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Horizon Technology (HRZN)
NASDAQ:HRZN
US Market
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Horizon Technology (HRZN) AI Stock Analysis

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HRZN

Horizon Technology

(NASDAQ:HRZN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-1.07% Downside)
Horizon Technology's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial volatility and strategic growth potential. The earnings call provided positive guidance and growth plans, but historical financial instability and current valuation concerns weigh on the score. Technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Merger with MRCC
The merger with MRCC is expected to significantly increase assets under management and provide greater economies of scale, enhancing Horizon's market position and growth potential.
Strong Portfolio Yield
A high portfolio yield indicates efficient investment strategies and strong income generation, supporting long-term profitability and cash flow stability.
Improved Equity and No Debt
Having no debt and improved equity enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and shielding against economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Volatility
Inconsistent revenue growth can hinder long-term planning and investment, affecting the company's ability to sustain operations and expand market share.
High Prepayment Activity
High prepayment activity can impact yield sustainability, reducing predictable income streams and potentially affecting future cash flow stability.
Operational Inefficiencies
Operational inefficiencies in cash conversion can strain liquidity and limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities, impacting long-term competitiveness.

Horizon Technology (HRZN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Horizon Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHorizon Technology Finance Corporation is a business development company specializing in lending and and investing in development-stage investments. It focuses on making secured debt and venture lending investments to venture capital backed companies in the technology, life science, healthcare information and services, and cleantech industries. It seeks to invest in companies in the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyHorizon Technology makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes subscription-based services, software licensing fees, and sales of proprietary technology products. Key revenue streams include cloud service subscriptions, AI-powered software solutions, and cybersecurity tools. The company also generates income through strategic partnerships with other technology firms, providing integrated solutions that enhance customer offerings. Additionally, Horizon Technology benefits from long-term contracts with enterprise clients, ensuring a steady flow of recurring revenue.

Horizon Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful capital raising, and strategic growth plans through the MRCC merger. However, challenges like a decrease in portfolio size and high prepayment activity were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger Announcement with MRCC
Horizon Technology Finance Corporation announced a merger with MRCC, expected to close in early 2026. This merger will significantly increase assets under management and provide greater economies of scale.
Net Investment Income Growth
The company reported net investment income of $0.32 per share, growing from $0.28 in the previous quarter.
Strong Portfolio Yield
Horizon achieved a portfolio yield on debt investments of 18.6%, one of the highest in the BDC industry.
Successful Capital Raising
Horizon raised $40 million through the issuance of 5.5% unsecured convertible notes due 2030 and an additional $10 million in equity through the ATM program.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Portfolio Size
The net investment portfolio decreased to $585 million as of September 30, from $636 million as of June 30, 2025.
Undistributed Spillover Income
As of September 30, the company's undistributed spillover income was $0.93 per share, indicating potential over-distribution risk.
Prepayment Activity
The company experienced high prepayment activity with $61 million in principal prepayments, which may impact yield sustainability.
Company Guidance
During the Horizon Technology Finance Corporation's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's strategic direction and financial performance. The company announced a net investment income (NII) of $0.32 per share and an increase in net asset value (NAV) per share by 5% to $7.12. They declared monthly distributions of $0.11 per share through March 2026. Horizon discussed the impending merger with MRCC, expected to be finalized in early 2026, which aims to enhance assets under management and leverage Monroe Capital's support for larger venture loans. The portfolio yield on debt investments remained high at 18.6%, and the company raised $40 million through 5.5% unsecured convertible notes. The debt portfolio was valued at $603 million with a committed backlog of $119 million and a net leverage of 0.94:1. They also highlighted the acquisition of a venture debt portfolio, bolstering their pipeline for future growth. As they aim to return to their historical growth trajectory, Horizon remains focused on originating larger loans while maintaining strong liquidity and a robust pipeline for sustainable expansion.

