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Weibo Corp Class A (HK:9898)
:9898
Hong Kong Market
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Weibo Corp Class A (9898) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:9898

Weibo Corp Class A

(9898)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
HK$84.00
▲(11.48% Upside)
Weibo Corp's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong gross margins but declining revenues and cash flow issues. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while the valuation suggests the stock may be undervalued with a high dividend yield. The earnings call provided a balanced outlook with positive user engagement trends but highlighted revenue challenges.

Weibo Corp Class A (9898) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Weibo Corp Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWeibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, distribute, and discover content in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Advertising and Marketing Services; and Value-Added Services. The company offers discovery products to help users discover content on its platform; self-expression products that enable its users to express themselves on its platform; and social products to promote social interaction between users on its platform. It also provides advertising and marketing solutions, such as social display advertisements; and promoted marketing offerings, such as Fans Headline and Weibo Express promoted feeds, as well as promoted trends and search products that appear alongside user's trends discovery and search behaviors. In addition, the company offers products, such as trends, search, video/live streaming, and editing tools; content customization, copyright contents pooling, and user interaction development; and search list recommendation, trends list recommendation, and Weibo app opening advertisements. Further, it provides back-end management, traffic support, and product solutions to MCNs, unions, and e-commerce partners; open application platform for other app developers that allows users to log into third-party applications with their Weibo account for sharing third-party content on its platform; and Weibo Wallet, a product that enables platform partners to conduct interest generation activities on Weibo, such as handing out red envelops and coupons. The company was formerly known as T.CN Corporation and changed its name to Weibo Corporation in 2012. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Weibo Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Sina Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyWeibo generates revenue through several key streams, primarily through advertising services and value-added services. The advertising segment includes brand advertising and performance-based advertising, where companies pay to promote their products and services on the platform to reach a targeted audience. Additionally, Weibo earns revenue from its value-added services, which consist of features such as premium memberships, virtual gifts, and enhanced content capabilities for users and businesses. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various brands and advertisers, leveraging its extensive user base and engagement metrics to drive advertising sales. Overall, Weibo's earnings are significantly influenced by its ability to attract advertisers and maintain user engagement on its platform.

Weibo Corp Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive trends in user engagement and the integration of AI technologies, which have bolstered Weibo's ad product offerings. However, revenue declines due to challenging market conditions and high base effects from the previous year, along with increased tax expenses, balanced the overall sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
User Engagement Growth
In September 2025, Weibo's MAUs reached 578 million and average DAUs reached 257 million. The per capita viewership, time spent, and retention of the mid- and low-frequency user group grew double digits quarter-over-quarter.
Intelligent Search Expansion
The MAUs of Weibo's intelligent search product exceeded 70 million, with DAU and search queries increasing more than 50% quarter-over-quarter. Total search queries on Weibo increased 20% quarter-over-quarter in Q3.
AI Technology Integration
Weibo's AI ad creative platform, Lingchuang, has been widely adopted, enabling scalable and personalized ad production. AI-generated ad creatives accounted for nearly 30% of the consumption.
E-commerce Advertising Revenue Growth
Ad revenues from the e-commerce sector recorded over 50% year-over-year growth, driven by stimulus policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and consumption.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenues for Q3 2025 reached USD 442.3 million, a decrease of 5% year-over-year. Ad revenues decreased 6% year-over-year, primarily due to the high base effect from the previous year's Olympics.
Challenges in Key Sectors
Revenue from the food and beverage, dairy products, and footwear and apparel sectors fell year-over-year due to the high base effect from last year's Olympics. The gaming and smartphone sectors also experienced revenue declines.
Increased Income Tax Expenses
Income tax expenses for the third quarter were USD 57.2 million, up from USD 32.2 million in the previous year, due to the recognition of USD 29.4 million in deferred tax liabilities.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Weibo reported several key metrics and strategic initiatives on their earnings call. The company's Monthly Active Users (MAUs) reached 578 million in September 2025, while Daily Active Users (DAUs) were 257 million. Total revenues for the quarter were USD 442.3 million, marking a 5% year-over-year decline, with advertising revenues at USD 375.4 million, down 6% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating income was USD 132.0 million, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 30%. Weibo enhanced its recommendation feed algorithm, which led to a double-digit increase in user engagement metrics, such as per capita viewership and time spent. The company also focused on integrating video content into its recommendation feed, resulting in increased distribution of video content. In terms of monetization, Weibo aimed to solidify its position as a key platform for content marketing and enhanced its AI capabilities for ad product optimization. The company highlighted e-commerce and automotive sectors as contributors to ad revenue growth, while industries like food and beverage saw declines due to last year's high baseline related to the Olympics. Looking ahead, Weibo plans to capitalize on AI technologies and upcoming global events to potentially boost advertising revenues.

