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IBRX.

ImmunityBio Risk Analysis

ImmunityBio disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ImmunityBio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ImmunityBio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$2.97B13.3225.49%25.56%44.42%
63
Neutral
$2.97B-228.91-9.30%129.21%80.35%
62
Neutral
$5.44B-10.43-69.35%-27.70%
60
Neutral
$9.21B-5.181025.95%52.91%
54
Neutral
$2.60B-34.27-8.11%-84.07%-157.71%
53
Neutral
$1.62B-19.61-9.59%27.51%38.72%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBRX
ImmunityBio
8.96
5.97
199.67%
CPRX
Catalyst Pharma
24.32
2.65
12.23%
IMVT
Immunovant
26.72
7.20
36.89%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
23.97
9.47
65.31%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
25.52
-1.73
-6.35%
IMCR
Immunocore Holdings
31.93
1.12
3.64%

ImmunityBio Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ImmunityBio Wins EU Nod for ANKTIVA Bladder Cancer Therapy
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

On February 18, 2026, ImmunityBio announced that the European Commission granted conditional marketing authorization for ANKTIVA in combination with BCG to treat adult patients with BCG-unresponsive non-muscle invasive bladder cancer carcinoma in situ, with or without papillary tumors. This decision makes ANKTIVA plus BCG the first authorized immunotherapy in Europe for this high-risk bladder cancer population, where the primary alternative had been radical cystectomy.

The authorization covers all 27 EU member states plus Iceland, Norway and Liechtenstein, expanding ANKTIVA’s reach to 33 countries within four regulatory jurisdictions less than two years after the initial U.S. FDA approval in April 2024. Supported by phase 2/3 trial data showing a 71% complete response rate, durable responses and a favorable safety profile, the move significantly strengthens ImmunityBio’s global commercial footprint in bladder cancer and addresses a major unmet medical need for European patients, while obligating the company to provide ongoing long-term safety and efficacy data to regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBRX) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ImmunityBio stock, see the IBRX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ImmunityBio Amends Major Insider Convertible Note Agreement
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 23, 2026, ImmunityBio, Inc. amended a $505 million Second Amended and Restated Convertible Promissory Note originally dated December 10, 2024, with Nant Capital, LLC, an affiliate of Executive Chairman and Global Chief Scientific and Medical Officer Dr. Patrick Soon-Shiong. The change gives the noteholder the right to convert any portion of the outstanding principal into ImmunityBio common stock at any time before maturity, whereas partial conversion had not been permitted previously, potentially providing the company with added flexibility in managing its capital structure and aligning a major insider-creditor more closely with equity holders; no other terms of the note were modified.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBRX) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ImmunityBio stock, see the IBRX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ImmunityBio Wins Saudi Approvals for ANKTIVA Cancer Therapies
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, ImmunityBio announced that the Saudi Food and Drug Authority granted accelerated approval of ANKTIVA® (nogapendekin alfa inbakicept) in combination with immune checkpoint inhibitors for adult patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer whose disease has progressed following standard-of-care therapy, marking the first global approval for a subcutaneously administered IL-15 receptor superagonist and the first approval of this chemotherapy-free, NK- and T-cell–activating immunotherapy for this indication. On the same date, the SFDA also granted accelerated approval for ANKTIVA® plus Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) to treat adult patients with BCG-unresponsive non-muscle invasive bladder cancer carcinoma in situ, with or without papillary disease, underscoring ImmunityBio’s push into Middle East and North Africa oncology markets, supported by plans for a regional office in Saudi Arabia and a commercial partnership with BioPharma Cigalah; these approvals, based on clinical data from the QUILT trial program and backed by patents extending into 2032–2039, enhance the company’s international footprint and position its ANKTIVA-based regimens as a new chemotherapy-free backbone in immunotherapy for difficult-to-treat cancers in a region with significant unmet need.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBRX) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ImmunityBio stock, see the IBRX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
ImmunityBio Appoints Bruce Wendel to Board
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 10, 2025, ImmunityBio, Inc. appointed Bruce Wendel to its Board of Directors, effective December 12, 2025, with his term expiring at the 2026 annual stockholders meeting. Wendel, recognized as an independent director, brings extensive experience from his previous roles in the pharmaceutical industry, including leadership positions at ProMetic Biosciences Ltd. and Hepalink USA. His appointment is expected to strengthen ImmunityBio’s strategic direction and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBRX) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ImmunityBio stock, see the IBRX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
ImmunityBio Gains EMA Nod for ANKTIVA® in Europe
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, ImmunityBio announced that the European Medicines Agency recommended conditional marketing authorization for ANKTIVA® in combination with BCG for treating non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) carcinoma in situ in Europe. This recommendation marks the first immunotherapy for NMIBC with carcinoma in situ to receive such a positive recommendation in Europe, addressing a significant unmet need for patients unresponsive to BCG, whose primary option has been bladder removal surgery. The decision is based on a single-arm trial showing promising response rates, and it highlights ImmunityBio’s efforts to expand access to innovative treatments in Europe, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and offering new hope for patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBRX) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ImmunityBio stock, see the IBRX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026