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China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (HK:6099)
:6099

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (6099) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:6099

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H

(6099)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
HK$17.50
â–²(24.20% Upside)
The score is driven mainly by solid profitability and improving earnings, offset by leverage and cash flow volatility typical of a cyclical capital-markets business. Technicals show price strength but mixed/extended momentum signals, while valuation and dividend yield provide support.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
A net margin near 36.7% indicates the firm extracts high fees and retains strong operating profitability versus peers. Sustained margin strength supports internal capital accumulation, dividend capacity and resilience across moderate downcycles, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Diversified Revenue Streams
A business model spanning brokerage, margin financing, investment banking, proprietary trading and asset management reduces reliance on any single market segment. Structural revenue diversification smooths earnings across cycles and supports fee and interest income stability over time.
Improving Earnings and Operating Leverage
Year-over-year net income improvement reflects successful cost control and operating leverage even with modest revenue growth. Consistent earnings growth builds retained capital, funds strategic initiatives, and signals management can expand profits without relying solely on revenue spikes.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Generation
A roughly 40% drop in free cash flow in 2024 and historical swings (including negative operating/free cash flow in earlier years) indicate inconsistent cash conversion. This undermines confidence in funding dividends, buybacks, or investments through weak market cycles.
Meaningful Leverage
Material leverage around 1.5x leaves the firm more exposed to market and funding shocks. For a capital-markets firm, elevated debt amplifies earnings volatility, can constrain strategic flexibility in downturns and creates higher funding and regulatory sensitivity over the medium term.
Cyclical, Market-Dependent Revenues
Revenue streams are structurally tied to trading volumes, IPO and debt markets, and market volatility. This inherent cyclicality makes revenue and margins dependent on macro and capital-market cycles, reducing predictability and challenging sustained growth planning across 2–6 month horizons.

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (6099) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChina Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities investment and trading services to corporate, institutional, and individual clients in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Wealth Management and Institutional Business, Investment Banking, Investment Management, and Investment and Trading segments. It offers investment consultancy, investment portfolio recommendation, sale of products, and assets allocation; capital-based intermediary services, including margin financing, securities lending, and stock pledge repo and stock repurchase transactions; investment research, sales and trading, prime brokerage, and other services for funds and insurance companies; and trades in stocks, funds, bonds, futures, and other derivatives. The company also provides investment banking services, including domestic and international equity financing, debt financing, equity and bond underwriting, structured financing, over the counter (OTC) listing, merger and acquisition, financial advisory, and other services; and investment management services comprising collective asset management, separately managed account, specialized asset management, and equity investment fund management. In addition, it engages in the trading of equity and fixed-income securities, commodities, foreign exchange, alternative investment, and other derivatives, as well as offers OTC financial products, market maker services, and insurance agency services. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyChina Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. generates its revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is its securities brokerage services, where the company earns commissions and fees from facilitating the buying and selling of securities for its clients. Additionally, the company's investment banking segment provides advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, underwriting, and other corporate finance activities, generating significant fees. The asset management division contributes to revenue by managing investment funds and portfolios, earning management and performance fees. Wealth management services also play a crucial role, offering tailored financial solutions to high-net-worth clients and generating advisory fees. The company's strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and its strong market position in China's financial sector further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary
China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H exhibits robust financial health with significant revenue and cash flow growth. The balance sheet is strong, with no debt and increased equity. While the income statement shows positive trends, the absence of detailed EBIT and EBITDA limits deeper profitability analysis.
Income Statement
The company demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a year-over-year increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin remains stable due to consistently high gross profits. However, the lack of EBIT and EBITDA data limits comprehensive margin analysis.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects strong equity growth and a solid equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. The absence of debt in 2024 indicates reduced financial risk and improved liquidity. Return on equity is strong, boosting the overall analysis.
Cash Flow
The company shows substantial growth in operating and free cash flows, with a significant increase in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The cash flow to net income ratios indicate efficient cash management and profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.58B28.29B27.81B26.88B37.48B30.35B
Gross Profit20.35B19.40B18.28B17.56B27.83B23.24B
EBITDA11.94B11.91B9.88B9.07B14.23B11.79B
Net Income10.82B10.39B8.76B8.07B11.65B9.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets672.86B721.16B695.85B611.68B597.22B499.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments262.34B286.24B244.33B230.94B225.64B196.19B
Total Debt165.42B196.54B215.43B183.59B187.54B145.42B
Total Liabilities541.39B590.91B573.82B496.42B484.63B393.90B
Stockholders Equity131.40B130.18B121.96B115.17B112.50B105.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.35B53.96B26.50B61.94B-41.61B-10.18B
Operating Cash Flow33.06B54.73B27.10B62.50B-41.19B-9.81B
Investing Cash Flow9.98B-14.26B-24.09B-19.13B13.81B2.52B
Financing Cash Flow-9.24B-10.36B7.70B-21.01B35.72B37.32B

