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Hni Corp (HNI)
:HNI

HNI (HNI) AI Stock Analysis

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HNI

(NYSE:HNI)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(11.37%Upside)
HNI's solid financial performance, strong earnings growth, and positive corporate events are the primary drivers of its score. While technical analysis shows positive momentum, valuation is fair, and challenges highlighted in the earnings call temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition and Expansion
A recent acquisition of a key competitor is providing a strong synergies opportunity, coinciding with HNI's opening of a large Mexican plant, expected to deliver significant incremental earnings.
Financial Performance
HNI Corporation posted solid 4Q24 results with strong beats for EBITDA and EPS despite a topline miss.
Market Trends
HNI's Workplace Furnishings business is well positioned to benefit from the return-to-the-office trend, presenting a substantial volume growth opportunity.
Negative Factors
Economic Uncertainty
Economic uncertainty continues to weigh on end markets, with small to medium-sized businesses hesitant to spend due to tariff and interest rate uncertainty.

HNI (HNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HNI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHNI Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells workplace furnishings and residential building products primarily in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Workplace Furnishings and Residential Building Products. The Workplace Furnishings segment offers a range of commercial and home office furniture, including panel-based and freestanding furniture systems, seating, storage, tables, and architectural products under the HON, Allsteel, Beyond, Gunlocke, Maxon, HBF, OFM, Respawn, Lamex, and HNI India brands. This segment sells its products through independent dealers, wholesalers, office product distributors, e-commerce retailers, and wholesalers, as well as directly to end-user customers; and federal, state, and local governments. The Residential Building Products segment provides various gas, wood, electric, and pellet-fueled fireplaces; inserts; stoves; facings; and accessories primarily for home use under the Heatilator, Heat & Glo, Majestic, Monessen, Quadra-Fire, Harman, Vermont Castings, PelPro, SimpliFire, The Outdoor GreatRoom Company, and Stellar brand names. This segment markets its products through independent dealers and distributors, and corporation-owned distribution and retail outlets. The company was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Muscatine, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyHNI Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its office furniture and hearth products. The Office Furniture segment contributes significantly to its earnings by manufacturing and distributing a wide array of furniture solutions tailored for offices, educational institutions, and government facilities. This segment capitalizes on both direct sales and a network of independent dealers and distributors to reach its customers. Meanwhile, the Hearth Products segment earns revenue by offering fireplaces, stoves, and related products, targeting homeowners and builders. HNI leverages its well-established brands, such as HON and Heatilator, to maintain a competitive edge in the market. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its distribution capabilities and expand its product offerings, further bolstering its revenue streams.

HNI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a generally positive sentiment, with strong growth in non-GAAP EPS, revenue, and profitability in key segments, alongside challenges such as SMB revenue decline, tariff-related pressures, and uncertainties in the housing market. The balance between highlights and lowlights suggests cautious optimism for the future.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Non-GAAP EPS Growth
Non-GAAP EPS increased nearly 20% year-over-year, exceeding expectations, with both segments showing revenue growth.
Segment Revenue Growth
Residential Building Products revenue grew 7% year-over-year, and Workplace Furnishings revenue increased slightly compared to the same period in 2024.
Profitability and Margin Expansion
Consolidated non-GAAP gross and operating margins expanded year-on-year to 40% and 5.3%, respectively, with operating margin reaching the highest first quarter level since 2007.
Strong Contract Customer Growth
Contract customer orders increased 4% year-over-year, with a 15% increase excluding hospitality.
Residential Building Products Profit Growth
Operating profit grew 16% year-over-year, with segment EBIT margin expanding 130 basis points to 15.7%.
Order Backlog Increase
Workplace Furnishings segment backlog is up 19% year-over-year.
Returns to Office Opportunities
Elevated levels of nonviable office space present a positive indicator for future furniture demand.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Quarter-ending gross debt leverage was 1.3x, with $40 million in stock repurchases, demonstrating confidence in future earnings and cash flow generation.
Negative Updates
SMB Revenue Decline
Shipments to small and medium-sized customers declined approximately 5% versus the same period of 2024, with continued soft transactional purchase activity.
Workplace Furnishings Margin Compression
Non-GAAP EBIT margin in the Workplace Furnishings segment compressed 20 basis points year-over-year due to higher discounts on large projects.
Tariff and Inflation Concerns
Tariff uncertainty and rising inflation expectations are expected to cause ongoing demand volatility and temporary margin pressure.
Challenges in New Construction Orders
New construction orders declined slightly, with the housing market facing challenges such as elevated interest rates and weaker consumer confidence.
Temporary Price Cost Pressure
Second quarter price cost margin pressure related to tariffs is expected to total $3 million to $5 million.
Company Guidance
During the HNI Corporation's First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted. Non-GAAP EPS increased nearly 20% year-over-year, reaching $0.44, with revenue growth in both segments. Workplace Furnishings revenue rose slightly compared to the same period in 2024, while Residential Building Products revenue grew 7% year-over-year. Consolidated non-GAAP gross and operating margins expanded to 40% and 5.3%, respectively. Despite a 5% decline in shipments to small and medium-sized businesses, revenue from contract customers increased by 4% year-over-year. In the Residential segment, operating profit grew 16%, and segment EBIT margin expanded 130 basis points to 15.7%. The company maintains its earnings guidance with expectations for double-digit non-GAAP EPS growth for a fourth consecutive year, driven by operational efficiencies and strategic investments.

