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KE Holdings, Inc. Class A (HK:2423)
:2423
Hong Kong Market
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KE Holdings, Inc. Class A (2423) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A

(2423)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
HK$55.00
▲(11.00%Upside)
KE Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and promising growth via AI implementations, which significantly bolster its stock score. However, the high valuation and some operational challenges, such as declining margins and cash outflows, temper the overall score. The technical analysis offers a mixed outlook, reflecting the stock's current market position.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
KE Holdings has RMB54.6bn in net cash on hand, making it one of the most direct proxies to ride on rising upgrader demand and upcoming wave of policy support.
Market Leadership
KE Holdings is the unparalleled leader in both first and second home transaction markets, with continually increasing market share.
Policy Support
KE Holdings is a direct proxy for physical market stabilization in China, benefiting from rising upgrader demand and policy support.
Negative Factors
Earnings Adjustment
Earnings for FY25-26 have been adjusted downward by 2-6% due to changes in GTV and cost assumptions.
Guidance and Earnings
Latest 2Q25 and full-year guidance fell short; revenue expectations in-line but margin outlook came in more reserved than expected.
Guidance Shortfall
Latest guidance fell short with revenue expectations in-line but margin outlook more reserved.

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A (2423) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home Transaction Services, Home Renovation and Furnishing, and Emerging and Other Services. The company provides Beike, an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services; Agent Cooperation Network, an operating system that fosters reciprocity and bonding among various service providers; SaaS Systems; owns and operates Lianjia, a real estate brokerage branded store; owns Deyou brand for connected brokerage stores; and other brands. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyKE Holdings makes money through a multi-faceted revenue model primarily driven by commission-based services in real estate transactions. The company earns commissions from facilitating property sales and rentals, leveraging its platform to connect buyers with sellers and landlords with tenants. Additionally, KE Holdings offers value-added services such as mortgage financing, interior renovation, and property management, which contribute to its revenue streams. The company has established significant partnerships with real estate developers, financial institutions, and other service providers to enhance its offerings and expand its market reach. These partnerships, along with a strong online presence and a wide network of real estate agents, play a crucial role in driving the company's earnings.

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant revenue growth and successful expansion of active stores and agents. The company is leveraging AI for efficiency gains and has seen notable growth in its home renovation business. However, there are concerns about declining gross margins, a sequential decline in new home transaction revenue, and ongoing challenges in the existing home market. The cash outflow is another area of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net revenue reached RMB23.3 billion, up 42.4% year-over-year.
Increase in GTV
Total GTV was RMB844.2 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 34%.
Expansion of Active Stores and Agents
The number of active stores surpassed 55,200, a record high, increasing over 12,600 from the same period one year ago. The number of active agents grew by 23% year-over-year.
AI Implementation
AI tools were deployed for home transaction business and agent services, leading to efficiency improvements, such as a 30% increase in conversion rate from leads to formal client mandates.
Home Renovation Business Growth
Revenue reached RMB2.9 billion, increasing by 22.3% year-over-year, with a 32.6% contribution margin, up 2 percentage points year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Margin
Gross margin declined by 4.5 percentage points year-over-year to 28.7%.
Sequential Revenue Decline in New Home Transactions
Revenue from new home transactions dropped by 38.2% from the previous quarter.
Challenges in Existing Home Market
Conversion from home viewing to transaction has slowed due to short-term uncertainties affecting buyer expectations, including geopolitical tensions.
Cash Outflow
Net operating cash outflow was RMB4 billion in Q1.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, KE Holdings Inc. reported a 34% year-over-year increase in platform GTV, reaching RMB844.2 billion, and a 42.4% rise in net revenue to RMB23.3 billion. The company's GAAP net income surged by 97.9% to RMB855 million, while non-GAAP net income remained stable at RMB1.39 billion. The existing home transaction business experienced a GTV increase of 28% year-over-year, and new home transactions saw a 53% GTV growth, outperforming the industry which reported a slight decline. The number of active stores grew to over 55,200, with a 23% increase in active agents. The contribution margin for new home transactions increased by 1.1 percentage points year-over-year to 23.4%, despite a sequential decline due to seasonality. KE Holdings also emphasized the role of AI in improving efficiency, with tools like the AI-powered home seeking assistant and agent assistant enhancing customer service and operational productivity. The company remains cautiously optimistic about the market outlook, focusing on efficiency and AI-driven growth while continuing its active shareholder returns strategy.

