Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A (HK:1698)
:1698
Hong Kong Market
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Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A (1698) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1698

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A

(1698)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
HK$83.00
▲(11.94% Upside)
Tencent Music Entertainment Group's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call results, which are offset by bearish technical indicators and moderate valuation. The company's robust growth in music subscriptions and strategic partnerships are significant strengths, while challenges in social entertainment and technical bearishness present risks.

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A (1698) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTencent Music Entertainment Group Class A (1698) is a leading online music entertainment platform in China, operating through its subsidiaries. The company primarily focuses on music streaming services, social entertainment, and content distribution. Its core products include popular music streaming applications such as QQ Music, Kugou, and Kuwo, which offer a wide range of music content, social features, and live streaming services. Tencent Music also engages in the licensing of music content and artist management, making it a prominent player in the digital music landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyTencent Music generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is subscription services, where users pay for premium memberships to access ad-free music, offline listening, and exclusive content. Additionally, the company earns revenue from advertising on its free-tier services, which attracts a large user base. Another significant revenue stream comes from the licensing of music rights to other platforms and the sale of digital albums and songs. Tencent Music also monetizes live streaming events and social features, including virtual gifts and in-app purchases. Partnerships with major music labels and artists enhance its content library and distribution capabilities, further driving its revenue growth.

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial growth driven by music subscriptions and successful international concerts. However, challenges in social entertainment and lower margins in new areas suggest potential hurdles. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Total revenues grew 21% year-on-year to RMB 8.5 billion, marking the highest revenue growth since Q1 2021. Online music revenues grew over 27% year-on-year to RMB 7 billion.
Growth in Music Subscriptions
Music subscription revenues grew 70% year-on-year to RMB 4.5 billion, driven by growth in monthly ARPPU and subscriber base. Monthly ARPPU reached RMB 11.9 compared to RMB 10.8 last year.
Expansion in Live Concerts
Hosted 14 additional shows for G-Dragon across 6 cities, drawing over 150,000 attendees. Concert tours and events contributed to a triple-digit year-on-year revenue growth in offline performances.
Innovative Partnerships and Content Expansion
Partnered with Tencent Games for game-related music, Blizzard Entertainment for soundtracks, and expanded anime and K-pop offerings with Japanese and Korean labels.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Social Entertainment
Social entertainment service revenues were down by 3% year-on-year, indicating challenges in this segment.
Lower Gross Margin in New Areas
New growth areas like offline performances and artist-related merchandise have lower gross margins, potentially impacting future profitability.
Company Guidance
During Tencent Music Entertainment Group's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial results, highlighting a 21% year-over-year revenue growth to RMB 8.5 billion, marking the highest growth since Q1 2021. Online music revenues increased by 27% to RMB 7 billion, with music subscription revenues rising by 70% to RMB 4.5 billion due to growth in monthly ARPPU and subscriber base. The company also noted a triple-digit year-over-year growth in offline performances and artist-related merchandise sales. Gross margin for Q3 2025 was 43.5%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous year. The call emphasized the importance of non-IFRS measures and detailed the company's dual engine strategy focusing on platform and content ecosystem enhancement. Looking ahead, Tencent Music aims to continue strong growth in subscription services and explore new opportunities in non-subscription revenues, despite expected fluctuations in gross margin due to revenue mix changes.

