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Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (HK:1788)
:1788

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited

(Frankfurt:1788)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
HK$6.50
▲(1.09%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects concerns due to high volatility and overvaluation. While operational efficiency has improved, challenges with profitability and cash flow management weigh heavily on the score. The high P/E ratio and low dividend yield further suggest caution for investors.

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788) is a leading integrated financial services provider in Hong Kong. It is a subsidiary of Guotai Junan Securities Co. Ltd., one of the largest securities firms in China. The company offers a broad range of financial services including brokerage, corporate finance, asset management, loans and financing, and financial products. Guotai Junan International is committed to delivering comprehensive solutions to individual and institutional clients, leveraging its strong market position and extensive experience in the financial industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuotai Junan International Holdings Limited makes money through multiple revenue streams. The primary source of income comes from its brokerage services, which include securities trading and wealth management. The company earns commissions and fees from facilitating trades and managing client portfolios. Additionally, Guotai Junan International generates revenue from its corporate finance services, such as underwriting and advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, equity and debt issuance. Another key revenue stream is its asset management business, which includes management fees and performance fees earned from managing investment funds. The company also offers loans and margin financing, generating interest income from these lending activities. Significant partnerships with banks, financial institutions, and corporate clients further contribute to its earnings, enhancing its ability to offer diverse financial products and services.

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited exhibits strong operational efficiency gains but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. While the balance sheet indicates stability, the company faces risks related to high liabilities and negative cash flow trends, impacting future financial flexibility. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow scores reflect these mixed results.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company has shown a mixed performance with declining revenue over the years, but an improvement in EBIT margin from 5.2% in 2023 to 12.9% in 2024 indicates better operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.6% in 2024, reflecting challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a stable equity position and a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 in 2024. However, the high total liabilities pose a potential risk. The equity ratio improved slightly over the year, indicating a stable asset financing structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow performance is concerning with consistent negative free cash flow, indicating cash management challenges. The lack of operating cash flow and capital expenditure data in 2024 makes it difficult to assess the company's cash utilization effectively.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.17B3.22B2.32B3.97B4.88B
Gross Profit3.47B2.33B2.11B3.67B4.62B
EBITDA2.89B1.77B927.24M2.35B3.07B
Net Income347.78M201.26M80.38M1.09B1.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets130.17B107.54B94.46B106.29B121.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.91B7.41B40.02B28.13B37.06B
Total Debt89.43B69.73B58.53B60.12B75.06B
Total Liabilities115.15B92.57B79.52B90.85B106.48B
Stockholders Equity14.91B14.84B14.81B15.31B15.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.94B-1.92B38.97M23.06M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-4.91B-1.88B82.03M59.20M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-32.67M8.21B-8.44B-5.10B
Financing Cash Flow0.004.58B801.87M-5.98B13.41B

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.43
Price Trends
50DMA
1.84
Positive
100DMA
1.45
Positive
200DMA
1.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.19
Negative
RSI
85.36
Negative
STOCH
81.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1788, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.95, above the 50-day MA of 1.84, and above the 200-day MA of 1.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 85.36 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1788.

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
HK$23.59B38.2042.24%2.37%-5.88%-18.17%
64
Neutral
HK$4.79B26.162.16%12.89%141.45%
63
Neutral
HK$2.89B-5.86%-90.83%16.46%
60
Neutral
HK$17.97B39.291.54%1.46%-36.60%-21.50%
58
Neutral
HK$90.99B5.20-3.21%5.31%7.36%-55.21%
50
Neutral
€54.73B174.452.31%0.69%37.06%72.51%
50
Neutral
HK$2.14B
-74.76%33.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1788
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
6.43
5.82
959.31%
HK:1476
Hengtai Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
1.84
-0.02
-1.08%
HK:1375
Central China Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
2.92
1.91
189.11%
HK:0218
Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited
2.35
1.98
535.14%
HK:1428
Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Limited
12.96
11.48
773.90%
HK:0993
Huarong International Financial Holdings Limited
0.28
0.23
438.46%

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Guotai Junan International Projects Significant Profit Surge in 2025
Jul 10, 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has announced a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, expecting a rise between 161% and 202% compared to the same period in 2024. This growth is attributed to a substantial increase in income from its core business areas, highlighting the company’s strong performance and potential positive impact on its market position.

Guotai Junan Expands into Virtual Asset Services with Regulatory Approval
Jun 25, 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited announced that its subsidiary, Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) Limited, has received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to enhance its Type 1 regulated activity license. This approval allows the company to provide virtual asset dealing services through an omnibus account arrangement with SFC-licensed platforms, marking a significant step in its strategic expansion into the virtual asset market.

Guotai Junan International Successfully Concludes AGM with Key Resolutions Approved
May 22, 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited held its Annual General Meeting on May 22, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed with overwhelming support. Key resolutions included the approval of a final dividend, re-election of directors, and granting of mandates to the board for share issuance and buybacks. The successful passing of these resolutions reflects strong shareholder confidence and positions the company for continued strategic growth.

Guotai Junan International Updates Board Composition and Committee Roles
May 22, 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, a company incorporated in Hong Kong, has announced the composition of its board of directors and the roles and functions of each member. The board includes executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, with Dr. YIM Fung serving as the chairman. The announcement also details the membership of various board committees, highlighting the involvement of directors in committees such as audit, remuneration, nomination, and risk. This update provides clarity on the governance structure of the company, which is crucial for stakeholders to understand the leadership and decision-making framework guiding the company’s operations.

Guotai Junan International Announces AGM and Key Resolutions
Apr 29, 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 22, 2025. Key agenda items include the approval of the audited financial statements for 2024, the declaration of a final dividend, and the re-election and appointment of directors. The company also seeks authorization for the board to fix directors’ remuneration and re-appoint KPMG as auditors. Additionally, resolutions to grant a general mandate for issuing new shares will be considered, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market operations.

Guotai Junan International Proposes New Articles of Association
Apr 17, 2025

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited announced a proposal to adopt new articles of association, which will be discussed at their upcoming annual general meeting. The proposed changes aim to align with the amended Companies Ordinance and Listing Rules, introduce hybrid and virtual general meetings, and allow electronic methods for dividend distribution, enhancing shareholder engagement and communication.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025