Bar Pacific Group Holdings Ltd. (8432) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$35.17M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 412.33K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 1.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.20
• Revenue Growth: 1.39%
• EPS Growth: -206.25%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 523
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 879,264,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 900,000
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 412,333
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$0.04 ▼(-20.00% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/03/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/03/25

The overall stock score of 49 reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and high leverage being major concerns. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, the poor valuation and lack of profitability weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness.

Positive Factors

Operational margins

The company’s improved gross margin (43.71%) and a positive EBITDA margin (19.21%) indicate underlying operational efficiency in its restaurant and bar operations. These margins provide a structural buffer that can support reinvestment, cover fixed costs, and enable margin recovery if revenues stabilize, improving long-term viability despite near-term profitability headwinds.

Cash-generation resilience

High free cash flow to net income (87.57%) and a positive operating cash flow conversion (43.88%) show the business still converts core sales into cash. This durable cash-generation capacity helps service debt, fund working capital and selected investments, giving the company more time and flexibility to execute a turnaround without immediate reliance on external capital markets.

Portfolio and market positioning

A diversified portfolio of bars and restaurants focused on urban dining and nightlife provides recurring demand and multiple revenue streams (dining, events, catering). Structural consumer appetite for experiential dining and brand-led venues supports long-term revenue potential, allowing the company to leverage cross-brand marketing and location mix to stabilize revenue over time.

Negative Factors

High financial leverage

Extremely high leverage and a deeply negative ROE indicate equity erosion and heavy reliance on debt financing. This structural capital weakness raises refinancing and solvency risk, constrains strategic investments, and increases vulnerability to interest-rate moves or revenue shocks, making it harder to sustain long-term recovery without deleveraging.

Declining revenue and negative net margins

A contracting top line combined with negative EBIT and net margins signals the company is not converting sales into sustainable profits. Persistent revenue decline and operating losses make it challenging to rebuild equity and fund growth organically, necessitating structural changes in pricing, cost base, or portfolio mix to restore long-term profitability.

Overall financial instability flagged

The firm-level assessment identifies systemic financial weaknesses—declining revenue, poor profitability and high leverage—that point to a structural turnaround requirement. Such a diagnosis implies management must execute meaningful strategic, operational and capital-structure reforms to materially improve fundamentals over the medium term.

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates a chain of bar and restaurants under the Bar Pacific, Katachi, Moon Ocean, and Pacific brands in Hong Kong. The company operates through Operation of Bars and Restaurants, and Property Investment segments. As of March 31, 2022, it operated a network of 46 bars/restaurants. The company's bars offer beverages, including beer, cocktails, wines, and spirits, as well as refreshments and food. It also operates electronic dart machines, as well as leases properties. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Hung Hom, Hong Kong. Bar Pacific Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Moment to Moment Company Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the operation of its restaurant and bar establishments. The company's revenue model includes direct sales from food and beverage services, which constitutes the bulk of its income. Additionally, it may earn revenue from catering services, private events, and partnerships with suppliers for exclusive product offerings. The company benefits from strategic alliances and collaborations with food and beverage brands to enhance its service portfolio, optimize costs, and attract more customers. Seasonal promotions and loyalty programs also play a role in driving sales, as they help to retain existing customers and attract new ones.

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Ltd. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability issues. High leverage and negative returns on equity highlight financial instability. While cash flow metrics show some resilience, the overall financial health is concerning, requiring strategic improvements to enhance profitability and reduce debt reliance.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -4.45% in the latest year. Gross profit margin improved to 43.71%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -9.13% and a negative EBIT margin of -6.80%. The EBITDA margin remains positive at 19.21%, suggesting some operational efficiency, but overall profitability is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals high financial leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 21.71, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative at -302.54%, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability and a high risk of insolvency.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -5.08%, but the company maintains a relatively strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 87.57%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 43.88%, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021	Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	250.29M	194.64M	208.09M	174.93M	95.73M	57.84M
Gross Profit	59.14M	85.08M	37.08M	32.03M	2.05M	11.07M
EBITDA	56.70M	37.39M	55.74M	59.40M	29.93M	7.29M
Net Income	-16.26M	-17.78M	604.00K	9.67M	-10.26M	-36.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	158.81M	156.10M	183.84M	204.26M	196.04M	160.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.74M	2.05M	2.11M	1.57M	2.08M	3.51M
Total Debt	118.61M	127.54M	136.54M	158.66M	156.54M	121.47M
Total Liabilities	138.50M	143.87M	154.48M	176.40M	179.09M	133.52M
Stockholders Equity	13.46M	5.88M	22.63M	21.32M	11.64M	21.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	52.00M	43.42M	45.81M	36.06M	9.25M	-51.17M
Operating Cash Flow	56.29M	49.59M	57.65M	49.80M	20.95M	-5.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-5.41M	-9.12M	-11.83M	-13.74M	-11.70M	-46.12M
Financing Cash Flow	-64.52M	-38.89M	-45.80M	-37.79M	-9.00M	19.14M

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.05
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8432, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and above the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:8432.

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
8432	49 Neutral	HK$35.17M	1.09	-48.61%	―	1.39%	-206.25%
8447	49 Neutral	HK$66.00M	2.72	-4.32%	―	6.55%	98.02%
8056	46 Neutral	HK$15.08M	-1.26	-88.38%	―	-43.85%	―
8510	46 Neutral	HK$38.22M	-14.28	―	―	144.78%	10.07%
8367	44 Neutral	HK$39.35M	-0.43	-120.93%	―	2.67%	-264.58%
8096	40 Underperform	HK$24.25M	-4.11	-27.31%	―	14.18%	42.51%