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HNI Corporation (HNI)
NYSE:HNI

HNI (HNI) AI Stock Analysis

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HNI

HNI

(NYSE:HNI)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$46.00
▲(8.98% Upside)
HNI's overall score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth through the Steelcase acquisition. While technical indicators show limited momentum, the company's valuation and positive earnings outlook support a favorable investment case.
Positive Factors
Steelcase Acquisition
The acquisition of Steelcase enhances HNI's operational capabilities and market position, potentially leading to significant synergies and revenue growth.
Revenue Growth
Robust sales performance and revenue growth indicate strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Positive Outlook for Office Space Demand
The return to office trend supports increased demand for office furnishings, benefiting HNI's core business and driving future growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant cash flow challenges could limit HNI's financial flexibility, impacting its ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Residential Building Products Revenue Stagnation
Stagnant revenue in the Residential Building Products segment may hinder overall growth, especially if market conditions do not improve.
Rising Debt Levels
Increased debt levels can strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, potentially affecting long-term stability and growth.

HNI (HNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HNI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHNI Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells workplace furnishings and residential building products primarily in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Workplace Furnishings and Residential Building Products. The Workplace Furnishings segment offers a range of commercial and home office furniture, including panel-based and freestanding furniture systems, seating, storage, tables, and architectural products under the HON, Allsteel, Beyond, Gunlocke, Maxon, HBF, OFM, Respawn, Lamex, and HNI India brands. This segment sells its products through independent dealers, wholesalers, office product distributors, e-commerce retailers, and wholesalers, as well as directly to end-user customers; and federal, state, and local governments. The Residential Building Products segment provides various gas, wood, electric, and pellet-fueled fireplaces; inserts; stoves; facings; and accessories primarily for home use under the Heatilator, Heat & Glo, Majestic, Monessen, Quadra-Fire, Harman, Vermont Castings, PelPro, SimpliFire, The Outdoor GreatRoom Company, and Stellar brand names. This segment markets its products through independent dealers and distributors, and corporation-owned distribution and retail outlets. The company was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Muscatine, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyHNI generates revenue primarily through the sale of office furniture and hearth products. The Office Furniture group comprises the bulk of the company's income, with sales driven by both direct sales to customers and distribution through a network of independent dealers. The company benefits from long-term relationships with major corporations and government agencies, providing tailored solutions for workspace design. In the Hearth Products segment, revenue is generated through retail sales and partnerships with builders and contractors, as well as distribution through home improvement stores. Additionally, HNI engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance product offerings, further driving revenue. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability in product design also positions it favorably in the market, contributing to its overall earnings.

HNI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the Workplace Furnishings segment and a positive outlook for office space demand, driven by the return to office trends and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges remain in the Residential Building Products segment due to stagnant revenue and ongoing tariff-driven volatility affecting the hospitality business.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Non-GAAP Operating Margin
Non-GAAP earnings per share increased 7% year-over-year, driven by a record third quarter non-GAAP operating margin of 10.8%.
Strong Workplace Furnishings Performance
Organic net sales in the Workplace Furnishings segment increased 3% year-over-year, with a non-GAAP segment operating profit margin exceeding 12%.
Positive Outlook for Office Space Demand
Return to office data shows an inflection, with Class A buildings in top markets reaching 98% peak day occupancy and a new office growth cycle emerging.
Steelcase Acquisition Synergy Expectations
The pending acquisition of Steelcase is expected to generate $120 million in synergies, with accretion of $1.20 per share when fully mature.
Strong Balance Sheet and Financial Flexibility
HNI expects to maintain significant financial flexibility, with targeted net leverage returning to the range of 1 to 1.5x within 18 to 24 months post-acquisition.
Negative Updates
Residential Building Products Revenue Stagnation
Third quarter revenue in Residential Building Products was roughly unchanged versus the prior year, with new construction revenue down slightly.
Tariff-Driven Volatility
Ongoing tariff-driven volatility impacted the hospitality business, with expectations of relatively flat revenue in this segment for 2025.
Challenging Housing Market Dynamics
Builder sentiment has weakened due to elevated interest rates and affordability issues, impacting the broader housing market.
Company Guidance
During the HNI Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, Jeff Lorenger, Chairman, President, and CEO, provided guidance indicating a continued positive outlook for the company. The firm reported a 7% year-over-year increase in non-GAAP earnings per share, reaching $1.10, supported by a record third-quarter non-GAAP operating margin of 10.8%. Total net sales grew 3% organically, with the Workplace Furnishings segment seeing a 3% increase in organic net sales. The Residential Building Products segment's revenue was flat, with new construction revenue slightly down, but remodel retrofit sales showed modest growth. Looking ahead, HNI anticipates a fourth consecutive year of double-digit non-GAAP earnings improvement, with fourth-quarter revenue in Workplace Furnishings expected to rise by high single-digit percentages, spurred by backlog growth and an extra fiscal week. The company maintains its full-year earnings outlook and expects mid-teens percent EPS growth for 2025, driven by KII synergies and operational efficiencies.