Weibo Corp Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weibo Corp shows strong gross margins and a solid equity base but faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability. Cash flow issues highlight liquidity management concerns. The company has improved its debt position, but consistent revenue growth and improved cash flow generation are critical for enhancing financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Weibo Corp's income statement shows fluctuating revenue over the years, with the latest decrease from $1.76 billion to $1.75 billion. Gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 79%, demonstrating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 19.5% in 2019 to approximately 17.1% in 2024, indicating challenges in maintaining bottom-line profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen slight declines, suggesting increased operational costs or reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a steady increase in stockholders' equity from $2.28 billion in 2019 to $3.48 billion in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating prudent financial management and lower leverage risk. The equity ratio has strengthened, showing a robust financial structure. However, total assets have decreased slightly, potentially constraining future growth.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals significant volatility, with operating cash flow dropping from $814 million in 2021 to zero in 2024. Free cash flow has also declined, highlighting potential challenges in liquidity management. The company shows inconsistency in converting net income to cash flow, which poses a risk to financial stability if not addressed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.76B1.75B1.76B1.84B2.26B1.69B
Gross Profit1.38B1.39B1.39B1.44B1.85B1.39B
EBITDA544.34M552.83M695.15M545.34M676.73M538.90M
Net Income372.08M300.80M342.60M85.56M428.32M313.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.54B6.50B7.28B7.13B7.52B6.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.11B2.35B3.23B3.17B3.13B3.50B
Total Debt1.86B1.91B2.71B2.48B2.49B2.43B
Total Liabilities2.86B2.93B3.76B3.74B3.83B3.45B
Stockholders Equity3.60B3.48B3.40B3.33B3.59B2.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00578.43M636.05M367.40M646.39M706.82M
Operating Cash Flow0.00639.90M672.82M564.10M814.02M741.65M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-246.90M-736.85M-33.01M-423.96M-1.21B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.03B21.69M-91.14M189.44M741.96M

Weibo Corp Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price75.35
Price Trends
50DMA
90.51
Negative
100DMA
86.56
Negative
200DMA
78.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.41
Positive
RSI
25.22
Positive
STOCH
6.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9898, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 75.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.32, below the 50-day MA of 90.51, and below the 200-day MA of 78.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.22 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:9898.

Weibo Corp Class A Risk Analysis

Weibo Corp Class A disclosed 113 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weibo Corp Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Weibo Corp Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
HK$277.10B14.6025.67%11.37%16.74%
70
Outperform
HK$252.99B24.9714.50%1.01%13.62%80.52%
67
Neutral
HK$335.25B11.493.07%-2.92%-60.01%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
HK$20.59B7.6712.49%8.54%-1.40%22.37%
60
Neutral
€24.00B14.696.05%8.02%-5.74%-14.46%
57
Neutral
HK$2.80B18.443.26%-22.45%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:9898
Weibo Corp Class A
75.35
11.55
18.10%
HK:2518
Autohome Inc Class A
42.24
-7.17
-14.52%
HK:9888
Baidu, Inc. Class A
107.30
29.45
37.83%
HK:1024
Kuaishou Technology Class B
64.00
17.95
38.98%
HK:1698
Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A
69.20
25.06
56.77%
HK:2390
Zhihu, Inc. Class A
10.16
0.78
8.32%

Weibo Corp Class A Corporate Events

Weibo Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results with Focus on AI and User Engagement
Nov 18, 2025

Weibo Corporation announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a decline in net revenues by 5% year-over-year to $442.3 million. Despite the revenue drop, the company reported robust growth in user engagement and search queries, driven by advancements in AI technology and a revamped homepage interface. Weibo’s strategic focus on content marketing and AI-enhanced advertising processes has bolstered its monetization efforts, although advertising and marketing revenues saw a 6% year-over-year decrease. The company reported a net income of $221.1 million, with significant user base metrics, including 578 million monthly active users and 257 million daily active users.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9898) stock is a Hold with a HK$93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weibo Corp Class A stock, see the HK:9898 Stock Forecast page.

Weibo Corporation to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results on November 18
Oct 31, 2025

Weibo Corporation has announced that its board of directors will meet on November 18, 2025, to approve the company’s unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The results will be published on the same day on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange’s website and Weibo’s investor relations site. A teleconference call will be hosted by the management team to discuss the financial results and address questions from stakeholders, indicating the company’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9898) stock is a Hold with a HK$95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weibo Corp Class A stock, see the HK:9898 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025