HNI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HNI's financial performance is concerning, with the latest year showing zero revenue, significantly impacting profitability and sustainability. Previous years indicated stable growth, but the recent financials highlight urgent needs for strategic adjustments to improve operational health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a concerning trend for HNI, with total revenue dropping to 0 in the latest year, significantly impacting gross profit and net income calculations. Previous periods indicate fluctuating revenue growth, with the most recent complete data showing a modest revenue growth of 3.06% from 2022 to 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins were strong in 2023, but the current lack of revenue is alarming.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects an increase in total debt to $499.1 million in the latest year, while stockholders' equity increased to $840.1 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests moderate leverage. Historical trends show a stable equity base, but the latest figures raise concerns about sustainability without revenue generation.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow of -$69.7 million in the latest year, with operating cash flow also negative. This indicates potential liquidity issues, as the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations. Prior periods showed positive free cash flow, highlighting recent operational challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.53B2.43B2.36B2.18B1.96B
Gross Profit
1.03B948.30M834.90M757.36M721.12M
EBIT
206.50M90.30M111.50M85.42M100.19M
EBITDA
313.80M185.20M195.70M167.60M177.88M
Net Income Common Stockholders
139.50M49.20M123.90M59.80M41.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
28.90M34.50M19.40M53.66M117.81M
Total Assets
1.88B1.93B1.41B1.50B1.42B
Total Debt
496.80M578.00M300.70M274.52M254.69M
Net Debt
474.30M549.10M283.30M222.25M138.57M
Total Liabilities
1.03B1.17B797.70M907.93M827.29M
Stockholders Equity
840.10M761.40M616.50M589.64M590.42M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
173.80M188.50M12.80M65.08M172.67M
Operating Cash Flow
226.70M267.50M81.20M131.63M214.47M
Investing Cash Flow
-51.00M-444.80M-10.70M-111.01M-100.37M
Financing Cash Flow
-182.20M188.80M-105.40M-84.50M-50.05M

HNI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.69
Price Trends
50DMA
44.21
Positive
100DMA
45.52
Positive
200DMA
48.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Positive
RSI
55.22
Neutral
STOCH
56.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.93, above the 50-day MA of 44.21, and below the 200-day MA of 48.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HNI.

HNI Risk Analysis

HNI disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HNI reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The Corporation's information technology systems, processes, and sites may suffer interruptions, security incidents, or failures that may affect its ability to conduct its business and cause significant damage to its reputation. Q4, 2024
2.
The Corporation is subject to currency risk in its international operations. Q4, 2024

HNI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.30B13.4337.08%0.56%27.43%67.93%
HNHNI
74
Outperform
$2.17B16.6817.23%2.85%-0.18%107.68%
AVAVY
71
Outperform
$14.06B20.7031.95%1.96%3.57%26.92%
SCSCS
71
Outperform
$1.19B10.2012.70%3.86%0.20%50.50%
66
Neutral
$4.50B12.285.32%248.52%4.13%-12.36%
57
Neutral
$337.87M-15.90%8.00%-9.19%-337.72%
TGTGI
54
Neutral
$2.01B56.5846.74%-8.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HNI
HNI
46.69
3.48
8.05%
ACCO
ACCO Brands
3.75
-0.88
-19.01%
AVY
Avery Dennison
179.87
-40.77
-18.48%
POWL
Powell Industries
190.99
21.03
12.37%
SCS
Steelcase
10.35
-1.76
-14.53%
TGI
Triumph Group
25.87
10.70
70.53%

HNI Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
HNI Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 20, 2025

At the HNI Corporation’s annual meeting of shareholders on May 15, 2025, key proposals were voted on, including the election of directors, ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal 2025, and approval of executive compensation. Shareholders elected Jeffrey D. Lorenger, Larry B. Porcellato, and David M. Roberts to the Board of Directors, ratified KPMG LLP as the auditor, and approved the executive compensation package, reflecting continued confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HNI) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HNI stock, see the HNI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.