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Hni Corp (HNI)
NYSE:HNI
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HNI (HNI) AI Stock Analysis

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HNI

HNI

(NYSE:HNI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▼(-17.26% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (TTM loss, sharply lower free cash flow, and higher leverage) and a bearish technical setup (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a supportive dividend yield and a constructive earnings-call outlook tied to synergy realization and expected EPS growth, though near-term demand and earnings pressure remain.
Positive Factors
Top-line scale and growth
Sustained revenue scale (TTM +26.3% to $3.59B) enhances manufacturing and distribution leverage, supports investment in product development and dealer relationships, and gives the company capacity to absorb cost variability—foundations that support durable earnings recovery once margins normalize.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
A TTM net loss (-$15.4M) and compressed net margin signal structural pressure below the gross line (SG&A, integration costs, purchase accounting). Sustained or recurring profitability weakness would impair reinvestment, slow synergy payback, and limit ability to restore historical returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Top-line scale and growth
Sustained revenue scale (TTM +26.3% to $3.59B) enhances manufacturing and distribution leverage, supports investment in product development and dealer relationships, and gives the company capacity to absorb cost variability—foundations that support durable earnings recovery once margins normalize.
Read all positive factors

HNI (HNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HNI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
HNI Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells workplace furnishings and residential building products primarily in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Workplace Furnishings and Residential Buildi...
How the Company Makes Money
HNI makes money by designing, manufacturing, and selling physical products across its two operating segments, generating revenue primarily from product sales (and associated freight/installation or service offerings where applicable). (1) Workplac...

HNI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive outlook driven by margin expansion, clear synergy targets from the Steelcase acquisition, outperformance in Residential Building Products (including 13% remodel/retrofit growth and a 190 bps margin expansion), and multi‑year EPS visibility. Near‑term challenges were acknowledged: a slower start to 2026 for legacy Workplace Furnishings (organic sales down ~3%–5%), Q2 non‑GAAP EPS pressure, and geopolitical/tariff headwinds. Management emphasized cost discipline, order momentum late in the quarter, and concrete savings/timing expectations that underpin the bullish full‑year and multi‑year earnings outlook.
Positive Updates
Strong EPS Outlook and Multi-Year Earnings Visibility
Company expects a fifth straight year of double-digit non-GAAP EPS improvement in 2026 and projects double-digit non-GAAP EPS growth again in 2027; full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS expected to grow by mid‑teens percent from 2025 full‑year non‑GAAP EPS of $3.53.
Negative Updates
Organic Sales Weakness in Legacy Workplace Furnishings
Legacy Workplace Furnishings organic net sales were reported down roughly 3%–5% year‑over‑year (management cited a slower start to the year driven by geopolitical uncertainty), with contract customer orders down mid‑single digits.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong EPS Outlook and Multi-Year Earnings Visibility
Company expects a fifth straight year of double-digit non-GAAP EPS improvement in 2026 and projects double-digit non-GAAP EPS growth again in 2027; full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS expected to grow by mid‑teens percent from 2025 full‑year non‑GAAP EPS of $3.53.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to modest full‑year revenue growth in both segments with legacy Workplace Furnishings revenue expected to increase low single digits for 2026 (with high‑single‑digit growth in the back half), Steelcase full‑year revenue to grow slightly, and RBP to produce modest price‑driven growth in H2 after a Q1 revenue increase of >2% (new construction down mid‑single digits; remodel/retrofit up 13% and segment margin up 190 bps to 17.6%). For Q2, legacy Workplace net sales are expected to increase low single digits while total Workplace (including Steelcase) is expected to grow ~155%–160% year‑over‑year; RBP Q2 sales are expected to decline low single digits. Q1 GAAP diluted EPS was $0.55 and non‑GAAP diluted EPS was $0.34 (excluding ~$88M of items); Q2 non‑GAAP EPS is expected to decline modestly, but full‑year non‑GAAP EPS is forecast to rise mid‑teens percent versus 2025’s $3.53 with accelerating double‑digit growth in H2 and another year of double‑digit growth projected for 2027. Integration and cost actions remain drivers: Workplace Furnishings non‑GAAP operating profit (including Steelcase) was nearly $49M in Q1, Steelcase synergies of $120M are on track with $1.20 of expected per‑share accretion at maturity, an additional $30M of legacy network savings is expected over three years, total savings >$70M in 2027 and >$150M when fully mature (excluding new cost saves), combined D&A of ~$150–155M (plus ~$105M purchase accounting), net interest $75–80M, tax rate ~25%, and leverage targeted to return to ~1.0x–1.5x within two years.

HNI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong TTM revenue growth (+26.3% to $3.59B), fundamentals weakened: TTM net income turned negative (-$15.4M) and free cash flow fell to ~$7.8M (down ~96%). Leverage is also higher (debt ~$1.76B vs equity ~$1.77B; debt-to-equity ~1.0), reducing flexibility while profitability and cash conversion are under pressure.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
49
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.59B2.84B2.53B2.43B2.36B2.18B
Gross Profit1.39B1.15B1.01B949.20M812.80M727.20M
EBITDA353.00M347.70M313.80M185.20M239.50M167.60M
Net Income1.40M54.20M139.50M49.20M123.90M59.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.77B4.88B1.88B1.93B1.41B1.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.20M215.70M28.90M34.50M19.40M53.70M
Total Debt1.73B1.63B496.80M578.00M300.70M274.60M
Total Liabilities3.00B3.05B1.03B1.17B797.70M907.90M
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.84B840.10M761.40M616.50M589.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.80M210.40M176.10M189.40M21.20M78.17M
Operating Cash Flow91.90M276.20M226.70M267.50M81.20M131.63M
Investing Cash Flow-504.80M-443.90M-51.00M-444.80M-10.70M-111.01M
Financing Cash Flow471.50M363.10M-182.20M188.80M-105.40M-84.48M

HNI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.26
Price Trends
50DMA
35.34
Negative
100DMA
40.77
Negative
200DMA
41.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Positive
RSI
28.74
Positive
STOCH
1.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.39, above the 50-day MA of 35.34, and below the 200-day MA of 41.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.74 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HNI.

HNI Risk Analysis

HNI disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HNI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HNI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$12.00B19.7730.81%2.04%2.89%1.99%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
52
Neutral
$1.11B-9.492.86%2.03%-64.68%
50
Neutral
$1.00B14.700.83%4.16%5.62%-65.76%
50
Neutral
$1.09B17.53-8.28%4.72%-2.41%-64.77%
49
Neutral
$2.17B-9.670.11%3.20%41.31%-83.85%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HNI
HNI
29.25
-16.56
-36.15%
AVY
Avery Dennison
154.26
-25.85
-14.35%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
14.21
-2.38
-14.35%
PZZA
Papa John's International
33.35
-5.54
-14.25%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
9.30
-5.31
-36.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026