HNI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HNI demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by efficient cost management. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage and strong return on equity. However, cash flow challenges, particularly in free cash flow generation, could impact future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
HNI's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 44.9%, indicating robust sales performance. The gross profit margin has improved to 41.1% in TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 8.3%, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin slightly decreased to 7.7%, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55 in TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity improved to 19.2%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 45.4%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the total debt has increased over time, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -124.7% in TTM, highlighting cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.04, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting difficulties in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.59B2.53B2.43B2.36B2.18B1.96B
Gross Profit1.05B1.01B949.20M812.80M727.20M696.86M
EBITDA354.80M313.80M185.20M239.50M167.60M138.78M
Net Income141.60M139.50M49.20M123.90M59.80M41.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.84B1.88B1.93B1.41B1.50B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.10M28.90M34.50M19.40M53.70M117.81M
Total Debt459.40M496.80M578.00M300.70M274.60M254.69M
Total Liabilities1.01B1.03B1.17B797.70M907.90M827.29M
Stockholders Equity835.90M840.10M761.40M616.50M589.60M590.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow191.20M176.10M189.40M21.20M78.17M182.17M
Operating Cash Flow250.20M226.70M267.50M81.20M131.63M214.47M
Investing Cash Flow-47.40M-51.00M-444.80M-10.70M-111.01M-100.37M
Financing Cash Flow-216.30M-182.20M188.80M-105.40M-84.48M-50.05M

HNI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price42.21
Price Trends
50DMA
41.64
Positive
100DMA
43.31
Negative
200DMA
44.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
53.88
Neutral
STOCH
45.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 42.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.72, above the 50-day MA of 41.64, and below the 200-day MA of 44.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HNI.

HNI Risk Analysis

HNI disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HNI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HNI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.02B14.1516.83%3.20%1.15%16.20%
73
Outperform
$14.01B20.5830.21%2.04%1.03%5.52%
68
Neutral
9.46%2.48%3.92%-24.47%
67
Neutral
$1.64B22.099.57%4.24%159.81%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$1.24B-46.76-1.95%4.16%4.34%-141.36%
57
Neutral
$1.28B34.384.72%-0.64%-60.71%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HNI
HNI
42.21
-8.15
-16.18%
AVY
Avery Dennison
181.22
-4.17
-2.25%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
18.05
-3.49
-16.20%
PZZA
Papa John's International
38.98
-0.38
-0.97%
SCS
Steelcase
16.14
4.62
40.10%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
14.00
-0.41
-2.85%

