Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$37.38B
• Dividend Yield: 1.78%
• Average Volume (3M): 82.75M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 53.3
• Beta (1Y): 2.60
• Revenue Growth: 32.03%
• EPS Growth: 154.14%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 623
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
• EPS (TTM): 0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 9,528,545,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 59,684,721
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 82,745,017
• PEG Ratio: 0.42
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.72
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.94
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.16
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$4.00 ▼(-1.48% Downside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's financial performance and technical analysis. The company shows operational efficiency improvements but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not impact the score.

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) is a leading financial services provider based in Hong Kong, primarily engaged in the provision of a diverse range of financial services, including brokerage, wealth management, investment banking, and asset management. The company serves a wide array of clients, including individual investors, institutional clients, and corporations, leveraging its expertise in the capital markets to offer tailored financial solutions. Its operations are centered around facilitating securities trading, providing investment advice, and managing investment portfolios across various asset classes.

How the Company Makes Money

Guotai Junan International generates revenue through multiple channels. The primary revenue streams include commissions and fees earned from brokerage services, which involve facilitating the buying and selling of securities for clients. Additionally, the company earns income from wealth management services, where it charges fees for managing client assets and providing financial advisory services. Investment banking activities, including underwriting and advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, also contribute significantly to its revenue. Furthermore, the company engages in proprietary trading, generating profits from trading its own capital in financial markets. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and access to extensive networks enhance its offerings and client base, thereby contributing to its earnings potential.

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited exhibits strong operational efficiency gains but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. While the balance sheet indicates stability, the company faces risks related to high liabilities and negative cash flow trends, which could impact future financial flexibility.

Income Statement

The company has shown a mixed performance with declining revenue over the years, but an improvement in EBIT margin from 5.2% in 2023 to 12.9% in 2024 indicates better operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.6% in 2024, reflecting challenges in achieving profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a stable equity position and a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 in 2024. However, the high total liabilities pose a potential risk. The equity ratio improved slightly over the year, indicating a stable asset financing structure.

Cash Flow

The cash flow performance is concerning with consistent negative free cash flow, indicating cash management challenges. The lack of operating cash flow and capital expenditure data in 2024 makes it difficult to assess the company's cash utilization effectively.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.71B	2.17B	3.22B	2.32B	3.97B	4.88B
Gross Profit	2.71B	3.47B	2.33B	2.11B	3.21B	3.76B
EBITDA	3.39B	2.89B	1.77B	615.02M	2.14B	2.71B
Net Income	702.93M	347.78M	201.26M	80.38M	1.09B	1.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	121.79B	130.17B	107.54B	94.46B	106.29B	121.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	39.80B	80.91B	59.27B	40.02B	28.13B	59.55B
Total Debt	7.63B	89.43B	69.73B	58.53B	60.12B	75.06B
Total Liabilities	106.24B	115.15B	92.57B	79.52B	90.85B	106.48B
Stockholders Equity	15.43B	14.91B	14.84B	14.81B	15.31B	15.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-346.70M	1.74B	-4.94B	-1.92B	38.97M	23.06M
Operating Cash Flow	-315.90M	1.78B	-4.91B	1.66B	5.88B	59.20M
Investing Cash Flow	19.03B	-50.75M	-32.67M	-39.30M	-43.06M	-36.15M
Financing Cash Flow	-14.76B	-2.23B	4.58B	801.87M	-5.98B	13.41B

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 4.06
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1788, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.19, below the 50-day MA of 4.78, and above the 200-day MA of 2.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.80 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1788.

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	―	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
1476	―	HK$5.00B	12.77	4.33%	―	58.09%	―
1375	―	HK$19.82B	36.26	2.14%	1.04%	-28.81%	23.21%
1428	―	€16.07B	26.02	42.24%	3.47%	8.71%	10.51%
0218	―	€2.51B	―	-2.44%	―	-45.13%	60.10%
1788	―	HK$37.38B	53.32	4.78%	1.78%	32.03%	154.14%
0993	―	HK$1.61B	―	―	―	-78.40%	-196.19%

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Guotai Junan Secures HK$1.3 Billion Credit Facility with Shareholder Conditions

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited announced the signing of committed facility agreements with banks in Hong Kong for revolving credit facilities totaling up to HK$1.3 billion. The agreements stipulate that Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. must remain the largest shareholder to avoid default, which could lead to the cancellation of commitments or the loans being declared immediately payable. This move is significant for the company’s financial strategy and stability, ensuring continued support from its controlling shareholder.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1788) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1788 Stock Forecast page.

Guotai Junan International Declares Interim Dividend for 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited announced an interim cash dividend of HKD 0.05 per share for the financial year ending December 31, 2025. The ex-dividend date is set for September 11, 2025, with the payment date scheduled for September 30, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1788) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1788 Stock Forecast page.

Guotai Junan International Announces Board Committee Changes

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited announced changes to its board committees to enhance corporate governance, effective August 27, 2025. The changes involve the appointment and reassignment of non-executive directors to various committees, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1788) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1788 Stock Forecast page.

Guotai Junan International Announces Board Composition and Committee Roles

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has announced the composition of its board of directors, which includes executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors. The announcement also details the membership of various board committees, highlighting the roles and responsibilities of each director. This update reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining a robust governance structure, which is crucial for its operational integrity and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1788) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1788 Stock Forecast page.

Guotai Junan International Reports Strong Interim Results for 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue rising by 30% to HK$2,825,044,000 and profit attributable to ordinary equity holders surging by 182% to HK$550,089,000. The company’s dividend payout also saw a substantial increase, reflecting a robust return on equity and a strong financial position, despite a slight decrease in total assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1788) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1788 Stock Forecast page.

Guotai Junan International Schedules Board Meeting for Interim Results

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for August 27, 2025, to approve the interim results for the first half of 2025 and consider the payment of an interim dividend. This meeting is significant for stakeholders as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and potential shareholder returns.