Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (HK:1788)
:1788
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Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
(1788)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
HK$3.00
▲(13.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/07/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak cash-flow quality and thin profitability despite improved operating efficiency, alongside mixed-to-weak technicals (negative MACD and trading below longer-term averages). Valuation is also a headwind due to a high P/E, with only modest support from the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
A rising EBIT margin to 12.9% indicates meaningful improvement in cost control and core operating profitability. Over 2–6 months this strengthens resilience to revenue swings, supports reinvestment or underwriting capacity in capital markets, and reflects durable execution by management.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Persistent negative free cash flow is a structural concern: it restricts the firm's ability to self-fund operations, capital expenditure, dividends or buybacks, and increases reliance on external financing. Over the medium term this can constrain strategic investments and raise liquidity risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operational Efficiency
A rising EBIT margin to 12.9% indicates meaningful improvement in cost control and core operating profitability. Over 2–6 months this strengthens resilience to revenue swings, supports reinvestment or underwriting capacity in capital markets, and reflects durable execution by management.
Read all positive factors
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$23.88B
Dividend Yield2.75%
Average Volume (3M)81.45M
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.1
Beta (1Y)2.68
Revenue Growth32.03%
EPS Growth154.14%
CountryHK
Employees623
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Capital Markets
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.08
Shares Outstanding9,529,944,000
10 Day Avg. Volume52,053,114
30 Day Avg. Volume81,447,206
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.42
Price to Book (P/B)0.72
Price to Sales (P/S)4.94
P/FCF Ratio6.16
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides brokerage, corporate finance, asset management, loans and financing, financial products, and market making and investment services in Hong Kong and internationall...
How the Company Makes Money
Guotai Junan International generates revenue through multiple channels. The primary revenue streams include commissions and fees earned from brokerage services, which involve facilitating the buying and selling of securities for clients. Additiona...
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
40
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.71B | 2.17B | 3.22B | 2.32B | 3.97B | 4.88B |
| Gross Profit | 2.71B | 3.47B | 2.33B | 2.11B | 3.21B | 3.76B |
| EBITDA | 3.39B | 2.89B | 1.77B | 615.02M | 2.14B | 2.71B |
| Net Income | 702.93M | 347.78M | 201.26M | 80.38M | 1.09B | 1.56B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 121.79B | 130.17B | 107.54B | 94.46B | 106.29B | 121.72B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 39.80B | 80.91B | 59.27B | 40.02B | 28.13B | 59.55B |
| Total Debt | 7.63B | 89.43B | 69.73B | 58.53B | 60.12B | 75.06B |
| Total Liabilities | 106.24B | 115.15B | 92.57B | 79.52B | 90.85B | 106.48B |
| Stockholders Equity | 15.43B | 14.91B | 14.84B | 14.81B | 15.31B | 15.12B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -346.70M | 1.74B | -4.94B | -1.92B | 38.97M | 23.06M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -315.90M | 1.78B | -4.91B | 1.66B | 5.88B | 59.20M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 19.03B | -50.75M | -32.67M | -39.30M | -43.06M | -36.15M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -14.76B | -2.23B | 4.58B | 801.87M | -5.98B | 13.41B |
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
2.65
Price Trends
2.63
Negative
2.69
Negative
3.68
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.10
Positive
40.05
Neutral
37.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1788, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.47, above the 50-day MA of 2.63, and below the 200-day MA of 3.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1788.
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
67 Neutral | HK$21.32B | 11.85 | 37.98% | 4.01% | 11.40% | 11.52% | |
57 Neutral | HK$18.34B | 20.29 | 3.28% | 1.25% | -36.99% | 181.79% | |
53 Neutral | HK$23.88B | 18.06 | 8.60% | 2.75% | 32.03% | 154.14% | |
53 Neutral | HK$1.67B | 16.91 | -2.38% | ― | -45.13% | 60.10% | |
51 Neutral | HK$3.96B | 12.05 | 3.77% | ― | 58.09% | ― | |
39 Underperform | HK$1.00B | -1.60 | 21.05% | ― | -78.40% | -196.19% |
* Financial Sector Average
HK:1788
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
2.51
1.63
186.86%
HK:0993
Huarong International Financial Holdings Limited
0.12
-0.01
-10.16%
HK:1428
Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Limited
12.56
10.09
408.50%
HK:0218
Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited
1.07
-0.05
-4.46%
HK:1375
Central China Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
1.88
0.48
34.29%
HK:1476
Hengtai Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
1.52
0.04
2.70%
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Corporate Events
Guotai Junan International Tightens Nomination Committee Rules to Strengthen Board Governance
Dec 29, 2025
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has updated the terms of reference for its Nomination Committee, a board-level body responsible for overseeing the composition and appointment of directors, most recently amending them on 29 December 202...
Guotai Junan Secures HK$1.95 Billion Credit Facility with Contingency Clauses
Nov 25, 2025
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has entered into committed facility agreements with several banks in Hong Kong, securing revolving credit facilities totaling up to HK$1.95 billion. These agreements stipulate that a change in the contro...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.