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.09
Price Trends
50DMA
14.90
Positive
100DMA
15.85
Negative
200DMA
14.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
62.64
Neutral
STOCH
80.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:6099, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.29, below the 50-day MA of 14.90, and below the 200-day MA of 14.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:6099.

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
HK$228.12B9.7610.50%2.92%10.82%55.25%
68
Neutral
HK$159.66B10.718.93%0.97%64.00%112.84%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
HK$162.40B12.169.41%3.83%51.04%24.56%
62
Neutral
HK$463.33B16.7610.17%2.05%62.72%29.18%
62
Neutral
HK$142.74B8.018.79%2.89%61.94%127.55%
60
Neutral
HK$206.20B11.9913.03%2.80%36.57%77.14%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:6099
China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
15.47
2.69
21.03%
HK:6030
CITIC Securities Co
29.18
10.21
53.85%
HK:3908
China International Capital
22.54
10.92
93.99%
HK:6886
Huatai Securities Co
19.74
8.16
70.48%
HK:6066
CSC Financial Co., Ltd. Class H
13.14
4.40
50.36%
HK:6806
Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Class H
3.25
1.25
62.66%

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events

China Merchants Securities Reshapes Key Board Committees After Director’s Retirement
Dec 22, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has adjusted the composition of several key board committees following the retirement-linked resignation of non-executive director Liu Hui from her committee roles. At a board meeting on 22 December 2025, the company appointed non-executive director Li Delin as a member of the Strategy and Sustainability Committee and the Remuneration and Appraisal Committee, and as chairman of the Risk Management Committee, while employee representative director Ma Xiaoli joined the Risk Management Committee as a member. The reshuffle, which leaves other board committees unchanged, consolidates Li’s influence over risk oversight and remuneration governance at a time when robust committee leadership is critical for the firm’s regulatory compliance and strategic execution in China’s evolving capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Outlines Board Structure and Committee Roles
Dec 22, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has announced the current composition of its board of directors, which includes executive, non-executive, independent non-executive and employee representative directors, led by Chairman Huo Da and President Zhu Jiangtao. The firm also detailed the membership and leadership of its five key board committees—Strategy and Sustainability, Risk Management, Audit, Remuneration and Appraisal, and Nomination—clarifying the distribution of responsibilities among directors, which is aimed at strengthening corporate governance, oversight and strategic decision-making for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Confirms Valid Poll Results at Second 2025 EGM
Dec 19, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. held its 2025 second extraordinary general meeting (EGM) on 19 December 2025 in Shenzhen, with the meeting convened and chaired by board chairman Huo Da and attended by all directors, supervisors, and senior management, underscoring the company’s emphasis on corporate governance and shareholder engagement. The EGM, which included an appointment of an employee representative director, saw active participation from 1,046 shareholders and proxies representing about 64.07% of the company’s total voting shares, and its procedures and poll results were confirmed as lawful and valid by King & Wood Mallesons, signaling procedural robustness and reinforcing confidence among stakeholders in the legitimacy of the company’s decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Sets Out Board and Committee Structure
Dec 19, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has announced the current composition of its board of directors, detailing the mix of executive, non-executive, independent non-executive and employee representative directors, with Huo Da serving as chairman and Zhu Jiangtao as president. The company has also set out the structure and membership of its five key board committees—Strategy and Sustainability, Risk Management, Audit, Remuneration and Appraisal, and Nomination—indicating which directors chair and sit on each, underscoring an emphasis on corporate governance, risk oversight and sustainable strategic development for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Announces 2025 EGM to Restructure Governance
Nov 27, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has announced the convening of its 2025 second extraordinary general meeting (EGM) to be held on December 19, 2025. The key agenda of the meeting includes a special resolution to dissolve the Supervisory Committee and amend various company policies and articles of association. This move is significant as it indicates a strategic shift in the company’s governance structure, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Enhances Governance with New Nomination Committee
Nov 24, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has established a Nomination Committee under its board of directors to enhance corporate governance, standardize the appointment of directors and senior officers, and optimize board composition. The committee is tasked with formulating selection criteria, reviewing candidates, and making recommendations for appointments and removals, thereby potentially impacting the company’s governance and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities to Dissolve Supervisory Committee and Amend Policies