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KE Holdings, Inc.'s financial performance is robust, with strong revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a stable balance sheet. The company maintains a good balance between debt and equity, supporting financial stability. Despite a slight decline in free cash flow growth, the company's cash generation capabilities remain strong.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
KE Holdings demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of 100.41 billion, up from 93.46 billion last year, indicating a revenue growth rate of 7.43%. Gross profit margin stands at 23.54%, showing efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 4.33% and 4.75%, respectively, reflecting moderate operational profitability. The net profit margin improved to 4.47%, showcasing enhanced profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, indicating manageable leverage. The equity ratio is 52.71%, suggesting a strong reliance on equity financing. Return on equity (ROE) is 6.52%, reflecting decent returns for shareholders. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with adequate asset management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a stable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.44, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.44, demonstrating effective cash utilization. The free cash flow growth rate is negative due to a reduction in operating cash flow from the previous year, but overall cash flow remains robust.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue93.46B77.78B70.55B97.32B79.20B
Gross Profit22.94B21.72B16.03B19.07B18.95B
EBITDA4.93B9.31B817.87M762.60M4.25B
Net Income4.06B5.88B-1.61B-631.69M2.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets133.15B120.33B122.77B122.72B123.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.76B53.89B68.58B68.67B77.33B
Total Debt22.65B17.99B13.69B9.19B9.47B
Total Liabilities61.70B48.13B45.24B40.69B44.47B
Stockholders Equity71.32B72.10B77.38B81.93B79.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.41B10.28B8.92B2.61B9.52B
Operating Cash Flow9.45B11.16B9.84B4.33B10.52B
Investing Cash Flow-9.38B-3.98B-9.85B-29.99B-17.11B
Financing Cash Flow-5.79B-6.96B-1.34B-1.29B28.82B

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.55
Price Trends
50DMA
49.00
Positive
100DMA
51.79
Negative
200DMA
50.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
54.15
Neutral
STOCH
53.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2423, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.15, above the 50-day MA of 49.00, and below the 200-day MA of 50.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2423.

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KE Holdings, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
HK$19.09B11.8616.04%4.21%6.53%4.78%
71
Outperform
HK$177.10B36.036.53%1.88%34.42%28.35%
63
Neutral
$6.74B18.42-1.93%6.82%4.67%-25.44%
$2.87B11.424.96%0.30%
73
Outperform
HK$84.68B21.5222.39%20.34%13.34%21.64%
73
Outperform
HK$14.31B19.308.94%2.86%1.01%12.45%
66
Neutral
HK$25.64B20.676.76%4.67%7.13%-42.14%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2423
KE Holdings, Inc. Class A
49.55
12.91
35.23%
CTRGF
Country Garden Services Holdings Co
0.86
0.27
45.76%
HK:1209
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Ltd.
37.10
14.94
67.42%
HK:2602
Onewo, Inc. Class H
21.95
3.51
19.03%
HK:2869
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd.
4.55
1.23
37.05%
HK:6049
Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. Class H
34.50
8.85
34.50%

KE Holdings, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

KE Holdings Grants Over 20 Million RSUs to Employees
Jul 2, 2025

KE Holdings Inc. announced the grant of 20,089,155 restricted share units (RSUs) to 2,450 employees under its 2020 Share Incentive Plan. This move, which does not require shareholder approval, aims to align employees’ interests with those of shareholders and incentivize performance. The RSUs have varied vesting schedules, with some vesting immediately and others over a period of up to 48 months. The initiative is expected to enhance employee motivation and retention, contributing to the company’s strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2423) stock is a Buy with a HK$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KE Holdings, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2423 Stock Forecast page.

KE Holdings Inc. Announces Successful AGM with All Resolutions Passed
Jun 27, 2025

KE Holdings Inc. successfully held its Annual General Meeting (AGM) on June 27, 2025, in Beijing, where all proposed resolutions were passed. The voting process was conducted by poll, with a significant majority of shareholders voting in favor of the resolutions, including the re-election of Mr. Jeffrey Zhaohui Li as a non-executive director. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and is likely to positively impact the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2423) stock is a Buy with a HK$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KE Holdings, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2423 Stock Forecast page.

KE Holdings Inc. Revamps Nomination Committee Charter
Jun 23, 2025

KE Holdings Inc. has updated its Nomination Committee Charter to enhance the selection and recommendation process for board candidates, ensuring compliance with listing requirements on various stock exchanges. This move aims to strengthen board composition and governance, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2423) stock is a Buy with a HK$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KE Holdings, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2423 Stock Forecast page.

KE Holdings Inc. Postpones Annual General Meeting to June 27, 2025
Jun 3, 2025

KE Holdings Inc. has announced the postponement of its Annual General Meeting (AGM) originally scheduled for June 13, 2025, to June 27, 2025, due to the need for work arrangements coordination and actual conditions of the company. The venue remains unchanged, and shareholders are encouraged to submit their proxy forms or voting instructions by the specified deadlines to ensure their participation in the decision-making process.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2423) stock is a Buy with a HK$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KE Holdings, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2423 Stock Forecast page.

KE Holdings Inc. Reports Robust Q1 2025 Financial Results
May 15, 2025

KE Holdings Inc. reported a strong financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with a 34% year-over-year increase in gross transaction value and a 42.4% rise in net revenues. The company’s net income nearly doubled, and it saw substantial growth in the number of stores and agents, reflecting the effectiveness of its growth strategy. The company also highlighted advancements in AI applications to enhance customer experience and service efficiency, positioning itself strongly in the housing transaction services market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2423) stock is a Buy with a HK$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KE Holdings, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2423 Stock Forecast page.

KE Holdings Inc. Schedules Board Meeting and Earnings Call for Q1 2025 Results
Apr 30, 2025

KE Holdings Inc. has announced a board meeting scheduled for May 15, 2025, to review and approve the company’s unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2025. The company will also host an earnings conference call on the same day, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 19, 2025