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CMOC Group
(3993)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
HK$17.00
▼(-12.05% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/26/26
Overall score is supported primarily by strong TTM profitability, high ROE, and improved leverage, tempered by cyclical/volatile cash-flow and revenue patterns. The technical setup is the main drag, with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is moderate with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong TTM profitability
Sustained high TTM gross and EBIT margins indicate durable operating leverage and cost control across the group’s mining and processing assets. Strong ROE (~26%) shows efficient capital use, supporting internal reinvestment capacity and resilience in multi-year planning.
Negative Factors
Commodity-cycle revenue volatility
Revenue and profitability remain highly sensitive to commodity prices, ore grades and volumes. This structural cyclicality reduces predictability of earnings and cash generation over a 2–6 month to multi-year horizon, complicating capital allocation and dividend consistency.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong TTM profitability
Sustained high TTM gross and EBIT margins indicate durable operating leverage and cost control across the group’s mining and processing assets. Strong ROE (~26%) shows efficient capital use, supporting internal reinvestment capacity and resilience in multi-year planning.
Read all positive factors
CMOC Group (3993) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$412.62B
Dividend Yield2.11%
Average Volume (3M)52.10M
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.4
Beta (1Y)1.53
Revenue Growth8.77%
EPS Growth60.69%
CountryHK
Employees12,354
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.14
Shares Outstanding3,933,468,000
10 Day Avg. Volume65,344,389
30 Day Avg. Volume52,101,221
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.36
Price to Book (P/B)4.46
Price to Sales (P/S)1.78
P/FCF Ratio27.25
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$25.91Price Target Upside34.05% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)1.55
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$241.98B
CMOC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
CMOC Group Limited, through its diverse subsidiaries, is a multifaceted enterprise engaged in the entire value chain from the extraction, processing, and refining to the commercialization of numerous metallic resources. These include essential min...
How the Company Makes Money
CMOC Group primarily makes money by producing and selling mined and processed metals, supplemented by mineral trading activities. (1) Sales of mined metal products: The company extracts ore, processes it into saleable products (typically metal con...
CMOC Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record profits and robust cash flow. The company demonstrated strategic advancements with acquisitions and improvements in operational efficiency, and maintained strong ESG practices. However, there were challenges in the trading business and cobalt sales due to external factors. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the lowlights, indicating a strong performance outlook.Positive Updates
Record Net Attributable Profit
Net attributable profit hit a record high of CNY8.7 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a 60% year-over-year increase.
Negative Updates
Decline in Trading Business Revenue
The trading business showed a year-over-year revenue decline of 11.44% due to restructuring of low-profit product lines.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Net Attributable Profit
Net attributable profit hit a record high of CNY8.7 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a 60% year-over-year increase.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the first half of 2025, CMOC Group Limited focused on organizational upgrades, cost reduction, and efficiency improvements, resulting in a strong financial performance despite a slight year-over-year (YoY) decline in operating revenue to CNY94.8 billion. The mining segment's operating income increased by 25.64%, while the trading business saw a YoY decline due to a restructuring of low-profitability product lines. EBITDA rose by 23.8% to CNY19.8 billion, and net attributable profit reached CNY8.7 billion, marking a 60% YoY increase. Operating cash flow was robust at CNY12 billion, with a gearing ratio reduction to 50.15% and a return on net assets improvement to 11.7%. The copper and cobalt segment contributed 84% of the gross profit in the mining segment, with copper production increasing by 12.7% to 354,000 metric tons and cobalt production rising by 13.1% to 61,000 metric tons. The company's molybdenum, tungsten, and phosphorus operations showed improvements in production, sales, and gross profit margins. CMOC Group also completed the acquisition of the Ecuadorian gold mine for CAD581 million and maintained its commitment to ESG excellence, with a continued AA MSCI rating and initiatives such as community development projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, with plans for significant investments in energy efficiency and clean energy projects.CMOC Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 225.56B | 206.44B | 213.03B | 186.27B | 172.99B | 173.86B |
| Gross Profit | 53.95B | 49.44B | 35.25B | 17.83B | 16.06B | 16.32B |
| EBITDA | 51.49B | 48.71B | 31.39B | 20.17B | 17.10B | 17.11B |
| Net Income | 23.99B | 20.34B | 13.53B | 8.25B | 6.07B | 5.11B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 222.94B | 202.53B | 170.24B | 172.97B | 165.02B | 137.45B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 61.24B | 48.43B | 36.94B | 39.00B | 36.88B | 31.44B |
| Total Debt | 37.39B | 31.66B | 29.64B | 50.86B | 48.66B | 46.86B |
| Total Liabilities | 116.29B | 102.58B | 84.29B | 101.01B | 102.98B | 89.19B |
| Stockholders Equity | 88.57B | 82.47B | 71.02B | 59.54B | 51.70B | 39.85B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 22.38B | 13.50B | 27.49B | 2.62B | 4.94B | 1.91B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 31.35B | 20.89B | 32.39B | 15.54B | 15.45B | 6.19B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -18.87B | -8.74B | -1.16B | -10.66B | -7.37B | -4.89B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.16B | -8.28B | -30.57B | -8.61B | -2.10B | 7.89B |
CMOC Group Technical Analysis
Negative
19.33
Price Trends
17.55
Negative
18.38
Negative
18.15
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.59
Negative
44.08
Neutral
64.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3993, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.96, above the 50-day MA of 17.55, and above the 200-day MA of 18.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3993.
