Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (HK:1788)
:1788
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Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
(1788)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.50
â–¼(-5.66% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/02/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financials: a strong 2025 earnings rebound is tempered by very high and rising leverage plus historically unstable cash flows. Technicals add downside pressure (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and some dividend support, but not compelling enough to offset the risk/weak trend.
Positive Factors
Diversified capital-markets franchise
A broad set of licensed capital-markets businesses creates multiple, non‑identical revenue streams (fees, commissions, asset management, trading and financing). This diversification supports revenue resilience across cycles and enables cross‑selling, client retention, and scale advantages in Hong Kong and nearby markets.
Negative Factors
Very high and rising leverage
Extremely elevated leverage magnifies earnings volatility and limits capital flexibility. Higher debt burdens increase refinancing and interest-rate exposure, constrain ability to absorb market shocks, and may force prioritization of debt servicing over reinvestment or dividends in adverse conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified capital-markets franchise
A broad set of licensed capital-markets businesses creates multiple, non‑identical revenue streams (fees, commissions, asset management, trading and financing). This diversification supports revenue resilience across cycles and enables cross‑selling, client retention, and scale advantages in Hong Kong and nearby markets.
Read all positive factors
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$21.12B
Dividend Yield2.75%
Average Volume (3M)81.45M
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.1
Beta (1Y)2.93
Revenue Growth40.32%
EPS Growth287.91%
CountryHK
Employees623
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Capital Markets
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.14
Shares Outstanding9,529,944,000
10 Day Avg. Volume52,053,114
30 Day Avg. Volume81,447,206
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.06
Price to Book (P/B)1.53
Price to Sales (P/S)3.91
P/FCF Ratio9.50
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides brokerage, corporate finance, asset management, loans and financing, financial products, and market making and investment services in Hong Kong and internationall...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily by earning fees, commissions, and interest-type income from providing securities and investment services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Brokerage and dealing income: commissions and service fees from ...
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 6.21B | 2.17B | 3.22B | 2.32B | 3.97B |
| Gross Profit | 5.82B | 3.47B | 2.33B | 2.11B | 3.21B |
| EBITDA | 4.17B | 2.89B | 1.77B | 615.02M | 2.14B |
| Net Income | 1.35B | 347.78M | 201.26M | 80.38M | 1.09B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 153.50B | 130.17B | 107.54B | 94.46B | 106.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 65.76B | 80.91B | 59.27B | 40.02B | 28.13B |
| Total Debt | 100.44B | 89.43B | 69.73B | 58.53B | 60.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 137.53B | 115.15B | 92.57B | 79.52B | 90.85B |
| Stockholders Equity | 15.86B | 14.91B | 14.84B | 14.81B | 15.31B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.56B | 1.74B | -4.94B | -1.92B | 38.97M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.59B | 1.78B | -4.91B | 1.66B | 5.88B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.21B | -50.75M | -32.67M | -39.30M | -43.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 8.60B | -2.23B | 4.58B | 801.87M | -5.98B |
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
2.65
Price Trends
2.47
Negative
2.60
Negative
3.41
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.07
Positive
32.40
Neutral
2.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1788, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.39, above the 50-day MA of 2.47, and below the 200-day MA of 3.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1788.
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | HK$289.26B | 8.17 | 6.85% | 2.75% | 91.20% | 30.16% | |
68 Neutral | HK$179.05B | 4.86 | 10.70% | 2.80% | 2.39% | 46.72% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
67 Neutral | HK$430.78B | 7.80 | 11.64% | 2.05% | 48.94% | 36.64% | |
67 Neutral | HK$167.94B | 7.74 | 10.10% | 3.83% | 38.36% | 19.98% | |
63 Neutral | HK$179.01B | 6.38 | 9.27% | 2.92% | 28.52% | 6.24% | |
53 Neutral | HK$21.12B | 18.06 | 8.60% | 2.75% | 40.32% | 287.91% |
* Financial Sector Average
HK:1788
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
2.22
1.15
107.48%
HK:6030
CITIC Securities Co
25.54
6.95
37.40%
HK:6886
Huatai Securities Co
15.66
3.46
28.38%
HK:6099
China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
15.33
3.80
32.97%
HK:6066
CSC Financial Co., Ltd. Class H
11.31
2.65
30.59%
HK:2611
Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
13.08
2.62
25.00%
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Corporate Events
Guotai Junan International Secures Shareholder Backing for Dividends, Board and Capital Mandates
May 22, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings reported the poll results of its annual general meeting held on 22 May 2026, where all proposed ordinary resolutions received strong shareholder support. Shareholders approved the 2025 audited financial statemen...
Guotai Junan International Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates
Apr 29, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has convened its annual general meeting for 22 May 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will review the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025 and vote on a proposed final divi...
Guotai Junan International Proposes Final Dividend for 2025
Mar 25, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has proposed a final ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.02 per share for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, reflecting its latest payout to shareholders. The distribution, subject to shareholder app...
Guotai Junan International Profit Soars as Trading and Fee Income Drive 2025 Rebound
Mar 25, 2026
Guotai Junan International reported a strong rebound for the year ended 31 December 2025, with revenue rising 41% to HK$6.23 billion, driven by sharp increases in commission and fee income and net trading and investment income. Profit attributable...
Guotai Junan International Sets March 2026 Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results
Mar 12, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 25 March 2026 to review and approve the audited final results of the company and its subsidiaries for the financial year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also cons...
Guotai Junan International Says Operations Stable Amid ICAC Probe and Staff Suspension
Mar 11, 2026
Guotai Junan International Holdings disclosed that Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission and the Independent Commission Against Corruption executed search warrants at its principal office on 10 March 2026 and seized documents, after ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.