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CMOC Group (HK:3993)
:3993
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CMOC Group (3993) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3993

CMOC Group

(3993)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
HK$21.00
▲(8.64% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/26/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (healthy margins, high ROE, and improved leverage), partially offset by mixed technical signals (below key medium-term moving averages and slightly negative MACD). Valuation is neutral with a moderate P/E and a relatively low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong profit margins
Sustained, high operating and net margins indicate the business converts revenue into profit efficiently across its operations. These margins support durable cash generation and reinvestment capacity, providing buffer in downcycles and enabling capital allocation toward growth or debt reduction over months.
Negative Factors
Commodity-cycle exposure
Revenue and earnings are tied to volatile commodity prices and demand for metals; this structural cyclicality can produce sharp swings in profitability and cash flow, complicating forecasting, capital allocation and credit metrics over the 2–6 month horizon.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profit margins
Sustained, high operating and net margins indicate the business converts revenue into profit efficiently across its operations. These margins support durable cash generation and reinvestment capacity, providing buffer in downcycles and enabling capital allocation toward growth or debt reduction over months.
Read all positive factors

CMOC Group (3993) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

CMOC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CMOC Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, beneficiation, smelting, refining, and trading of copper, cobalt, molybdenum, tungsten, niobium, phosphates, and other base and rare metals. The company provides molybdenum...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by mining, processing, and selling mineral and metal products. Its core revenue stream comes from the sale of mined commodities—such as copper, cobalt, molybdenum, tungsten, and niobium—where revenue is largely de...

CMOC Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record profits and robust cash flow. The company demonstrated strategic advancements with acquisitions and improvements in operational efficiency, and maintained strong ESG practices. However, there were challenges in the trading business and cobalt sales due to external factors. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the lowlights, indicating a strong performance outlook.
Positive Updates
Record Net Attributable Profit
Net attributable profit hit a record high of CNY8.7 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a 60% year-over-year increase.
Negative Updates
Decline in Trading Business Revenue
The trading business showed a year-over-year revenue decline of 11.44% due to restructuring of low-profit product lines.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Net Attributable Profit
Net attributable profit hit a record high of CNY8.7 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a 60% year-over-year increase.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the first half of 2025, CMOC Group Limited focused on organizational upgrades, cost reduction, and efficiency improvements, resulting in a strong financial performance despite a slight year-over-year (YoY) decline in operating revenue to CNY94.8 billion. The mining segment's operating income increased by 25.64%, while the trading business saw a YoY decline due to a restructuring of low-profitability product lines. EBITDA rose by 23.8% to CNY19.8 billion, and net attributable profit reached CNY8.7 billion, marking a 60% YoY increase. Operating cash flow was robust at CNY12 billion, with a gearing ratio reduction to 50.15% and a return on net assets improvement to 11.7%. The copper and cobalt segment contributed 84% of the gross profit in the mining segment, with copper production increasing by 12.7% to 354,000 metric tons and cobalt production rising by 13.1% to 61,000 metric tons. The company's molybdenum, tungsten, and phosphorus operations showed improvements in production, sales, and gross profit margins. CMOC Group also completed the acquisition of the Ecuadorian gold mine for CAD581 million and maintained its commitment to ESG excellence, with a continued AA MSCI rating and initiatives such as community development projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, with plans for significant investments in energy efficiency and clean energy projects.

CMOC Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM profitability (gross margin ~23.9%, EBIT margin ~20.3%, net margin ~9.8%) and high ROE (~26.4%) alongside improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.38). Offsetting factors are cyclical/volatile growth and uneven cash-flow conversion with year-to-year variability.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue225.56B201.26B213.03B186.27B172.99B173.86B
Gross Profit53.95B47.94B35.25B17.83B16.06B16.32B
EBITDA49.58B48.71B31.39B20.17B17.10B17.11B
Net Income23.99B19.81B13.53B8.25B6.07B5.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets222.94B202.53B170.24B172.97B165.02B137.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.24B48.43B36.94B39.00B36.88B31.44B
Total Debt37.39B31.66B29.64B50.86B48.66B46.86B
Total Liabilities116.29B102.58B84.29B101.01B102.98B89.19B
Stockholders Equity88.57B82.47B71.02B59.54B51.70B39.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.38B13.50B27.49B2.62B4.94B1.91B
Operating Cash Flow31.35B20.89B32.39B15.54B15.45B6.19B
Investing Cash Flow-18.87B-8.74B-1.16B-10.66B-7.37B-4.89B
Financing Cash Flow2.16B-8.28B-30.57B-8.61B-2.10B7.89B

CMOC Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.33
Price Trends
50DMA
20.38
Negative
100DMA
19.89
Negative
200DMA
16.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
53.40
Neutral
STOCH
84.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3993, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.77, below the 50-day MA of 20.38, and above the 200-day MA of 16.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3993.