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tencent Music Entertainment Group demonstrates strong financial health and operational efficiency. The company has achieved notable profitability improvements, maintained a robust balance sheet, and efficiently managed cash flows, indicating a stable and growing financial outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tencent Music Entertainment Group has shown strong growth in profitability, with gross and net profit margins improving significantly. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 43.11% and net profit margin at 32.81%. Over the past year, the company achieved a revenue growth rate of 2.07%, indicating stable expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect robust operational efficiency at 39.97% and 40.54%, respectively.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio is solid at 74.67%, showcasing a strong equity base. Return on equity has improved to 12.99% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced shareholder returns. The balance sheet demonstrates stability, although the equity ratio trend suggests a need for cautious leverage management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong conversion of operating cash flow to net income with a ratio of 1.06, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow growth rate is slightly negative at -1.81%, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.95, suggesting good cash flow management despite minor fluctuations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.27B28.40B27.75B28.34B31.24B29.15B
Gross Profit13.23B12.03B9.79B8.77B9.40B9.30B
EBITDA12.50B9.81B7.17B5.65B4.75B5.55B
Net Income10.24B6.64B4.92B3.68B3.03B4.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets107.87B90.44B75.54B67.01B67.25B68.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.20B27.21B23.54B20.88B20.43B26.02B
Total Debt6.04B6.05B6.05B5.96B5.36B5.50B
Total Liabilities21.50B20.72B18.33B17.88B16.20B15.54B
Stockholders Equity83.88B67.86B55.91B48.10B50.32B52.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.48B9.24B6.17B6.43B2.48B4.38B
Operating Cash Flow8.80B10.28B7.34B7.48B5.24B4.88B
Investing Cash Flow-5.87B-6.82B-1.86B-1.45B-6.00B-14.21B
Financing Cash Flow-4.21B-3.83B-1.54B-3.42B-3.71B5.29B

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price74.15
Price Trends
50DMA
90.36
Negative
100DMA
88.75
Negative
200DMA
72.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.51
Positive
RSI
26.60
Positive
STOCH
5.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1698, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 74.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.62, below the 50-day MA of 90.36, and above the 200-day MA of 72.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.60 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1698.

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A Risk Analysis

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A disclosed 101 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
HK$290.92B16.4225.22%10.72%17.05%
70
Outperform
HK$252.99B24.9714.50%13.62%80.52%
66
Neutral
HK$335.25B11.4910.28%-1.69%42.04%
65
Neutral
HK$20.59B7.6710.70%8.02%0.99%14.41%
61
Neutral
$43.27B300.000.67%-10.26%-85.75%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
49
Neutral
HK$8.16B99.430.82%4.37%-7.61%-90.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1698
Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A
74.30
31.99
75.61%
HK:0772
China Literature
37.76
12.06
46.93%
HK:9888
Baidu, Inc. Class A
113.60
31.80
38.88%
HK:9898
Weibo Corp Class A
80.20
21.89
37.54%
HK:1024
Kuaishou Technology Class B
66.80
17.08
34.35%
HK:1896
Maoyan Entertainment
6.99
-0.55
-7.29%

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A Corporate Events

Tencent Music Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 12, 2025

Tencent Music Entertainment Group announced a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with total revenues reaching RMB8.46 billion, marking a 20.6% year-over-year increase. The growth was driven by a 27.2% rise in online music services revenues and a 17.2% increase in music subscription revenues. The company’s net profit attributable to equity holders grew by 36.0% year-over-year, demonstrating robust financial health. TME’s strategic focus on content enrichment and service expansion, particularly in live experiences, has bolstered its subscription revenue growth and strengthened its position in the music industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1698) stock is a Buy with a HK$110.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A stock, see the HK:1698 Stock Forecast page.

Tencent Music Sets Date for Q3 2025 Earnings Release
Oct 14, 2025

Tencent Music Entertainment Group announced the date for its third quarter 2025 earnings release, which was submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission via a Form 6-K. This announcement is part of the company’s regulatory compliance with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, where it is also listed. The release of the earnings date is an important event for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1698) stock is a Buy with a HK$110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A stock, see the HK:1698 Stock Forecast page.

Tencent Music to Announce Q3 2025 Results on November 12
Oct 14, 2025

Tencent Music Entertainment Group announced that its board of directors will review and vote on the company’s unaudited third-quarter results for the period ending September 30, 2025. The results will be published on November 12, 2025, after the Hong Kong market closes and before the U.S. market opens, potentially impacting stakeholders’ expectations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1698) stock is a Buy with a HK$110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tencent Music Entertainment Group Class A stock, see the HK:1698 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025