CMOC Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | HK$41.16B | 26.18 | 32.96% | 1.32% | 68.93% | 104.83% | |
67 Neutral | HK$412.62B | 15.41 | 29.93% | 1.45% | 8.77% | 60.69% | |
67 Neutral | HK$18.75B | 5.67 | 23.50% | 1.89% | 37.79% | 61.16% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
53 Neutral | HK$2.00B | 8.79 | -14.35% | ― | -51.79% | ― | |
52 Neutral | HK$87.94B | 35.17 | 5.16% | 2.80% | 0.98% | ― | |
46 Neutral | HK$49.89M | -0.13 | -177.54% | ― | -26.77% | -31.52% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
HK:3993
CMOC Group
15.49
7.07
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Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd. Class H
12.05
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Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd.
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0.05
-0.15
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CMOC Group Corporate Events
CMOC unlocks new tranche of executive shares after strong 2023 performance
Jun 16, 2026
CMOC Group has approved the performance appraisal results for the 2023 interest allocation period under its 2021 First Phase Employee Share Ownership Plan, triggering the third interest allocation period for four senior incentive participants from...
CMOC Cuts Convertible Bond Conversion Price After Dividend Approval
May 14, 2026
CMOC Group will adjust the conversion price of its US$1.2 billion zero coupon guaranteed convertible bonds due 2027, issued via CMOC Capital Limited, following shareholder approval of a final cash dividend for 2025 of RMB0.286 per share. The divid...
CMOC Group Authorizes Massive Cash Management Investments and Subsidiary Guarantees
Apr 28, 2026
CMOC Group has obtained board authorization, following shareholder approval at its AGM, to use up to RMB20 billion of internal idle funds to purchase short-term structured deposit products, each with a term of no more than 12 months, through to th...
CMOC Group Updates 2025 Final Dividend Details and Tax Arrangements
Apr 28, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has updated details of its final cash dividend for the year ended 31 December 2025, confirming a distribution of RMB 2.86 per 10 shares, equivalent to HKD 3.2643 per 10 shares based on an exchange rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.14135. S...
CMOC Group Confirms AGM and Class Meeting Results, Final Dividend Approved
Apr 28, 2026
CMOC Group reported the poll results of its 2025 annual general meeting, along with separate 2026 class meetings for A shareholders and H shareholders, all held in Luoyang on 28 April 2026. The meetings, chaired by board chairman Liu Jianfeng, met...
CMOC Group’s Q1 2026 Profit Nearly Doubles on Strong Revenue and Cash Flow
Apr 24, 2026
CMOC Group reported a strong start to 2026, with first-quarter operating revenue rising 44.34% year on year to RMB 66.4 billion and net profit attributable to shareholders nearly doubling to RMB 7.76 billion. Basic and diluted earnings per share c...
CMOC Group Sets April Board Meeting to Approve First-Quarter 2026 Results
Apr 14, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 24 April 2026 in Luoyang, Henan Province, to review and approve the quarterly results for the three months ended 31 March 2026. The meeting will also address other corporate matters, signalling ...
CMOC Seeks Shareholder Mandate for Up to 10% A and H Share Buyback
Apr 7, 2026
CMOC Group has called its 2026 first class meeting of H shareholders to be held in Luoyang, China, immediately after its 2025 annual general meeting and the class meeting of A shareholders. The company is seeking approval from H shareholders for a...
CMOC Group Updates Final Dividend Plan and Tax Details for 2025 Payout
Apr 7, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has updated its final dividend announcement for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, confirming a payout of RMB 2.86 per 10 shares, subject to shareholder approval on 28 April 2026. Key details for Hong Kong investors, inc...
CMOC Group Sets 2025 AGM to Vote on Capital, Dividend and Funding Mandates
Apr 7, 2026
CMOC Group has convened its 2025 annual general meeting for 28 April 2026 in Luoyang, where shareholders will vote on core governance matters including approval of the 2025 board report, profit distribution plan, the 2026 external auditor and the ...
CMOC Group Seeks Shareholder Approval for Governance-Driven Charter Amendments
Mar 27, 2026
CMOC Group has proposed amendments to its Articles of Association aimed at strengthening corporate governance in line with Chinese company law, securities regulations and listing rules in Shanghai and Hong Kong. The board approved seeking sharehol...
CMOC Group Publishes Audited 2025 Annual Results for Hong Kong Investors
Mar 27, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has released its audited consolidated annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025, reporting in line with the disclosure standards of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The full annual report, reviewed by the company’s a...
CMOC Group Declares Final 2025 Dividend and Details Tax on H-Share Payouts
Mar 27, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has declared a final ordinary cash dividend of RMB 2.86 per 10 shares for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval. Key timetable details, including the ex-dividend date, record date, currency o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.