CMOC Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
HK$19.60B2.0123.30%1.89%37.79%209.90%
72
Outperform
HK$452.85B9.8026.48%1.45%8.77%60.69%
72
Outperform
HK$51.91B22.6632.65%1.32%68.93%451.13%
66
Neutral
HK$138.39B9.101.10%2.80%0.98%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
HK$2.72B13.96-14.35%-51.79%
38
Underperform
HK$48.01M-0.39-177.54%-26.77%-69.57%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3993
CMOC Group
17.66
11.75
198.61%
HK:1091
South Manganese Investment Limited
0.53
0.27
100.00%
HK:9696
Tianqi Lithium Corp. Class H
58.20
35.05
151.40%
HK:2245
Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd. Class H
12.16
2.97
32.32%
HK:3939
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd.
11.40
5.58
95.88%
HK:6128
Graphex Group Limited
0.05
-0.17
-76.92%

CMOC Group Corporate Events

CMOC Group’s Q1 2026 Profit Nearly Doubles on Strong Revenue and Cash Flow
Apr 24, 2026
CMOC Group reported a strong start to 2026, with first-quarter operating revenue rising 44.34% year on year to RMB 66.4 billion and net profit attributable to shareholders nearly doubling to RMB 7.76 billion. Basic and diluted earnings per share c...
CMOC Group Sets April Board Meeting to Approve First-Quarter 2026 Results
Apr 14, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 24 April 2026 in Luoyang, Henan Province, to review and approve the quarterly results for the three months ended 31 March 2026. The meeting will also address other corporate matters, signalling ...
CMOC Seeks Shareholder Mandate for Up to 10% A and H Share Buyback
Apr 7, 2026
CMOC Group has called its 2026 first class meeting of H shareholders to be held in Luoyang, China, immediately after its 2025 annual general meeting and the class meeting of A shareholders. The company is seeking approval from H shareholders for a...
CMOC Group Updates Final Dividend Plan and Tax Details for 2025 Payout
Apr 7, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has updated its final dividend announcement for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, confirming a payout of RMB 2.86 per 10 shares, subject to shareholder approval on 28 April 2026. Key details for Hong Kong investors, inc...
CMOC Group Sets 2025 AGM to Vote on Capital, Dividend and Funding Mandates
Apr 7, 2026
CMOC Group has convened its 2025 annual general meeting for 28 April 2026 in Luoyang, where shareholders will vote on core governance matters including approval of the 2025 board report, profit distribution plan, the 2026 external auditor and the ...
CMOC Group Seeks Shareholder Approval for Governance-Driven Charter Amendments
Mar 27, 2026
CMOC Group has proposed amendments to its Articles of Association aimed at strengthening corporate governance in line with Chinese company law, securities regulations and listing rules in Shanghai and Hong Kong. The board approved seeking sharehol...
CMOC Group Publishes Audited 2025 Annual Results for Hong Kong Investors
Mar 27, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has released its audited consolidated annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025, reporting in line with the disclosure standards of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The full annual report, reviewed by the company’s a...
CMOC Group Declares Final 2025 Dividend and Details Tax on H-Share Payouts
Mar 27, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has declared a final ordinary cash dividend of RMB 2.86 per 10 shares for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval. Key timetable details, including the ex-dividend date, record date, currency o...
CMOC Group Schedules Online Briefing on 2025 Annual Results for March 2026
Mar 20, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has announced that it will hold an online briefing session on its 2025 annual results on 30 March 2026, from 15:00 to 16:00 Beijing time, via the SSE Roadshow platform. Independent non-executive directors and management will att...
CMOC Group Sets March 2026 Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Dividend Plan
Mar 17, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 27 March 2026 to review and approve the group’s annual results for the financial year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also consider recommending a final dividend and attend to other...
CMOC Raises US$1.2 Billion via Zero-Coupon Convertible Bonds for Overseas Expansion
Jan 26, 2026
CMOC Group Limited has completed the issuance of US$1.2 billion zero coupon guaranteed convertible bonds due 2027 under its general mandate, with the bonds listed on the Vienna MTF of the Vienna Stock Exchange as of 26 January 2026. The company pl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 26, 2026