Horizon Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Horizon Technology displays a complex financial profile with marked fluctuations in revenue and profitability over the years. The latest period shows strong recovery in revenue and reduction in debt, but historical volatility and operational inefficiencies are concerns.
Income Statement
Horizon Technology's revenue growth has been inconsistent, with significant fluctuations over the years. The company experienced a significant revenue decline in 2023, followed by a strong recovery in 2024. Gross profit margin was stable for 2024, but net profit margin was highly volatile, reflecting operational challenges. EBIT margin was relatively high, indicating efficient management of operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows improving equity with a strong equity ratio and no debt as of 2024, signaling financial stability. However, the company's high leverage in previous years may pose a risk if similar conditions arise in the future. The return on equity has been fluctuating, reflecting the variability in net income.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statements show volatile free cash flow, with significant growth in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was low, indicating potential inefficiencies in converting net income into cash. However, the company managed to improve its free cash flow position significantly in the latest period.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.37M99.92M113.47M79.19M60.02M46.03M
Gross Profit66.56M99.92M-9.87M49.73M60.02M18.68M
EBITDA-14.48M26.62M11.94M21.87M40.21M16.04M
Net Income-7.75M-5.63M-17.18M21.15M27.78M6.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets759.21M821.83M802.36M766.83M513.96M407.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.66M70.26M46.63M20.61M38.05M0.00
Total Debt424.03M467.90M462.24M434.08M257.61M185.82M
Total Liabilities443.51M485.65M478.38M448.38M268.63M194.56M
Stockholders Equity315.70M336.18M323.98M318.45M245.34M212.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow83.86M3.94M50.07M-246.28M-75.99M-25.28M
Operating Cash Flow83.86M3.94M50.07M-246.28M-75.99M-25.28M
Investing Cash Flow19.21M-182.06M-55.33M-372.01M-291.49M-190.23M
Financing Cash Flow-16.66M21.21M50.51M229.46M75.52M55.66M

Horizon Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.57
Price Trends
50DMA
6.29
Positive
100DMA
6.74
Negative
200DMA
7.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
66.30
Neutral
STOCH
79.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HRZN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.99, above the 50-day MA of 6.29, and below the 200-day MA of 7.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HRZN.

Horizon Technology Risk Analysis

Horizon Technology disclosed 104 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Horizon Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Horizon Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$14.75B10.3310.06%9.33%10.34%-24.16%
$1.14B8.109.36%16.59%-55.16%47.09%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$1.03B12.866.18%13.37%39.05%-32.62%
$277.70M5.4118.20%7.02%18.36%17.28%
$3.22B11.9712.81%10.47%-15.88%-13.91%
-15.46%20.09%-11.22%-433.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HRZN
Horizon Technology
6.57
-1.60
-19.58%
HTGC
Hercules Capital
17.75
-0.16
-0.89%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
9.65
-0.48
-4.74%
NEWT
Newtek Business
10.55
-1.69
-13.81%
ARCC
Ares Capital
20.61
1.25
6.46%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
10.03
-1.21
-10.77%

Horizon Technology Corporate Events

Horizon Technology Finance Faces Uncertainty with Potential Waiver of Stockholder Approval in Key Transactions
Oct 30, 2025

Horizon Technology Finance faces a potential business risk as certain conditions for completing transactions with MRCC and MCIP may be waived without requiring further stockholder approval, provided it is legally permissible. This discretion allows the parties involved in the Merger Agreement and Asset Purchase Agreement to proceed with the transactions without additional input from stockholders, except for conditions that explicitly require stockholder approval. Such a waiver could lead to decisions that may not fully align with stockholder interests, thereby introducing an element of uncertainty and risk for the company.

Horizon Technology Finance Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation, a specialty finance company, provides secured loans to venture capital and private equity-backed companies in technology, life sciences, healthcare, and sustainability sectors. The company recently announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a net investment income per share of $0.32 and a net asset value per share of $7.12. Horizon reported a debt portfolio yield of 18.6% and ended the quarter with a committed backlog of $119 million, while declaring regular monthly distributions totaling $0.33 per share through March 2026.

