Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H (HK:1576)
:1576
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Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H
(1576)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.00
â–²(9.89% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality signals—especially persistent negative free cash flow (2022–2025), higher leverage, and a sharp 2025 revenue drop. These risks are partially offset by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and constructive technicals (price above key moving averages with positive MACD), though momentum looks stretched.
Positive Factors
Improving operating cash flow
An improvement to positive operating cash flow in 2025 signals the core toll/highway operations can generate cash from running the business. If sustained, stronger operating cash flow reduces near-term external funding needs and improves the firm's ability to fund maintenance and debt service over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Multi-year negative free cash flow indicates the business is not generating surplus cash after investments. This creates sustained funding needs, raises refinancing risk and limits the firm’s ability to self-fund capex or pay down debt, weakening financial durability absent structural improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving operating cash flow
An improvement to positive operating cash flow in 2025 signals the core toll/highway operations can generate cash from running the business. If sustained, stronger operating cash flow reduces near-term external funding needs and improves the firm's ability to fund maintenance and debt service over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H (1576) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$3.72B
Dividend Yield6.05%
Average Volume (3M)65.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.4
Beta (1Y)0.33
Revenue Growth-66.15%
EPS Growth-21.01%
CountryHK
Employees672
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIndustrial - Infrastructure Operations
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.19
Shares Outstanding2,000,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume70,800
30 Day Avg. Volume65,566
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.49
Price to Book (P/B)0.52
Price to Sales (P/S)1.40
P/FCF Ratio-9.46
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Qilu Expressway Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates expressways in the People's Republic of China. The company constructs, maintains, operates, and manages the Jihe Expressway that has a total length of approximately 153.6 ki...
How the Company Makes Money
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Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 2.31B | 7.02B | 5.61B | 2.93B | 2.00B |
| Gross Profit | 797.98M | 740.59M | 811.98M | 1.16B | 1.32B |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 900.36M | 1.07B | 1.37B | 1.59B |
| Net Income | 376.01M | 484.59M | 525.26M | 781.69M | 853.43M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 20.51B | 21.08B | 14.51B | 10.41B | 6.63B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 494.25M | 1.33B | 599.75M | 1.68B | 590.47M |
| Total Debt | 11.05B | 10.68B | 7.17B | 3.84B | 2.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 14.08B | 14.85B | 8.46B | 4.68B | 3.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.25B | 6.08B | 5.92B | 5.61B | 3.39B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -341.92M | -3.81B | -3.47B | -761.91M | 1.21B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.41B | 853.80M | 964.30M | 730.48M | 1.35B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.27B | -4.14B | -4.30B | -3.14B | 336.47M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -125.70M | 3.10B | 3.06B | 2.51B | -1.17B |
Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis
Positive
1.82
Price Trends
1.79
Positive
1.81
Positive
1.85
Negative
Market Momentum
0.01
Negative
63.58
Neutral
94.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1576, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.77, above the 50-day MA of 1.79, and below the 200-day MA of 1.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1576.
Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | HK$66.62B | 8.26 | 11.50% | 5.43% | -16.77% | -1.46% | |
69 Neutral | HK$30.57B | 10.40 | 14.74% | 5.08% | -5.31% | 10.69% | |
65 Neutral | HK$3.40B | 6.01 | 10.60% | 5.25% | 1.17% | -0.03% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
61 Neutral | HK$20.52B | 8.52 | 7.54% | 5.82% | -16.28% | -1.83% | |
60 Neutral | HK$3.72B | 4.38 | 6.26% | 6.05% | -66.15% | -21.01% | |
55 Neutral | HK$24.21B | 8.30 | 4.88% | 3.72% | 4.71% | -4.62% |
* Industrials Sector Average
HK:1576
Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H
1.86
-0.04
-2.11%
HK:0995
Anhui Expressway Company
15.74
4.78
43.56%
HK:0177
Jiangsu Expressway Co
10.67
1.52
16.59%
HK:0107
Sichuan Expressway Co
5.76
1.70
41.87%
HK:0548
Shenzhen Expressway Co
7.50
1.07
16.59%
HK:1785
Chengdu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H
2.05
-0.10
-4.65%
Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events
Qilu Expressway Outlines Board Composition and Committee Roles
Apr 30, 2026
Qilu Expressway Company Limited has announced the current composition of its board of directors, detailing the mix of executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors and identifying the vice chairman. The company also disclosed t...
Qilu Expressway Chairman Resigns as Board Taps Veteran SOE Executive for Director Role
Apr 30, 2026
Qilu Expressway Company Limited announced that chairman and executive director Wei Yong will resign from all his roles, including board chair, committee chairmanships, legal representative, and authorised representative, effective 30 April 2026 du...
Qilu Expressway Q1 Revenue Rises on Wind Power Push but Profit Slips
Apr 29, 2026
Qilu Expressway Company Limited reported a 9.08% year-on-year rise in first-quarter 2026 revenue to RMB537 million, driven mainly by the accelerated commencement of operations at its wind power hybrid tower production base. However, toll income fe...
Qilu Expressway Profit Drops as Revenue Slumps, Dividend Maintained
Mar 31, 2026
Qilu Expressway Co., Ltd. reported a sharp contraction in revenue for 2025, with top line falling about 66% year on year to RMB2.37 billion, while profit attributable to shareholders declined roughly 21% to RMB382.94 million and earnings per share...
Qilu Expressway Declares Final 2025 Dividend of RMB 0.12 Per Share
Mar 31, 2026
Qilu Expressway Company Limited has declared a final ordinary dividend of RMB 0.12 per share for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval on 26 June 2026. The dividend will be paid on 31 August 2026, with the ex-d...
Qilu Expressway Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Consider Final Dividend
Mar 19, 2026
Qilu Expressway Company Limited, a PRC-based toll road operator listed in Hong Kong, manages expressway infrastructure in Shandong Province and serves the regional transport and logistics market. Its business is closely tied to traffic volumes, re...
Qilu Expressway Warns of Profit Drop as Construction Revenue Falls but Toll Income Jumps
Mar 16, 2026
Qilu Expressway Company Limited has reported unaudited key financial data for 2025 showing a sharp contraction in total revenue to about RMB2.37 billion, down 66.18% year on year, largely because construction revenue fell after completion of the J...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.