HNI Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HNI Completes Acquisition of Steelcase Inc.
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, HNI Corporation completed its acquisition of Steelcase Inc., combining two industry leaders to address the evolving needs of the workplace. The merger, supported by shareholders of both companies, aims to leverage synergies to enhance operational capabilities and customer experiences. The combined entity is expected to have annual revenues of $5.8 billion, with HNI maintaining its headquarters in Muscatine, Iowa, and Steelcase in Grand Rapids, Michigan. The board of directors of HNI has expanded to include two former Steelcase board members, strengthening the company’s governance.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
HNI Shareholders Approve Steelcase Acquisition
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, HNI Corporation and Steelcase Inc. announced that their shareholders approved the proposed acquisition of Steelcase by HNI, with the transaction expected to close on December 10, 2025, pending customary closing conditions. The merger will result in Steelcase becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of HNI, potentially enhancing HNI’s market position in the commercial furnishings sector. The approval marks a significant milestone in the merger process, with a high percentage of shareholders from both companies voting in favor of the proposals, indicating strong support for the strategic move.

M&A Transactions
HNI Sets Deadline for Steelcase Merger Consideration
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, HNI Corporation and Steelcase Inc. announced the deadline for Steelcase shareholders to elect their preferred form of merger consideration in HNI’s acquisition of Steelcase, set for December 4, 2025. The completion of the transaction is pending shareholder approval and other customary conditions, with the merger consideration determined by the average closing price of HNI stock over a specified period. This merger aims to enhance HNI’s market position and operational capabilities, although it carries risks such as integration challenges and potential market fluctuations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
HNI Amends Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, HNI Corporation amended its existing credit agreement with Wells Fargo Bank and other lenders. The amendment introduces a threshold of $105 million for the springing maturity dates applicable to various loan facilities, potentially impacting the company’s financial management and obligations.

M&A Transactions
HNI Advances Merger with Steelcase After HSR Expiry
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

HNI Corporation announced that the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act for its merger with Steelcase Inc. expired on October 31, 2025, which is a key step towards finalizing the merger. The completion of the transaction is contingent upon satisfying other customary conditions, including shareholder approvals, and carries potential risks such as regulatory hurdles and integration challenges that could impact the anticipated benefits of the merger.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HNI Extends Note Exchange Offer Amid Steelcase Acquisition
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 27, 2025, HNI Corporation announced an extension of the expiration date for its offer to exchange outstanding Steelcase notes for new HNI notes and the related solicitation of consents. This extension is part of HNI’s pending acquisition of Steelcase, with the expiration date moved from October 27, 2025, to December 5, 2025. The exchange offer and consent solicitation are contingent on the acquisition’s completion, and HNI may further extend the expiration date if necessary. The announcement reflects HNI’s strategic efforts to integrate Steelcase, potentially impacting liquidity for existing note holders and altering the company’s market positioning.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HNI Announces Early Results of Exchange Offer
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

On October 10, 2025, HNI Corporation announced the early participation results of its Exchange Offer and Consent Solicitation related to its acquisition of Steelcase, Inc. HNI received consents from holders representing 77.83% of the principal amount of the Existing Steelcase Notes, allowing them to amend the Steelcase indenture to eliminate certain covenants and restrictive provisions. The settlement date for the Exchange Offer is expected within five business days after the expiration date of October 27, 2025. This move is part of HNI’s strategic acquisition of Steelcase, which involves exchanging outstanding Steelcase notes for new HNI notes. The acquisition and exchange offer are significant for HNI’s market positioning, as they aim to integrate Steelcase’s operations and potentially enhance their competitive edge in the industry.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HNI Announces Exchange Offer for Steelcase Acquisition
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, HNI Corporation announced the commencement of an exchange offer and consent solicitation related to its pending acquisition of Steelcase Inc. This strategic move involves exchanging existing Steelcase notes for new HNI notes, which will be guaranteed by certain subsidiaries of the combined company. The acquisition aims to enhance customer reach and accelerate strategic initiatives, with the combined company expected to achieve approximately $5.7 billion in net sales on a pro forma basis for the year ended December 28, 2024. The acquisition is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to customary closing conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025