Horizon Technology Finance’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

The latest earnings call from Horizon Technology Finance Corporation showcased a strong financial performance, underscored by successful capital raising initiatives and strategic growth plans through the anticipated merger with MRCC. Despite these positive developments, the call also highlighted challenges such as a decrease in portfolio size and high prepayment activity, which could impact future yield sustainability.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Horizon Technology Declares Upcoming Cash Distributions
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared monthly cash distributions of $0.11 per share for January, February, and March 2026, totaling $0.33 per share. These distributions reflect the company’s financial performance and spillover income, with the Board planning to reassess distribution levels in February 2026, considering the company’s fourth-quarter results and the anticipated merger with Monroe Capital Corporation. This announcement highlights Horizon’s commitment to providing returns to shareholders and its strategic financial planning amid potential changes in its operational landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRZN) stock is a Hold with a $6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Technology stock, see the HRZN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Horizon Technology Issues $40M Convertible Notes
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation announced the issuance and sale of $40 million in 5.50% Convertible Notes due 2030, raising approximately $36.6 million in net proceeds. The company plans to use these funds for general corporate purposes, potentially including paying down existing debt. The Convertible Notes, which mature on September 4, 2030, bear interest at 5.50% per annum and are unsecured obligations of the company. They offer holders the option to convert them into shares of common stock under specific conditions, with certain restrictions on conversion rights to prevent excessive ownership concentration.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRZN) stock is a Buy with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Technology stock, see the HRZN Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Horizon Technology Announces Merger with Monroe Capital
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Horizon Technology entered into a Merger Agreement with Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) and other parties, which includes an Asset Sale and a merger that will result in MRCC becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Horizon Technology. The transactions are subject to customary closing conditions, including stockholder approvals. If completed, Horizon Technology expects to receive approximately $165 million in cash proceeds, which will be used for future investments. However, the termination of the agreements or failure to meet closing conditions could have material adverse impacts on the company’s business and stock market performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRZN) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Technology stock, see the HRZN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Technology Finance’s Strategic Merger Highlights
Aug 12, 2025

The recent earnings call for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation was marked by a positive sentiment, primarily driven by the strategic merger with Monroe Capital Corporation. The discussion highlighted significant benefits such as shareholder value creation, cost savings, and growth potential. Despite some regulatory and integration risks, the overall tone was optimistic due to the accretive nature of the transaction and the strategic alignment between the two companies.

Horizon Technology Finance Reports Q2 2025 Results and Announces Merger
Aug 8, 2025

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation, a specialty finance company, provides secured loans to venture capital and private equity-backed companies in sectors such as technology, life sciences, and sustainability. In its second-quarter 2025 financial results, Horizon reported a net investment income of $0.28 per share and a net asset value of $6.75 per share. The company also announced a merger with Monroe Capital Corp, aiming to expand its venture lending capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Horizon Technology Declares Monthly Cash Distributions
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared monthly cash distributions of $0.11 per share for October, November, and December 2025, totaling $0.33 per share. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders, having distributed a total of $326 million since its 2010 IPO. The distributions are part of Horizon’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan, which allows shareholders to reinvest distributions into additional shares unless they opt for cash. This announcement underscores Horizon’s stable financial strategy and its focus on maintaining shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRZN) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Technology stock, see the HRZN Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Horizon Technology Announces Merger with Monroe Capital
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) and Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) announced a merger agreement where MRCC will merge into HRZN, with HRZN as the surviving entity. The merger involves a NAV-for-NAV share exchange, and MRCC shareholders will receive HRZN shares equivalent to their MRCC shares’ NAV. The merger is expected to enhance HRZN’s scale and shareholder value, providing incremental capital to support its growth strategy in venture debt and growth capital. The transaction is anticipated to be accretive over time, offering synergies and cost savings, and is structured as a tax-free reorganization.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRZN) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Technology stock, see the HRZN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025