Nov 24, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has announced the proposed dissolution of its Supervisory Committee in compliance with the new Company Law of China, effective from July 1, 2024. This move will transfer the committee’s functions to the audit committee of the Board, aligning with regulatory changes aimed at enhancing corporate governance. Additionally, the company plans to amend its Articles of Association and related policies to strengthen the responsibilities of directors and senior officers, improve shareholder rights protection, and ensure compliance with updated regulatory guidelines.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Forms Strategy and Sustainability Committee
Nov 24, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has established a Strategy and Sustainability Committee under its board of directors to enhance its strategic development and core competitiveness. This committee is tasked with advising on the company’s medium and long-term development strategies and major investment decisions, aiming to improve decision-making efficiency and quality.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Enhances Risk Management Framework
Nov 24, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has established a Risk Management Committee under its board of directors to enhance corporate governance and improve risk management and legal compliance. This committee, composed of seven directors, including the company president, is tasked with guiding the company’s risk management strategies and ensuring legal compliance, which is expected to strengthen the company’s operational framework and mitigate potential risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Enhances Governance with New Audit Committee
Nov 24, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has established an Audit Committee under its board of directors to enhance corporate governance and internal controls. This initiative aims to improve decision-making, ensure effective supervision, and facilitate sustainable development, thereby reinforcing the company’s regulatory compliance and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Enhances Governance with New Committee
Nov 24, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has established a Remuneration and Appraisal Committee under its board of directors to enhance its corporate governance structure. This committee is tasked with formulating assessment standards and remuneration policies for directors and senior officers, ensuring a stable remuneration system and providing recommendations to the board, which could impact the company’s operational efficiency and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Increases 2026 Leasing Cap Amid Rising Transactions
Nov 24, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has announced a revision of the annual cap for its continuing connected transactions under the 2022 Property Leasing Framework Agreement with China Merchants Group. The annual cap for the year ending December 31, 2026, has been increased from RMB177.34 million to RMB283.87 million due to expected transaction amounts exceeding the existing cap. This revision is subject to reporting, announcement, and annual review requirements under Chapter 14A of the Listing Rules but is exempt from independent shareholders’ approval. The increase reflects the company’s strategic adjustments to accommodate higher transaction volumes, potentially impacting its financial operations and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Announces Director Resignation
Nov 21, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. announced the resignation of Ms. LIU Hui from her roles as a non-executive director and various committee positions due to retirement, effective November 21, 2025. The company assured that her departure will not impact the board’s operations or its statutory requirements, and it plans to elect a new director promptly. The board expressed gratitude for Ms. LIU’s contributions during her tenure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Announces Board Composition and Roles
Nov 21, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and functions of its executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors. This announcement underscores the company’s commitment to robust governance and strategic oversight, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Releases Q3 2025 Financial Report
Oct 30, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has released its unaudited third quarterly report for the nine months ending September 30, 2025. The report, prepared in accordance with the China Accounting Standards for Business Enterprises, highlights the company’s commitment to transparency and accuracy in its financial disclosures. The announcement underscores the board’s assurance of the report’s authenticity and completeness, which is crucial for maintaining stakeholder trust and supporting the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

China Merchants Securities Schedules Board Meeting for Q3 Results
Oct 16, 2025

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. has announced that its board of directors will meet on October 30, 2025, to review and approve the unaudited third-quarter financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:6099) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:6099 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026